• 제목/요약/키워드: commercial bank

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Modified Bagging Predictors를 이용한 SOHO 부도 예측 (SOHO Bankruptcy Prediction Using Modified Bagging Predictors)

  • 김승혁;김종우
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구에서는 기존 Bagging Predictors에 수정을 가한 Modified Bagging Predictors를 이용하여 SOHO에 대한 부도예측 모델을 제시한다. 대기업 및 중소기업에 대한 기업부도예측 모델에 대한 많은 선행 연구가 있어왔지만 SOHO만의 기업부도 예측 모델에 관한 연구는 미비한 상태이다. 금융기관들의 대출 심사 시 대기업 및 중소기업과는 달리 SOHO에 대한 대출심사는 아직은 체계화되지 못한 채 신용정보점수 등의 단편적인 요소를 사용하고 있는 것이 현실이고 이에 따라 잘못된 대출로 인한 금융기관의 부실화를 초래할 위험성이 크다. 본 연구에서는 실제국내은행의 SOHO 대출 데이터 집합이 사용되었다. 먼저, 기업부도 예측 모델에서 우수하다고 연구되어진 인공신경망과 의사결정나무 추론 기법을 적용하여 보았지만 만족할 만한 성과를 이끌어내지 못하여, 기존 기업부도 예측 모델 연구에서 적용이 미비하였던 Bagging Predictors와 이를 개선한 Modified Bagging Predictors를 제시하고 이를 적용하여 보았다. 연구결과, SOHO 부도 예측에 있어서 본 연구에서 제시한 Modified Bagging Predictors가 인공신경망과 Bagging Predictors 등의 기존 기법에 비해서 성과가 향상됨을 알 수 있었다.

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Functional analysis of a homologue of the FLORICAULA/LEAFY gene in litchi (Litchi chinensis Sonn.) revealing its significance in early flowering process

  • Ding, Feng;Zhang, Shuwei;Chen, Houbin;Peng, Hongxiang;Lu, Jiang;He, Xinhua;Pan, Jiechun
    • Genes and Genomics
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    • 제40권12호
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    • pp.1259-1267
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    • 2018
  • Litchi (Litchi chinensis Sonn.) is an important subtropical fruit crop with high commercial value due to its high nutritional values and favorable tastes. However, irregular bearing attributed to unstable flowering is a major ongoing problem for litchi producers. Previous studies indicate that low-temperature is a key factor in litchi floral induction. In order to reveal the genetic and molecular mechanisms underlying the reproductive process in litchi, we had analyzed the transcriptome of buds before and after low-temperature induction using RNA-seq technology. A key flower bud differentiation associated gene, a homologue of FLORICAULA/LEAFY, was identified and named LcLFY (GenBank Accession No. KF008435). The cDNA sequence of LcLFY encodes a putative protein of 388 amino acids. To gain insight into the role of LcLFY, the temporal expression level of this gene was measured by real-time RT-PCR. LcLFY was highly expressed in flower buds and its expression correlated with the floral developmental stage. Heterologous expression of LcLFY in transgenic tobacco plants induced precocious flowering. Meantime, we investigated the sub-cellular localization of LcLFY. The LcLFY-Green fluorescent protein (GFP) fusion protein was found in the nucleus. The results suggest that LcLFY plays a pivotal role as a transcription factor in controlling the transition to flowering and in the development of floral organs in litchi.

Banking Sector Depth and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Vietnam

  • LE, Thi Thuy Hang;LE, Trung Dao;TRAN, Thi Dien;DUONG, Quynh Nga;DAO, Le Kieu Oanh;DO, Thi Thanh Nhan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.751-761
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    • 2021
  • The Vietnamese economy is a developing country that has brought many opportunities and challenges for the banking system. Commercial banks have developed strongly from quality to quantity, which plays a vital role in developing the economy. They play an important role in capital formation, which is essential for the economic development of a country. They provide financial services to the general public and businesses, ensuring economic and social stability and sustainable growth of the economy. Therefore, the relationship between bank depth and economic growth is of importance in research. This paper used a VAR (Vector Autoregressive Models) estimator for time series data models. The data is collected quarterly from the first quarter of the year 2000 to 2020. The study uses the VAR model to examine the causal relationships of economic growth, growth in money supply expansion, private sector capital requirement, and banks' domestic credit. The results indicate a general short-run relationship between banking sector depth and economic growth with a positive connection, but in the long term, the relationship between these variables can be reversed because of other macro factors. The findings show the two-way causal relationship between GDP growth and banking depth factors. This research contributes to policy-making by underlining the banking sector depth determinants when setting regulations and policies to develop the banking sector.

