• Title/Summary/Keyword: climate map

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The Applicability Assesment of the Short-term Rainfall Forecasting Using Translation Model (이류모델을 활용한 초단시간 강우예측의 적용성 평가)

  • Yoon, Seong-Sim;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.8
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    • pp.695-707
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    • 2010
  • The frequency and size of typhoon and local severe rainfall are increasing due to the climate change and the damage also increasing from typhoon and severe rainfall. The flood forecasting and warning system to reduce the damage from typhoon and severe rainfall needs forecasted rainfall using radar data and short-term rainfall forecasting model. For this reason, this study examined the applicability of short-term rainfall forecast using translation model with weather radar data to point out that the utilization of flood forecasting in Korea. This study estimated the radar rainfall using Least-square fitting method and estimated rainfall was used as initial field of translation model. The translation model have verified accuracy of forecasted radar rainfall through the comparison of forecasted radar rainfall and observed rainfall quantitatively and qualitatively. Almost case studies showed that accuracy is over 0.6 within 4 hours leading time and mean of correlation coefficient is over 0.5 within 1 hours leading time in Kwanak and Jindo radar site. And, as the increasing the leading time, the forecast accuracy of precipitation decreased. The results of the calculated Mean Area Precipitation (MAP) showed forecast rainfall tend to be underestimated than observed rainfall but the correlation coefficient more than 0.5. Therefore it showed that translation model could be accurately predicted the rainfall relatively. The present results indicate that possibility of translation model application of Korea just within 2 hours leading forecasted rainfall.

Application of USDM Drought Severity Classification for South Korea Using a Bundle of Drought Indices (SPI, SC-PDSI, SPEI, EDDI, EDI) (다양한 가뭄지수(SPI, SC-PDSI, SPEI, EDDI, EDI)를 활용한 미국의 USDM 가뭄판단기준 적용)

  • Nam, Won-Ho;Svoboda, Mark D.;Fuchs, Brian A.;Hayes, Michael J.;Tadesse, Tsegaye
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.417-418
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    • 2018
  • 미국 국립가뭄경감센터 (National Drought Mitigation Center, NDMC)는 다양한 가뭄지수를 통합하여 미국 전역의 가뭄진행상황을 모니터링하고 가뭄대응정책 수립을 위한 주요 의사결정정보로 활용하고 있다. 대표적으로 1999년에 개발되어 현재까지 운영 중인 미국가뭄모니터 (United States Drought Monitor, USDM)는 미국 전역에 대하여 가뭄단계를 표시한 지도 (U.S. Drought Monitor map)를 매주 생성하여 제공하고 있다 (http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/). 가뭄지표(drought index)는 가뭄의 현황과 시공간적인 전개 과정을 분석하고 정량적 가뭄심도 평가 및 가뭄대응계획 수립을 위한 도구로써 다양하게 개발되어 활용되고 있다. 가뭄의 정도를 정량화하기 위하여 개발된 다수의 가뭄지수는 대상과 평가방법에 따라 가뭄을 표현하는 특성이 서로 다르다. 하나의 가뭄지수로는 가뭄특성을 온전히 표현하기 어렵기 때문에, 최근에는 단일 가뭄지수에 의존하기 보다는 다수의 가뭄지수를 이용하되, 여러 가뭄지수 간의 특징을 고려하여 각 가뭄지수가 갖는 장단점을 상호 보완하여 사용하기를 권고하고 있다. USDM은 파머가뭄심도지수 (Palmer Drought Severity Index, PDSI), Soil Moisture Model (NOAA Climate Prediction Center, CPC), 미 지리조사국의 하천유량 주간보고 (USGS Weekly Streamflow), 표준강수지수 (Standardized Precipitation Index, SPI) 등의 주요 가뭄판단지표를 선정하고, 가뭄판단의 기준으로써 각 가뭄지수의 가뭄심도 (drought severity) 및 백분위수 (percentiles)로 등급을 구분하였다. 가뭄등급은 '정상 상태 (none)'를 포함하여 '비정상적인 건조 (abnormally dry, D0)'에서 최악의 가뭄상태를 의미하는 '이례적인 가뭄상태 (exceptional, D4)'에 이르는 6 단계로 구분하고, 정상상태를 제외한 5 단계의 통합가뭄단계로 표시한다. 우리나라에서는 기상청, 수자원공사, 농어촌공사에서 기상/수문/농업관련 가뭄지수의 위험지도를 실시간으로 제공하고 있으며, 각 지표별로 상이한 기준으로 가뭄을 판단하고 있다. 각각의 가뭄지표에 대한 가뭄판단기준은 해당 국가의 장기적으로 축적된 자료를 활용하여 가뭄단계 및 가뭄판단기준의 재설정에 대한 연구가 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 SPI, SC-PDSI, 표준강수증발산지수 (Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, SPEI), Evaporative Demand Drought Index (EDDI), 유효가뭄지수 (Effectvie Drought Index, EDI)의 다양한 가뭄지수를 활용하여 USDM의 가뭄심도 및 가뭄판단기준을 적용하고자한다.

