• Title/Summary/Keyword: copula

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Probabilistic evaluation of ecological drought in forest areas using satellite remote sensing data (인공위성 원격 감지 자료를 활용한 산림지역의 생태학적 가뭄 가능성에 대한 확률론적 평가)

  • Won, Jeongeun;Seo, Jiyu;Kang, Shin-Uk;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.9
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    • pp.705-718
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    • 2021
  • Climate change has a significant impact on vegetation growth and terrestrial ecosystems. In this study, the possibility of ecological drought was investigated using satellite remote sensing data. First, the Vegetation Health Index was estimated from the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index and Land Surface Temperature provided by MODIS. Then, a joint probability model was constructed to estimate the possibility of vegetation-related drought in various precipitation/evaporation scenarios in forest areas around 60 major ASOS sites of the Meteorological Administration located throughout Korea. The results of this study show the risk pattern of drought related to forest vegetation under conditions of low atmospheric moisture supply or high atmospheric moisture demand. It also identifies the sensitivity of drought risks associated with forest vegetation under various meterological drought conditions. These findings provide insights for decision makers to assess drought risk and develop drought mitigation strategies related to forest vegetation in a warming era.

Regionalization of Rainfall-Runoff Model Based on Relationship Between Model Parameters and Watershed Characteristics (매개변수와 유역특성인자 사이의 상호연관성을 고려한 강우-유출모형 지역화)

  • Kim, Jin-Guk;Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Kim, Tae-Jeong;Kim, Jang-Gyeong;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.293-293
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    • 2021
  • 자연유량이란 인위적 행위에 의한 하천의 유량 변화가 없는 개발되지 않은 상태의 하천유량을 말하며, 실제 유량을 측정하거나 관측자료를 활용한 장기유출모형을 통해 산정할 수 있다. 미계측 유역에 대한 강우-유출 모형 구축시, 무엇보다 실제 미계측유역에 적용시 나타날 수 있는 문제점을 최소화할 수 있는 방향으로 모형 개발이 이루어지는 것이 필요하다. 강우-유출 모형 매개변수의 수가 많아질수록 과적합(over-fitting)의 발생 소지가 증가하게 되며, 지역화 모형 구축시 불확실성을 더욱 가중시키게 된다. 이러한 이유로, 모형의 검정보다는 검증에 초점이 맞춰져 있어야 하며, 더불어 사용되는 강우-유출 모형의 매개변수가 적어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 대표 강우-유출모형의 선정시 여러 평가 기준 중 예측의 정확성 측면에서 통계적 지표를 통해 모형의 수행능력에 중점을 두었으며, 적은 개수의 매개변수를 갖음에도 불구하고 상대적 우수한 모의결과를 제공하는 GR4J(Ge'nie Rural a 4 parame tres Journalier)모형을 최적 유출모형으로 선정하여 댐 상류유역에 대한 자연유량 재현성능을 평가하였다. 최종적으로 강우-유출모형의 최적매개변수와 유역특성인자 사이의 상호연관성을 고려해 매개변수를 지역화하기 위하여, 본 연구에서는 두 가지 이상의 변량에 대한 상관성을 효과적으로 재현하는데 효과적이며, 자유로운 주변확률분포 선택과 결합확률분포의 추정이 용이한 장점이 있는 Copula 함수를 활용하였다. 제시된 방법론에 대한 적합성을 평가하기 위해 교차검증 관점에서 지역화된 매개변수의 적합성을 검토하였으며, 본 연구에서 도출된 결과는 유역특성에 따른 미계측유역의 자연유량 산정시 지역 매개변수를 강우-유출모형에 활용함으로써 신뢰성 있는 자연유량 산정 결과를 제공할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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English Predicate Inversion: Towards Data-driven Learning

