• 제목/요약/키워드: climate information

검색결과 1,732건 처리시간 0.032초

Generating global warming scenarios with probability weighted resampling and its implication in precipitation with nonparametric weather generator

  • Lee, Taesam;Park, Taewoong
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.226-226
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    • 2015
  • The complex climate system regarding human actions is well represented through global climate models (GCMs). The output from GCMs provides useful information about the rate and magnitude of future climate change. Especially, the temperature variable is most reliable among other GCM outputs. However, hydrological variables (e.g. precipitation) from GCM outputs for future climate change contain too high uncertainty to use in practice. Therefore, we propose a method that simulates temperature variable with increasing in a certain level (e.g. 0.5oC or 1.0oC increase) as a global warming scenario from observed data. In addition, a hydrometeorological variable can be simulated employing block-wise sampling technique associated with the temperature simulation. The proposed method was tested for assessing the future change of the seasonal precipitation in South Korea under global warming scenario. The results illustrate that the proposed method is a good alternative to levy the variation of hydrological variables under global warming condition.

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SWAT모형과 CMIP5 자료를 이용한 기후변화에 따른 농업용 저수지 기후변화 영향 평가 (Assessing the Climate Change Impacts on Agricultural Reservoirs using the SWAT model and CMIP5 GCMs)

  • 조재필;황세운;고광돈;김광용;김정대
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제57권5호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2015
  • The study aimed to project inflows and demmands for the agricultural reservoir watersheds in South Korea considering a variety of regional characteristics and the uncertainty of future climate information. The study bias-corrected and spatially downscaled retrospective daily Global Climate Model (GCM) outputs under Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 emission scenarios using non-parametric quantile mapping method to force Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. Using the historical simulation, the skills of un-calibrated SWAT model (without calibration process) was evaluated for 5 reservoir watersheds (selected as well-monitored representatives). The study then, evaluated the performance of 9 GCMs in reproducing historical upstream inflow and irrigation demand at the five representative reservoirs. Finally future inflows and demands for 58 watersheds were projected using 9 GCMs projections under the two RCP scenarios. We demonstrated that (1) un-calibrated SWAT model is likely applicable to agricultural watershed, (2) the uncertainty of future climate information from different GCMs is significant, (3) multi-model ensemble (MME) shows comparatively resonable skills in reproducing water balances over the study area. The results of projection under the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenario generally showed the increase of inflow by 9.4% and 10.8% and demand by 1.4% and 1.7%, respectively. More importantly, the results for different seasons and reservoirs varied considerably in the impacts of climate change.

Quantifying Climate Regulation of Terrestrial Ecosystems Using a Land-Atmosphere Interaction Model Over East Asia for the Last Half Century

  • Hong, Seungbum;Jang, Inyoung;Jeong, Heon-Mo
    • Proceedings of the National Institute of Ecology of the Republic of Korea
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.58-67
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    • 2020
  • Terrestrial ecosystems influence climate change via their climate regulation function, which is manifested within the carbon, water, and energy circulation between the atmosphere and surface. However, it has been challenging to quantify the climate regulation of terrestrial ecosystems and identify its regional distribution, which provides useful information for establishing regional climate-mitigation plans as well as facilitates better understanding of the interactions between the climate and land processes. In this study, a land surface model (LSM) that represents the land-atmosphere interactions and plant phenological variations was introduced to assess the contributions of terrestrial ecosystems to atmospheric warming or cooling effects over East Asia over the last half century. Three main climate-regulating components were simulated: net radiation flux, carbon exchange, and moisture flux at the surface. Then, the contribution of each component to the atmospheric warming or cooling (negative or positive feedback to the atmosphere, respectively) was investigated. The results showed that the terrestrial ecosystem over the Siberian region has shown a relatively large increase in positive feedback due to the enhancement of biogeochemical processes, indicating an offset effect to delay global warming. Meanwhile, the Gobi Desert shows different regional variations: increase in positive feedback in its southern part but increase in negative one in its eastern part, which implies the eastward movements of desert areas. As such, even though the LSM has limitations, this model approach to quantify the climate regulation is useful to extract the relevant characteristics in its spatio-temporal variations.