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Evaluation of Utilization of Satellite Remote Sensing Data for Drought Monitoring (가뭄 모니터링을 위한 인공위성 원격탐사자료의 활용 가능성 평가)

  • Won, Jeongeun;Son, Youn-Suk;Lee, Sangho;Kang, Limseok;Kim, Sangdan
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.6_2
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    • pp.1803-1818
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    • 2021
  • As the frequency of drought increases due to climate change, it is very important to have a monitoring system that can accurately determine the situation of widespread drought. However, while ground-based meteorological data has limitations in identifying all the complex droughts in Korea, satellite remote sensing data can be effectively used to identify the spatial characteristics of drought in a wide range of regions and to detect drought. This study attempted to analyze the possibility of using remote sensing data for drought identification in South Korea. In order to monitor various aspects of drought, remote sensing and ground observation data of precipitation and potential evapotranspiration, which are major variables affecting drought, were collected. The evaluation of the applicability of remote sensing data was conducted focusing on the comparison with the observation data. First, to evaluate the applicability and accuracy of remote sensing data, the correlations with observation data were analyzed, and drought indices of various aspects were calculated using precipitation and potential evapotranspiration for meteorological drought monitoring. Then, to evaluate the drought monitoring ability of remote sensing data, the drought reproducibility of the past was confirmed using the drought index. Finally, a high-resolution drought map using remote sensing data was prepared to evaluate the possibility of using remote sensing data for actual drought in South Korea. Through the application of remote sensing data, it was judged that it would be possible to identify and understand various drought conditions occurring in all regions of South Korea, including unmeasured watersheds in the future.

Effects of Orchard Environments and Landscape Features on the Population Occurrence of Major Lepidopteran Pests in Apple Orchards (과원 환경과 경관 요소가 사과원 주요 나방류 해충 발생에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Hyangmi;Jung, Chuleui
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.60 no.1
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    • pp.79-90
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    • 2021
  • Landscape composition and structure are important factors determining biological diversity including pests and natural enemires in agricultural ecosystem. This study was conducted to indentify effect of landscape composition on occurrence of lepidopteran pest population in Geochang, Gyoungdnam. For this, orchard characteristics and management practices were surveyed in 80 conventional apple orchards in Geochang, Korea, along with the monitoring of pest population densities. The landscape features of each surveyed orchard also obtained by extracting information from the public-service map. Grapholita molesta was the most dominat and damaging pest followed by Phyllonorycter ringoniella and Carposina sasakii in trap catches. Adoxophyes paraorana occurrences were low. Farmers spray insecticides and fungicides ap. 12.4 times per year respectively while acaricides were sprayed 2.4 times. Major landscape features such as surrounding apple orchard or paddy field did not influence the pest populations but presence of plum, peach, wild peach, graph, and even abandoned orchards significantly resulted in higher pest population mostly on G. molesta. C. sasakii population was higher in orchards with grape, peach, and P. ringoniella with peach, grape, abandoned orchards and jujube. Results highlight the need of landscape management not only for the rural amenity but also for increasing functional diversity of agroecosystem as well as reducing pest population.

Relationship between Solar Radiation in Complex Terrains and Shaded Relief Images (복잡지형에서의 일사량과 휘도 간의 관계 구명)

  • Yun, Eun-Jeong;Kim, Dae-Jun;Kim, Jin-Hee;Kang, Dae-Gyoon;Kim, Soo-Ock;Kim, Yongseok
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.283-294
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    • 2021
  • Solar radiation is an important meteorological factor in the agricultural sector. The ground exposed to sunlight is highly influenced by the surrounding terrains especially in South Korea where the topology is complex. The solar radiation on an inclined surface is estimated using a solar irradiance correction factor for the slope of the terrain along with the solar radiation on a horizontal surface. However, such an estimation method assumes that there is no barrier in surroundings, which blocks sunlight from the sky. This would result in errors in estimation of solar radiation because the effect of shading caused by the surrounding terrain has not been taken into account sufficiently. In this study, the shading effect was simulated to obtain the brightness value (BV), which was used as a correction factor. The shaded relief images, which were generated using a 30m-resolution digital elevation model (DEM), were used to derive the BVs. These images were also prepared using the position of the sun and the relief of the terrain as inputs. The gridded data where the variation of direct solar radiation was quantified as brightness were obtained. The value of cells in the gridded data ranged from 0 (the darkest value) to 255 (the brightest value). The BV analysis was performed using meteorological observation data at 22 stations installed in study area. The observed insolation was compared with the BV of each point under clear and cloudless condition. It was found that brightness values were significantly correlated with the solar radiation, which confirmed that shading due to terrain could explain the variation in direct solar radiation. Further studies are needed to accurately estimate detailed solar radiation using shaded relief images and brightness values.

