• 제목/요약/키워드: collapse risk

검색결과 238건 처리시간 0.027초

An analytical model for assessing soft rock tunnel collapse risk and its engineering application

  • Xue, Yiguo;Li, Xin;Li, Guangkun;Qiu, Daohong;Gong, Huimin;Kong, Fanmeng
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.441-454
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    • 2020
  • The tunnel collapse, large deformation of surrounding rock, water and mud inrush are the major geological disasters in soft rock tunnel construction. Among them, tunnel collapse has the most serious impact on tunnel construction. Current research backed theories have certain limitations in identifying the collapse risk of soft rock tunnels. Examining the Zhengwan high-speed railway tunnel, eight soft rock tunnel collapse influencing factors were selected, and the combination of indicator weights based on the analytic hierarchy process and entropy weighting methods was obtained. The results show that the groundwater condition and the integrity of the rock mass are the main influencing factors leading to a soft rock tunnel collapse. A comprehensive fuzzy evaluation model for the collapse risk of soft rock tunnels is being proposed, and the real-time collapse risk assessment of the Zhengwan tunnel is being carried out. The results obtained via the fuzzy evaluation model agree well with the actual situation. A tunnel section evaluated to have an extremely high collapse risk and experienced a local collapse during excavation, verifying the feasibility of the collapse risk evaluation model. The collapse risk evaluation model proposed in this paper has been demonstrated to be a promising and innovative method for the evaluation of the collapse risk of soft rock tunnels, leading to safer construction.

위험도기반 최대예상지진에 근거한 국내 내진설계 지도 (Domestic Seismic Design Maps Based on Risk-Targeted Maximum- Considered Earthquakes)

  • 신동현;김형준
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 2015
  • This study evaluates collapse probabilities of structures which are designed according to a domestic seismic design code, KBC2009. In evaluating their collapse probabilities, to do this, probabilistic distribution models for seismic hazard and structural capacity are required. In this paper, eight major cities in Korea are selected and the demand probabilistic distribution of each city is obtained from the uniform seismic hazard. The probabilistic distribution for the structural capacity is assumed to follow a underlying design philosophy implicitly defined in ASCE 7-10. With the assumptions, the structural collapse probability in 50 years is evaluated based on the concept of a risk integral. This paper then defines an mean value of the collapse probabilities in 50 years of the selected major cities as the target risk. Risk-targeted spectral accelerations are finally suggested by modifying a current mapped spectral acceleration to meet the target risk.

Developing a modified IDA-based methodology for investigation of influencing factors on seismic collapse risk of steel intermediate moment resisting frames

  • Maddah, Mohammad M.;Eshghi, Sassan
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.367-377
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    • 2020
  • Incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) widely uses for the collapse risk assessment procedures of buildings. In this study, an IDA-based collapse risk assessment methodology is proposed, which employs a novel approach for detecting the near-collapse (NC) limit state. The proposed approach uses the modal pushover analysis results to calculate the maximum inter-story drift ratio of the structure. This value, which is used as the upper-bound limit in the IDA process, depends on the structural characteristics and global seismic responses of the structure. In this paper, steel midrise intermediate moment resisting frames (IMRFs) have selected as case studies, and their collapse risk parameters are evaluated by the suggested methodology. The composite action of a concrete floor slab and steel beams, and the interaction between the infill walls and the frames could change the collapse mechanism of the structure. In this study, the influences of the metal deck floor and autoclaved aerated concrete (AAC) masonry infill walls with uniform distribution are investigated on the seismic collapse risk of the IMRFs using the proposed methodology. The results demonstrate that the suggested modified IDA method can accurately discover the near-collapse limit state. Also, this method leads to much fewer steps and lower calculation costs rather than the current IDA method. Moreover, the results show that the concrete slab and the AAC infill walls can change the collapse parameters of the structure and should be considered in the analytical modeling and the collapse assessment process of the steel mid-rise intermediate moment resisting frames.

Collapse risk evaluation method on Bayesian network prediction model and engineering application

  • WANG, Jing;LI, Shucai;LI, Liping;SHI, Shaoshuai;XU, Zhenhao;LIN, Peng
    • Advances in Computational Design
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2017
  • Collapse was one of the typical common geological hazards during the construction of tunnels. The risk assessment of collapse was an effective way to ensure the safety of tunnels. We established a prediction model of collapse based on Bayesian Network. 76 large or medium collapses in China were analyzed. The variable set and range of the model were determined according to the statistics. A collapse prediction software was developed and its veracity was also evaluated. At last the software was used to predict tunnel collapses. It effectively evaded the disaster. Establishing the platform can be subsequent perfect. The platform can also be applied to the risk assessment of other tunnel engineering.