ESTABLISHMENT OF CDM PROJECT ADDITIONALITY THROUGH ECONOMIC INDICATORS

  • Kai. Li.;Robert Tiong L. K.;Maria Balatbat ;David Carmichael
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.272-275
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    • 2009
  • Carbon finance is the investment in Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emission reduction projects in developing countries and countries with economies in transition within the framework of the Kyoto Protocol's Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) or Joint Implementation (JI) and with creation of financial instruments, i.e., carbon credits, which are tradable in carbon market. The additional revenue generated from carbon credits will increase the bankability of projects by reducing the risks of commercial lending or grant finance. Meantime, it has also demonstrated numerous opportunities for collaborating across sectors, and has served as a catalyst in bringing climate issues to bear in projects relating to rural electrification, renewable energy, energy efficiency, urban infrastructure, waste management, pollution abatement, forestry, and water resource management. Establishing additionality is essential for successful CDM project development. One of the key steps is the investment analysis. As guided by UNFCCC, financial indicators such as IRR, NPV, DSCR etc are most commonly used in both Option II & Option III. However, economic indicator such as Economic Internal Rate of Return(EIRR) are often overlooked in Option III even it might be more suitable for the project. This could be due to the difficulties in economic analysis. Although Asian Development Bank(ADB) has given guidelines in evaluating EIRR, there are still large amount of works have to be carried out in estimating the economic, financial, social and environmental benefits in the host country. This paper will present a case study of a CDM development of a 18 MW hydro power plant with carbon finance option in central Vietnam. The estimation of respective factors in EIRR, such as Willingness to Pay(WTP), shadow price etc, will be addressed with the adjustment to Vietnam local provincial factors. The significance of carbon finance to Vietnam renewable energy development will also be addressed.

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아세안 금융시장 통합: 현황과 통합가능성 (ASEAN Financial Integration: Is it possible?)

  • 이충열
    • 동남아시아연구
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.139-203
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    • 2011
  • This paper attempts to review of recent development of ASEAN financial integration and to evaluate it and predict its future aspect. For this purpose, we first examine the historic aspect of ASEAN financial integration such as ASEAN financial service open agreement or ASEAN capital market forum report and currently agreed integration plan. In addition, we study the development stages of ASEAM member countries in terms of its economic size or income level. Finally, we look at the financial market and institutional aspect of ASEAN member countries and the recent development of global financial market. From these analyses, we find several important facts. First, it is true that ASEAN, in general, will enjoy the effect of expanding regional investment and improving the quality of financial service through the financial integration. We think that its long term benefit is too large for ASEAN member states to avoid. Second, as a result, it is certain that ASEAN will corporate further to make its financial market to be integrated in the future. Third, however, despite these benefits and continuing efforts, we expect that it will be very difficult for ASEAN to reach a stage of financial integration as suggested in the Blueprint of ASEAN Economic Community by the year of 2015. The large difference among member states in term of economic and financial development will not allow for them to reach a single goal within a short time. Instead, we expect the following scenario for the integration process will hold. First, ASEAN will reach an agreement on the institutional framework by 2015 and afterwards, slowly the markets will begin to integrate. Second, at the earlier stage, not all but some countries will start the integration process. We expect that the financial market of ASEAN 5 will first be integrated and other 5 will join to it later.

우리나라 은행산업(銀行産業)의 효율성분석(效率性分析)과 제도개선방안(制度改善方案) (Scale and Scope Economies and Prospect for the Korea's Banking Industry)