Effect Analysis of Offshore Wind Farms on VHF band Communications (VHF 대역 통신에 대한 해상풍력 발전단지의 영향성 분석)

  • Oh, Seongwon;Park, Taeyong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.307-313
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    • 2022
  • As the development of renewable energy expands internationally to cope with global warming and climate change, the share of wind power generation has been gradually increasing. Although wind farms can produce electric power for 24 h a day compared to solar power plants, Their interfere with the operation of nearby radars or communication equipment must be analyzed because large-scale wind power turbines are installed. This study analyzed whether a land radio station can receive sufficient signals when a ship sailing outside the offshore wind farm transmits distress signals on the VHF band. Based on the geographic information system digital map around the target area, wind turbine CAD model, and wind farm layout, the area of interest and wind farm were modeled to enable numerical analysis. Among the high frequency analysis techniques suitable for radio wave analysis in a wide area, a dedicated program applying physical optics (PO) and shooting and bouncing ray (SBR) techniques were used. Consequently, the land radio station could receive the electromagnetic field above the threshold of the VHF receiver when a ship outside the offshore wind farm transmitted a distress communication signal. When the line of sight between the ships and the land station are completely blocked, the strength of the received field decreases, but it is still above the threshold. Hence, although a wind farm is a huge complex, a land station can receive the electromagnetic field from the ship's VHF transmitter because the wave length of the VHF band is sufficiently long to have effects such as diffraction or reflection.

A study on the range of native seed habitat analysis using Seedzones and MaxEnt (잠정종자이동구역과 종분포모형을 이용한 자생 종자 분포 범위 연구)

  • Kim, Chae-Young;Kim, Whee-Moon;Song, Won-Kyong;Choi, Jaeyong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.57-74
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    • 2022
  • Seed zones were constructed using temperature and precipitation data for the Korean Peninsula and were described as 65 zones. Seed zones for South Korea were reclassified, and they were classified into 34 districts. This study was conducted to define the spread of 5 native seed species (Pinus densiflora, Quercus acutissima, Quercus variabilis, Acer pictum, Carpinus tschonoskii) by linking the seed zones with MaxEnt. The emergence point of native seeds was acquired through the 1:5,000 Forest Type Map and the 4th national natural environment survey data. Based on the MaxEnt result, regions with a habitat probability of 0.5 or more were extracted and overlapped with seed zones to identify the native seed habitat. After analyzing the climate regions with high habitat density, regions with high habitat density of native seeds for each administrative district were identified. In the case of Pinus densiflora, Quercus acutissima, and Quercus variabilis, the Winter minimum temperature(WMT) -9.4~-6.6℃, Annual Heat:Moisture(AH:M) 19~24℃/m was 37%, 43%, and 34%, respectively. occupied the largest area. In Acer pictum, WMT -6.6~-3.8℃ and AH:M 16~19℃/m accounted for 42% of the area, and Carpinus tschonoskii had WMT -3.8~-1.1℃, AH:M <16℃/m Districts accounted for the largest area at 33%. The regions with high density of Pinus densiflora, Quercus acutissima, and Quercus variabilis by administrative district were distributed in high density in Seoul, Southern Gyeonggi-do, Chungcheong-do, and Gyeongsangbuk-do. Acer pictum was distributed in high density in Jeolla-do and Gyeongsang-do, and Carpinus tschonoskii in Jeju, Jeollanam-do and Gyeongsangnam-do. Through this study, seed zones for each of the 5 native seeds were established, and it is expected to provide basic data for the management of native seeds.

Derivation of Suitable-Site Environmental Factors in Robinia pseudoacacia Stands Using Type I Quantification Theory (수량화이론 I방법에 의한 아까시나무 임분의 적지 환경인자 도출)

  • Kim, Sora;Song, Jungeun;Park, Chunhee;Min, Suhui;Hong, Sunghee;Lim, Jongsoo;Son, Yeongmo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.111 no.3
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    • pp.428-434
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    • 2022
  • This study was conducted to derive the site index of forest productivity of Robinia pseudoacacia (honey plant) to characterize suitable planting sites and to investigate the effect of the site environmental factors on the site index using the quantification theory I method. The data used in the analysis were growth factors (stand age, dominant height, etc.) of the 6th national forest resources survey and various site environmental factors of a forest soil map (1:5,000). The average site index value of the R. pseudoacacia stand in Korea was 14 (range, 8 to 18). The environmental factors affecting the site index were parent rock, climatic zone, soil texture, local topography, and altitude. The accuracy of the estimation model using quantification theory I was only 33%. However, the correlation between the site index and the site environmental factors was statistically significant at the 1% level. Results of quantification analysis between site index and site environmental factors revealed that metamorphic and igneous rocks received high grades as parent rocks, climate zones received higher grades than central temperate zone, clay loam and silt loam received high grades in soil texture, and hillside received a high grade in local topography. Analysis of the partial correlation between site topographical factors and forest productivity (site index) found that soil class and altitude were partially correlated to x by 0.4129 and 0.4023, respectively, indicating that these factors are the most influential variables.

