• Title/Summary/Keyword: data assimilation

Search Result 454, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

Development and Wind Speed Evaluation of Ultra High Resolution KMAPP Using Urban Building Information Data (도시건물정보를 반영한 초고해상도 규모상세화 수치자료 산출체계(KMAPP) 구축 및 풍속 평가)

  • Kim, Do-Hyoung;Lee, Seung-Wook;Jeong, Hyeong-Se;Park, Sung-Hwa;Kim, Yeon-Hee
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.32 no.3
    • /
    • pp.179-189
    • /
    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to build and evaluate a high-resolution (50 m) KMAPP (Korea Meteorological Administration Post Processing) reflecting building data. KMAPP uses LDAPS (Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System) data to detail ground wind speed through surface roughness and elevation corrections. During the detailing process, we improved the vegetation roughness data to reflect the impact of city buildings. AWS (Automatic Weather Station) data from a total of 48 locations in the metropolitan area including Seoul in 2019 were used as the observation data used for verification. Sensitivity analysis was conducted by dividing the experiment according to the method of improving the vegetation roughness length. KMAPP has been shown to improve the tendency of LDAPS to over simulate surface wind speeds. Compared to LDAPS, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) is improved by approximately 23% and Mean Bias Error (MBE) by about 47%. However, there is an error in the roughness length around the Han River or the coastline. Accordingly, the surface roughness length was improved in KMAPP and the building information was reflected. In the sensitivity experiment of improved KMAPP, RMSE was further improved to 6% and MBE to 3%. This study shows that high-resolution KMAPP reflecting building information can improve wind speed accuracy in urban areas.

A Study on Instructional Methods based on Computational Thinking Using Modular Data Analysis Tools for AI Education in Elementary School (모듈형 데이터 분석 도구를 활용한 컴퓨팅사고력 기반의 초등학교 인공지능교육 교수학습방법 연구)

  • Shin, Seungki
    • Journal of The Korean Association of Information Education
    • /
    • v.25 no.6
    • /
    • pp.917-925
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study aims to specify a constructivism-based instructional method using a modular data analysis tool. The value and meaning of a modular data analysis tool have been examined to be applied in the national curriculum for artificial intelligence education and the process of cultivating problem-solving ability based on computational thinking. The modular data analysis tool visually expresses the cognitive thinking process that forms the schema in equilibrating through assimilation and adjustment. Artificial intelligence education has features that embody abstract knowledge and structure the data analysis module through the represented schema as a BlackBox implemented as an algorithm. Therefore, the value of the modular data analysis tool could be examined because it has the advantage of connecting the conceptual and implicit schema.

Prediction of ocean surface current: Research status, challenges, and opportunities. A review

  • Ittaka Aldini;Adhistya E. Permanasari;Risanuri Hidayat;Andri Ramdhan
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.14 no.1
    • /
    • pp.85-99
    • /
    • 2024
  • Ocean surface currents have an essential role in the Earth's climate system and significantly impact the marine ecosystem, weather patterns, and human activities. However, predicting ocean surface currents remains challenging due to the complexity and variability of the oceanic processes involved. This review article provides an overview of the current research status, challenges, and opportunities in the prediction of ocean surface currents. We discuss the various observational and modelling approaches used to study ocean surface currents, including satellite remote sensing, in situ measurements, and numerical models. We also highlight the major challenges facing the prediction of ocean surface currents, such as data assimilation, model-observation integration, and the representation of sub-grid scale processes. In this article, we suggest that future research should focus on developing advanced modeling techniques, such as machine learning, and the integration of multiple observational platforms to improve the accuracy and skill of ocean surface current predictions. We also emphasize the need to address the limitations of observing instruments, such as delays in receiving data, versioning errors, missing data, and undocumented data processing techniques. Improving data availability and quality will be essential for enhancing the accuracy of predictions. The future research should focus on developing methods for effective bias correction, a series of data preprocessing procedures, and utilizing combined models and xAI models to incorporate data from various sources. Advancements in predicting ocean surface currents will benefit various applications such as maritime operations, climate studies, and ecosystem management.

