• 제목/요약/키워드: climate change cost assessment

검색결과 37건 처리시간 0.058초

기후변화의 사회경제적 영향평가 방법론 비교분석과 물관리 부문 적용 필요성에 관한연구 (A Study on Comparative Analysis of Socio-economic Impact Assessment Methods on Climate Change and Necessity of Application for Water Management)

  • 채희문;박두호
    • 한국재난관리표준학회지
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2011
  • 최근 우리나라에서 발생한 홍수와 가뭄 등 물 관련 재해가 분명히 과거와는 다른 패턴을 보이는 원인이 인간의 경제활동과정에서 발생하는 엄청난 양의 이산화탄소 때문인지 아니면 태양의 흑점수의 증가 때문인지는 불확실하지만 최근 수자원 관리에 직접적인 영향을 주는 기상이변들의 발생이 증가한 것은 분명한 사실이다. 빈번히 발생하는 기상이변에 의해 각종 재해의 발생빈도가 높아지고 있는 실정이며, 상당한 원인은 기후변화로 보여진다. 이렇듯 기후변화는 반드시 사회적인 비용을 초래하게 된다. 특히 홍수와 가뭄으로 나타나는 수자원분야의 영향이 많은 부분을 차지하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 이러한 기후변화에 의해 발생하는 수자원분야 경제적 파급효과 분석을 통한 cost damage를 도출하고 이를 바탕으로 적절한 적응사업 추진을 위한 새로운 경제성 분석기법 정립을 위한 기초연구이다. 기 연구에서 사용된 기후변화 피해 및 감축비용 분석을 위한 모형은 PAGE, DICE, AIM, IMAGE, MERGE 등 다양했으며, 본 연구에서는 각 모델들의 개략적 특성에 대해 정리하였다. 또한 본 연구에서는 우선 비용적 측면에서 접근이 가능할 수 있도록 기후변화의 물분야에 대한 정의가 이루어졌다. 본 연구결과를 통해 기후변화의 사회경제적 영향평가 연구에서 고려할 수 있는 다양한 평가모델들의 선택에 도움을 줄 것이며 이는 최종적으로 기후변화관련 사업의 시공간적 국가 예산투자 우선순위선정에 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

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논문 - 기후변화에 따른 농업생산기반 재해 취약성 평가를 위한 대리변수 선정 (The Proxy Variables Selection of Vulnerability Assessment for Agricultural Infrastructure According to Climate Change)

  • 김성재;박태양;김성민;김상민
    • 한국관개배수논문집
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2011
  • Climate change has impacts on not only the average temperature rise but also the intensity and frequency of extreme events such as flood and drought. It is also expected that the damages on agricultural infrastructure will be increased resulting from increased rainfall intensity and frequency caused by climate change. To strengthen the climate change adaptation capacity, it is necessary to identify the vulnerability of a given society's physical infrastructures and to develop appropriate adaptation strategies with infrastructure management because generally facilities related to human settlements are vulnerable to climate changes and establishing an adaptive public infrastructure would reduce the damages and the repair cost. Therefore, development of mitigation strategies for agricultural infrastructure against climatic hazard is very important, but there are few studies on agricultural infrastructure vulnerability assessment and adaptation strategies. The concept of vulnerability, however, is difficult to functionally define due to the fact that vulnerability itself includes many aspects (biological, socioeconomic, etc.) in various sectors. As such, much research on vulnerability has used indicators which are useful for standardization and aggregation. In this study, for the vulnerability assessment for agricultural infrastructure, 3 categories of climate exposure, sensitivity, and adaptation capacity were defined which are composed of 16 sub-categories and 49 proxy variables. Database for each proxy variables was established based on local administrative province. Future studies are required to define the weighting factor and standardization method to calculate the vulnerability indicator for agricultural infrastructure against climate change.

