• 제목/요약/키워드: climate change impacts

검색결과 513건 처리시간 0.025초

기후변화에 따른 공공기관 건축물의 리스크평가 (Risk Assessment of Public Agencies' Buildings due to Climate Change)

  • 최윤철
    • 대한건축학회논문집:구조계
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    • 제33권12호
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 2017
  • Climate change not only has various impacts such as human shoes, economics, the environment, industry, etc. but the damage caused by this is also increasing, it is expected that severe damage will not occur without efforts to respond to climate change ing. Therefore, as the impact of climate change like the extreme weather phenomenon is dailyized and its strength tends to become stronger, as much as the mitigation measures of climate change, as a comparative effort to reduce the negative impact of climate change, adaptation to climate change is necessary. Especially when the damage caused by climate change (intense heat, torrential rain, cold wave and heavy snow etc.) as an institution responsible for the provision of public services such as public institutions, the socio-economic spread to the nation and the people The effect is very large. We confirmed the level of response to climate change for the entire public institution, and selected climate change risk which is relatively important for specific facilities and business establishments of public institutions, climate change adaptation measures We will try to utilize it as basic material of establishment.

학교 기후 변화 교육의 현황과 과제 (The Current State and Tasks of School Climate Change Education)

  • 윤순진
    • 한국환경교육학회지:환경교육
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.1-22
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    • 2009
  • Even though climate change is visibly proceeding and public concern about climate change is increasing both nationally and internationally, teenagers' and students' perception of climate change is relatively low in Korea. Since climate change is a problem with long-term effects, it is young people including children and juveniles of the current generation and future generations who are more affected by climate change. They are the most interested party who should know why climate change happens, what kind of impacts will be given, and how to respond to the problem. Based on the aforementioned concern, this study aims to explore the extent and contents of school education with regard to climate change in Korea as well as in other advanced countries and to provide policy suggestions. This study finds that school climate change education requires consideration of multiple aspects including reorganization of school curriculum, revitalization of related programs by school, expansion of teachers' training chances, in which multiple institutions such as the Ministry of Environment, the Ministry of Education, Science and Technology, Offices of Education are related and, consequently, the activation of climate change education program is by no means simple. Therefore, for effective climate change education in schools, cooperation and coordination of related institutions are essential, along with development of diverse school education curriculums and programs and training programs for teachers.

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Global Assessment of Climate Change-Associated Drought Risk

  • 김혜진;김연주
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.397-397
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    • 2019
  • With the consequences of climate change becoming more evident, research on climate-associated risks has become a basis for climate adaptation and mitigation. Amongst the different sectors and natural resources considered in assessing such risks, drought is one impact to our environment that experiences stress from climate change but is often overlooked and has the potential to bring severe consequences when drought occurs. For example, when temperatures are higher, water demand increases and water supply decreases; when precipitation patterns fluctuate immensely, floods and droughts occur more frequently at greater magnitudes, putting stress on ecosystems. Hence, it is important for us to evaluate drought risk to observe how different climate change and socioeconomic scenarios can affect this vital life resource. In this study, we review the context of drought risk on the basis of climate change impacts and socioeconomic indicators. As underlined in the IPCC AR5 report, the risks are identified by understanding the vulnerability, exposure, and hazards of drought. This study analyzed drought risk on a global scale with different RCP scenarios projected until the year 2099 with a focus on the variables population, precipitation, water resources, and temperature.

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Coffee Production and Coffee Berry Borer (Hypothenemus hampei) Condition in Indonesia Related to Climate Change Effect

  • Tio Paragon Ritonga;Ohseok Kwon
    • Proceedings of the National Institute of Ecology of the Republic of Korea
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.28-36
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    • 2024
  • Effect of climate change on the agricultural sector has been predicted and studied, including its effects on coffee cultivation. Climate change can directly impact coffee production or indirectly influence it through its effects on coffee pests. In Indonesia, coffee is a critical export commodity. Climate change can have a large effect on many farmers if it is not addressed appropriately. This study summarizes several studies and data on how climate change affects coffee production and the coffee berry borer (CBB; Hypothenemus hampei) pest in Indonesia. Adaptation plans that can be employed to mitigate impacts of climate change are also summarized.