  • Kim, Jong-Bok;Kim, Jin-Young
    • Journal of English Language & Literature
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    • v.56 no.6
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    • pp.1047-1065
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    • 2010
  • English inversion constructions are not only hard for non-native speakers to learn but also difficult to teach mainly because of their intriguing grammatical and discourse properties. This paper addresses grammatical issues in learning or teaching the so-called 'predicate inversion (PI)' construction (e.g., Equally important in terms of forest depletion is the continuous logging of the forests). In particular, we chart the grammatical (distributional, syntactic, semantic, pragmatic) properties of the PI construction, and argue for adata-driven teaching for English grammar. To depart from the arm-chaired style of grammar teaching (relying on author-made simple sentences), our teaching method introduces a datadriven teaching. With total 25 university students in a grammar-related class, students together have analyzed the British Component of the International Corpus of English (ICE-GB), containing about one million words distributed across a variety of textual categories. We have identified total 290 PI sentences (206 from spoken and 87 from written texts). The preposed syntactic categories of the PI involve five main types: AdvP, PP, VP(ed/ing), NP, AP, and so, all of which function as the complement of the copula. In terms of discourse, we have observed, supporting Birner and Ward's (1998) observation that these preposed phrases represent more familiar information than the postposed subject. The corpus examples gave us the three possible types: The preposed element is discourse-old whereas the postposed one is discourse-new as in Putting wire mesh over a few bricks is a good idea. Both preposed and postposed elements can also be discourse new as in But a fly in the ointment is inflation. These two elements can also be discourse old as in Racing with him on the near-side is Rinus. The dominant occurrence of the PI in the spoken texts also supports the view that the balance (or scene-setting) in information structure is the main trigger for the use of the PI construction. After being exposed to the real data and in-depth syntactic as well as informationstructure analysis of the PI construction, it is proved that the class students have had a farmore clear understanding of the construction in question and have realized that grammar does not mean to live on by itself but tightly interacts with other important grammatical components such as information structure. The study directs us toward both a datadriven and interactive grammar teaching.

Spatio-temporal pattern of ecological droughts by using the Standardized Water Supply Demand Index in the Hwang River.

  • Sadiqi, Sayed Shajahan;Hong, Eun-Mi;Nam, Won-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.158-158
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    • 2022
  • Ecological drought consequences have received a lot of attention in recent years. Thus, ecological drought was proposed as a new drought category to characterize the impact of drought on ecosystems. The current study used a unique drought index, the standardized supply-demand water index (SSDI), and a run theory to detect ecological drought occurrences and characteristics such as drought-affected area, drought severity, drought duration, drought frequency, and drought orientation in the Hwang River, an environmentally valuable region. Hence, to assess drought-prone areas, the bivariate probability and return period will be calculated using a two-dimensional joint copula. The core results show that (a) the Spatio-temporal characteristics of ecological drought were successfully recognized using the spatial and temporal identification approach; (b) in comparison to the SPEI meteorological drought index, the SSDI is more credible and can more readily and effectively capture the entire properties of ecological drought information; (c) the Hwang river had seen the most severe drought occurrences between the late 1990s and the mid-2020s, with 48.3 percent occurring before the twenty-first century; (d) Severe ecological drought occurrences occurred more frequently in most areas of the Hwang River (e) Only the drought duration and severity in the Hwang area were more responsive to temperature when temperatures rise around 1.1℃, the average drought duration and severity rise around 16 % and 26 %, respectively. This suggested that the Hwang River has been exposed to more severe heat stress in the twenty-first century. Thereupon droughts in the twenty-first century occurred with bigger affected regions, longer durations, higher frequency, and more intensity.

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The Effect of E-commerce Platform Seller Signals on Revenue: Focusing on the Moderating Effect of Keyword Specificity (e-커머스 플랫폼 판매자 신호가 수익에 미치는 영향: 키워드 구체성의 조절 효과를 중심으로)

  • Jungwon Lee;Jaehyun You
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.103-123
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    • 2023
  • One of the valid perspectives in the e-commerce platform literature is the seller signaling strategy in the information asymmetry situation. In this study, a research model was constructed based on signaling theory and shopping goal theory to systematically explore the effects of a seller's signaling strategy on consumer decision-making. Specifically, the study examined whether the signaling effects (i.e., reputation, electronic word-of-mouth, price) provided by the seller differed based on consumers' shopping goals. For the empirical analysis, the Gaussian Copula method was employed, utilizing 26,246 data collected from Amazon, a leading e-commerce platform. The analysis revealed that the signals provided by the seller positively impacted sales, and this effect was moderated by consumers' shopping goals. Drawing on shopping goal theory, this study contributes to signaling theory and e-commerce literature by discovering differences in the effectiveness of a seller's signaling strategy based on the keywords input by consumers.