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가연성 폐기물 고형연료(SRF) 사업의 경제성 분석 (The Economic Analysis of A Solid Refuse Fuel (SRF) Project in the Urban Area)

  • 장은미;조용성
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.245-254
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    • 2013
  • 정부에서는 지구온난화에 따른 이산화탄소 저감 및 자원순환형(Zero Waste) 사회구축을 위해 가연성 폐기물을 대상으로 한 고형연료화 사업을 추진 중에 있다. 본 연구에서는 가연성 폐기물 고형연료(SRF) 사업에 대하여 추가 편익을 고려한 경제성 평가를 실시하였다. 경세성 분석은 수도권매립지에 반입되는 폐기물을 대상으로 한 SRF 시설을 가정하였으며, 비용은 건설비와 운영비를 고려하고, 편익으로는 열 및 전력 판매비, 환경 편익, 매립대체 편익을 고려하였다. 결론적으로 SRF 사업은 환경편익 등 기타 사업시행에 대한 편익을 고려하면 1.0으로 산출되었으며, 이 결과는 전력가격 및 물가변동에 따른 인건비 등에 큰 영향을 받는 것으로 분석되었다. 따라서 SRF 사업의 지속성을 위해서는 정부의 투자비 지원뿐만 아니라, 전력판매에 따른 적정한 정책지원 방향 설정 등이 필요 하다.

기후변화 대응을 위한 수처리 여과시스템 선정 방안 연구 (Study on Selection of Water Treatment Filtration System to Cope with Climate Change)

  • 황윤빈;박기학
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.75-80
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    • 2018
  • The problem of water shortages and water related disasters caused by climate change has increased the seriousness of water problems and the importance of water treatment technology capable of securing clean water is expanding. In this study, we analyzed not only the water pollutant generated by the filtration system technology of various water treatment technologies but also the indirect greenhouse gas emissions generation, and analyzed the influence on the environment. The subjects of study are Fabric Filter, Reverse Osmosis System and Pressurized Microfiltration Device which are widely used for water treatment and we analyzed the impact on the environment using the Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) method using the electricity amount necessary for use, the water purification efficiency, the throughput per ton and the cost. The amount of greenhouse gas generated when the Pressurized Microfiltration Device operates for 1 year is $2.15E+04kg\;CO_2-eq$., Fabric Filter is $3.29E+04kg\;CO_2-eq$., and Reverse Osmosis System is $1.68E+05kg\;CO_2-eq$. As a result of analyzing the amount of greenhouse gas generated at the time of purifying 1 ton of the Pressurized Microfiltration Device and the conventional filtration system, the Pressurized Microfiltration Device was $20.5g\;CO_2-eq$., Fabric Filter was $34.7g\;CO_2-eq$., and Reverse Osmosis System was $191.7g\;CO_2-eq$. The amount of greenhouse gas generated was calculated to be 41.0% less than that of the Fabric Filter by the Pressurized Microfiltration Device and 89.3% less than the Reverse Osmosis System. From the viewpoint of climate change, it is necessary to select a filtration system that takes climate change into account, not from the viewpoint of water quality removal efficiency and economic efficiency according to future water treatment applications, and it is necessary to select a water treatment filtration system more researches and improvements will be made for.

MODEL-BASED LIFE CYCLE COST AND ASSESSMENT TOOL FOR SUSTAINABLE BUILDING DESIGN DECISION

  • Iris X. Han;W. Zhou;Llewellyn C.M. Tang
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 4th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management Organized by the University of New South Wales
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    • pp.311-317
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    • 2011
  • There is a growing concern in reducing greenhouse gas emissions all over the world. The U.K. has set 34% target reduction of emission before 2020 and 80% before 2050 compared to 1990 recently in Post Copenhagen Report on Climate Change. In practise, Life Cycle Cost (LCC) and Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) tools have been introduced to construction industry in order to achieve this such as. However, there is clear a disconnection between costs and environmental impacts over the life cycle of a built asset when using these two tools. Besides, the changes in Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs) lead to a change in the way information is represented, in particular, information is being fed more easily and distributed more quickly to different stakeholders by the use of tool such as the Building Information Modelling (BIM), with little consideration on incorporating LCC and LCA and their maximised usage within the BIM environment. The aim of this paper is to propose the development of a model-based LCC and LCA tool in order to provide sustainable building design decisions for clients, architects and quantity surveyors, by then an optimal investment decision can be made by studying the trade-off between costs and environmental impacts. An application framework is also proposed finally as the future work that shows how the proposed model can be incorporated into the BIM environment in practise.

