• Title/Summary/Keyword: change analysis

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AR5 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 소양강댐 유역 댐유입량 및 증발산량의 변화 분석 (Analysis of the Change of Dam Inflow and Evapotranspiration in the Soyanggang Dam Basin According to the AR5 Climate Change Scenarios)

  • 도연수;김광섭
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제60권1호
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    • pp.89-99
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzed the change of the dam inflow and evapotranspiration in the Soyanggang dam basin using the results of 26 CMIP5 GCMs based on AR5 RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios. The SWAT model was used to simulate the dam inflow and evapotranspiration in the target watershed. The simulation was performed during 2010~2016 as the reference year and during 2010~2099 as the analysis period. Bias correction of input data such as precipitation and air temperature were conducted for the reference period of 2006~2016. Results were analyzed for 3 different periods, 2025s (2010~2040), 2055s (2041~2070), and 2085s (2071~2099). It demonstrated that the change of dam inflow gradually increases 9.5~15.9 % for RCP 4.5 and 13.3~29.8 % for RCP 8.5. The change of evapotranspiration gradually increases 1.6~8.6 % for RCP 4.5 and 1.5~8.5 % for RCP8.5.

한국 청소년의 체중인식과 체중조절행동에 영향을 미치는 요인 (Factors Influencing Korean Adolescents' Body Weight Perceptions and Weight Change Efforts)

  • 강현주
    • Perspectives in Nursing Science
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.24-35
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: This research was performed to investigate Korean adolescents' body weight perception, appropriate weight change efforts, and factors that influencing these efforts. Methods: The data were obtained from 68,136 adolescents, aged 12~18 years from the 2007 Third Korean Youth' Risk Behavior Web-based Survey. Descriptive statistical analysis and odds ratio were calculated by logistic regression. Results: The distribution of the body mass index differed in boys and girls. The accuracy of body weight perception was shown in the order of the underweight (91.6%), overweigh t (73.3%), normal weight (55.4%), obesity (41.3%) groups. Adolescents with high perceived economic status tended to have a high prevalence of accuracy of body weight perception. The distribution of appropriate weight change efforts according to the actual body mass index showed that girls were trying to lose weight more than boys. The results of a logistic regression analysis regarding appropriate weight change efforts showed differences according to gender, perceived economic status, mother's educational level, and family affluence scale. Conclusion: Appropriate body weight perception and change management plans are needed for Korean adolescents. In addition, active weight change programs have to be established in the adolescents' living environments, such as schools.

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소형 Slot less PMSM의 coil 배치에 따른 최적 설계 및 열 내구성 분석 (A Study on Optimal Design According to Change of Coil Distribution in Slot Less Type Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor)

  • 김용태;고덕화;김규화;백성민;김규탁
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제66권1호
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    • pp.27-32
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, slot less type high-speed and compact motor was designed. it was selected through change of stator coil distribution for the optimal performance of the motor. In this paper, designed motor was expected to be very vulnerable to heat dissipation in a compact motor. Therefore, to ensure reliability in the design result, winding and permanent magnet damage caused by the losses of motor was analyzed by thermal analysis and demagnetization analysis. Using the result, whether motor burnout was confirmed by motor performance degradation and insulation breakdown.

인공고관절의 설계인자들이 해리현상에 미치는 영향에 대한 해석 (Analysis of Loosening Phenomenon in Artificial Hip Joint Application Related to Design Parameters)

  • 김영은;정정화
    • 대한의용생체공학회:의공학회지
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.155-162
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    • 1993
  • The human's biomechanical structure keeps an optimal state by adapting the original biomechanical structure according to a change in the physical environment. This phenomenon is believed to be the main cause of loosening of the total hip replacement which is used widely in these days. In this study the bone density change due to artificial hip joint, which is generally believed as bone-remodeling, was investigated by the finite element method. For this, 2-D FEM models with 4 nodal point elements were constructed for intact and implanted cases. The density was calculated by comparing the relative amounts of effective stress for these two cases. In this way, calculated new density values were used in the next step as input values and this procedure repeated until convergence was obtained. Severe density change was detected at the femoral cortex of the proximal-medial side as expected. Moreover, following surprising result was found from this analysis. Titanium alloy prosthesis showed less density change compared to stainless steel prosthesis at earlier stage, however, almost same amount of the density change was detected at final stage. It was also found that other design parameters could not significantly affect its density change.

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주거용 건물부문 태양열 기술 보급에 따른 누적 온실가스 감축 효과 분석 (Cumulative GHG Reduction Impact Analysis by the Diffusion of Solar Thermal Energy Concerning Technologies for the Residential Sector)

  • 이동은;김승진;전의찬
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.267-275
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    • 2014
  • A key driver for climate change caused by global average temperature rise is greenhouse gas cumulative emissions that stay for long term in the atmosphere. Although at the moment there is no GHG emission, global warming will continue owing to GHG cumulative emission. In this study, scenarios are developed based on two types of optimistic and conservative diffusion goal. There were a total of 6 alternatives scenarios. The objective of this study are to compare scenarios in terms of GHG cumulative emissions and alternative fuels. An object of analysis is the residential buildings and time frame of scenarios is set up by 2030. And this study uses the LEAP model that is a bottom-up energy model. In conclusion, It is important to set specific diffusion pathway for mitigating climate change virtually.

