• 제목/요약/키워드: cox's proportional hazard model

검색결과 112건 처리시간 0.031초

서울시 중년남성에서 육체적 활동량이 총 사망률에 미치는 영향에 관한 코호트 연구 (A Cohort Study of Physical Activity and All Cause Mortality in Middle-aged Men in Seoul)

  • 김대성;구혜원;김동현;배종면;신명희;이무송;이충민;안윤옥
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.604-615
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    • 1998
  • Although previous studies revealed the association of physical activity with mortality rate, it is unclear whether there is a linear trend between physical activity and mortality rate. In this study, the association of physical activity with the risk of all-cause mortality was analysed using Cox's proportional hazard model for a cohort of 14,204 healthy Korean men aged 40-59 years followed up for 4 years(Jan. 1993-Dec. 1996). Physical activity and other life style were surveyed by a postal questionnaire in December 1992. Total of 14,204 subjects were grouped into quartiles by physical activity. Using death certificate data, 123 deaths were identified. The second most active quartile had a lowest mortality .ate with relative risk of 0.44(95% C.I. : 0.23-0.84) compared with most sedentary quartile, showing a J-shape pattern of physical activity-mortality curve. By examining the difference in proportion of cause of the death between most active quartile and the other quartiles, there was no significant difference of proportional mortality from cardiovascular deaths, cerebrovascular deaths or deaths from trauma. The covariates were stratified into two group between which the trend of RR was compared to test the effect modification. There was no remarkable effect modification by alcohol intake, smoking, body mass index, calorie consumption, percent fat consumption. In conclusion, moderate activity was found to have more protective effect on all-cause mortality than vigorous activity and that the J-shape pattern of physical activity-mortality curve was not due to the difference of mortality pattern or effect modification by alcohol intake, smoking, body mass index, calorie consumption and percent fat consumption.

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원발 기흉 수술 후 재발의 위험인자 (Risk Factors for Recurrent Pneumothorax after Primary Spontaneous Pneumothorax)

  • 유재근;이석기;서홍주;서민범
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • 제41권6호
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    • pp.724-728
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    • 2008
  • 배경: 본원에서 자발성 기흉으로 흉강경을 이용 폐 쐐기절제술 후 퇴원한 환자가운데 재발로 수술을 다시 받은 환자에서 기흉의 재발에 관한 위험 인자에 대해 연구하였다. 대상 및 방법: 2002년 1월부터 2005년 12월까지 본원 흉부외과에서 흉강경을 이용하여 흉막 유착술 없이 폐 쐐기절제술만을 시행한 235명을 대상으로 하였다. 퇴원 후 외래 추적관찰 중에 재발이 없었던 A군(225명: 96%), 재발이 있었던 B군(10명: 4%)으로 나누어서 후향적 조사를 통하여 재발 위험인자에 대하여 알고자 하였다. 결과: 각 군의 평균나이는 재발되는 군에서 $19.6{\pm}7.17$세로 더 어렸으며(p<0.05), 각군 남녀 비는 남자가 많았으나, 통계학적 의의는 없었다 흡연력, 병변 부위 및 폐허탈 정도는 양군사이에 유의한 차이는 없었다. 수술적 요인에 대한 것으로 술 후 공기 누출기간이 길수록, 흉관 거치 기간이 짧을수록 재발 가능성이 더 높았으며(p<0.05), 평균 재발기간은 $10.2{\pm}8.5$개월($0.6{\sim}22$개월)이었다. 재발된 군 중 4명은 술 후 한달 동안 충분한 준비 운동 없는 과격한 운동(농구 등)을 했던 경험이었다. 술 후 재발에 영향을 주는 단일 변수는 수술 시 나이,공기 누출기간, 키/몸무게 비 및 흉관 유지 기간이었으며, 다중 변수에 의한 위험 인자는 수술 시 나이, 신장/몸무게 비, 공기 누출 및 흉관 유지 기간 순이었다 결론: 자발성 기흉에서 흉강경을 이용한 폐기포 절제술은 재발율이 개흉술에 비하여 높지 않아서 시행할 수 있지만, 재발 위험인자로 나이가 젊거나, 큰 신장/몸무게비, 지속적인 공기 누출 있거나 짧은 흉관 유지 기간이었으며, 퇴원 후 너무나 빠른 심한 운동은 폐기포절제술 후 기흉 재발의 원인이 될 수 있다.