Drought Risk Analysis in Seoul Using Cheugugi and Climate Change Scenario Based Rainfall Data (측우기 및 미래 기후변화 시나리오 자료를 활용한 서울지역의 가뭄 위험도 분석)

  • Kim, Ji Eun;Yu, Ji Soo;Lee, Joo-Heon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.387-393
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    • 2018
  • Considering the effect of climate change, a quantitative analysis of extreme drought is needed to reduce the damage from extreme droughts. Therefore, in this study, a quantitative risk analysis of extreme drought was conducted. The threshold level method was applied to define a drought event using Cheugugi rainfall data in past, gauged rainfall data in present, and climate change scenario rainfall data in future. A bivariate drought frequency analysis was performed using the copula function to simultaneously consider two major drought characteristics such as duration and severity. Based on the bivariate drought frequency curves, the risks for the past, present and future were calculated and the risks for future extreme drought were analyzed comparing with the past and present. As a result, the mean drought duration of the future was shorter than that of past and present, however, the mean drought severity was much larger. Therefore short term and severe droughts were expected to occur in the future. In addition, the analysis of the maximum drought risk indicated that the future maximum drought risk was 1.39~1.94 times and 1.33~1.81 times higher than the past and present. Finally, the risk of extreme drought over past and present maximum drought in the future was very high, ranging from 0.989 to 1.0, and the occurrence probability of extreme drought was high in the future.

Suitability Examination of Flex sensor and FBG Sensor for Levee Safety Management (제방 안전관리를 위한 Flex센서와 FBG센서의 적용성 검토)

  • Lee, In-Je;Lee, Eun-Tae;Kang, Jeong-Hoon;Kim, Dong-Min;Chang, Ki-Tae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.11
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    • pp.1135-1142
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    • 2008
  • Collapse of the levee surrounding structure(culvert) accounts for l0 % of collapse factors of the river levees. In particular, in 2002, the levee collapse that happened at "Nakdong River" at flood usually happened around culverts. This levee collapse has mechanism that the cavity expands with internal erosion at flood after the pore and cavity are formed between culvert and levee copula which are heterogeneity material. The study regarding the cavity or flowing detection around a culvert for safety management of a river levee is in the proceeding. In this study, the characteristic of two sensors could be figured out through an experiment about displacement measure of Flex sensor and FBG sensor and the decision of more suitable sensor was possible for safety supervision of river levee. According to an experiment result, several characteristics of FBG sensor could be known in consistency of the measure data and minute displacement measure part regarding displacement measure and this characteristic may supplement a shortcoming of Flex sensor at this time.

Fiberscopic and Electromyograpic Study on Laryngeal Adjustments for Syllable-final Applosives in Korean (한국어의 음절말 내파음의 후두조절 -화이비스코프 및 근전도에 의한 관찰-)

  • Park, Hea-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Laryngology, Phoniatrics and Logopedics
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.53-67
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    • 2005
  • It is known that Korean stop consonants in syllable-initial position are of three types : lax, aspirated and forced (or unaspirated). In syllable-final position, however, these three different types are merged to a single type with the same place of articulation, although the original three-way distinction is preserved in Korean orthographic (Hangul) system. Thus the syllable-final stops are phonetically realized as voiceless "applosives" which are characterized by the absence of oral release. The aim of the present study is to investigate the laryngeal adjustments for these syllable-final stops in various phonological conditions by using fiberscope, and, is to further investigate electromyographically the laryngeal adjustments for Korean stops both in the syllable-initial and final positions in various phonological conditions. The results can be summarized as follows : 1. In the case of syllable-initial stops, the glottal widths in each three types of the Korean stops during the articulatory closure are clearly different. And the pattern of thyroarytenoid(VOC) activity appeared to characterize the three different types of Korean stops. 2. The basic laryngeal feature of the Korean syllable-final applosives is characterized by a small degree of glottal opening which begins at or slightly after the oral closure. 3. In the case, syllable-final stop followed by the copula "ita", the syllable- final stop is pronounced as the stop consonant at the initial position of the following syllable containing the vowel[i], the underlying features of three-way distinction for the stops in the Korean orthographic(Hangul) system being manifested at the laryngeal adjustment. 4. In the case of the final applosives followed by the initial stops and fricatives, the laryngeal feature of the final applosives appears to be assimilated by that of the following consonant irrespective of the difference in the place of articulation, as far as the glottal abduction/adduction is concerned. It is clearly demonstrated in the case of syllable-initial stop that thyoarytenoid(VOC) activity is suppressed for the production of the stop consonants in question, the degree of which is slightest for the forced type and most marked for the aspirated type, while it is moderate for the lax type.

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