• 제목/요약/키워드: debris flow analysis

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Analysis on the Effects of Disaster Mitigation Facility Using Debris Flow Numerical Model (토석류 수치모형을 이용한 재해 저감시설의 효과 분석)

  • Kang, Bae Dong;Jun, Kye won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.168-168
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    • 2021
  • 기후변화로 인한 태풍과 국지성 집중호우의 발생 증가로 국토의 64%가 산으로 이루어진 우리나라에서 산사태와 토석류와 같은 산지 재해가 빈번하게 발생하고 있다. 토석류는 물과 흙, 자갈, 유목 등이 계곡을 따라 이동하여 하류 지역에 위치한 주거 및 공공시설, 도로, 하천 그리고 인명에 피해를 입히는 자연재해이다. 본 연구대상 지역인 강원도 삼척시를 기준으로 2019년 10월에 발생한 태풍 '미탁'은 시간당 최대 110mm/hr, 누적강수량 487mm를 기록하였으며, 태풍으로 인한 강풍, 폭우, 홍수뿐만 아니라 산사태, 토석류와 같은 산지 재해로 사망 13명, 실종 2명, 이재민 910세대 1,442명의 인명 피해와 공공시설 1,835건, 사유시설 3,700건 등의 재산피해를 발생시켰다. 연구대상 지역에 높이 2m의 기설치된 저감시설이 있었으나 당시의 토석류 발생량을 저감하기에 규모가 작아 주택, 도로와 주민들이 있는 하류 지역에 많은 피해가 발생하였다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 토석류 피해가 발생한 강원도 삼척시 원덕읍 지역을 대상으로 현장조사를 통해 획득한 실측 자료를 활용하여 Hyper KANAKO 모형의 입력 매개변수로 사용하였다. 실측 자료를 모형에 적용하여 최대 유동심과 유속이 발생한 지점을 분석한 후 기설치된 재해 저감시설과 동일한 제원의 재해 저감시설을 설치하였을 때와 재해 저감시설의 높이와 종류를 변경하였을 때를 비교·분석하였다.

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Evaluation of several erosion models for analysis of debris-flow (토석류 유동 해석을 위한 침식모형 평가)

  • Lee, Seungjun;An, Hyunuk;Kim, Minseok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.295-295
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    • 2020
  • 산 경사면에서 발생한 토석류는 지형변화에 큰 영향을 미치는 대표적인 자연재해 중 하나다. 특히, 도심지역에서 발생된 토석류는 유동 및 퇴적과정에서 막대한 재산피해와 인명피해를 야기할 수 있다. 이러한 토석류의 피해를 줄이기 위해 토석류의 유동과 피해규모 예측을 위한 여러 수치모형들이 선행연구들을 통해 소개된 바 있다. 최근엔 토석류의 유동과정 및 피해 규모에 큰 영향을 미치는 침식과 연행작용을 구현하기 위한 침식모형이 집중적으로 연구되어지고 있다. 하지만 국내에선 침식 및 연행작용을 구현해 분석하는 것은 아직 제한적인 실정이다. 이에 본 연구는 한국에서 개발된 수치모형으로 침식 및 연행작용을 구현할 수 있는 Deb2D 모형을 활용하여 다양한 침식모형을 적용하여 토석류의 유동을 분석하고 피해규모를 예측하고자 한다. Deb2D 모형은 2차원 수치해석 모형으로 적응형 격자를 기반으로 토석류를 구현하고 있으며 본 연구에선 유동학적 모형으론 Voellmy 모형을 선택하고, 침식모형으론 Sovilla, Frank 그리고 Medina 모형을 선택하여 연구를 진행했다. 2011년 우면산에서 발생한 일련의 산사태를 대상으로 토석류의 유동과 피해규모를 구현했으며 수치모형의 정확성 판단을 위해 현장 조사를 통해 얻어진 토석류의 피해 범위, 총퇴적량 그리고 특정 지점에서 관측된 최대 퇴적 높이 및 최대 속도를 비교자료로 활용했다. 특히, 연구지역의 토석류 발생 전·후 DEMs(Digital Elevation Models)을 통해 공간에 따른 침식 깊이 자료를 얻어, 이를 Deb2D 모형을 통해 분석된 결과와 비교·분석했다.