SWAT모형과 CMIP5 자료를 이용한 기후변화에 따른 농업용 저수지 기후변화 영향 평가 (Assessing the Climate Change Impacts on Agricultural Reservoirs using the SWAT model and CMIP5 GCMs)

  • 조재필;황세운;고광돈;김광용;김정대
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제57권5호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2015
  • The study aimed to project inflows and demmands for the agricultural reservoir watersheds in South Korea considering a variety of regional characteristics and the uncertainty of future climate information. The study bias-corrected and spatially downscaled retrospective daily Global Climate Model (GCM) outputs under Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 emission scenarios using non-parametric quantile mapping method to force Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. Using the historical simulation, the skills of un-calibrated SWAT model (without calibration process) was evaluated for 5 reservoir watersheds (selected as well-monitored representatives). The study then, evaluated the performance of 9 GCMs in reproducing historical upstream inflow and irrigation demand at the five representative reservoirs. Finally future inflows and demands for 58 watersheds were projected using 9 GCMs projections under the two RCP scenarios. We demonstrated that (1) un-calibrated SWAT model is likely applicable to agricultural watershed, (2) the uncertainty of future climate information from different GCMs is significant, (3) multi-model ensemble (MME) shows comparatively resonable skills in reproducing water balances over the study area. The results of projection under the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenario generally showed the increase of inflow by 9.4% and 10.8% and demand by 1.4% and 1.7%, respectively. More importantly, the results for different seasons and reservoirs varied considerably in the impacts of climate change.

표준강수증발산지수를 활용한 미래 가뭄특성의 시계열 변화전망 (Projection of Temporal Trends on Drought Characteristics using the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) in South Korea)

  • 남원호
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제57권1호
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2015
  • Recent droughts in South Korea have had large economic and environmental impacts across the country. Changes in rainfall and hydrologic patterns due to climate change can potentially increase the occurrence of extreme droughts and affect the future availability of water resources. Therefore, it is necessary to evaluate drought vulnerability for water resources planning and management, and identify the appropriate mitigation actions to conduct a drought risk analysis in the context of climate change. The objective of this study is changes in the temporal trends of drought characteristics in South Korea to examine drought impacts under climate change. First, the changes of drought occurrence were analyzed by applying the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) for meteorological data on 54 meteorological stations, and were analyzed for the past 30 years (1981-2010), and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) climate change scenarios (2011-2100). Second, the changes on the temporal trends of drought characteristics were performed using run theory, which was used to compare drought duration, severity, and magnitude to allow for quantitative evaluations under past and future climate conditions. These results show the high influence of climate change on drought phenomenon, and will contribute to water resources management and drought countermeasures to climate change.

GCM 공간상세화 방법별 기후변화에 따른 수문영향 평가 - 만경강 유역을 중심으로 - (Assessing Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change in the Mankyung Watershed with Different GCM Spatial Downscaling Methods)

  • 김동현;장태일;황세운;조재필
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제61권6호
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    • pp.81-92
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    • 2019
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate hydrologic impacts of climate change according to downscaling methods using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model at watershed scale. We used the APCC Integrated Modeling Solution (AIMS) for assessing various General Circulation Models (GCMs) and downscaling methods. AIMS provides three downscaling methods: 1) BCSA (Bias-Correction & Stochastic Analogue), 2) Simple Quantile Mapping (SQM), 3) SDQDM (Spatial Disaggregation and Quantile Delta Mapping). To assess future hydrologic responses of climate change, we adopted three GCMs: CESM1-BGC for flood, MIROC-ESM for drought, and HadGEM2-AO for Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) national standard scenario. Combined nine climate change scenarios were assessed by Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI). SWAT model was established at the Mankyung watershed and the applicability assessment was completed by performing calibration and validation from 2008 to 2017. Historical reproducibility results from BCSA, SQM, SDQDM of three GCMs show different patterns on annual precipitation, maximum temperature, and four selected ETCCDI. BCSA and SQM showed high historical reproducibility compared with the observed data, however SDQDM was underestimated, possibly due to the uncertainty of future climate data. Future hydrologic responses presented greater variability in SQM and relatively less variability in BCSA and SDQDM. This study implies that reasonable selection of GCMs and downscaling methods considering research objective is important and necessary to minimize uncertainty of climate change scenarios.