  • 좌승희
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.109-153
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    • 1992
  • 본고(本稿)에서는 우리나라 은행산업(銀行産業)의 트랜스로그비용함수(費用函數)와 규모(規模) 및 범위(範圍)의 경제성(經濟性), 비용(費用)의 보완성(補完性) 그리고 경쟁적(競爭的) 생존력(生存力) 등 효율성지표들을 추정함으로써 은행산업(銀行産業)의 효율성(效率性)을 평가하고 제도개선방향(制度改善方向)에 대한 시사점을 논하였다. 추정결과에 의하면, 우선 규모(規模)의 경제성(經濟性)의 경우는 은행대출(銀行貸出)이 규모(規模)의 비경제하(非經濟下)에 있고 모든 다른 업무(業務)들은 규모(規模)의 경제(經濟)를 시현하고 있지만, 전업무에 걸친 규모(規模)의 경제(經濟)는 부재(不在)하는 것으로 관찰된다. 다음, 범위(範圍)의 경제(經濟)의 경우는 유가증권투자(有價證券投資)와 신탁자산(信託資産) 및 수신(受信) 등은 범위(範圍)의 경제하(經濟下)에 있는 반면, 은행예금(銀行預金)은 범위(範圍)의 비경제하(非經濟下)에 있고 전업무에 걸친 범위(範圍)의 경제(經濟)는 강한 것으로 관찰되고 있다. 그리고 비용보완성(費用補完性)의 경우는 유가증권투자(有價證券投資)가 은행대출(銀行貸出), 예금(預金) 및 신탁업무(信託業務)와, 그리고 신탁자산운용업무(信託資産運用業務)가 은행자산운용업무(銀行資産運用業務)와 각각 비용보완관계(費用補完關係)를 보이고 있는 반면, 은행예금(銀行預金)은 특히 은행대출(銀行貸出)과 그리고 신탁자산업무(信託資産業務)와 경쟁관계에 있다. 한편 은행산업(銀行産業)에는 경쟁적(競爭的) 생존력(生存力)이 부재(不在)하는 것으로 관찰되고 있다. 이상의 결과들의 시사점을 정리하면, 우선 은행대출(銀行貸出)은 상대적으로 규모를 축소하고 여타의 모든 은행업무(銀行業務)나 신탁업무(信託業務)들은 규모를 확대함으로써 효율성제고(效率性提高)에 기여할 수 있을 것이며, 은행예금(銀行預金)과 은행주변업무는 앞으로 금융(金融)의 심화(深化)가 진행되면 여타업무에서 분리되어 각각 독립 운영될 가능성이 높다. 유가증권업무(有價證券業務)와 신탁자산(信託資産) 및 수신업무(受信業務)들을 추가확대함으로써 은행업무(銀行業務)의 효율성(效率性)이 증대될 수 있을 것으로 보여 겸업주의(兼業主義) 은행제도(銀行制度)의 타당성은 높지만, 은행산업(銀行産業)의 자연독점적인 성격은 부재(不在)하여 섣부른 규모(規模)만의 확대(擴大)는 오히려 경쟁력(競爭力)을 저하시킬 수도 있을 것이다.

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북한의 외국인투자법과 대외경제중재법의 적용범위 (The Scope of Application of North Korea's Foreign Economic Arbitration Act and Foreign Investment Act)

  • 전우정
    • 한국중재학회지:중재연구
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.91-120
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    • 2020
  • The Scope of Application of North Korea's Foreign Economic Arbitration Act and Foreign Investment Act This article examines whether the Foreign Economic Arbitration Act and the Foreign Investment Act of North Korea apply to South Korean parties or companies. This article analyzes laws and agreements related to economic cooperation between South Korea and North Korea. Furthermore, this article compares and evaluates laws related to foreign investment and enacted in North Korea. Now, North Korea's door is closed due to economic sanctions against it, but it will be opened soon. Thus, this article prepares for the future opening of North Korea's markets. Is there a rule of laws in North Korea or just a ruler? Are there laws in North Korea? North Korea has enacted a number of legislation to attract foreign investors, referring to those Chinese laws. For example, North Korea enacted the Foreigner Investment Act, the Foreigner Company Act, the Foreign Investment Bank Act, the Foreign Economic Arbitration Act, the Foreign Economic Contract Act, the International Trade Act, and the Free Economy and Trade Zone Act, among others. Article 2 (2) of the Foreign Investment Law of North Korea states, "Foreign investors are corporations and individuals from other countries investing in our country." It is interpreted that South Korea is not included in the "other countries" of this definition. According to many mutual agreements signed by South Korea and North Korea, the relationship between the two Koreas is a special relation inside the Korean ethnic group. An arbitration between a South Korean party and a North Korean party has the characteristics of both domestic arbitrations and international arbitrations. If the South Korea and North Korea Commercial Arbitration Commission or the Kaesong Industrial Complex Arbitration Commission is not established, the possibility of arbitration by the Chosun International Trade Arbitration Commission, established under North Korea's Foreign Economic Arbitration Act, should be examined. There have been no cases where the Foreign Economic Arbitration Act is applied to disputes between parties of South Korea and North Korea. It might be possible to apply the Foreign Economic Arbitration Act by recognizing the "foreign factor" of a dispute between the South Korean party and North Korean party. It is necessary to raise legislative clarifications by revising the North Korea's Foreign Economic Arbitration Act as to whether Korean parties or companies are included in the scope of this Act's application. Even if it is interpreted that South Korean parties or companies are not included in the scope of North Korea's Foreign Economic Arbitration Act, disputes between South Korean companies and North Korean companies can be resolved by foreign arbitration institutes such as CIETAC in China, HKIAC in Hong Kong, or SIAC in Singapore. Such arbitration awards could be enforced in North Korea pursuant to Article 64 of North Korea's Foreign Economic Arbitration Act. This is because the arbitration awards of foreign arbitration institutes are included in the scope of North Korea's Foreign Economic Arbitration Act. The matter is how to enforce the North Korean laws when a North Korean party or North Korean government does not abide by the laws or their contracts. It is essential for North Korea to join the New York Convention (Convention on the Recognition and Enforcement of Foreign Arbitral Awards) and the ICSID Convention (Convention on the Settlement of Investment Disputes Between States and Nationals of Other States).