기후변화의 사회경제적 영향평가 방법론 비교분석과 물관리 부문 적용 필요성에 관한연구 (A Study on Comparative Analysis of Socio-economic Impact Assessment Methods on Climate Change and Necessity of Application for Water Management)

  • 채희문;박두호
    • 한국재난관리표준학회지
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2011
  • 최근 우리나라에서 발생한 홍수와 가뭄 등 물 관련 재해가 분명히 과거와는 다른 패턴을 보이는 원인이 인간의 경제활동과정에서 발생하는 엄청난 양의 이산화탄소 때문인지 아니면 태양의 흑점수의 증가 때문인지는 불확실하지만 최근 수자원 관리에 직접적인 영향을 주는 기상이변들의 발생이 증가한 것은 분명한 사실이다. 빈번히 발생하는 기상이변에 의해 각종 재해의 발생빈도가 높아지고 있는 실정이며, 상당한 원인은 기후변화로 보여진다. 이렇듯 기후변화는 반드시 사회적인 비용을 초래하게 된다. 특히 홍수와 가뭄으로 나타나는 수자원분야의 영향이 많은 부분을 차지하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 이러한 기후변화에 의해 발생하는 수자원분야 경제적 파급효과 분석을 통한 cost damage를 도출하고 이를 바탕으로 적절한 적응사업 추진을 위한 새로운 경제성 분석기법 정립을 위한 기초연구이다. 기 연구에서 사용된 기후변화 피해 및 감축비용 분석을 위한 모형은 PAGE, DICE, AIM, IMAGE, MERGE 등 다양했으며, 본 연구에서는 각 모델들의 개략적 특성에 대해 정리하였다. 또한 본 연구에서는 우선 비용적 측면에서 접근이 가능할 수 있도록 기후변화의 물분야에 대한 정의가 이루어졌다. 본 연구결과를 통해 기후변화의 사회경제적 영향평가 연구에서 고려할 수 있는 다양한 평가모델들의 선택에 도움을 줄 것이며 이는 최종적으로 기후변화관련 사업의 시공간적 국가 예산투자 우선순위선정에 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

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기후변화를 고려한 농촌지역 그린빌리지의 태양에너지 활용에 관한 경제성 분석 (Economic Analysis of Rural Green-Village Planning with Solar Energy considering Climate Change)

  • 김대식;왕영두
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2013
  • This study aims to perform the economic analysis to the use of solar power facilities in rural villages considering the climate change scenario. IPCC climate change scenarios in the recently adopted the RCP scenarios (RCP8.5, RCP6.5, RCP4.5, RCP2.6) was used. By RCP scenarios, solar radiation, depending on the scenario in 2100, respectively, 3.6%, 2.5%, 1.9%, 1.1% was assumed to increase. From the economic analysis(payback period is 25 year) on 8 points of each province, in all cases of normal data and four RCP scenarios, at all points analyzed were NPV indicate a negative, BC ratio less than 1.0, respectively. In the case of Mokpo, Chunnam RCP8.5, BC ratio were found to be up to a 0.92, followed by 0.89 in the case of RCP8.5 in Jinju, Kyungnam shows, while the minimum was in Jeju. BC ratio is 1.0 or bigger, in order for the normal solar radiation data in Mokpo, Chonnam was the minimum that it takes 37 years. Similarly, in the case of RCP scenarios, 30 years in Mokpo, Chonnam RCP8.5 and 31 years in the cases of Jinju, Kyungnam and Jeonju, Cheonbuk RCP8.5 were analyzed. It was analyzed that RCP8.5 has the highest value. BC analysis models for each of the factors, the results of the sensitivity analysis, the initial installation costs, electricity sales price, discount rate in the order of economy showed higher sensitivity, and the rest factors showed lower changes. Although there are some differences of solar radiation by region, but in Korea most facilities in rural areas, the use of solar power was considered to be economical enough, considering change of several factors with high sensitivity, such as increasing of government subsidies for the solar power installation of the facility, rising oil prices due to a rise in electricity sales price, and a change in discount rate. In particular, when considering climate change scenarios, the use of solar energy for rural areas of the judgment that there was more economical.

건전도 모니터링을 위한 P.C. 상자형 교량의 동적 특성 분석 (A Study on Dynamic Characteristics of P.C. Box Girder Bridge for Condition Monitoring)

  • 이선구;이성우
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 1996년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.131-137
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    • 1996
  • To perform condition monitoring of P.C. Box girder bridge under ambient traffic, dynamic characteristics were identified using the results of load test an analysis. It was found that natural frequencies obtained from the measured acceleration data for the forced vibration part and free vibration part were nearly identical. Thus it can be concluded that dynamic parameters are properly determined under ambient traffic condition. Finite element model for analysis was calibrated using measured frequencies. Change of dynamic characteristics were predicted through analysis of the established finite element model with anticipated change.

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동특성 변화를 이용한 구조물의 손상 탐지 해석 (Analysis of a Structural Damage Detection using the Change of Dynamic Characteristics)

  • 이정윤;이정우;이준호
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.760-763
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    • 2003
  • This study proposed the analysis of damage defection due to the change of the stiffness of structure by using the original and modified dynamic characteristics. The method is applied to examples of a cantilever and 3 degree of freedom by modifying the stiffness. The predicted damage detections are in good agreement with these from the structural reanalysis using the modified stiffness.

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팀의 의사소통 분석방법에 관한 연구 (A Survey on Methods for Analyzing Team Communication)

  • 민대환
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.169-187
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    • 2007
  • Most private and public organizations use, for their works, information systems that change their organizational structures. Nowadays, many organizations have team-based structures where typically a cross functional team is in charge of a business process. The effective communication among the members of a team is an important factor of team performance in that communication facilitates trust building, knowledge exchange, change acceptance, and safety improvement. This paper reviews methods for analyzing communication among team members from three aspects such as the content, the amount, and the structure of communication.

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