기후변화 적응 정보 통합지원 체계구축 및 정책적 활용방안 (Development and Policy Applications of Integrated Information System for Climate Change Adaptation)

  • 김근한;이명진;전성우;박송미;이은진
    • 환경정책연구
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.3-20
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    • 2013
  • 전 지구적으로 기후변화로 인한 영향이 심화됨에 따라, 피해 및 영향을 최소화하기 위한 기후변화 대응 중에서 적응은 필수가 되었다. 기후변화 적응 대책 수립을 위해서는 기후변화와 관련된 다양한 요인들을 동시에 고려해야 하며, 이를 위해 기후변화 적응 정보는 필수적인 기초자료로서 그 수요가 지속적으로 증가하고 있다. 그러나 현재 기후변화 적응과 관련된 정보는 중앙부처 및 기관, 분야별로 약 132개 사이트 및 시스템에서 제공되어 정확한 정보파악이 어려울 뿐만 아니라 대부분이 기후변화 전문 자료라기보다는 기후변화 현상에 대한 일반 자료에 국한되어 있어, 과학적으로 검증된 자료가 부족하고 신규 자료의 갱신 또한 어렵다. 이러한 한계점과 문제점을 인식하여, 기후변화 적응 정보를 통합적으로 제공하는 기후변화 적응 정보 통합지원 체계의 구축과 정책적 활용에 대하여 연구를 수행하였다. 이를 위해 첫째, 기후변화 적응 및 적응 정보에 대한 정의와 국내 기후변화 적응 정보 현황을 조사하였다. 둘째, 최종적으로 기후변화 적응 정보 통합지원을 위한 시스템의 단계별 구축방안을 제시하였으며, 마지막으로 적응정보 통합지원 체계 수립의 정책적 활용방안을 제시함으로써 통합지원 체계 수립에 대한 필요성을 논의하고자 한다. 기후 변화 적응정보 통합지원 체계의 구축은 기후변화 적응 정책의 의사결정에 효과적으로 활용할 수 있을 것이라 판단된다.

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장래 기후변화와 토지이용 변화에 따른 농촌소유역의 수문 영향 분석 (Climate and Land use Changes Impacts on Hydrology in a Rural Small Watershed)

  • 김학관;강문성;이은정;박승우
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제53권6호
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate the hydrologic impacts of climate and land use changes in a rural small watershed. HadCM3 (Hadley Centre Coupled Model, ver.3) A2 scenario and LARS-WG (Long Ashton Research Station - Weather Generator) were used to generate future climatic data. Future land use data were also generated by the CA-Markov (Cellular Automata-Markov) method. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to evaluate hydrologic impacts. The SWAT model was calibrated and validated with stream flow measured at the Baran watershed in Korea. The SWAT model simulation results agreed well with observed values during the calibration and validation periods. In this study, hydrologic impacts were analyzed according to three scenarios: future climate change (Scenario I), future land use change (Scenario II), and both future climate and land use changes (Scenario III). For Scenario I, the comparison results between a 30-year baseline period (1997~2004) and a future 30-year period (2011~2040) indicated that the total runoff, surface runoff, lateral subsurface runoff, groundwater discharge, and evapotranspiration increased as precipitation and temperature for the future 30-year period increased. The monthly variation analysis results showed that the monthly runoff for all months except September increased compared to the baseline period. For Scenario II, both the total and surface runoff increased as the built-up area, including the impervious surface, increased, while the groundwater discharge and evapotranspiration decreased. The monthly variation analysis results indicated that the total runoff increased in the summer season, when the precipitation was concentrated. In Scenario III, the results showed a similar trend to that of Scenario II. The monthly runoff for all months except October increased compared to the baseline period.

토양수분모형을 이용한 주요 밭작물의 미래 가뭄 전망 -전라남도 지역을 중심으로- (Climate Change Impacts on Agricultural Drought for Major Upland Crops using Soil Moisture Model -Focused on the Jeollanam-do-)

  • 홍은미;남원호;최진용
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제57권3호
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    • pp.65-76
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    • 2015
  • Estimating water requirements for upland crops are characterized by standing soil moisture condition during the entire crop growth period. However, scarce rainfall and intermittent dry spells often cause soil moisture depletion resulting in unsaturated condition in the fields. Changes in rainfall patterns due to climate change have significant influence on the increasing the occurrence of extreme soil moisture depletion. Therefore, it is necessary to evaluate agricultural drought for upland crop water planning and management in the context of climate change. The objective of this study is to predict the impacts of climate change on agricultural drought for upland crops and changes in the temporal trends of drought characteristics. First, the changes in crop evapotranspiration and soil moisture in the six upland crops, such as Soybeans, Maize, Potatoes, Red Peppers, Chinese Cabbage (spring and fall) were analyzed by applying the soil moisture model from commonly available crop and soil characteristics and climate data, and were analyzed for the past 30 years (1981-2010), and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) climate change scenarios (2011-2100). Second, the changes on the temporal trends of drought characteristics were performed using run theory, which was used to compare drought duration, severity, and magnitude to allow for quantitative evaluations under past and future climate conditions.