• Title/Summary/Keyword: data value prediction

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A Study on Image Processing of Tree Discharges for Insulation Destructive Prediction (절연파괴 예측을 위한 트리방전의 영상처리에 관한 연구)

  • 오무송;김태성
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.26-33
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    • 2001
  • The proposed system was composed of pre-processor which was executing binary/high-pass filtering and post-processor which ranged from statistic data to prediction. In post-processor work, step one was filter process of image, step two was image recognition, and step three was destruction degree/time prediction. After these processing, we could predict image of the last destruction timestamp. This research was produced variation value according to growth of tree pattern. This result showed improved correction, when this research was applied image Processing. Pre-processing step of original image had good result binary work after high pas- filter execution. In the case of using partial discharge of the image, our research could predict the last destruction timestamp. By means of experimental data, this prediction system was acquired $\pm$3.2% error range.

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Long Term Prediction of Korean-U.S. Exchange Rate with LS-SVM Models

  • Hwang, Chang-Ha;Park, Hye-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.845-852
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    • 2003
  • Forecasting exchange rate movements is a challenging task since exchange rates impact world economy and determine value of international investments. In particular, Korean-U.S. exchange rate behavior is very important because of strong Korean and U.S. trading relationship. Neural networks models have been used for short-term prediction of exchange rate movements. Least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) is used widely in real-world regression tasks. This paper describes the use of LS-SVM for short-term and long-term prediction of Korean-U.S. exchange rate.

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Prediction of Creep Rupture Time and Strain of Steam Pipe Accounting for Material Damage and Grain Boundary Sliding (재료손상과 입계 미끄럼을 고려한 증기배관의 크리프 파단수명 및 변형률 예측)

  • 홍성호
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.1182-1189
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    • 1995
  • Several methods have been developed to predict the creep rupture time of the steam pipes in thermal power plant. However, existing creep life prediction methods give very conservative value at operating stress of power plant and creep rupture strain cannot be well estimated. Therefore, in this study, creep rupture time and strain prediction method accounting for material damage and grain boundary sliding is newly proposed and compared with the existing experimental data. The creep damage evolves by continuous cavity nucleation and constrained cavity growth. The results showed good correlation between the theoretically predicted creep rupture time and the experimental data. And creep rupture strain may be well estimated by using the proposed method.

Application of Informer for time-series NO2 prediction

  • Hye Yeon Sin;Minchul Kang;Joonsung Kang
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.28 no.7
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, we evaluate deep learning time series forecasting models. Recent studies show that those models perform better than the traditional prediction model such as ARIMA. Among them, recurrent neural networks to store previous information in the hidden layer are one of the prediction models. In order to solve the gradient vanishing problem in the network, LSTM is used with small memory inside the recurrent neural network along with BI-LSTM in which the hidden layer is added in the reverse direction of the data flow. In this paper, we compared the performance of Informer by comparing with other models (LSTM, BI-LSTM, and Transformer) for real Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) data. In order to evaluate the accuracy of each method, mean square root error and mean absolute error between the real value and the predicted value were obtained. Consequently, Informer has improved prediction accuracy compared with other methods.

Chaotic Time Series Prediction using Parallel-Structure Fuzzy Systems (병렬구조 퍼지스스템을 이용한 카오스 시계열 데이터 예측)

  • 공성곤
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents a parallel-structure fuzzy system(PSFS) for prediction of time series data. The PSFS consists of a multiple number of fuzzy systems connected in parallel. Each component fuzzy system in the PSFS predicts the same future data independently based on its past time series data with different embedding dimension and time delay. The component fuzzy systems are characterized by multiple-input singleoutput( MIS0) Sugeno-type fuzzy rules modeled by clustering input-output product space data. The optimal embedding dimension for each component fuzzy system is chosen to have superior prediction performance for a given value of time delay. The PSFS determines the final prediction result by averaging the outputs of all the component fuzzy systems excluding the predicted data with the minimum and the maximum values in order to reduce error accumulation effect.

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Minimisation Technique for Seismic Noise Using a Neural Network (인공신경망을 이용한 탄성파 잡음제거)

  • Hwang Hak Soo;Lee Sang Kyu;Lee Tai Sup;Sung Nak Hoon
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.83-87
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    • 2000
  • The noise prediction filter using a local/remote reference was developed to obtain a high quality data from seismic surveys over the area where seismic transmission power is limited. The method used in the noise prediction filter is a 3-layer neural network whose algorithm is backpropagation. A NRF (Noise Reduction Factor) value of about 3.0 was obtained with appling training and test data to the trained noise prediction filter. However, the scaling technique generally used for minimizing EM noise from electric and electromagnetic data cannot reduce seismic noise, since the technique can allow only amplitude difference between two time series measured at the primary and reference sites.

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A Prediction of Stock Price Through the Big-data Analysis (인터넷 뉴스 빅데이터를 활용한 기업 주가지수 예측)

  • Yu, Ji Don;Lee, Ik Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.154-161
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    • 2018
  • This study conducted to predict the stock market prices based on the assumption that internet news articles might have an impact and effect on the rise and fall of stock market prices. The internet news articles were tested to evaluate the accuracy by comparing predicted values of the actual stock index and the forecasting models of the companies. This paper collected stock news from the internet, and analyzed and identified the relationship with the stock price index. Since the internet news contents consist mainly of unstructured texts, this study used text mining technique and multiple regression analysis technique to analyze news articles. A company H as a representative automobile manufacturing company was selected, and prediction models for the stock price index of company H was presented. Thus two prediction models for forecasting the upturn and decline of H stock index is derived and presented. Among the two prediction models, the error value of the prediction model (1) is low, and so the prediction performance of the model (1) is relatively better than that of the prediction model (2). As the further research, if the contents of this study are supplemented by real artificial intelligent investment decision system and applied to real investment, more practical research results will be able to be developed.

