• Title/Summary/Keyword: climate(氣候)

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A Framework for Climate Change Risk Management (기후변화 위험관리를 위한 체계)

  • Lee, Seungjun
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.367-379
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: This study aims to propose a framework for climate change risk management by analyzing characteristics of climate-induced disasters. Method: The recent global and domestic trends of loss and damage under natural disaster events and the characteristics of climate-induced disasters were analyzed to design a framework for climate change risk management. Results: In consideration of the uncertainty of climate risk and various spatio-temporal scales of climate disasters, a new framework is suggested for comprehensive climate risk management that includes risk assessment, goal setting, planning, monitoring and evaluation, learning and adjustment. The framework aims at an iterative process that is activated by stakeholder engagement. Conclusion: Pilot studies need to be conducted to revise and polish the framework in the future, and institutional arrangements should be prepared for the effective implementation of the comprehensive climate risk management.

Development Strategy for New Climate Change Scenarios based on RCP (온실가스 시나리오 RCP에 대한 새로운 기후변화 시나리오 개발 전략)

  • Baek, Hee-Jeong;Cho, ChunHo;Kwon, Won-Tae;Kim, Seong-Kyoun;Cho, Joo-Young;Kim, Yeongsin
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.55-68
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    • 2011
  • The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC) has identified the causes of climate change and come up with measures to address it at the global level. Its key component of the work involves developing and assessing future climate change scenarios. The IPCC Expert Meeting in September 2007 identified a new greenhouse gas concentration scenario "Representative Concentration Pathway(RCP)" and established the framework and development schedules for Climate Modeling (CM), Integrated Assessment Modeling(IAM), Impact Adaptation Vulnerability(IAV) community for the fifth IPCC Assessment Reports while 130 researchers and users took part in. The CM community at the IPCC Expert Meeting in September 2008, agreed on a new set of coordinated climate model experiments, the phase five of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP5), which consists of more than 30 standardized experiment protocols for the shortterm and long-term time scales, in order to enhance understanding on climate change for the IPCC AR5 and to develop climate change scenarios and to address major issues raised at the IPCC AR4. Since early 2009, fourteen countries including the Korea have been carrying out CMIP5-related projects. Withe increasing interest on climate change, in 2009 the COdinated Regional Downscaling EXperiment(CORDEX) has been launched to generate regional and local level information on climate change. The National Institute of Meteorological Research(NIMR) under the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) has contributed to the IPCC AR4 by developing climate change scenarios based on IPCC SRES using ECHO-G and embarked on crafting national scenarios for climate change as well as RCP-based global ones by engaging in international projects such as CMIP5 and CORDEX. NIMR/KMA will make a contribution to drawing the IPCC AR5 and will develop national climate change scenarios reflecting geographical factors, local climate characteristics and user needs and provide them to national IAV and IAM communites to assess future regional climate impacts and take action.

Predicting Potential Epidemics of Rice Leaf Blast Disease Using Climate Scenarios from the Best Global Climate Model Selected for Individual Agro-Climatic Zones in Korea (국내 농업기후지대 별 최적기후모형 선정을 통한 미래 벼 도열병 발생 위험도 예측)

  • Lee, Seongkyu;Kim, Kwang-Hyung
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.133-142
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    • 2018
  • Climate change will affect not only the crop productivity but also the pattern of rice disease epidemics in Korea. Impact assessments for the climate change are conducted using various climate change scenarios from many global climate models (GCM), such as a scenario from a best GCM or scenarios from multiple GCMs, or a combination of both. Here, we evaluated the feasibility of using a climate change scenario from the best GCM for the impact assessment on the potential epidemics of a rice leaf blast disease in Korea, in comparison to a multi?model ensemble (MME) scenario from multiple GCMs. For this, this study involves analyses of disease simulation using an epidemiological model, EPIRICE?LB, which was validated for Korean rice paddy fields. We then assessed likely changes in disease epidemics using the best GCM selected for individual agro?climatic zones and MME scenarios constructed by running 11 GCMs. As a result, the simulated incidence of leaf blast epidemics gradually decreased over the future periods both from the best GCM and MME. The results from this study emphasized that the best GCM selection approach resulted in comparable performance to the MME approach for the climate change impact assessment on rice leaf blast epidemic in Korea.

Estimation of Physical Climate Risk for Private Companies (민간기업을 위한 물리적 기후리스크 추정 연구)

  • Yong-Sang Choi;Changhyun Yoo;Minjeong Kong;Minjeong Cho;Haesoo Jung;Yoon-Kyoung Lee;Seon Ki Park;Myoung-Hwan Ahn;Jaehak Hwang;Sung Ju Kim
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 2024
  • Private companies are increasingly required to take more substantial actions on climate change. This study introduces the principle and cases of climate (physical) risk estimation for 11 private companies in Korea. Climate risk is defined as the product of three major determinants: hazard, exposure, and vulnerability. Hazard is the intensity or frequency of weather phenomena that can cause disasters. Vulnerability can be reflected in the function that explains the relationship between past weather records and loss records. The final climate risk is calculated by multiplying the function by the exposure, which is defined as the area or value of the target area exposed to the climate. Future climate risk is estimated by applying future exposure to estimated future hazard using climate model scenarios or statistical trends based on weather data. The estimated climate risks are developed into three types according to the demand of private companies: i) climate risk for financial portfolio management, ii) climate risk for port logistics management, iii) climate risk for supply chain management. We hope that this study will contribute to the establishment of the climate risk management system in the Korean industrial sector as a whole.