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사이드스커트와 보트테일을 이용한 대형화물차량의 연비개선 효과 및 온실가스 감축량 추정 (Estimation of GHG Emissions Reduction and Fuel Economy Improvement of Heavy-Duty Trucks by Using Side Skirt and Boat Tail)

  • 허철행;윤병규;김대욱
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.177-184
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    • 2016
  • Recently, the need for technology development of commercial vehicle fuel consumption has emerged. Fuel economy improvement of transport equipment and transportation efficiency, and increasing attention to the logistics cost reduction measures. Increasing attention to the logistics cost reduction measures by fuel economy improvement of transport equipment and transportation efficiency. In this study, we have installed aerodynamic reduction device (side skirt, boat tail) to 14.5 ton cargo trucks and 45 ft tractor-trailers. And the fuel consumption was compared installed before and after. Fuel economy assessment for the aerodynamic reduction value device was tested by modifying the SAE J1321 Joint TMC/SAE Fuel Consumption Test Procedure - Type II test in according domestic situation. Greenhouse gas reductions were calculated in accordance with the scenario, including fuel consumption test results. When the 14.5 ton cargo trucks has been equipped with side skirts and boat tail, it confirmed the improvement in fuel efficiency of 4.72%. One Heavy-duty truck's the annual greenhouse gas reductions value are $6.86ton\;CO_2\;eq$. And if applying the technology to more than 50% of registered 15 ton trucks, greenhouse gas reductions are calculated as $686,826ton\;CO_2\;eq./yr$.

철도차량 설계대안 선정에 대한 GHG 배출량 기반 환경 경제성 통합평가 사례연구 (A Case Study of Integration Assessment of Environmental Aspect and Cost Aspect Based on GHG Emission for Design Alternative Selection of a Railway Vehicle)

  • 최요한;이철규;이재영;김용기;정우성
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2011년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.606-612
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    • 2011
  • At the product design and development stage, the main criteria selecting a design alternative were performance aspect as well as cost aspect of a product. Ongoing new paradigm shifts such as low carbon green growth, climate change mitigation, sustainable society development urged considering environmental aspect of a product at the product design and development stage. Up to recently, only cost aspect except performance of a product was considered at the railway vehicle design process. Therefore, it is needed to develop a method that may consider environmental aspect of a product at the railway vehicle design process. Lee (2011) proposed that a method of an integration assessment of environmental aspect and cost aspect based on GHG emission instead of based on monetary value. This study conducted that apply the method of Lee (2011) to design alternative selection process of a railway vehicle. From the integrated view of environmental and cost aspect, the reference product and design alternatives are assessed and compared.

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동북아 지역에서 중국의 미래 배출량 변화가 오존농도와 보건에 미치는 영향 (Impact of Future Chinese Emissions on Ozone Air Quality and Human Health in Northeast Asia)