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A study on comparative analysis of debris flow damage area using FLO-2D (FLO-2D를 이용한 토석류 피해지역 비교분석에 관한 연구)

  • Jo, Hang Il;Jun, Kye Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.229-229
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    • 2022
  • 우리나라의 지형 특성상 국토의 약 64%가 산지 지형이며 최근 10년 기준으로 연평균 강우량의 약 51%인 651.9mm가 여름철에 집중되고 있으며, 급격한 기후변화로 인한 집중호우와 태풍에 의한 영향으로 산사태와 토석류에 의한 생활권 주변의 도로나 주택가에 많은 피해를 발생시키고 있다. 따라서 무엇보다 토석류의 피해를 줄이기 위해 재해 발생 예상지역이나 피해 정도 및 규모에 대한 예측이 중요하며 이를 위해서는 토석류 수치모의를 통해 토석류의 피해지역을 예측할 필요가 있다고 판단된다. 본 연구에서는 태풍 미탁으로 인해 토석류가 발생한 강원도 삼척시 원덕읍을 대상으로 토석류 피해지역을 해석하기 위한 연구를 수행하기 위해 2차원 토석류 해석이 가능한 FLO-2D를 적용하여 토석류의 이동, 퇴적 및 하류부 피해해석을 수행하였다. 피해지역의 수치지도와 실측자료를 활용하여 지형자료를 구축하고 FLO-2D 모형을 이용하여 토석류 발생이 하류부에 미치는 영향을 분석하고 토석류 유동특성을 분석하여 피해지역의 실측자료와 비교분석하였다. 그 결과 모형을 통해 모의된 부분과 피해면적이 유사하게 나타났다.

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A methodological approach for slope stability analysis in Steady state infiltration (정상류 침투를 가정한 강우시 사면안정해석기법)

  • Song, Pyung-Hyun;You, Byung-Ok;Ahn, Kwang-Kuk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2009.09a
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    • pp.736-744
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    • 2009
  • The abrupt failure of slope caused by a concentrated rainfall would be a disaster in this country. Specially, the soil slope may be collapsed by the rainfall seepage, however, there is not much information for the mechanism of slope failure during rainfall. As analyzing the stability of slope by rainfall, the conventional method is to put the ground-water level on the surface of slope. However, it may provide the over-reinforcement for the slope stability. Futhermore, although over-reinforcement for the slope was fulfilled, the possibility of potential slope failure still exists. In this study, the slope stability by the conventional design method and the causes of unstable slope during rainfall were investigated. To analyze the slope stability by rainfall, the computer program SEEP/W for the analysis of seepage was used. As changing the intensity and duration of rainfall in SEEP/W, the analysis were performed. After completion of analysis, the porewater pressure data from SEEP/W was applied to SLOPE/W. As a results of this analysis, it is not reasonable that the groundwater level is going up to the surface of slope during rainfall. Therefore, the conventional reinforcement for the slope stability is not obvious to satisfy the criterion safety factor during rainfall. The reasonable counterplan is to install drainage hole on the surface of slope in order to prevent erosion and debris flow.

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Analysis of Extreme Rainfall Distribution Scenarios over the Landslide High Risk Zones in Urban Areas (도심지 토사재해 고위험지역 극치강우 시간분포 시나리오 분석)

  • Yoon, Sunkwon;Jang, Sangmin;Rhee, Jinyoung
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.58 no.3
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    • pp.57-69
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    • 2016
  • In this study, we analyzed the extreme rainfall distribution scenarios based on probable rainfall calculation and applying various time distribution models over the landslide high risk zones in urban areas. We used observed rainfall data form total 71 ASOS (Automated Synoptic Observing System) station and AWS (Automatic Weather Station) in KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration), and we analyzed the linear trends for 1-hr and 24-hr annual maximum rainfall series using simple linear regression method, which are identified their increasing trends with slopes of 0.035 and 0.660 during 1961-2014, respectively. The Gumbel distribution was applied to obtain the return period and probability precipitation for each duration. The IDF (Intensity-Duration-Frequency) curves for landslide high risk zones were derived by applying integrated probability precipitation intensity equation. Results from IDF analysis indicate that the probability precipitation varies from 31.4~38.3 % for 1 hr duration, and 33.0~47.9 % for 24 hr duration. It also showed different results for each area. The $Huff-4^{th}$ Quartile method as well as Mononobe distribution were selected as the rainfall distribution scenarios of landslide high risk zones. The results of this study can be used to provide boundary conditions for slope collapse analysis, to analyze sediment disaster risk, and to use as input data for risk prediction of debris flow.