A TBM tunnel collapse risk prediction model based on AHP and normal cloud model

  • Wang, Peng;Xue, Yiguo;Su, Maoxin;Qiu, Daohong;Li, Guangkun
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제30권5호
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    • pp.413-422
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    • 2022
  • TBM is widely used in the construction of various underground projects in the current world, and has the unique advantages that cannot be compared with traditional excavation methods. However, due to the high cost of TBM, the damage is even greater when geological disasters such as collapse occur during excavation. At present, there is still a shortage of research on various types of risk prediction of TBM tunnel, and accurate and reliable risk prediction model is an important theoretical basis for timely risk avoidance during construction. In this paper, a prediction model is proposed to evaluate the risk level of tunnel collapse by establishing a reasonable risk index system, using analytic hierarchy process to determine the index weight, and using the normal cloud model theory. At the same time, the traditional analytic hierarchy process is improved and optimized to ensure the objectivity of the weight values of the indicators in the prediction process, and the qualitative indicators are quantified so that they can directly participate in the process of risk prediction calculation. Through the practical engineering application, the feasibility and accuracy of the method are verified, and further optimization can be analyzed and discussed.

사례분석을 통한 베이즈 정리 기반 TBM 터널 붕괴 리스크 우선순위 도출 연구 (Study on Risk Priority for TBM Tunnel Collapse based on Bayes Theorem through Case Study)

  • 권기범;강민규;황병현;최항석
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제43권6호
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    • pp.785-791
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    • 2023
  • TBM 터널 프로젝트 내 불확실성으로 인한 사고를 예방하기 위해 리스크 관리는 필수적이다. 특히, 터널 막장면부터 지표면까지의 광범위한 피해를 초래할 수 있는 TBM 터널 붕괴는 더욱 신중히 관리되어야 한다. 또한, 각 TBM 터널 프로젝트의 시간과 비용의 제약으로 인해, 합리적 수준의 대응조치 계획을 수립하기 위한 리스크 우선순위를 도출할 필요가 있다. 이에 따라, 본 연구는 TBM 사고 사례조사를 통해 TBM 리스크 데이터베이스를 구축하였고, 베이즈 정리를 활용하여 지질요인의 TBM 터널 붕괴 리스크 우선순위를 도출하였다. 총 87건의 TBM 사고사례를 기반으로 3가지 사건과 5가지 지질요인을 포함한 TBM 리스크 데이터베이스가 구축되었다. 이때, 자갈층 지반, 고수압 함수대는 관련 사례 수가 적어 통계적 편향을 방지하기 위해 제외되었다. 데이터베이스에 베이즈 정리를 적용한 결과, 단층대와 연약지반은 TBM 터널 붕괴의 발생확률을 상당히 증가시키나, 그 외 3가지 지질요인(복합지반, 높은 상재압력, 팽창성 지반)은 붕괴와 낮은 상관성을 보였다. 결과적으로, 지질요인의 TBM 터널 붕괴 리스크 우선순위는 다음과 같다: 1) 단층대, 2) 연약지반, 3) 복합지반, 4) 높은 상재압력, 5) 팽창성 지반.

Ground Subsidence Risk Ratings for Practitioners to predict Ground Collapse during Excavation (GSRp)

  • Ihm, Myeong Hyeok
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.255-261
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    • 2018
  • In the field of excavation, it is important to recognize and analyze the factors that cause the ground collapse in order to predict and cope with the ground subsidence. However, it is difficult for field engineers to predict ground collapse due to insufficient knowledge of ground subsidence influence factors. Although there are many cases and studies related to the ground subsidence, there is no manual to help practitioners. In this study, we present the criteria for describing and quantifying the influential factors to help the practitioners understand the existing ground collapse cases and classification of the ground subsidence factors revealed through the research. This study aims to improve the understanding of the factors affecting the ground collapse and to provide a GSRp for the ground subsidence risk assessment which can be applied quickly in the field.

