• Title/Summary/Keyword: climate change indicators

검색결과 156건 처리시간 0.045초

한반도 영향 태풍의 경로 유형에 따른 섬진강댐 유역의 수문변동 특성분석 (Hydrologic variability in the Sumjin river dam basin according to typhoon genesis pattern)

  • 강호영;최지혁;김종석;문영일
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
    • /
    • 제50권4호
    • /
    • pp.233-239
    • /
    • 2017
  • 본 연구에서는 한반도의 대표적인 다목적 댐인 섬진강댐을 대상으로 한반도에 영향을 미치는 태풍과 태풍의 발생에 따른 유출특성변화를 분석하였다. 태풍영향 도메인을 적용하여 태풍의 이동 경로를 유형화하고 태풍유량을 정량화하고, 태풍정보와 대상유역의 수문변화지표의 순위분석과 상관분석을 통하여 기후변화의 적응과 대책수립에 대한 정보를 제공하고자 한다. 한반도 태풍도메인을 통과한 한반도 영향 태풍(n)은 첨두유량의 규모와 발생시기의 변화에는 많은 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 그러나 첨두유량의 발생빈도와 지속시간은 한반도 영향 태풍과 상대적으로 관계가 적은 것으로 분석되었다. 이러한 변화는 상관성 분석결과에서도 확인할 수 있었다. 첨두유량의 발생규모(correlation coefficient = 0.41)와 첨두발생시간(correlation coefficient = 0.83)은 한반도 영향 태풍(n)과 양의 상관관계가 나타났다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 섬진강 댐을 대상으로 한반도 영향 태풍의 경로를 유형화하고, 각 태풍 유형에 따라 섬진강 댐 유역의 수문변동에 대한 특성을 분석하였다. 이는 한반도 수생태계환경 시스템 변화에 대한 대응방안의 기초자료를 제공할 것으로 기대된다.

우리나라 가구의 식품소비 및 지출 변화 분석 (Analysis of Changes in Household Food Consumption and Expenditure in Korea)

  • 허성윤;이계임;김상효
    • 유통과학연구
    • /
    • 제16권9호
    • /
    • pp.79-99
    • /
    • 2018
  • Purpose - Food consumption in Korea has changed in paradigm as it has grown qualitatively in the past in quantitative shortages. Consumer food consumption patterns are rapidly changing due to changes in economic, social and population conditions, scientific and technological development, climate change, and market opening. At the same time, there is a need to actively respond to these changes in terms of the food industry, market, and government policy. The purpose of this study is to examine the changes and characteristics of food consumption expenditure of Korean consumers in-depth and depth in order to provide implications for agriculture, food market and policymakers. Research design, data, and methodology - We analyzed various food consumption changes from the 1980s to 2015 through Household Income and Expenditure Survey raw data from MDIS(Microdata Integrated Service) of Statistics Korea. and conducted the age effect, generation effect, and year effect by cohort analysis. We also conducted comparisons with OECD countries on several indicators. Results - Food consumption spending was slow, and there was no significant change in home consumption, while eating out consumption increased about 20 times in 2015 compared to 1980. Income, age, residential area, number of household members showed significant changes in food consumption. According to the cohort analysis, the changes in the food consumption structure are largely due to age effect, and the year, age, and generation effects are different for each food item. Conclusions - Food consumption has a significant impact on not only the nutritional status of consumers but ultimately the public health. Therefore, they should be regarded as a strategic policy area of central government rather than a matter of size and change of food consumption expenditure.

작물모형의 생물계절 및 잠재수량 예측력 개선 방법 탐색: I. 유전 모수 정보 향상으로 콩의 개화시기 및 잠재수량 예측력 향상이 가능한가? (Exploring Ways to Improve the Predictability of Flowering Time and Potential Yield of Soybean in the Crop Model Simulation)