공복 혈당과 간암 발생 위험에 관한 코호트 연구 (Fasting Serum Glucose and Subsequent Liver Cancer Risk in a Korean Prospective Cohort)

  • 곽진;황승식;고광필;전재관;박수경;장성훈;신해림;유근영
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제40권1호
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    • pp.23-28
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    • 2007
  • Objectives : Chronic infections with hepatitis B or C and alcoholic cirrhosis are three well-known major risk factors for liver cancer. Diabetes has also been suggested as a potential risk factor. However, the findings of previous studies have been controversial in terms of the causal association. Therefore, the aim of this study was to evaluate the association between serum glucose levels and liver cancer development in a Korean cohort. Methods : Thirty-six liver cancer cases were identified in the Korean Multi-Center Cancer Cohort (KMCC). Baseline information on lifestyle characteristics was obtained via questionnaire. Serum glucose levels were measured at the study's enrollment. Relative risks (RRs) were estimated using a Cox proportional hazard regression model. The adjusting variables included age, gender, smoking history, alcohol consumption, body mass index, and hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seropositivity. Results : The RRs of serum glucose for liver caner were 1.20 (95% CI = 0.48-2.99) for the category of 100 to 125 mg/dL of serum glucose and 2.77 (95% CI = 1.24-6.18) for the >126 mg/dL serum glucose category (both compared to the <100 mg/dL category). In a subgroup analysis, the RR of serum glucose among those who were both HBsAg seronegative and non-drinkers was 4.46 (95% CI = 1.09-18.28) for those with glucose levels >100 mg/dL. Conclusions : The results of this study suggest that a high level of serum glucose can increase liver cancer risk independently of hepatitis infection and drinking history in Koreans. This study implies that glucose intolerance may be an independent risk factor for liver cancer.

완화적 시술을 받은 악성 위장관 폐색 말기 암환자의 임상적 예후인자 (Clinical Prognostic Factors of Terminal Cancer Patients with Palliative Procedures for Malignant Gastrointestinal Obstruction)

  • 문도호;최화숙
    • Journal of Hospice and Palliative Care
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.200-208
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    • 2005
  • 목적: 악성 위장관 폐색 환자에서 완화적 시술이나 수술은 폐색의 다양한 증상을 조절할 뿐만 아니라 삶의 질을 향상시킨다. 본 연구는 완화적인 시술을 받았던 악성 위장관 폐색 말기암 환자의 임상적 특징과 예후인자를 알아보고자 하였다. 방법: 2002년 5월부터 2005년 5월까지 본원에서 악성 위장관 폐색으로 진단받아 완화적인 시술을 받았던 48명의 말기암 환자를 대상으로 후향적으로 조사하였다. 완화적인 암절제 환자는 제외하였다. 임상적 특성과 시술내용을 조사하였고 예후인자는 log-rank test를 이용한 단변량 분석을 하고 통계적으로 의미 있는 인자는 Cox's proportional hazard model을 사용하여 다변량 분석을 하였다. 결과: 연령의 중앙값은 65세이고 남자가 25명(52%), 여자가 23명(48%)이었다. 가장 많은 암은 대장직장암으로 26명(55%)이고 다음으로 10명(21%)의 위암이었다. 치료를 전혀 받지 않았던 환자는 25명(58%)이었고 20명(42%)은 치료를 받았으며 이 중 18명은 항암 치료를 받은 과거력이 있었다. 가장 흔한 증상은 통증으로 15명(31%)이었다. 활동도 1점 혹은 2점이 23명(48%), 3점 혹은 4점이 25명(52%)이었다. 가장 많은 완화적인 시술은 대장루술로 19명이 받았다. 완화적 시술로 인한 사망은 없었다. 단변량과 다변량 분석에 의해서 전체 생존기간과 무증상 생존기간에 대하여 활동도 만이 의미있는 독립 예후인자였다. 전체 중간 생존기간은 150일이었으며 무증상 중간 생존기간은 90일이었다. 결론: 완화적 시술을 받은 악성 위장관 폐색 환자의 전체 중간 생존기간과 무증상 중간 생존기간에 대하여 활동도만이 유일한 독립 예후인자였다.

