• 제목/요약/키워드: consistency bias

검색결과 44건 처리시간 0.028초

AR 스펙트럼 추정법을 이용한 원자로 중성자 잡음 신호 해석 (Reactor Neutron Noise Analysis using AR Spectral Estimation)

  • 심철무;황태진;백흥기
    • 한국음향학회지
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 1997
  • 원자로의 구조적 건전성을 확보하고 사고를 미연에 방지하기 위해서 중성자 잡음 신호를 이용한 진동 감시에는 주기성 도표(periodogram), 평균주기성도표(averaged periodobram), Blackman-Tukey 스펙트럼 추정 등을 이용하고 있으나 본 논문에서는 통계적인 비편향성(unbaised), 일치성(consistency), 효율성(efficiency), 충족성(minimum lower bound)을 고려한 파라미터 모델링 방법 중 AR 모델을 이용하여 원자로 구조물의 최적의 파라미터를 추정하고 진동 감시에 필요한 스펙트럼 분석의 해상도를 높였다. 특히 논문에서는 차수 선정에서 AR 모델의 적절한 차수선정(order selection)을 위하여 자기상관의 lag value을 이용하였다. AR 방법중 Burg 방법이 원자로 구조물의 고유진동수를 추적하는데 가장 효과적이다.

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다중채널 측정계통의 신호검증기법 개발 (The Development of a Signal Validation Scheme for the Redundant Multi-Channel Measurement System)

  • Hwang, In-Koo;Na, Nan-Ju;Kwon, Kee-Choon;Ham, Chang-Shik
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.367-373
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    • 1994
  • 원전 계측제어계통의 설계구현에서는 알고리즘및 독립적 검토의 복잡성을 피하기 위해 되도록 간단한 신호검증방법이 일차적으로 요청된다. 본 논문은 다중채널측정 시스템의 채널간의 일치성검사를 기본으로 하여 개발된 신호검증 알고리즘을 제안한다. 이 방법은 간략화한 고정편차 추정법을 포함하며, 추정된 고정편차의 크기를 고려한 가중인자를 사용하여 가중평균을 구한다. 제시된 방법의 성능을 확인하기 위하여 가상의 다중입력 조건으로 실험하였다.

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이동속도와 방향을 고려한 수치모델의 태풍진로 예측성 평가 (Evaluation of the Numerical Models' Typhoon Track Predictability Based on the Moving Speed and Direction)

  • 신현진;이우정;강기룡;변건영;윤원태
    • 대기
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.503-514
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    • 2014
  • Evaluation of predictability of numerical models for tropical cyclone track was performed using along-and cross-track component. The along-and cross-track bias were useful indicators that show the numerical models predictability associated with cause of errors. Since forecast errors, standard deviation and consistency index of along-track component were greater than those of cross-track component, there was some rooms for improvement in alongtrack component. There was an overall slow bias. The most accurate model was JGSM for 24-hour forecast and ECMWF for 48~96-hour forecast in direct position error, along-track error and cross-track error. ECMWF and GFS had a high variability for 24-hour forecast. The results of predictability by track type showed that most significant errors of tropical cyclone track forecast were caused by the failure to estimate the recurvature phenomenon.

Ensemble Model Output Statistics를 이용한 평창지역 다중 모델 앙상블 결합 및 보정 (A Combination and Calibration of Multi-Model Ensemble of PyeongChang Area Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics)

  • 황유선;김찬수
    • 대기
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.247-261
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    • 2018
  • The objective of this paper is to compare probabilistic temperature forecasts from different regional and global ensemble prediction systems over PyeongChang area. A statistical post-processing method is used to take into account combination and calibration of forecasts from different numerical prediction systems, laying greater weight on ensemble model that exhibits the best performance. Observations for temperature were obtained from the 30 stations in PyeongChang and three different ensemble forecasts derived from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Ensemble Prediction System for Global and Limited Area Ensemble Prediction System that were obtained between 1 May 2014 and 18 March 2017. Prior to applying to the post-processing methods, reliability analysis was conducted to identify the statistical consistency of ensemble forecasts and corresponding observations. Then, ensemble model output statistics and bias-corrected methods were applied to each raw ensemble model and then proposed weighted combination of ensembles. The results showed that the proposed methods provide improved performances than raw ensemble mean. In particular, multi-model forecast based on ensemble model output statistics was superior to the bias-corrected forecast in terms of deterministic prediction.

헬리컬 파일 설계식 고도화 연구 (Advancement in Design Criteria of Helical Pile)

  • 박종배;박용부;권영환
    • 토지주택연구
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.87-96
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    • 2021
  • 국내는 유럽에서 널리 사용하고 있는 헬리컬 파일을 많이 사용하기 시작하였지만, 헬리컬 파일의 설계기준을 만들려고 하는 노력이 부족하여, 여전히 헬리컬 파일의 표준설계기준을 가지고 있지 못하다. 따라서, 본 연구는 현장에서 헬리컬 파일을 시공하고 재하시험을 실시한 후, 이전 데이터를 포함하여 신뢰도 분석을 실시하였다. 그 결과 매입 말뚝에 대한 도로교설계기준 식이 수정 Davisson 분석법과 연계하여 좋은 신뢰도와 일관성을 보여주었는데, 이 설계식의 저항편향계수가 '1.0'에 가까웠고 변동성도 '낮음' 수준을 보여 주었기 때문이다.