Determination of Floodplain Restoration Area Based on Old Maps and Analysis on Flood Storage Effects of Flood Mitigation Sections (고지도를 활용한 홍수터 복원 구역 선정 및 홍수완충공간의 홍수 저류효과 분석)

  • Dong-jin Lee;Un Ji;Sanghyuk Kim;Hong-Kyu Ahn;Eun-kyung Jang
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.40-49
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    • 2023
  • To reduce the damage of extreme flooding caused by climate change and to create flood mitigation sections in a nature-friendly riparian area, it is necessary to restore the floodplain area by referring to the past floodplain section of the current inland waterfront area before the levee was built. This study proposed a method of selecting a location for floodplain restoration using old maps of the Geum River study section and analyzed the effect of flood level reduction through unsteady flow numerical simulations using the floodplain as a flood mitigation space. As a result of analyzing changes in the river areas using old maps, the river section was estimated to gradually reduce by 27.8% (1,059,380 m2) in 2020 compared to 1919, and it was found to have an effective storage capacity of 2,200,868 m3 when restored to offline storage. The flood level and discharge control effects analyzed based on HEC-RAS unsteady flow simulation were 16 cm and 219.01 m3/s, respectively, in the downstream cross-section. In the numerical simulation in this paper, the flood mitigation space was applied as an offline reservoir. The effect of reducing the flood level may differ if levee retreat/relocation is applied.

The Impact of Servicescapes of Global Coffee Franchise Store on Customer Satisfaction and Loyalty: The Case Study of 'C' Franchising Company in Mongolia (글로벌 커피 프랜차이즈 전문점의 서비스스케이프가 고객만족과 충성도에 미치는 영향 : 몽골의 'C' 기업의 사례 연구)

  • Samdan, Davaasuren;Han, Young-Wee;An, Dae-Sun
    • The Korean Journal of Franchise Management
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.19-29
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - Due to the increase in coffee consumption and competition, domestic coffee franchise companies are currently entering the overseas market. Therefore, coffee franchise companies are pursuing a variety of marketing strategies to meet customer needs and gain competitive advantage in overseas markets. From this perspective, overseas franchise companies need to ensure that their servicescapes meet the needs of their overseas customers. For these purposes, the study is to identify the impact servicescapes on customer satisfaction and customer loyalty focused on Global Coffee Franchise Company "C", which extended its business worldwide in Mongolia. Research design, data, and methodology - The data were collected from customers who had visited the stores of 'C' company in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia. 435 valid questionnaires collected through online survey coded and analyzed using frequency, confirmatory factor analysis, correlations analysis, and structural equation modeling with SPSS 24 and SmartPLS 3.0. Result - Firstly, seating comfort, facility aesthetics, and cleanliness, ambient conditions among servicescapes influenced customer satisfaction. Secondly, servicescapes didn't affect the loyalty directly. Third, customer satisfaction had positive effect on loyalty. Fourthly, cleanliness which was ranked lower in Korea had a great effect on customer satisfaction in Mongolia. Fifthly, IPMA(Importance-performance map analysis) shows that the importance of servicescapes is higher for women than for men, and facility aesthetics for female and cleanliness is the most important for male. Conclusions - The results of this study show that there is a positive (+) effect on customer satisfaction in order of cleanliness, ambient conditions, aesthetics, and seating comfort. Therefore, franchise companies considering or advancing into Mongolia should consider importance in order of cleanliness, ambient conditions and aesthetics when entering Mongolia market. For example, franchise managers should select Monday as a "clean day," and all merchants should spend all of their open hours and keep their stores clean in accordance with the head office manual. In addition, franchise managers need to hire a VMD (visual merchandising) experts to build up a physical environment that will effectively highlight the space-specific display of the store so that Mongolian local customers can have a satisfactory climate and aesthetics. And, the IMPA analysis between servicescapes and customer satisfaction shows that women are more susceptible to servicescapes than men. Especially, in the case of women, the importance of esthetics is high, but the performance is low. Thus, if the aesthetics are actively improved, customer satisfaction can be effectively increased.