  • 정유란;신평;서명철
    • 한국농림기상학회지
    • /
    • 제19권4호
    • /
    • pp.203-214
    • /
    • 2017
  • 본 연구에서는 진주, 수원, 춘천의 정보로만 추정한 유전 모수(New1~New3)와 지역 조합으로 추정한 유전 모수(New4~New7), NICS (2010)와 Kim et al. (2004)의 유전 모수의 개화시기 및 잠재수량의 예측력을 평가하여 기존의 유전 정보와 새로운 유전 정보에 대한 불확실 정도를 알고 다음 후속 연구에 활용 가능성을 알아보고자 수행했다. 결과적으로, 개별 및 지역조합 유전 모수에서 모수 추정 지점 혹은 참여한 지점의 유전 모수의 평가 지표들은 비교적 좋은 결과를 보여 주었지만 뚜렷하게 나타나지 않았다. 대구, 밀양, 전주에서 New7 유전 모수의 개화시기의 예측력은 NICS (2010)나 Kim et al. (2004)의 유전 모수의 개화 시기 예측력보다 개선되지 않았다. 그러나 New7 유전 모수의 잠재수량의 예측력은 큰 차이는 아니지만 NICS (2010)나 Kim et al. (2004)의 유전 모수의 잠재 수량 예측력보다 개선되는 현상을 보였다. 예를 들면, 밀양에서 NICS (2010)와 Kim et al. (2004)의 유전 모수의 잠재수량 결정계수가 0.00과 0.01로 전혀 예측력이 없는 것으로 평가하였지만 New7 유전 모수의 잠재수량 결정계수는 0.31로 나타났다. 반면, 전주에서 NICS (2010)과 Kim et al. (2004)의 유전 모수의 잠재수량 결정계수는 0.66과 0.41로 평가되었는데, New7 유전 모수의 잠재수량 결정계수는 0.00으로 예측력이 없는 것으로 평가되었다. 새로운 유전 모수의 예측력(New1~New7)이 기존의 유전 모수(NICS (2010)과 Kim et al. (2004))의 예측력보다 크게 개선되지는 않았지만, 평가 결과가 좋은 지역 조합 유전 모수를 지역별 개화시기 및 잠재수량을 예측하는 데에는 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

The Effect of Economic Growth and Urbanization on Poverty Reduction in Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Huyen Thi Thanh;NGUYEN, Chau Van;NGUYEN, Cong Van
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • 제7권7호
    • /
    • pp.229-239
    • /
    • 2020
  • This article aims to measure the impact of economic growth and urbanization on poverty reduction in Vietnam, and verify whether economic growth and urbanization will help reduce poverty rates. Data for this study are tabular data related to growth, urbanization and poverty at the provincial level for the period of nine years, from 2006 to 2014 provided by the Vietnam General Statistics Office and the Vietnam General Department of Customs. The level of economic growth and urbanization mentioned in the study is reflected in such indicators as GDP value, exports value, imports value, urbanization rate and employment rate. The authors used logistic regression models with fixed-effects and logistic regression models with random effects. With 5% confidence level tested by the Chi-Square test of Hausman trial with the fixed-effect model, research results show that: (1) factors with significant negative impact on the poverty rate include imports value, urbanization rate and, employment rate; (2) factors that do not affect the poverty rate include exports value and GDP value. Based on the research results, this study proposes a number of policy recommendations to help promote economic growth, to sustain the urbanization process, and to contribute directly and positively to poverty reduction in Vietnam.

Assessment of Agricultural Environment Using Remote Sensing and GIS

  • Hong Suk Young
    • 한국작물학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국작물학회 2005년도 국제학술회의
    • /
    • pp.75-87
    • /
    • 2005
  • Remote sensing(RS)- and geographic information system(GIS)-based information management to measure and assess agri-environment schemes, and to quantify and map environment indicators for nature and land use, climate change, air, water and energy balance, waste and material flow is in high demand because it is very helpful in assisting decision making activities of farmers, government, researchers, and consumers. The versatility and ability of RS and GIS containing huge soil database to assess agricultural environment spatially and temporally at various spatial scales were investigated. Spectral and microwave observations were carried out to characterize crop variables and soil properties. Multiple sources RS data from ground sensors, airborne sensors, and also satellite sensors were collected and analyzed to extract features and land cover/use for soils, crops, and vegetation for support precision agriculture, soil/land suitability, soil property estimation, crop growth estimation, runoff potential estimation, irrigated and the estimation of flooded areas in paddy rice fields. RS and GIS play essential roles in a management and monitoring information system. Biosphere-atmosphere interection should also be further studied to improve synergistic modeling for environment and sustainability in agri-environment schemes.