소상공인의 자금공급 확대를 위한 빅데이터 활용 방안연구 (Research on the Application Methods of Big Data within SME Financing: Big data from Trading-area)

  • 이주희;동학림
    • 벤처창업연구
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.125-140
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    • 2018
  • 통계에 의하면 국내 중소기업들은 자금조달의 대부분을 은행 대출에 의존하고 있는 것으로 나타나고 있다. 그러나 담보가 없고 금융거래 이력도 부족한 소상공인들은 은행으로부터 대출을 받는데 어려움을 겪고 있다. 재무제표 등 은행에서 신용평가를 위하여 필요로 하는 정보를 제공하지 못하는 금융정보부족 (Thin File) 때문이다. 이러한 문제를 타개하기 위해서 최근 P2P 등 대안금융에서는 기존의 금융정보 대신 핀테크를 활용한 인구통계, 거래정보 등 차별화된 정보들을 이용하여 소규모 자금을 소상공인들에게 제공하는 새로운 신용평가기법들이 확산되고 있다. 이러한 환경 변화 패러다임 속에서 본 연구는 매출액 변동, 입지조건 등 상권정보에 기초한 빅데이터를 활용하여 소상공인들에게 자금공급을 확대할 수 있는 신용평가방안을 모색하고자 한다. 상권에서 발생하는 빅데이터를 실증적으로 분석함으로써 신용평가요소로서의 효과성을 검증하여 소상공인의 사업성 평가에 필요한 주요변수들을 도출하고자 하는 것이다. 본 연구에서는 2009년에서 2018년 2월까지 서비스업을 영위하는 서울시 소재 사업체 17,116건을 대상으로 사업체의 위치별로 발생하는 상권정보를 빅데이터 전문기업 NICE지니데이터(주)로부터 수집하여 표본을 구성하였다. 소상공인들에게서도 어렵지 않게 구할 수 있는 사업장의 입지 및 상권과 관련된 빅데이터를 수집 분석하여 이들 데이터가 기업의 부실화에 영향을 미치는가를 분석하였다. 기존에 활용되지 못한 빅데이터 변수들을 탐색하여 소상공인에 대한 효율적인 금융지원에 활용 가능성을 확인함으로써 대부분 정책자금이나 담보에 의존하여 이루어지는 소상공인대출이 일반 상업은행에서도 중소기업대출의 한 부문으로 비중 있게 이루어질 수 있도록 하기 위함이다. 본 연구는 근본적으로 정보비대칭 (Information Asymmetry)의 문제가 내재되어 있는 소상공인들의 자금조달에 관하여 전통적인 재무정보가 아닌 상권분석 변수들을 도출하고, 이 변수들이 신용평가에 효과성이 있는지 여부를 상권 빅데이터의 분석을 통하여 검증하였다는 점에서 연구의 차별성이 있다.