  • 김현국;유영숙;우정헌;홍성철;김덕래;서정현;신명환;김상균
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.451-463
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    • 2016
  • We explore the impact of Chinese future air pollutant emissions on ozone air quality in Northeast Asia (NEA) and health in South-Korea using an assessment framework including ICAMS (The Integrated Climate and Air Quality Modeling System) and BenMAP (The Environmental Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program). The emissions data sets from the climate change scenarios, the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) (emission scenarios, EMSO), are used to simulate ozone air quality in NEA in the current (1996~2005, 2000s), the near future (2016~2025, 2020s) and the distant future (2046~2055, 2050s). Furthermore, the simulated ozone changes in the 2050s are used to analyze ozone-related premature mortality and economic cost in South-Korea. While different EMSOs are applied to the China region, fixed EMSO are used for other country regions to isolate the impacts of the Chinese emissions. Predicted ozone changes in NEA are distinctively affected by large changes in NOx emission over most of China region. Comparing the 2020s with the 2000s situation, the largest increase in mean ozone concentrations in NEA is simulated under RCP 8.5 and similarly small increases are under other RCPs. In the 2050s in NEA, the largest increase in mean ozone concentrations is simulated under RCP 6.0 and leads to the occurrence of the highest premature mortalities and economic costs in South-Korea. Whereas, the largest decrease is simulated under RCP 4.5 leads to the highest avoided premature mortality numbers and economic costs. Our results suggest that continuous reduction of NOx emissions across the China region under an assertive climate change mitigation scenario like RCP 4.5 leads to improved future ozone air quality and health benefits in the NEA countries including South-Korea.

낙동강 하구 지하수 관정 주변 대수층의 리질리언스 평가 (Resilience Assessment for Aquifers close to Groundwater Wells in the Nakdong River Estuary)

  • 유순영;김호림;최은경;김성욱;류동우;김용철
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.12-28
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    • 2023
  • Each national groundwater monitoring well showed distinct change patterns in groundwater levels and electrical conductivity (EC) in the Nakdong River Estuary, implying different external forces (EFs) on each well. According to the annual average data in 1997-2020, seawater was invaded into Well C. The desalination rate of -1,062 µS/cm/year represents the adaptive capacity of the well to seawater intrusion. The water levels and EC in Well E responded to precipitation, indicating the low absorptive capacity to climate changes. Meanwhile, Well B showed constant increases in water levels, suggesting that problems by rising groundwater should be considered in the study area where confined aquifers are overlaid by clay aquitards. The other wells showed consistent water levels and EC, indicating resilience to EFs. Here, resilience is the capacity of a well to resist changes by EFs, including the absorptive and adaptive capacity. The resilience of Wells E and F to climate changes was quantitatively compared using a resilience cost (RC). The RC showed Well F was more resilient than Well E, and the bedrock aquifer was more resilient than the alluvium aquifer, supporting the usefulness of RC. The resilience assessment against EFs (e.g., changes in land use and climate) helps sustainable groundwater management.

Environmental Assessment of Smart Grid Station Project Centered on Pilot Project of Korea Electric Power Corporation Building

  • Park, Sun-Kyoung;Son, Sung-Yong;Kim, Dongwook;Kim, Buhm-Kyu
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.217-229
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    • 2016
  • Increased evidences reveal that the global climate change adversely affect on the environment. Smart grid system is one of the ways to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the electricity generation sector. Since 2013, Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO) has installed smart grid station in KEPCO office buildings. The goal of this paper is two folds. One is to quantify the reduction in greenhouse gas emissions through smart grid stations installed in KEPCO office buildings as a part of pilot project. Among components of smart grid stations, this research focused on the photovoltaic power system (PV) and energy storage system (ESS). The other is to estimate the reduction in greenhouse gas emissions when PV is applied on individual houses. Results show that greenhouse gas emissions reduce 5.8~11.3% of the emissions generated through the electricity usage after PV is applied in KEPCO office buildings. The greenhouse gas emissions reduction from ESS is not apparent. When PV of 200~500 W is installed in individual houses, annual greenhouse gas emission reduction in 2016 is expected to be approximately $2.2{\sim}5.4million\;tCO_2-eq$, equivalent to 6~15% of greenhouse gas emissions through the electricity usage in the house hold sector. The saving of annual electricity cost in the individual house through PV of 200 W and 500 W is expected to be 47~179 thous and KRW and 123~451 thousand KRW, respectively. Results analyzed in this study show the environmental effect of the smart grid station. In addition, the results can be further used as guidance in implementing similar projects.