  • PDF

분위사상법을 적용한 RCP 시나리오 기반 시군별 홍수 위험도 평가 (Flood Risk Assessment Based on Bias-Corrected RCP Scenarios with Quantile Mapping at a Si-Gun Level)

  • 박지훈;강문성;송인홍
    • 한국농공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제55권4호
    • /
    • pp.73-82
    • /
    • 2013
  • The main objective of this study was to evaluate Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenarios-based flood risk at a Si-Gun level. A bias correction using a quantile mapping method with the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution was performed to correct future precipitation data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). A series of proxy variables including CN80 (Number of days over 80 mm) and CX3h (Maximum precipitation during 3-hr) etc. were used to carry out flood risk assessment. Indicators were normalized by a Z-score method and weighted by factors estimated by principal component analysis (PCA). Flood risk evaluation was conducted for the four different time periods, i.e. 1990s, 2025s, 2055s, and 2085s, which correspond to 1976~2005, 2011~2040, 2041~2070, and 2071~2100. The average flood risk indices based on RCP4.5 scenario were 0.08, 0.16, 0.22, and 0.13 for the corresponding periods in the order of time, which increased steadily up to 2055s period and decreased. The average indices based on RCP8.5 scenario were 0.08, 0.23, 0.11, and 0.21, which decreased in the 2055s period and then increased again. Considering the average index during entire period of the future, RCP8.5 scenario resulted in greater risk than RCP4.5 scenario.

벡터매개 질병(vector-borne diseases) 공간역학을 중심으로 한 보건지리학의 최근 연구 (Reviews in Medical Geography: Spatial Epidemiology of Vector-Borne Diseases)

  • 박선엽;한대권
    • 대한지리학회지
    • /
    • 제47권5호
    • /
    • pp.677-699
    • /
    • 2012
  • 기후변화가 가져올 벡터매개 질병(vector-borne diseases or VBDs)의 증가는 인구 집단의 건강에 대한 중요한 위협 요인이며, 앞으로 국제사회가 심각하게 대처해야 할 공중보건 문제로 부각되고 있다. 지구온난화로 대표되는 광범위한 기후변화로 한반도 기후 특성이 아열대화 되어가는 가운데, 토지이용, 인구분포, 생태환경 변화에 따른 영향으로 각종 질병의 발생과 확산 가능성이 유례없이 높아지고 있다. 특히, 모기, 진드기와 같은 매개체에 의해 전염되는 벡터매개 질병은 최근 20년 동안 이들 매개 곤충의 서식범위가 확대되어 질병 발생 빈도가 현격하게 증가했다. 보건지리학은 국지적인 환경과 보건 자료뿐 아니라 보다 광역적인 자료들을 통합하여 처리, 분석하고, 공간 및 비공간 자료간의 연관성 또는 상호관계를 파악하여 궁극적으로 질병의 시공간적 변화를 탐구하는 것에 초점을 두고 발전되어 왔다. 인문 및 자연환경 요인들을 GIS를 통해 다면적으로 분석하여, 개인의 건강관련 지표들과의 상관성을 기술하고 분석하는 공간역학(spatial epidemiology)은 보건지리학의 새로운 영역으로, 공간과학, 환경과학, 그리고 역학을 세 가지 주요 축으로 하여 급속히 성장하고 있다. 향후 보건지리학이 기여할 수 있는 주요 연구영역 중 하나로는, 보건 연구에서 주요 수단으로 사용되고 있는 보건 감시체계에 지리정보시스템을 기반으로 한 모니터링 시스템을 도입하는 것을 들 수 있다. 특히, 실시간 모니터링 방법론, 조기발생 감식 시스템의 구축, 그리고 관련 요인들의 공간변이를 예측하는 연구 등은 벡터매개 질병의 역학을 이해하는 데 필수적인 주요 연구 과제들이 될 것이다.

  • PDF

Precision monitoring of radial growth of trees and micro-climate at a Korean Fir (Abies koreana Wilson) forest at 10 minutes interval in 2016 on Mt. Hallasan National Park, Jeju Island, Korea

  • Kim, Eun-Shik;Cho, Hong-Bum;Heo, Daeyoung;Kim, Nae-Soo;Kim, Young-Sun;Lee, Kyeseon;Lee, Sung-Hoon;Ryu, Jaehong
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
    • /
    • 제43권2호
    • /
    • pp.226-245
    • /
    • 2019
  • To understand the dynamics of radial growth of trees and micro-climate at a site of Korean fir (Abies koreana Wilson) forest on high-altitude area of Mt. Hallasan National Park, Jeju Island, Korea, high precision dendrometers were installed on the stems of Korean fir trees, and the sensors for measuring micro-climate of the forest at 10 minutes interval were also installed at the forest. Data from the sensors were sent to nodes, collected to a gateway wireless, and transmitted to a data server using mobile phone communication system. By analyzing the radial growth data for the trees during the growing season in 2016, we can estimate that the radial growth of Korean fir trees initiated in late April to early May and ceased in late August to early September, which indicates that period for the radial growth was about 4 months in 2016. It is interesting to observe that the daily ambient temperature and the daily soil temperature at the depth of 20 cm coincided with the values of about 10 ℃ when the radial growth of the trees initiated in 2016. When the radial growth ceased, the values of the ambient temperature went down below about 15 ℃ and 16 ℃, respectively. While the ambient temperature and the soil temperature are evaluated to be the good indicators for the initiation and the cessation of radial growth, it becomes clear that radii of tree stems showed diurnal growth patterns affected by diurnal change of ambient temperature. In addition, the wetting and drying of the surface of the tree stems affected by precipitation became the additional factors that affect the expansion and shrinkage of the tree stems at the forest site. While it is interesting to note that the interrelationships among the micro-climatic factors at the forest site were well explained through this study, it should be recognized that the precision monitoring made possible with the application of high resolution sensors in the measurement of the radial increment combined with the observation of 10 minutes interval with aids of information and communication technology in the ecosystem observation.