Korean Ocean Forecasting System: Present and Future (한국의 해양예측, 오늘과 내일)

  • Kim, Young Ho;Choi, Byoung-Ju;Lee, Jun-Soo;Byun, Do-Seong;Kang, Kiryong;Kim, Young-Gyu;Cho, Yang-Ki
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
    • /
    • v.18 no.2
    • /
    • pp.89-103
    • /
    • 2013
  • National demands for the ocean forecasting system have been increased to support economic activity and national safety including search and rescue, maritime defense, fisheries, port management, leisure activities and marine transportation. Further, the ocean forecasting has been regarded as one of the key components to improve the weather and climate forecasting. Due to the national demands as well as improvement of the technology, the ocean forecasting systems have been established among advanced countries since late 1990. Global Ocean Data Assimilation Experiment (GODAE) significantly contributed to the achievement and world-wide spreading of ocean forecasting systems. Four stages of GODAE were summarized. Goal, vision, development history and research on ocean forecasting system of the advanced countries such as USA, France, UK, Italy, Norway, Australia, Japan, China, who operationally use the systems, were examined and compared. Strategies of the successfully established ocean forecasting systems can be summarized as follows: First, concentration of the national ability is required to establish successful operational ocean forecasting system. Second, newly developed technologies were shared with other countries and they achieved mutual and cooperative development through the international program. Third, each participating organization has devoted to its own task according to its role. In Korean society, demands on the ocean forecasting system have been also extended. Present status on development of the ocean forecasting system and long-term plan of KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration), KHOA (Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Administration), NFRDI (National Fisheries Research & Development Institute), ADD (Agency for Defense Development) were surveyed. From the history of the pre-established systems in other countries, the cooperation among the relevant Korean organizations is essential to establish the accurate and successful ocean forecasting system, and they can form a consortium. Through the cooperation, we can (1) set up high-quality ocean forecasting models and systems, (2) efficiently invest and distribute financial resources without duplicate investment, (3) overcome lack of manpower for the development. At present stage, it is strongly requested to concentrate national resources on developing a large-scale operational Korea Ocean Forecasting System which can produce open boundary and initial conditions for local ocean and climate forecasting models. Once the system is established, each organization can modify the system for its own specialized purpose. In addition, we can contribute to the international ocean prediction community.

Use of Climate Information for Improving Extended Streamflow Prediction in Korea (중장기 유량예측 향상을 위한 국내 기후정보의 이용)

  • Lee Jae-Kyoung;Kim Young-Oh;Jeong Dae-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.39 no.9 s.170
    • /
    • pp.755-766
    • /
    • 2006
  • Since the accuracy of climate forecast information has improved from better understanding of the climatic system, particularly, from the better understanding of ENSO and the improvement in meteorological models, the forecasted climate information is becoming the important clue for streamflow prediction. This study investigated the available climate forecast information to improve the extended streamflow prediction in Korea, such as MIMI(Monthly Industrial Meteorological Information) and GDAPS(Global Data Assimilation and Prediction) and measured their accuracies. Both MIMI and the 10-day forecast of GDAPS were superior to a naive forecasts and peformed better for the flood season than for the dry season, thus it was proved that such climate forecasts would be valuable for the flood season. This study then forecasted the monthly inflows to Chungju Dam by using MIMI and GDAPS. For MIMI, we compared three cases: All, Intersection, Union. The accuracies of all three cases are better than the naive forecast and especially, Extended Streamflow Predictions(ESPs) with the Intersection and with Union scenarios were superior to that with the All scenarios for the flood season. For GDAPS, the 10-day ahead streamflow prediction also has the better accuracy for the flood season than for the dry season. Therefore, this study proved that using the climate information such as MIMI and GDAPS to reduce the meteorologic uncertainty can improve the accuracy of the extended streamflow prediction for the flood season.