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Gamma Knife Radiosurgery for Brain Metastases from Breast Cancer

  • Jo, Kyung Il;Im, Young-Hyuck;Kong, Doo Sik;Seol, Ho Jun;Nam, Do-Hyun;Lee, Jung-Il
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • 제54권5호
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    • pp.399-404
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    • 2013
  • Objective : The authors conducted a retrospective cohort study to determine prognostic factors and treatment outcomes of brain metastases (BM) from breast cancer (BC) after Gamma Knife radiosurgery (GKS). Methods : Pathologic and clinical features, and outcomes were analyzed in a cohort of 62 patients with BM from BC treated by GKS. The Kaplan- Meier method, the log-rank test, and Cox's proportional hazards model were used to assess prognostic factors. Results : Median survival after GKS was 73.0 weeks (95% confidence interval, 46.0-100.1). HER2+ [hazard ratio (HR) 0.441; p=0.045], Karnofsky performance scale (KPS) ${\geq}70$ (RR 0.416; p=0.050) and systemic chemotherapy after GKS (RR 0.282; p=0.001) were found to be a favorable prognostic factor of overall survival. Actuarial local control (LC) rate were $89.5{\pm}4.5%$ and $70.5{\pm}6.9%$ at 6 and 12 months after GKS, respectively. No prognostic factors were found to affect LC rate. Uni- and multivariate analysis revealed that the distant control (DC) rate was higher in patients with; a small number (${\leq}3$) of metastasis (HR 0.300; p=0.045), no known extracranial metastasis (p=0.013, log-rank test), or the HER2+ subtype (HR 0.267; p=0.027). Additional whole brain radiation therapy and metastasis volume were not found to be significantly associated with LC, DC, or overall survival. Conclusion : The treatment outcomes of patients with newly diagnosed BM from BC treated with GKS could be affected primarily by intrinsic subtype, KPS, and systemic chemotherapy. Therapeutic strategy and prognosis scoring system should be individualized based on considerations of intrinsic subtype in addition to traditionally known parameters related to stereotactic radiosurgery.

Association between Cigarette Smoking History and Mortality in 36,446 Health Examinees in Korea

  • Kim, Kyoungwoo;Yoo, Taiwoo;Kim, Yeonju;Choi, Ji-Ho;Myung, Seung-Kwon;Park, Sang-Min;Hong, Yun-Chul;Cho, Belong;Park, Sue K.;Yoo, Keun-Young
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권14호
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    • pp.5685-5689
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    • 2014
  • Background: It is well known that smoking is a preventable factor for all-cause mortality; however, it is still questionable how many years after smoking cessation that people will have reduced risk for mortality, in particular in those with a high interest in their own health. We aimed to examine the association between time since quitting smoking and total mortality among past-smokers relative to current smokers. Materials and Methods: We enrolled 36,446 health examinees that voluntarily taken with diverse health check-up packages of high cost burden in 1995-2003 and followed them till death by 2004. The history of cigarette smoking consumption was collected using a self-administrative questionnaire at the first visit time. Mortality risk by smoking cessation years was analyzed using Cox's proportional hazard model. Results: Compared to non-smokers, male smokers over 15 pack-years had higher risk for total mortality (HR=1.60, 95%CI 1.23-2.14). The mortality risk in female smokers with same pack-years was more pronounced than that in male smokers (HR=2.83, 95%CI 1.17-7.04) despite a small number of cases. Compared to current smokers, a decrease of total mortality was observed among those who ceased smoking, and inverse dose-response was found with years after cessation: RR 0.98 (95%CI, 0.64-1.41) (<2 yrs), 0.60 (95%CI, 0.43-0.83) (3-9 yrs), and 0.58 (95%CI, 0.43-0.79) (${\geq}10$ yrs). Conclusions: A reduced risk of total mortality was observed after 3 years of smoking cessation. Our findings suggest that at least 3 years of smoking cessation may contribute to reduce premature mortality among Asian men.