Analysis of Rainfall Characteristics and Landslides at the West Side Area of Gangwon Province (강원 영서지역 산사태 및 강우특성 분석)

  • Yoo, Namjae;Yoon, Daehee;Um, Jaekyung;Kim, Donggun;Park, Byungsoo
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.13 no.9
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 2012
  • This paper is the results of analysis for the causes and characteristics of landslide according to heavy rain occurred in west area of Gangwon province which is affected by typhoon such as Ewiniar and Bilis in 2006. West side of Gangwon province is topographically weak for the landslide and debris flow since it is covered by soil of weathered rock such as Gneiss and Granite. From the results of analysis for the rainfall characteristics, it was found that landslide occurrence is closely related to the accumulated rainfall amount less than 3 days. Furthermore, it was found that regional difference of occurrence frequency is effected by 1-hour maximum rainfall intensity. From the results of analysis for the landslide data of 860 locations occurred in west side, it was shown that failure mode was changed from transition slide to liquidity slide. Occurrence frequency was high at the slope angle of $20{\sim}30^{\circ}$ slope length of 11~20, and slope width of 6~10. Landslide of west side is the typical landslide of Gneiss and Granite and the type of small scale which has narrow slope width.

A Study on the Holocene Environments of the Jemin Plain in Gongju, Chungnam Province (충남 공주 제민평야의 홀로세 환경연구)

  • PARK, Ji Hoon;LEE, Ae-Jin
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.65-78
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    • 2017
  • In this study, stable carbon isotopic analysis (22 specimens) and magnetic susceptibility analysis (23 specimens) were conducted out on the specimens collected from two points (trench DT1, DT2) in the floodplain of Jemincheon(hereinafter the Jemin plain) to reconstruct the Holocene Environments (Period I, Period II, Period III) of the Jemin plain in Gongju, Chungnam. The results were as follows: In Period I (approximately 7,480~4,940 yrs B.P.) and especially around 7,480~7,320 yrs B.P., it was cool-dry and there were two minor climate fluctuations. This period received a continuous flow of sediments, rather than massive amounts of sediments due to abrupt flooding, and therefore, there was almost no soilization process. Period II(approximately 4,940~2,600 yrs B.P.) was also relatively cool-dry. However, in Period II b, unlike I, the minor climate fluctuations were less pronounced. In this period, flooding and desiccation repeated, inducing soilization processes especially around 3,160 yrs B.P. In Stage III (~360 yrs B.P.), it was warm and humid compared to II b. However, in III a, there was no inflow of sediments due to irregular flooding, and in fact, soilization process was more manifested than during II b due to the impact of the desiccation environment. However, there were some mass movements from Bonghwang Mt. (a.s.l. 147m) caused by heavy rains and typhoon during III b (approximately 360 yrs B.P.), thus moving a large amount of debris (i.e. gravel), which resulted in sedimentation.