터널 붕괴 위험도에 따른 RMR 연구 (A Study of RMR in Tunnel with Risk Factor of Collapse)

  • 장형두;양형식
    • 터널과지하공간
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.333-340
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    • 2011
  • RMR은 국내터널의 지보재 설계를 위해 가장 빈번하게 사용되는 암반분류 방법이다. 그러나 설계당시의 검토된 지반조사를 통한 RMR값은 지반을 정확하게 대변할 수 없다. 터널 시공시 발생하는 붕괴 및 낙반사고를 사전에 예방하고 효율적인 지보 설계를 위해 붕괴위험도에 따라 기존 RMR 점수에 가중치를 적용한 Weighted-RMR(W-RMR)을 제안하고 터널에 적용하였다. 비재터널 현장에 W-RMR을 적용한 결과 막장 붕괴의 위험도에 따라 지보 설계를 탄력적으로 변경할 수 있었다.

기상정보와 Adaboost 모델을 이용한 깎기비탈면 위험도 지도 개발 연구 (Research on the Production of Risk Maps on Cut Slope Using Weather Information and Adaboost Model)

  • 우용훈;김승현;김진욱;박광해
    • 지질공학
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.663-671
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    • 2020
  • 최근 국내에서는 산림지역 뿐만 아니라 대도시지역에서도 자연재해가 많이 발생하고 있으며, 이에 대한 국가적인 요구사항은 증가하고 있다. 특히 국도 비탈면 붕괴에 대하여 체계적으로 관리할 수 있는 사전 재해정보 시스템은 전무한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 CSMS(Cut Slope Management System)에서 관리하는 강원도와 경상도 지역의 국도 비탈면 붕괴 정밀조사 보고서와 비탈면 기초조사를 토대로 비탈면 붕괴 유발 인자에 대한 빅데이터 분석을 실시하였다. 분석 결과를 바탕으로 붕괴 비탈면 위치와 기상정보를 반영하여 분류 기반 머신러닝 모형인 Adaboost를 통한 비탈면 붕괴 위험도 예측모형을 구축하였다. 또한 시각화 프로그램인 비탈면 붕괴 위험도 시각화 지도를 개발하여 기상여건 변화에 따른 비탈면 위험도 파악을 통한 선제적 재해재난 예방대책에 활용할 수 있음을 보여주고 있다.

Risk Factors of Allogenous Bone Graft Collapse in Two-Level Anterior Cervical Discectomy and Fusion

  • Woo, Joon-Bum;Son, Dong-Wuk;Lee, Su-Hun;Lee, Jun-Seok;Lee, Sang Weon;Song, Geun Sung
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • 제62권4호
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    • pp.450-457
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    • 2019
  • Objective : Anterior cervical discectomy and fusion (ACDF) is commonly used surgical procedure for cervical degenerative disease. Among the various intervertebral spacers, the use of allografts is increasing due to its advantages such as no harvest site complications and low rate of subsidence. Although subsidence is a rare complication, graft collapse is often observed in the follow-up period. Graft collapse is defined as a significant graft height loss without subsidence, which can lead to clinical deterioration due to foraminal re-stenosis or segmental kyphosis. However, studies about the collapse of allografts are very limited. In this study, we evaluated risk factors associated with graft collapse. Methods : We retrospectively reviewed 33 patients who underwent two level ACDF with anterior plating using allogenous bone graft from January 2013 to June 2017. Various factors related to cervical sagittal alignment were measured preoperatively (PRE), postoperatively (POST), and last follow-up. The collapse was defined as the ratio of decrement from POST disc height to follow-up disc height. We also defined significant collapses as disc heights that were decreased by 30% or more after surgery. The intraoperative distraction was defined as the ratio of increment from PRE disc height to POST disc height. Results : The subsidence rate was 4.5% and graft collapse rate was 28.8%. The pseudarthrosis rate was 16.7% and there was no association between pseudarthrosis and graft collapse. Among the collapse-related risk factors, pre-operative segmental angle (p=0.047) and intra-operative distraction (p=0.003) were significantly related to allograft collapse. The cut-off value of intraoperative distraction ${\geq}37.3%$ was significantly associated with collapse (p=0.009; odds ratio, 4.622; 95% confidence interval, 1.470-14.531). The average time of events were as follows: collapse, $5.8{\pm}5.7months$; subsidence, $0.99{\pm}0.50months$; and instrument failure, $9.13{\pm}0.50months$. Conclusion : We experienced a higher frequency rate of collapse than subsidence in ACDF using an allograft. Of the various preoperative factors, intra-operative distraction was the most predictable factor of the allograft collapse. This was especially true when the intraoperative distraction was more than 37%, in which case the occurrence of graft collapse increased 4.6 times. We also found that instrument failure occurs only after the allograft collapse.