흡연과 위암 발생의 관련성에 관한 지역사회 기반의 코호트 연구 (Cigarette Smoking and Gastric Cancer Risk in a Community-based Cohort Study in Korea)

  • 김연주;신애선;곽진;전재관;박수경;강대희;신해림;장성훈;유근영
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제40권6호
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    • pp.467-474
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    • 2007
  • Objectives : Gastric cancer is the most common incident cancer in Korea. Although Helicobacter pylori infection is the most important risk factor for the development of gastric cancer, cigarette smoking has also been suggested to play an important role in the development of gastric cancer. The objective of this study is to evaluate the relationship between cigarette smoking and gastric cancer risk in a Korean population. Methods : The study population consisted of 13,785 subjects who had been enrolled in the Korean Multi-Center Career Cohort between 1993 and 2002. As of December 2002, 139 incident gastric cancer cases were ascertained through the Korea Central Cancer Registry and the National Death Certificate Database. Relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for gastric cancer were estimated using Cox#s proportional hazard model adjusted for age, education, alcohol drinking status and history of gastritis or ulcer. Results : Significant dose-response relationships were observed between the duration of smoking and the risk of gastric cancer among the male subjects in comparison to non-smokers: men who smoked for 20-39 years had a 2.09-fold (95% CI 1.00-4.38) increase, and those who smoked for more than 40 years had a 3.13-fold (95% CI 1.59-6.17) increase in the risk of gastric cancer ($P_{trend}<0.01$). Conclusions : This study suggests that a longer duration of cigarette smoking may increase the risk of gastric cancer development in a dose-response manner in Korean men. The association between smoking and gastric cancer risk in women should be verified in future studies with a larger number of cases.

BMI와 사망과의 관련성 - 강화 코호트 연구 - (Association between BMI and Mortality - Kangwha cohort study -)

  • 윤수진;이상욱;김소윤;이순영;박윤희;손태용;오희철
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.459-468
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    • 2000
  • Objectives : To investigate the association between BMI and Mortality. Methods : This study was based on the analysis and assembly of the 'Kangwha Cohort Study', previously conducted by the Department of Preventive Medicine, Yonsei University. A total of 2,696 males and 3,595 females were followed for almost ten years and ten months from March 1985 to January 1996, a total of whom 2,420 died during this period. The Cox's proportional hazards regression model was used to analyze this data. Results : We found a U-shaped relationship between BMI and mortality among the aged men in the Kangwha cohort. The hazard ratio of dying was adjusted for age, marital status, occupation, self cognitive health level, chronic disease, smoking, and alcohol frequency, then sorted by body mass index into the following groups; less than 10.5, 18.5 to less than 21.0, 21.0 to less than 23.5, 23.5 to less than 26.0 and greater than or equal to 26. The corresponding ratios for men were 1.81(1.50-2.19, 95%CI), 1.31(1.14-1.51, 95%CI), 1.0(referent), 1.05(0.87-1.26, 95%CI) and 1.39(1.09-1.76, 95%CI), respectively. And for women, 1.46(1.19-1.78), 1.12(0.95-1.31, 95%CI), 1.0(referent), 1.00(0.84-1.20, 95%CI) and 1.09(0.89-1.34, 95%CI), respectively. Conclusions : The risk of death among aged men in Kangwha increased in the under and overweight groups. The relationship between BMl and mortality has been well studied in Western populations, but little is known about the association between BMI and mortality in our country. So, on the basis of this study, it is apparent that more studies of the relationship between BMI and mortality will be needed for future work.