CONSIDERATIONS IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF FUTURE PIG BREEDING PROGRAM - REVIEW -

  • Haley, C.S.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.305-328
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    • 1991
  • Pig breeding programs have been very successful in the improvement of animals by the simple expedient of focusing on a few traits of economic importance, particularly growth efficiency and leanness. Further reductions in leanness may become more difficult to achieve, due to reduced genetic variation, and less desirable, due to adverse correlated effects on meat and eating quality. Best linear unbiased prediction (BLUP) of breeding values makes possible the incorporation of data from many sources and increases the value of including traits such as sow performance in the breeding objective. Advances in technology, such as electronic animal identification, electronic feeders, improved ultrasonic scanners and automated data capture at slaughter houses, increase the number of sources of information that can be included in breeding value predictions. Breeding program structures will evolve to reflect these changes and a common structure is likely to be several or many breeding farms genetically linked by A.i., with data collected on a number of traits from many sources and integrated into a single breeding value prediction using BLUP. Future developments will include the production of a porcine gene map which may make it possible to identify genes controlling economically valuable traits, such as those for litter size in the Meishan, and introgress them into nucleus populations. Genes identified from the gene map or from other sources will provide insight into the genetic basis of performance and may provide the raw material from which transgenic programs will channel additional genetic variance into nucleus populations undergoing selection.

Research on Model to Diagnose Efficiency Reduction of Inverters using Multilayer Perceptron (다층 퍼셉트론을 이용한 인버터의 효율 감소 진단 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Ha-Young;Hong, Seok-Hoon;Jeon, Jae-Sung;Lim, Su-Chang;Kim, Jong-Chan;Park, Chul-Young
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.25 no.10
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    • pp.1448-1456
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    • 2022
  • This paper studies a model to diagnose efficiency reduction of inverter using Multilayer Perceptron(MLP). In this study, two inverter data which started operation at different day was used. A Multilayer Perceptron model was made to predict photovoltaic power data of the latest inverter. As a result of the model's performance test, the Mean Absolute Percentage Error(MAPE) was 4.1034. The verified model was applied to one-year-old and two-year-old data after old inverter starting operation. The predictive power of one-year-old inverter was larger than the observed power by 724.9243 on average. And two-year-old inverter's predictive value was larger than the observed power by 836.4616 on average. The prediction error of two-year-old inverter rose 111.5572 on a year. This error is 0.4% of the total capacity. It was proved that the error is meaningful difference by t-test. The error is predicted value minus actual value. Which means that PV system actually generated less than prediction. Therefore, increasing error is decreasing conversion efficiency of inverter. Finally, conversion efficiency of the inverter decreased by 0.4% over a year using this model.

Prediction Model of User Physical Activity using Data Characteristics-based Long Short-term Memory Recurrent Neural Networks

  • Kim, Joo-Chang;Chung, Kyungyong
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.2060-2077
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    • 2019
  • Recently, mobile healthcare services have attracted significant attention because of the emerging development and supply of diverse wearable devices. Smartwatches and health bands are the most common type of mobile-based wearable devices and their market size is increasing considerably. However, simple value comparisons based on accumulated data have revealed certain problems, such as the standardized nature of health management and the lack of personalized health management service models. The convergence of information technology (IT) and biotechnology (BT) has shifted the medical paradigm from continuous health management and disease prevention to the development of a system that can be used to provide ground-based medical services regardless of the user's location. Moreover, the IT-BT convergence has necessitated the development of lifestyle improvement models and services that utilize big data analysis and machine learning to provide mobile healthcare-based personal health management and disease prevention information. Users' health data, which are specific as they change over time, are collected by different means according to the users' lifestyle and surrounding circumstances. In this paper, we propose a prediction model of user physical activity that uses data characteristics-based long short-term memory (DC-LSTM) recurrent neural networks (RNNs). To provide personalized services, the characteristics and surrounding circumstances of data collectable from mobile host devices were considered in the selection of variables for the model. The data characteristics considered were ease of collection, which represents whether or not variables are collectable, and frequency of occurrence, which represents whether or not changes made to input values constitute significant variables in terms of activity. The variables selected for providing personalized services were activity, weather, temperature, mean daily temperature, humidity, UV, fine dust, asthma and lung disease probability index, skin disease probability index, cadence, travel distance, mean heart rate, and sleep hours. The selected variables were classified according to the data characteristics. To predict activity, an LSTM RNN was built that uses the classified variables as input data and learns the dynamic characteristics of time series data. LSTM RNNs resolve the vanishing gradient problem that occurs in existing RNNs. They are classified into three different types according to data characteristics and constructed through connections among the LSTMs. The constructed neural network learns training data and predicts user activity. To evaluate the proposed model, the root mean square error (RMSE) was used in the performance evaluation of the user physical activity prediction method for which an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, a convolutional neural network (CNN), and an RNN were used. The results show that the proposed DC-LSTM RNN method yields an excellent mean RMSE value of 0.616. The proposed method is used for predicting significant activity considering the surrounding circumstances and user status utilizing the existing standardized activity prediction services. It can also be used to predict user physical activity and provide personalized healthcare based on the data collectable from mobile host devices.