• 제목/요약/키워드: climate change impacts

검색결과 524건 처리시간 0.023초

기후변화에 따른 미래 유출 및 수질 모의를 위한 SWAT 모형의 적용 (Application of SWAT Model for Simulating Runoff and Water Quality Considering Climate Change)

  • 정은성;김상욱;김형배
    • 산업기술연구
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    • 제36권
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2016
  • In the face of increasing impact of climate change due to human activities, there has been an urgent need to resolve the problem in water resources planning management and environmental engineering. Therefore SWAT model was used to identify the impacts and change in hydrological cycle and environmental aspect. The most important step for the development of SWAT model is calibration procedure. Therefore, SWAT-CUP automatic calibration module was used to find some optimal parameters in SWAT model. After calibration in the cheongmicheon basin, SWAT model is used for the projected precipitation and temperature of RCP 4.5 and 8.5 climate change scenarios in AR5. The quantity and quality using SWAT model from 2014 to 2100 were identified. Finally, this study can provide the reasonable finding on impact by climate change.

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국내 수산 부문의 지역별 기후변화 취약성 평가 연구 (A Study on Vulnerability Assessment to Climate Change in Regional Fisheries of Korea)

  • 이버들;김봉태;조용성
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제42권1호
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    • pp.57-70
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    • 2011
  • Fisheries are subject to unexpected weather condition. While some change of it may be positive for some fisheries, the current state suggests that the effects will be undesirable for many fisheries. The aim of this study is to assess the vulnerability to climate change in 11 regional fisheries of Korea using the framework of IPCC. The vulnerability assessment depends upon the interrelation of three key elements; exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity, which were derived from Analytical Hierarchy Process method in this study. These elements would contribute to comprehend relative importance at the regional characteristics of fisheries. We compared the vulnerability index of 11 regional fisheries so as to look for strategies and adaptation methods to the impacts of potential climate change. Jeoun-Nam, Kyeong-Nam, and Jeju are identified as the most vulnerable provinces to climate change on their fisheries because they have high level of sensitivity to predicted climate change and relatively low adaptive capacity. The relatively low vulnerability of Ulsan, Gyeonggi reflects high financial independence, well-equipped infrastructure, social capital in these regions. Understanding of vulnerability to climate change suggests future research directions. This paper will provide a guide to local policy makers and fisheries managers about vulnerability and adaptation planning to climate change.

기후변화와 대기환경의 통합적 관리에 대한 고찰 (A Review of the Integrated Strategy for Climate Change and Air Pollution Management)

  • 송창근;이석조;윤종수
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.805-818
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    • 2011
  • The unequivocal risk of climate change, the weakness of energy security, and the problem of air quality will be possibly accelerated by the same reason, the enhanced fossil fuel dependancy in the future. It is obvious that greenhouse gases and air pollutants are mainly emitted from same sources. Moreover, greenhouse gases and air pollutants have their adversed impacts on same socio-economical, and environmental sectors. With these regards, several but limited studies have emphasized on the importance of the integrated management of climate change and air quality problem. In this study, we address the current trend of energy consumption and the change of air quality condition. Also the related policies are checked out in order to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases and air pollutants in Korea. By surveying previous studies, it is shown that the cost of climate change actions can be reduced by air quality co-benefits and vis-a-versa. Also the integrated strategy for climate change and air quality is introduced in term of cost-effectiveness and co-benefit.

기후변화로 인한 청미천유역의 기상학적 위협요인 규명 (Identification of Meteorological Threats by Climate Change in the Cheongmicheon Basin)

  • 이철응;김상욱
    • 산업기술연구
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    • 제35권
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 2015
  • In recent, the various methods to predict the hydrological impacts due to climate change have been developed and applied. Especially, the variability of the meteorological factors such as rainfall, temperature, and evaporation can impact on the ecosystem in a basin. The variability caused by climate change on the meteorological factors can be divided by a gradual and abrupt change. Therefore, in this study, the gradual change is detected by simple linear regression and Mann-Kendall trend test. Also, the abrupt change is detected by Bayesian change point analysis. Finally, the result using these methods can identify the meteorological threats in the Cheongmicheon basin.

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기후변화와 식품안전에 관한 소고 (Impact of Climate Change on Food Safety: A Mini-review)

  • 김종규;김중순
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제42권6호
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    • pp.465-477
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    • 2016
  • Objectives: This review examined the scientific evidence regarding the impact of climate change on food safety. Methods: The impact of climate change on food safety was assessed based on a survey of related publications reported in the past 20 years. The terms used for literature selection reflect three aspects: climate change; food; and food safety. Results: Climate change is expected to affect the key elements of food production - water and climate. These impact on food safety through many different pathways. Directly, food shortages according to the population grovoth result in a food security/food supply problem, These relationships are commonly understood. The indirect impacts include an increase in food-borne diseases and pathogens, increased mycotoxin production, and increased risk of pesticide residues in foods due to greater use of pesticides in response to warming and increased precipitation and the accompanying diseases in certain crops. Field studies and statistical and scenario analyses were performed to provide evidence. However, quantification of these relationships is still lacking. Conclusion: Adaptation measures at the local and community levels are essential since the pressures from weather and climate events may differ according to region and sector. It is recommended that we go beyond empirical observations of the association between climate change and food safety and develop more scientific explanations. We also need to explore alternative materials for bioenergy demands in order to improve sustainability.

The Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture and Adaptation in Nepal

  • Pandey, Chandra Lal
    • Agribusiness and Information Management
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 2012
  • Understanding climate change is not only complex but also extensive. Humanity has never embarked on such a huge challenge of trans-national scope: a problem that began in the past continues now and will be continuing for a long time in the future. Nepalese have also significantly felt the impact of global climate change. The scenarios of climate change indicate that the increased temperatures will cause snow-melt which will result in floods, droughts, and uneven weather patterns. The impact of such unexpected climate hazards and weather patterns have already been felt and will continue to be felt in Nepal. These climate change-induced hazards and risks particularly threaten the agriculture sector, which results in food insecurity and makes poor and vulnerable people face increasingly unanticipated impacts to their lives and wellbeing. This paper explores the climate vulnerability of the Nepalese in terms of their physical, social, economic and primarily agricultural losses due to the increasing impact of climate change. The paper argues the need for a timely adaptation of measures to maintain an environment suitable for agriculture and for the well-being of the population residing in the area.

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Researching impact of climate change and economic development on the water supply deficit of Ta Keo reservoir, Lang Sonprovince, Viet Nam

  • Chin, L.V.
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2016년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.199-199
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    • 2016
  • In recent decades, climate change phenomenon has developed towards critical tendency and increased in both frequency, intensity and time which causes catastrophic damage in both people and property, especially in the field of agriculture and water resources. At the current, some researches in the world and Viet Nam studies on climate change impacts on the water resources sectors. Results of scientists'studies showed that climate change will seriously impact productivity, livelihoods and the environment on a global scale; especially large flood phenomena increasingly developing in intensity, drought more violently occurring in a long time. In recent years, the shortage of water supply for economic activity has started to happen with quite serious degree at the Viet Nam, especially in the northern mountainous provinces of Viet Nam.

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Researching impact of climate change and economic development on the water supply deficit of Dong Quan reservoir, Ha Noi Capital, Viet Nam

  • Chin, L.V.
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2017년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.190-190
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    • 2017
  • In recent decades, climate change phenomenon has developed towards critical tendency and increased in both frequency, intensity and time which causes catastrophic damage in both people and property, especially in the field of agriculture and water resources. At the current, some researches in the world and Viet Nam studies on climate change impacts on the water resources sectors. Results of scientists' studies showed that climate change will seriously impact productivity, livelihoods and the environment on a global scale; especially large flood phenomena increasingly developing in intensity, drought more violently occurring in a long time. In recent years, the shortage of water supply for economic activity has started to happen with quite serious degree at the Viet Nam, especially in the northern provinces of Viet Nam.

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기후변화에 따른 고삼저수지의 환경유량 영향평가 (Assessment of Environmental Flow Impacts for the Gosam Reservoir According to Climate Change)

  • 윤태형;강호영;김종석;문영일
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제58권6호
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 2016
  • This study conducted a quantitative assessment on the environmental flows associated with climate change in the Gosam Reservoir, Korea. The application of RCP 8.5 climate change scenario has found that the peak value of High Flow Pulses has increased by 36.0 % on average compared to historical data (2001 ~ 2010), which is likely to cause disadvantage on flood control and management but the increase in peak value is expected to make a positive impact on resolving the issue of green algal blooms, promoting vegetation in surrounding areas and encouraging spawning and providing habitats for native species by releasing a larger amount of landslides as well as organic matters than the past. However, the decreasing pattern of the peak value of High Flow Pulses is quite apparent with the trend of delay on the occurrence time of peak value, necessitating a long-term impact analysis. The peak value of Large Floods shows a clear sign of decrease against climate change scenario, which is expected to lead to changes in fish species caused by degraded quality of water and decreasing habitats. A quicker occurrence of Small Floods is also expected to make an impact on the growth cycle of aquatic plants, and the reduction in occurrence frequency of Extreme Low Flows is to contribute to increasing the population of and raising the survival rate of native fish, greatly improving the aquatic ecosystem. The results of this study are expected to be useful to establish the water environment and ecological system in adapting or responding to climate change.

기후변화가 주암호 수온성층구조에 미치는 영향 예측 (Projection of the Climate Change Effects on the Vertical Thermal Structure of Juam Reservoir)

  • 윤성완;박관영;정세웅;강부식
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제30권5호
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    • pp.491-502
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    • 2014
  • As meteorology is the driving force for lake thermodynamics and mixing processes, the effects of climate change on the physical limnology and associated ecosystem are emerging issues. The potential impacts of climate change on the physical features of a reservoir include the heat budget and thermodynamic balance across the air-water interface, formation and stability of the thermal stratification, and the timing of turn over. In addition, the changed physical processes may result in alteration of materials and energy flow because the biogeochemical processes of a stratified waterbody is strongly associated with the thermal stability. In this study, a novel modeling framework that consists of an artificial neural network (ANN), a watershed model (SWAT), a reservoir operation model(HEC-ResSim) and a hydrodynamic and water quality model (CE-QUAL-W2) is developed for projecting the effects of climate change on the reservoir water temperature and thermal stability. The results showed that increasing air temperature will cause higher epilimnion temperatures, earlier and more persistent thermal stratification, and increased thermal stability in the future. The Schmidt stability index used to evaluate the stratification strength showed tendency to increase, implying that the climate change may have considerable impacts on the water quality and ecosystem through changing the vertical mixing characteristics of the reservoir.