Review of earthquake-induced landslide modeling and scenario-based application

  • Lee, Giha;An, Hyunuk;Yeon, Minho;Seo, Jun Pyo;Lee, Chang Woo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.963-978
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    • 2020
  • Earthquakes can induce a large number of landslides and cause very serious property damage and human casualties. There are two issues in study on earthquake-induced landslides: (1) slope stability analysis under seismic loading and (2) debris flow run-out analysis. This study aims to review technical studies related to the development and application of earthquake-induced landslide models (seismic slope stability analysis). Moreover, a pilot application of a physics-based slope stability model to Mt. Umyeon, in Seoul, with several earthquake scenarios was conducted to test regional scale seismic landslide mapping. The earthquake-induced landslide simulation model can be categorized into 1) Pseudo-static model, 2) Newmark's dynamic displacement model and 3) stress-strain model. The Pseudo-static model is preferred for producing seismic landslide hazard maps because it is impossible to verify the dynamic model-based simulation results due to lack of earthquake-induced landslide inventory in Korea. Earthquake scenario-based simulation results show that given dry conditions, unstable slopes begin to occur in parts of upper areas due to the 50-year earthquake magnitude; most of the study area becomes unstable when the earthquake frequency is 200 years. On the other hand, when the soil is in a wet state due to heavy rainfall, many areas are unstable even if no earthquake occurs, and when rainfall and 50-year earthquakes occur simultaneously, most areas appear unstable, as in simulation results based on 100-year earthquakes in dry condition.

Porous Media Modelling and Verification of Thermal Analysis for Inlet and Outlet Ducts of Spent Fuel Storage Cask (사용후핵연료 저장용기 유로입출구의 다공성매질 모델링 및 열해석 검증평가)

  • Lee, Ju-Chan;Bang, Kyung-Sik;Choi, Woo-Seok;Seo, Ki-Seog;Ko, Sungho
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.223-232
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    • 2018
  • Bird screen meshes are installed at the air inlet and outlet ducts of spent fuel storage casks to inhibit the intrusion of debris from the external environment. The presence of these screens introduces an additional resistance to air flow through the ducts. In this study, a porous media model was developed to simplify the bird screen meshes. CFD analyses were used to derive and verify the flow resistance factors for the porous media model. Thermal analyses were carried out for concrete storage cask using the porous media model. Thermal tests were performed for concrete casks with bird screen meshes. The measured temperatures were compared with the analysis results for the porous model. The analysis results agreed well with the test results. The analysis temperatures were slightly higher than the test temperatures. Therefore, the reliability and conservatism of the analysis results for the porous model have been verified.

Diagnostic Usefulness and Limitation of Fine Needle Aspiration Cytology of Lymph Node - Analysis of 176 Cases Confirmed by Biopsy - (림프절 세침흡인 세포검사의 진단적 유용성과 한계 - 생검으로 확진한 176 예의 분석 -)

  • Kim, Hee-Sung;Kim, Dae-Soo;Oh, Young-Lyun;Ko, Young-Hyeh;Ree, Howe-J.
    • The Korean Journal of Cytopathology
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 1999
  • The accuracy of fine needle aspiration cytology(FNAC) of the lymph node was investigated through a review of 176 FNAC cases and the corresponding biopsies. We chose 157 FNAC cases after the exclusion of 19 inadequate ones. Sensitivity of malignancy was 94.0%, specificity 100%, false negativity 6.0%, and false positivity 0.0%. The overall diagnostic accuracy was 96.8%. Sensitivity of metastatic carcinoma was 98.0% and that of malignant lymphoma was 87.9%. False negative cases included one metastatic carcinoma and four malignant lymphomas. The aspirates of metastatic carcinoma with false negativity exhibited a diffuse smear of keratin debris without viable cells, which led to the difficulty in differentiation from benign epithelial cyst. The cases of malignant lymphoma with false negative diagnosis were two Hodgkin diseases, one Lennert's lymphoma, and one peripheral T cell lymphoma in the histologic sections. On the analysis of 39 cases of tuberculosis, 17 cases(43.6%) were diagnosed as tuberculosis, 4(10.3%) as granulomatous lymphadenitis, 3(7.7%) as necrotizing lymphadenitis, and 15(38.5%) as reactive hyperplasia or pyogenic inflammation. Sensitivity of tuberculosis was 53.9%. In conclusion, lymph node FNAC is an excellent non-invasive diagnostic tool for the diagnosis of metastatic carcinoma. The diagnostic accuracy of malignant lymphoma could be improved with flow cytometry or polymerase chain reaction for antigen receptor genes. For the FNAC diagnosis of tuberculosis, AFB stain, culture, and PCR would be helpful as adjuvant techniques.

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