Estimation of Quantitative Daily Precipitation Forecasting for Integrated Real-time Basin Water Management System (실시간 물관리를 위한 정량적 강수예측기법에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Jai-Ho;Kim, Jin-Young;Kang, Bu-Sick;Jeong, Chang-Sam;Ko, Ick-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2006.05a
    • /
    • pp.1488-1491
    • /
    • 2006
  • 본 연구에서는 실시간 통합 물관리 시스템의 일환으로 월별 일강수량 예측 시스템에 관한 연구를 실시하였다. 선행시간 2일 예측에 대해서는 기상청 생성 수치모의 RDAPS (Regional Data Assimilation and Prediction System)를 기반으로 강수진단모형인 QPM (Quantitative Precipitatiom Model)을 이용하여 지형효과를 보정하였으며, 선행시간 2일에서 8일까지의 예측에 대해서는 GDAPS (Global Data Assimilation and Prediction System) 모의결과를 QPM을 이용하여 보정하였고, 선행시간 10일 이후의 예측값은 통계적 기법을 이용한 자료를 활용하였다. 통계적 기법으로는 과거 20년간의 관측된 강수경향을 이용하여 시스템을 구축하였다. 강수진단모형 (QPM)은 Misumi et al. (2001), Bell (1978), Collier (1975)등이 제안한 바 있는 Collier-type의 모형으로서 이들 모형은 소규모 지형 효과를 고려한 강수량을 산출하는 진단 모형이다. QPM은 중규모 예측 모형으로부터 계산된 수평 바람, 고도, 기온, 강우 강도, 그리고 상대습도 등의 예측 자료를 이용하고, 중규모 예측 모형에서는 잘 표현되지 않는 소규모 지형 효과를 고려함으로써 중규모 예측 모형에서 생산된 상대적으로 성긴 격자의 강수량 예측 값을 상세 지역의 지형을 고려한 강수량 예측 값으로 재구성하게 된다. QPM은 중규모 모형으로부터 나온 자료를 초기 자료로 이용하고 3 km 간격의 상세 지형을 반영하는 모형으로 소규모 지형 효과를 표현함으로써 상세 지역에서의 강수량 산출과 지형에 따른 강수량의 분포 파악이 용이할 뿐 아니라, 계산 효율성을 개선시킬 수 있다.착능이 높은 것으로 사료되었다.X>${\mu}_{max,A}$는 최대암모니아 섭취률을 이용하여 구한 결과 $0.65d^{-1}$로 나타났다.EX>$60%{\sim}87%$가 수심 10m 이내에 분포하였고, 녹조강과 남조강이 우점하는 하절기에는 5m 이내에 주로 분포하였다. 취수탑 지점의 수심이 연중 $25{\sim}35m$를 유지하는 H호의 경우 간헐식 폭기장치를 가동하는 기간은 물론 그 외 기간에도 취수구의 심도를 표층 10m 이하로 유지 할 경우 전체 조류 유입량을 60% 이상 저감할 수 있을 것으로 조사되었다.심볼 및 색채 디자인 등의 작업이 수반되어야 하며, 이들을 고려한 인터넷용 GIS기본도를 신규 제작한다. 상습침수지구와 관련된 각종 GIS데이타와 각 기관이 보유하고 있는 공공정보 가운데 공간정보와 연계되어야 하는 자료를 인터넷 GIS를 이용하여 효율적으로 관리하기 위해서는 단계별 구축전략이 필요하다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 인터넷 GIS를 이용하여 상습침수구역관련 정보를 검색, 처리 및 분석할 수 있는 상습침수 구역 종합정보화 시스템을 구축토록 하였다.N, 항목에서 보 상류가 높게 나타났으나, 철거되지 않은 검전보나 안양대교보에 비해 그 차이가 크지 않은 것으로 나타났다.의 기상변화가 자발성 기흉 발생에 영향을 미친다고 추론할 수 있었다. 향후 본 연구에서 추론된 기상변화와 기흉 발생과의 인과관계를 확인하고 좀 더 구체화하기 위한 연구가 필요할 것이다.게 이루어질 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.는 초과수익률이 상승하지만, 이후로는 감소하므로, 반전거래전략을 활용하는 경우 주식투자기간은 24개월이하의 중단기가 적합함을 발견하였다. 이상의 행태적 측면과 투자성과측면의 실증결과를 통하여 한국주