Seasonal fluctuations and changing characteristics of a temperate zone wetland bird community

  • Lee, Soo-Dong;Kang, Hyun-Kyung
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
    • /
    • 제43권2호
    • /
    • pp.104-116
    • /
    • 2019
  • Background: The composition of wild bird populations in temperate zones greatly varies depending on phenological changes rather than other environmental factors. Particularly, wild birds appearing in wetlands fluctuate greatly due to the crossover of species arriving for breeding during the summer and for wintering. Therefore, to understand the changes to species composition related to phenology, we conducted this basic analysis of populations to further the cause of the protection of wetland-dependent wild birds. Methods: It is wrong to simply divide a wild bird population investigation into seasons. This study identifies species composition and indicator species that change along with seasons. Wetlands to be surveyed are protected by natural monuments and wetland inventory and are in a state close to nature. In order to identify as many species as possible in wetlands, a survey was conducted in both shallow and deep wetlands. The water depth varied in these areas, ranging from 0.2 to 2.0 m, allowing for both dabbling and diving ducks to inhabit the area. Surveys were conducted using line-transect and distance sampling methods and were conducted at intervals of 2 weeks. The survey was conducted under the following three categories: the eco-tone and emergent zone, the submergent zone, and the water surface. The survey was conducted along a wetland boundary by observing wild birds. A PC-ord program was used for clustering, and the SAS program was used to analyze the changes in species composition. The data strongly indicates that day length is the main factor for seasonal migration periods, despite the fact that climate change and increasing temperatures are often discussed. Results and conclusions: The indicator species for determining seasons include migrant birds such as Ardea cinerea, Alcedo atthis, Anas penelope, and Poiceps ruficollis, as well as resident birds such as Streptopelia orientalis and Emberiza elegans. Importantly, increases in local individual counts of these species may also serve as indicators. The survey results of seasonal fluctuations in temperate zones shows that spring (April to June), summer (July to September), autumn (October), and winter (November to March) are clearly distinguishable, even though spring and summer seasons tend to overlap, leading to the conclusion that additional research could more clearly identify fluctuation patterns in species composition and abundance in the study area.

광학센서를 활용한 산림분야 원격탐사 활용기술 (Forest Management Research using Optical Sensors and Remote Sensing Technologies)

  • 김은숙;원명수;김경민;박주원;이정수
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
    • /
    • 제35권6_2호
    • /
    • pp.1031-1035
    • /
    • 2019
  • 최근 국내 위성정보의 활용 기반이 급속히 확대되고 있다. 특히 2023년 발사 예정으로 사업이 추진 중인 농림위성의 개발은 산림분야 위성정보 활용의 획기적인 전환을 가져올 전망이다. 국립산림과학원은 학계 전문가와 함께 산림 분야의 원격탐사 활용기술에 대해 점검하고 향후 나아갈 방향을 제시하기 위해 본 대한원격탐사학회지 산림분야 특별호를 추진하게 되었다. 본 논문에서는 향후 농림위성과의 연계성을 확보하기 위해 광학센서를 활용한 산림분야 원격탐사 활용기술을 중심으로 산림부문의 연구개발 현황을 파악하였다. 최근 개발되고 있는 산림분야의 광학센서 활용기술은 크게 산림자원조사, 산림재해탐지, 산림생태계모니터링 등세 분야로 구분된다. 그리고 산림의 현황과 변화의 정확한 탐지를 위한 새로운 지표와 정보의 산출, 무인기 영상 및 신규 위성영상 등의 새로운 정보원 활용 방안 그리고 인공지능 기법의 활용을 통한 정확도 향상 기술에 대한 연구가 중점적으로 추진되고 있다.