The Significant Roles of Corporate Counselors to Reduce Employee Stress for Enhancing their Performance

  • PARK, Joo-Young;KIM, Seong-Gon
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제13권8호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: The present study concentrates on the issues that affected the employees directly and acted as stress factors. These stress factors affect how the employees perform while undertaking their duties. Furthermore, this study evaluated how the involvement of the corporate counsel affected the company by enhancing the productivity of the employees. Research design, data and methodology: The research design of this research is a literature content analysis and method for data handling should be described, and the resultant combination of the studies should include the consistency measures for every meta-analysis. Specify any risk assessment of bias that may impact the cumulative evidence, such as the publication bias and the selective reporting within studies. Results: The finding shows that change in the location of employees' organizational restructuring and the introduction of new technologies also contributed to significant organizational stress factors. These results show a substantial correlation between the magnitude of the adjustments' effects on employees' performance. Conclusions: The current study strongly concludes that counselors, through their prowess, can analyze and evaluate the stress factors that are evident among the employees and in the organization. Some of these factors may be office layout, organizational codes of ethics, organization rules, and employees' personal challenges.

인공호흡기 사용 환자들에게 제공된 예비적 정보에 대한 내용분석의 측정자간 신뢰도 (Interrater Reliability in the Content Analysis of Preparatory Information for Mechanically Ventilated Patients)

  • 김화순
    • 기본간호학회지
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.269-279
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    • 1998
  • In nursing research that the data is collected through clinical observation, analysis of clinical recording or coding of interpersonal interaction in clinical areas, testing and reporting interrater reliability is very important to assure reliable results. Procedures for interrater reliability in these studies should follow two steps. The first step is to determine unitizing reliability, which is defined as consistency in the identification of same data elements in the record by two or more raters reviewing the same record. Unitizing reliability have been rarely reported in previous studies. Unitizing reliability should be tested before progressing to the next step as precondition. Next step is to determine interpretive reliability. Cohen's kappa is a preferable method of calculating the extent of agreement between observer or judges because it provides beyond-chance agreement. Despite its usefulness, kappa can sometimes present paradoxical conclusions and can be difficult to interpret. These difficulties result from the feature of kappa which is affected in complex ways by the presence of bias between observers and by true prevalence of certain categories. Therefore, percentage agreement should be reported with kappa for adequate interpretation of kappa. The presence of bias should be assessed using the bias index and the effect of prevalence should be assessed using the prevalence index. Researchers have been reported only global reliability reflecting the extent to which coders can consistently use the whole coding system across all categories. Category-by-category reliability also need to be reported to inform the possibility that some categories are harder to use than others.

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Pre-service Teachers' Conceptions of the Nature of Science

  • Lee, Eun-Ah;Choi, Seong-Hee
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.140-146
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    • 2002
  • We have studied 73 pre-service science teachers' conceptions about the nature of science (NOS) using 120 true-false test items based on AAAS Benchmarks statements. We have found that participants have inadequate understanding of the NOS, especially in understanding of five categories of conceptions; change and continuity in science, bias in scientific investigations, hypothesis in scientific investigations, things common in science, and science ethics. The result also indicates that there is a difference between primary pre-service teachers and secondary pre-service teachers. From the analysis of consistency, we also found that this inadequate understanding comes from confusion rather than misconception. All the results support that there is a need of intense pre-service teacher education concerning thenature of science.

최대엔트로피법을 이용한 역열전도문제의 해석 (Analysis of an Inverse Heat Conduction Problem Using Maximum Entropy Method)

  • 김선경;이우일
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2000년도 춘계학술대회논문집B
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    • pp.144-147
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    • 2000
  • A numerical method for the solution of one-dimensional inverse heat conduction problem is established and its performance is demonstrated with computational results. The present work introduces the maximum entropy method in order to build a robust formulation of the inverse problem. The maximum entropy method finds the solution that maximizes the entropy functional under given temperature measurement. The philosophy of the method is to seek the most likely inverse solution. The maximum entropy method converts the inverse problem to a non-linear constrained optimization problem of which constraint is the statistical consistency between the measured temperature and the estimated temperature. The successive quadratic programming facilitates the maximum entropy estimation. The gradient required fur the optimization procedure is provided by solving the adjoint problem. The characteristic feature of the maximum entropy method is discussed with the illustrated results. The presented results show considerable resolution enhancement and bias reduction in comparison with the conventional methods.

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조건부가치측정모형의 최소절대편차추정 (The Least Absolute Deviations Estimation of the Contingent Valuation Model)

  • 김동일
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.515-545
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    • 2001
  • This paper introduces the least absolute deviations estimation of the contingent valuation model, which corresponds to the semi-parametric estimation of discrete choice models by Manski (1975, 1985) and Lee (1992). The least absolute deviations estimation is more robust to mis-specified distributional assumptions in the estimation of the contingent valuation model, compared to the maximum likelihood estimation. The full identification and strong consistency of the estimation are proved and its application to different formats of contingent valuation survey data is discussed. Simulation studies are designed to evaluate its operational characteristics including computational strategies, small sample properties and the efficiency gain of a follow-up question. The bias and efficiency of least absolute deviations and maximum likelihood estimation are compared in the presence of heteroskedasticity.

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