  • PDF

Community Health Practitioner's Commitment into Community : on the Aspect of Primary Health Care (보건진료원의 지역사회 몰입과정)

  • Yun, Soon-Nyoung;Kim, Young-Im;Choi, Jeong-Myung
    • Research in Community and Public Health Nursing
    • /
    • v.6 no.2
    • /
    • pp.173-182
    • /
    • 1995
  • Primary health care(PHC) has been established since A Health Law for rural residents has been legislated in 1980 following the WHO declaration, 'Health for All 2000'. in 1978. PHC services are presently assumed to be provided by 2038 Community Health Practitioners(CHP) to about 28% out of rural population in Korea. Most CHPs have confronted the adaptation process to the community being practiced although a CHP's role is to evoke community participation for the improvement of their health by themselves. So the purpose of this study is to describe and explain of the commitment of CHPs into the community. Data were collected by direct interview and tape-recording under subjects' permission till theoretical saturation were occured from 6 CHPs. The subjects were 41 years old and have served in the community for 9 years in average. Main questions and concepts were explored from data according to the procedure of the grounded theory methodology. The results are as follows. 1) The number of the main concepts were twenty four that identified Motive, Desire, Personal characteristics, Unfamiliarity, Denial, Feeling of isolation, Self-sacrifice, Kindness, Patience, Assimilation, Respect for the residents, Support by the family, Support by the residents, Achievement, Acceptance of realities, Use of resources, Inducement of cooperation from the residents, Changes of the difference from time orientation between CHP and residents, Attitude as a official, Technical support, Cost management, Satisfaction level, Acknowledgement by the residents and discrepancy. 2) The twenty four concepts were categorized to seven groups such as Motivation, Feeling of Heterogeneity, Self-discipline, Social support, Induced changes in the attitudes of residents, Familarity and Persistent discrepancy. 3) The categorized groups were analyzed on the base of the Causal Conditions, Central Phenomena, Contexts, Intervening Conditions, Action / Interaction Strategies, and Consequences. Central phenomenon in this study was identified to be the feeling of heterogeneity. Community health practitioners experienced unfamiliarity and denial from the community and felt themselves isolated in the first. In time, they won the trust of residents by their efforts including self-sacrifice, kindness, patience, and assimilation. Afterward, practitioners got self-confidence and familiarity with lesser feeling of heterogeneity. Nevertheless, practitioners could not commit themselves completely because of the persistent discrepancy between CHP and residents. 4) On the commitment process, the CHPs' feeling of heterogeneity were decresed and social support increesed and newly evolved induced change of residents through the continuous interaction between CHP and them The contribution of this study would be concluded as follows. 1) It is expected that effective strategies for more rapid committment into the community can be developed based on this study. 2) More easy committment would be possible for the newly appointed CHP through understanding of the committment process identified on this study.

  • PDF

A study on the analyzing of uncertainty for actual evapotranspiration: flux tower, satellite-based and reanalysis based dataset (실제증발산 자료의 불확실성 파악에 관한 연구: flux tower, 인공위성 및 재분석자료)