소유래 성분 원재료 사용 생물의약품과 의료기기 제조 공정에서 bovine adenovirus type 1 정량 검출을 위한 TaqMan probe real-time PCR (TaqMan probe real-time PCR for quantitative detection of bovine adenovirus type 1 during the manufacture of biologics and medical devices using bovine-derived raw materials)

  • 고운영;노나경;김인섭
    • 미생물학회지
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    • 제51권3호
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    • pp.199-208
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    • 2015
  • 소의 혈액, 세포, 조직, 기관 등이 생물의약품, 조직공학제제, 세포치료제, 의료기기의 원재료로 널리 사용되고 있다. 소유래 성분 원재료에 다양한 바이러스가 오염된 사례가 있기 때문에 소유래 물질을 원재료로 사용한 제제의 바이러스 안전성 검증이 필수적으로 요구된다. Bovine adenovirus type 1(BAdV-1)은 소에게 가장 흔하게 감염되는 바이러스 중의 하나이다. 소유래 물질을 원재료로 하는 생물의약품, 조직공학제제, 세포치료제, 의료기기 등에서 BAdV-1 안전성을 확보하기 위해, 세포주, 원재료, 제조공정, 완제품에서 BAdV-1을 정량적으로 검출하고, 제조공정에서 BAdV-1 제거 검증을 위한 시험법으로 활용이 가능한 TaqMan probe real-time PCR 시험법을 확립하였다. 세포배양법에 의한 감염역가와 비교한 결과, real-time PCR 검출한계는 $7.44{\times}10^1\;TCID_{50}/ml$이었다. 확립 된 시험법의 신뢰성(reliability)을 보증하기 위해 시험법 검증을 실시한 결과, 특이성(specificity)과 재현성(reproducibility), 완건성(robustness)이 우수함을 확인하였다. 확립된 real-time PCR을 생물의약품 제조공정 검증에 적용할 수 있는지 확인한 결과, 인위적으로 BAdV-1을 오염시킨 Chinese Hamster Ovary(CHO) 세포주에서 BAdV-1를 정량적으로 검출할 수 있었다. 확립된 시험법을 항체의약품 생산용 CHO 마스터 세포주와 소유래 type 1 collagen에서 BAdV-1 검출 시험에 산업적으로 적용하였다. 위와 같은 결과에서 확립된 BAdV-1 real-time PCR 시험법은 감염역가 시험법과 같은 생물학적 시험법을 대신할 수 있는 신속하고, 특이성과 민감성이 우수한 시험법임을 확인하였다.

가토(家兎) 상악골(上顎骨) 결손부(缺損部)에 수종(數種)의 이종골(異種骨) 이식후(移植後) 치유과정(治癒過程)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究) (An Experimental Study of the Healing Process on Several Heterogenous Bone Grafts in Rabbit Mandible;Histologic and Biometric study)

  • 오희균;류선열
    • Maxillofacial Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.117-129
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    • 1989
  • The commercial availability of processed heterogenous bone has provided the surgeons with almost unlimited supply, avoidance of additional operation and prevention of the postoperative complications. In addition to these merits, unnecessary bone bank, easy availibility and storage have been achieved. The purpose of this study was to compare and examine the healing capacity of Kiel bone, Pyrost and Osteovit which used as the processed heterografts for the reconstruction of bony defect. Twenty rabbits weighing about 1.7-2.0 Kg were selected and divided into two groups. In experimental group A, the left mandibular defect was allowed to fill with blood, and the right defect was filled with Kiel bone. In experimental group B, the left defect was grafted with Pyrost, and the right with Osteovit. The experimental animals were sacrified after 1, 2, 4 and 8 weeks and the grafted site was studied histologically. To evaluate the strength of healed bone, 2 rabbits from each experimental group and a nonoperated control were sacrified at the 6th week after implantation and used for biometric testing on universal testing machine. The results obtained were as follows : 1. It was considered that these heterogenous bone grafts has feeble or absent immunogenicity since all of them appeared to evoke little inflammatory or forign body reaction. 2. In all experimental groups, new bone formation began from the adjacent region of host bone and extended progressively into the defect sites. New bone was partly formed within the intertrabecular space of the implant and gradually united with the bone that formed at the margin of the host bone. 3. With Pyrost bone formation was rapid and prominent comparing with other graft materials. 4. Osteovit was begun to be absorbed from 2 weeks, and Kiel bone from 4 weeks, however Pyrost was remained to be intact until the end of 8 weeks. 5. As the results of tensile test, the mean values of maximum tensile stress were 1.11${\uparrow}$ $Kgf/mm^{2}$ in Pyrost implanted specimens, 0.85 $Kgf/mm^{2}$ in Osteovit, 0.42 $Kgf/mm^{2}$ in Kiel bone, 0.66 $Kgf/mm^{2}$ in blood filled specimens and 1..13 $Kgf/mm^{2}$ in control. These results indicate that heterogenous bones grafted have little antigenicity to the host tissue, and that they mediate effectively osteoconduction by providing the scaffold for the bone formation. Pyrost and Osteovit appeared to be suitable for the clinical use.

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