기초 및 광역지자체 기후변화 취약성 평가를 위한 웹기반 지원 도구(VESTAP) 개발 (Development of Web-Based Supporting Tool (VESTAP) for Climate Change Vulnerability Assesment in Lower and Municipal-Level Local Governments)

  • 오관영;이명진;한도은
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2016
  • 기후변화는 환경 분야에서 가장 주목받는 화두이며, 인류에게 직면한 가장 도적적인 과제이다. 이러한 문제를 해결하는 방법은 다양하지만, 우리나라의 경우 국가 차원의 1~2차 국가기후변화 적응대책을 수립하고, 각 광역 및 기초 지자체의 기후변화 적응 시행대책 수립을 의무화하고 있다. 기후변화 취약성 평가는 기후변화 적응 시행대책을 수립함에 있어 필수적인 역할을 담당한다. 그러나 취약성 평가는 다양한 영향인자의 복합적 연산을 통해 도출됨으로 개별적인 평가를 수행하기에는 어려움이 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 기초 및 광역 지자체 차원에서 활용 가능한 웹기반 기후변화 취약성 평가 지원도구(VESTAP)를 개발하였다. VESTAP은 크게 지표 DB와 취약성 평가 및 표출 도구로 구성되어 있다. 지표 DB는 RCP(Representative Concentration Pathways) 4.5와 8.5로 모의된 총 455개의 미래 기후자료, 대기 환경자료, 기타 인문사회통계 자료와 그에 따른 메타데이터 정보를 포함한다. 표출 도구는 각 취약성 평가의 결과에 대한 공간분포, 편향성, 도표화 등 다양한 분석 기능을 제공함으로써 편의성을 극대화 하였다. VESTAP를 활용하여 세종특별자치시에 대한 미세먼지에 의한 건강 취약성 평가를 시범적으로 수행하였으며, 부강면이 상대적으로 취약성이 가장 높은 수치를 나타냈다. 개발된 도구를 활용하여 각 지자체는 보다 쉽고, 편리하게, 그리고 과학적 증거에 기반한 기후변화 적응 시행대책을 수립할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

기후변화 대응을 위한 농장수준 농업정보 생산 (Production of Farm-level Agro-information for Adaptation to Climate Change)

  • 문경환;서형호;신민지;송은영;오순자
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.158-166
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    • 2019
  • 농민이 농장에서 적지적작 기술을 구현하는 것은 기후변화에 적응하기 위한 효과적인 방법이 된다. 농민이 농장 수준에서부터 최적의 작물을 선택하고 최적의 재배기술을 구사하는데 농장의 기상과 작물의 생육상태를 실시간으로 파악하고 다양한 기술의 적용 결과를 사전에 모의해 볼 수 있다면 큰 도움이 될 것이다. 이를 시험하기 위하여 고랭지배추 주산지역을 대상으로 농업용 전자기후도와 작물 생육모형 기술을 결합하여 농장의 상세 기상과 작물 생육정보를 생산하는 시스템을 개발하였다. 이 시스템은 농장 수준의 농업 실황정보를 생산하여 농민에게 직접 제공할 수 있는 유력한 도구로 활용될 수 있다는 결과를 얻었다. 이러한 방식으로 농민이 직접 이용할 수 있도록 하기 위해서는 앞으로도 정보 생산 속도의 개선, 일부 기상요소에 대한 소기후 모형의 개발 및 여러 옵션을 시험해 볼 수 있도록 작물 생육모형을 개선하는 것 등이 필요하였다.

WRF V3.3 모형을 활용한 CESM 기후 모형의 역학적 상세화 (Application of the WRF Model for Dynamical Downscaling of Climate Projections from the Community Earth System Model (CESM))

  • 서지현;심창섭;홍지연;강성대;문난경;황윤섭
    • 대기
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.347-356
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    • 2013
  • The climate projection with a high spatial resolution is required for the studies on regional climate changes. The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) has provided downscaled RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) scenarios over Korea with 1 km spatial resolution. If there are additional climate projections produced by dynamically downscale, the quality of impacts and vulnerability assessments of Korea would be improved with uncertainty information. This technical note intends to instruct the methods to downscale the climate projections dynamically from the Community Earth System Model (CESM) to the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model. In particular, here we focus on the instruction to utilize CAM2WRF, a sub-program to link output of CESM to initial and boundary condition of WRF at Linux platform. We also provide the example of the dynamically downscaled results over Korean Peninsula with 50 km spatial resolution for August, 2020. This instruction can be helpful to utilize global scale climate scenarios for studying regional climate change over Korean peninsula with further validation and uncertainty/bias analysis.