  • Baik, Jongjin;Jeong, Jaehwan;Park, Jongmin;Choi, Minha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.52 no.1
    • /
    • pp.11-19
    • /
    • 2019
  • In this study, the actual evapotranspiration products of Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS), Global Land Evaporation Amsterdam Model (GLEAM) and MOD16, which are satellite- and reanalysis-based dataset, were validated at the flux tower sites (i.e., CFK and SMK) managed by Korea Institute of Hydrological Survey, and the uncertainty and correlation analysis were conducted using Triple Collocation (TC) method. The result of validation with the flux tower showed better agreement in the order of GLEAM> GLDAS>MOD16. At the result of three combinations (S1: flux tower vs. GLDAS vs. MOD16, S2: flux tower vs. GLDAS vs. GLEAM, S3: flux tower vs. GLEAM vs. MOD16), the order of best to worst is GLEAM, GLDAS, MOD16, and flux tower for CFK (GLDAS> GLEAM>MOD16>flux tower for SMK). Since the error variance and correlation coefficients of the flux tower show relatively worse performance in TC analysis than the other products, By applying TC method to three products (GLDAS vs. GLEAM vs. MOD16), the uncertainty of each dataset were evaluated at the Korean Peninsula, As a results, the GLDAS and GLEAM performed reasonable performance (low error variance and high correlation coefficient), whereas results of MOD16 showed high error variance and low correlation coefficient at the cropland.

A Numerical Study on the Effects of Urban Forest and Street Tree on Air Flow and Temperature (도시숲과 가로수가 대기 흐름과 기온에 미치는 영향에 관한 수치 연구)

  • Kang, Geon;Choi, Wonsik;Kim, Jae-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.38 no.6_1
    • /
    • pp.1395-1406
    • /
    • 2022
  • This study investigated the effects of the urban forest and street trees on flow and temperature distribution in the Daegu National Debt Redemption Movement Memorial Park. For this, we implemented tree-drag and tree-cooling parameterization schemes in a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model and validated the simulated wind speeds, wind directions, and air temperatures against the measured ones. We used the wind speeds, wind directions, air temperatures predicted by the local data assimilation and prediction system (LDAPS) as the inflow boundary conditions. To investigate the flow and thermal characteristics in the presence of trees in the target area, we conducted numerical experiments in the absence and presence of trees. In the absence of trees, strong winds and monotonous flows were formed inside the park, because there were no obstacles inducing friction. The temperature was inversely proportional to the wind speed. In the presence of trees, the wind speeds(temperatures) were reduced by more than 40 (5)% inside the park with a high planting density due to the tree drag (cooling) effect, and those also affected the wind speeds and temperatures outside the park. Even near the roadside, the wind speeds and temperatures were generally reduced by the trees, but the wind speeds and air temperatures increased partly due to the change in the flow pattern caused by tree drag.

Prediction and Analysis of PM2.5 Concentration in Seoul Using Ensemble-based Model (앙상블 기반 모델을 이용한 서울시 PM2.5 농도 예측 및 분석)

  • Ryu, Minji;Son, Sanghun;Kim, Jinsoo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.38 no.6_1
    • /
    • pp.1191-1205
    • /
    • 2022
  • Particulate matter(PM) among air pollutants with complex and widespread causes is classified according to particle size. Among them, PM2.5 is very small in size and can cause diseases in the human respiratory tract or cardiovascular system if inhaled by humans. In order to prepare for these risks, state-centered management and preventable monitoring and forecasting are important. This study tried to predict PM2.5 in Seoul, where high concentrations of fine dust occur frequently, using two ensemble models, random forest (RF) and extreme gradient boosting (XGB) using 15 local data assimilation and prediction system (LDAPS) weather-related factors, aerosol optical depth (AOD) and 4 chemical factors as independent variables. Performance evaluation and factor importance evaluation of the two models used for prediction were performed, and seasonal model analysis was also performed. As a result of prediction accuracy, RF showed high prediction accuracy of R2 = 0.85 and XGB R2 = 0.91, and it was confirmed that XGB was a more suitable model for PM2.5 prediction than RF. As a result of the seasonal model analysis, it can be said that the prediction performance was good compared to the observed values with high concentrations in spring. In this study, PM2.5 of Seoul was predicted using various factors, and an ensemble-based PM2.5 prediction model showing good performance was constructed.