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Efficacy of First-Line Targeted Therapy in Real-World Korean Patients with Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma: Focus on Sunitinib and Pazopanib

  • Kim, Myung Soo;Chung, Ho Seok;Hwang, Eu Chang;Jung, Seung Il;Kwon, Dong Deuk;Hwang, Jun Eul;Bae, Woo Kyun;Park, Jae Young;Jeong, Chang Wook;Kwak, Cheol;Song, Cheryn;Seo, Seong Il;Byun, Seok-Soo;Hong, Sung-Hoo;Chung, Jinsoo
    • Journal of Korean Medical Science
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    • 제33권51호
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    • pp.325.1-325.10
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    • 2018
  • Background: To evaluate survival outcomes and prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) who received sunitinib (SU) and pazopanib (PZ) as first-line therapy in real-world Korean clinical practice. Methods: Data of 554 patients with mRCC who received SU or PZ at eight institutions between 2012 and 2016 were retrospectively reviewed. Based on the targeted therapy, the patients were divided into SU (n = 293) or PZ (n = 261) groups, and the clinicopathological variables and survival rates of the two groups were compared. A multivariable Cox proportional hazard model was used to determine the prognostic factors for OS. Results: The median follow-up was 16.4 months (interquartile range, 8.3-31.3). Patients in the PZ group were older, and no significant difference was observed in the performance status (PS) between the two groups. In the SU group, the dose reduction rate was higher and the incidence of grade 3 toxicity was more frequent. The objective response rates were comparable between the two groups (SU, 32.1% vs. PZ, 36.4%). OS did not differ significantly between the two groups (SU, 36.5 months vs. PZ, 40.2 months; log-rank, P = 0.955). Body mass index, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group PS > 2, synchronous metastasis, poor Heng risk criteria, and liver and bone metastases were associated with a shorter OS. Conclusion: Our real-world data of Korean patients with mRCC suggested that SU and PZ had similar efficacies as first-line therapy for mRCC. However, PZ was better tolerated than SU in Korean patients.

Preoperative Risk Factors for Pathologic N2 Metastasis in Positron Emission Tomography-Computed Tomography-Diagnosed N0-1 Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

  • Yoon, Tae-hong;Lee, Chul-ho;Park, Ki-sung;Bae, Chi-hoon;Cho, Jun-Woo;Jang, Jae-seok
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • 제52권4호
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    • pp.221-226
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    • 2019
  • Background: Accurate mediastinal lymph node staging is vital for the optimal therapy and prognostication of patients with lung cancer. This study aimed to determine the preoperative risk factors for pN2 disease, as well as its incidence and long-term outcomes, in patients with clinical N0-1 non-small cell lung cancer. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed patients who were treated surgically for primary non-small cell lung cancer from November 2005 to December 2014. Patients staged as clinical N0-1 via chest computed tomography (CT) and positron emission tomography (PET)-CT were divided into two groups (pN0-1 and pN2) and compared. Results: In a univariate analysis, the significant preoperative risk factors for pN2 included a large tumor size (p=0.083), high maximum standard uptake value on PET (p<0.001), and central location of the tumor (p<0.001). In a multivariate analysis, central location of the tumor (p<0.001) remained a significant preoperative risk factor for pN2 status. The 5-year overall survival rates were 75% and 22.9% in the pN0-1 and pN2 groups, respectively, and 50% and 78.2% in the patients with centrally located and peripherally located tumors, respectively. In a Cox proportional hazard model, central location of the tumor increased the risk of death by 3.4-fold (p<0.001). Conclusion: More invasive procedures should be considered when preoperative risk factors are identified in order to improve the efficacy of diagnostic and therapeutic plans and, consequently, the patient's prognosis.