Trends in the effects of climate change on terrestrial ecosystems in the Republic of Korea

  • Choi, Sei-Woong;Kong, Woo-Seok;Hwang, Ga-Young;Koo, Kyung Ah
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제45권3호
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    • pp.117-129
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    • 2021
  • In this review, we aimed to synthesize the current knowledge on the observed and projected effects of climate change on the ecosystems of Korea (i.e., the Republic of Korea (ROK) or South Korea), as well as the main causes of vulnerability and options for adaptation in these ecosystems based on a range of ecological and biogeographical data. To this end, we compiled a set of peer-reviewed papers published since 2014. We found that publication of climate-related studies on plants has decreased in the field of plant phenology and physiology, whereas such publication has rapidly increased in plant and animal community ecology, reflecting the range shifts and abundance change that are occurring under climate change. Plant phenology studies showed that climate change has increased growing seasons by advancing the timing of flowering and budburst while delaying the timing of leafing out. Community ecology studies indicated that the future ranges of cold-adapted plants and animals could shrink or shift toward northern and high-elevation areas, whereas the ranges of warm-adapted organisms could expand and/or shift toward the areas that the aforementioned cold-adapted biota previously occupied. This review provides useful information and new insights that will improve understanding of climate change effects on the ecosystems of Korea. Moreover, it will serve as a reference for policy-makers seeking to establish future sectoral adaptation options for protection against climate change.

The Effectiveness of Financial Sources for Climate Change in Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Thi Nhung;NGUYEN, Minh Hoa;VU, Thi Phuong Anh;DO, Thi Hoang Anh
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.189-199
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    • 2023
  • This research aims to give information about the current situation of five financial sources for climate change in Vietnam, including (i) the State budget used by ministries; (ii) the State budget used by provinces; (iii) Bilateral funds; (iv) Multilateral funds; and (v) Private funds, and then classify them in line with the effectiveness. The working paper's secondary data on spending on CC-related activities, collected from reports of six ministries and 29 provinces, show that the State budget has been crucial in subsidizing CC-related activities in Vietnam. Moreover, domestic investment has accounted for a major part of the total expenditure of ministries and provinces for climate change. In addition, by using primary data collected from surveys sent to twelve experts from 5 groups, such as researchers, practical experts, managers of private funding organizations (such as banks and enterprises), managers of international funding organizations and beneficiaries, and then analyzing the data through the AHP method, the study shows that all climate finance sources in Vietnam are still not very effective. However, private sector funds are considered the most effective financial source for responding to climate change.

Information Sharing and Creativity in a Virtual Team: Roles of Authentic Leadership, Sharing Team Climate and Psychological Empowerment

  • Hahm, SangWoo
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제11권8호
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    • pp.4105-4119
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    • 2017
  • Creativity is crucial in an ever-changing e-business environment. The creation of new value is essential for companies to gain the competitive edge and to pioneer new markets in e-business. Hence, many companies in e-business operate virtual teams as they are suitable to generate creativity. Even so, virtual teams possess the inherent weakness of a lack of cohesiveness. Hence, for a virtual team to be creative, team members should help each other and share information. This study emphasizes the importance of information sharing that is supposed to improve creativity and explains how to increase them for virtual teams. To explain these relationships, three dimensions are routinely examined in organizational behavior studies: leaders, teams, and members. As a consequence, and through empirical analysis, authentic leadership, sharing team climate, and psychological empowerment enhances information sharing and creativity through their respective roles, in addition to information sharing directly increasing creativity. To improve creativity and information sharing of virtual team members in e-business, this article has highlighted the importance of the three roles stated prior. Such factors can increase information sharing and creativity, and will help virtual teams and organizations to be more successful in e-business.