Case Study on Comparison of the Results of Climate Change Prospect and Vulnerability Assessment and the Awareness of Those by Public Officials and Citizens at Yeongwol County (기초지자체의 기후변화 전망 및 취약성 평가 결과와 공무원·시민의 인식도 비교분석 연구 - 영월군 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Sangsu;Lee, Chungkook;Choi, Yeonho;Kim, Jaeyoon;Shin, gwangsu;Seo, Seongjik
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.133-142
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study was to compare the results of climate change prospect and vulnerability assessment and the awareness of those by public officials and citizens at Yeongwol county, Gangwon province where experiencing the most climate change vulnerability. Data of 12 meteorological categories such as mean temperature at Yeongwol weather station from 1995 to 2013 were analyzed. Climate change vulnerability was assessed with 29 sub-categories in 6 categories (health, emergency/disaster, agriculture, forestry, water management, ecosystem) of National Institute of Environment Research's LCCGIS (2013). The awareness of climate change and its vulnerability was surveyed with 154 citizens and 130 officials at Yeoungwol county. The climate change prospect and its vulnerability was similar to the actual climate change effect. However, the awareness of climate change was different between some officials and citizens. The results of this study would be base data for the Yeoungwol county's future climate change adaptation poicy making.

Comparative Analysis of Climate Change Adaptation-related Recognition between Public Officials and Citizens - Focused on ChungCheongBukDo-Province - (기후변화 적응에 대한 공무원 및 도민의 인식 비교 분석 - 충청북도를 중심으로 -)

  • Ban, Yong Un;Go, In Chul;Baek, Jong In
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.19-28
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    • 2017
  • This study has intended to perform comparative analysis of climate change adaptation-related recognition between public officials and citizens in ChungCheongBukDo-Province, Korea. To reach this goal, we identified difference between the two groups by prioritizing target group's adaptation policies for climate change, and analyzing climate change adaptation-related recognition in each sector. Climate change adaptation policies can have great policy utility when the boundaries between policy makers and detainees are blurred. Therefore, this study has suggested some measures to reduce the recognition gaps between the target groups by analyzing the characteristics of the groups.

Development and Policy Applications of Integrated Information System for Climate Change Adaptation (기후변화 적응 정보 통합지원 체계구축 및 정책적 활용방안)

  • Kim, Geunhan;Lee, Moung-Jin;Jeon, Seong-Woo;Park, Songmi;Lee, Eunjin
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.3-20
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    • 2013
  • Recently, impacts and damages of extreme climate change have already affected on worldwide. Thus adaptation and action plan are essential concepts in minimizing the impacts of climate change. In order to introduce climate change adaptation decision-making measure, the need for high-quality and integrated information system within adaptation policy has increased enormously. However, most of adaptation information is based on different sources and various backgrounds. Currently, domestic climate change information is disseminated from about 132 internet sites and most of them are limited to general information of climate change, rather than information that are based on scientific evidence. Also, there are some difficulties in updating new resources. Reliable climate change information is provided from different agencies, which makes users difficult to locate right information they need. As a progress to overcome the limitations of these problems, we carried out a feasibility research on integrated information system for climate change adaptation. For the objectives, our solutions are as follows. First, we analyzed definition of climate change adaptation and climate change adaptation information. Second, we suggested integrating the information system for adaptation and phased implementation plan for establishing integrated information system for climate change. Finally, we verified the establishment of integrated support system based on policy applications of integrated information system. This system will provide an integrated climate change information and be a very useful tool to support the decision making process of effective climate change adaptation policies.

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A Review of Regional Climate Change in East-Asia and the Korean Peninsula Based on Global and Regional Climate Modeling Researches (전구 및 지역기후 모델 결과에 근거한 동아시아 및 한반도 지역기후 변화 전망 연구 소개 및 고찰)

  • Hong, Song You;Kwon, Won Tae;Chung, Il Ung;Baek, Hee Jeong;Byun, Young Hwa;Cha, Dong Hyun
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.269-281
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    • 2011
  • In this review, numerical model results from global and regional climate models are introduced to regional detailed climate changes over East Asia and Korea. In particular, regional climate change scenarios in this region, which are created by several research groups in Korea based on Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) of IPCC 4th assessment report are introduced and characteristics of the scenarios are investigated. Despite slight differences in intensity, all scenarios reveal prominent warming over the Korean peninsula in future climate. Changes in precipitation amount vary with given scenarios and periods, but the frequency and intensity of heavy precipitation generally tend to increase in all scenarios. South Korea except for mountainous regions is expected to change into subtropical climate in future, which accompanies distinct changes in ecosystems and seasons.

CCIC: A Climate Change Information Center on the Internet (인터넷을 이용한 기후변화 정보시스템 개발)

  • 강병도;남인길;백희정
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.15-20
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    • 1999
  • This paper presents a climate change information system that provides the data and information about climate change. The system shows the meteorologic data observed, climate change research institutes, and research programs. As the result of analyzing the meteorologic data, it also provides users with the climate change information using the graphic and multimedia data. The terminology retrieval and dictionary facility in the climate change can be useful to the users who are interested in the climate change.

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