• Ocean Systems Engineering
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.41-55
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• 2018

Accidental oil and gas leak is a critical concern for the offshore industry because it can lead to severe consequences and as a result, it is imperative to evaluate the probabilities of occurrence of the consequences of the leakage in order to assess the risk. Event Tree Analysis (ETA) is a technique to identify the consequences that can result from the occurrence of a hazardous event. The probability of occurrence of the consequences is evaluated by the ETA, based on the failure probabilities of the sequential events. Conventional ETA deals with events with crisp failure probabilities. In offshore applications, it is often difficult to arrive at a single probability measure due to lack of data or imprecision in data. In such a scenario, fuzzy set theory can be applied to handle imprecision and data uncertainty. This paper presents fuzzy ETA (FETA) methodology to compute the probability of the outcomes initiated due to oil/gas leak in an actual offshore-onshore installation. Post FETA, sensitivity analysis by Fuzzy Weighted Index (FWI) method is performed to find the event that has the maximum contribution to the severe sequences. It is found that events of 'ignition', spreading of fire to 'equipment' and 'other areas' are the highest contributors to the severe consequences, followed by failure of 'leak detection' and 'fire detection' and 'fire water not being effective'. It is also found that the frequency of severe consequences that are catastrophic in nature obtained by ETA is one order less than that obtained by FETA, thereby implying that in ETA, the uncertainty does not propagate through the event tree. The ranking of severe sequences based on their probability, however, are identical in both ETA and FETA.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• 제57권5호
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• pp.637-651
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• 2019

정유 또는 석유화학플랜트에서 폭발 등과 중대사고가 발생할 때 심각한 인명 및 재산피해를 야기시켜 보험시장에 큰 영향을 끼쳐왔다. 일반적으로 정유, 석유화학공장 등 장치산업에서 이러한 사고 발생시 국립과학수사연구원, 사고원인 조사자, 손해보험사 손해사정사 등이 조사하여 손해 및 사고와 가장 인접한 근인 위주로 사고원인을 도출하고 있다. 반면 실제 중대사고로 이어지기까지 문제 및 결함으로 작용한 여러 중대사고 전조신호에 대한 근본원인분석을 실시하여 예방대책을 수립하는 것이 중요하나 그 동안이에 대한 것이 미흡하였다. 이에 본 연구에서는 전 세계에서 발생된 중대사고 사례에 대하여 근본원인분석 방법과 스위스치즈모델 원리를 활용한 기여요소분석법 등을 통하여 도출하였던 미국 화학공정안전센터의 중대사고 전조신호 자체평가 도구의 전조신호 판단기준 항목을 우선적으로 고찰하였다. 여기에 실제 정유 및 석유화학플랜트 내 중대사고 전조신호가 해외재보험사 Loss control engineer 등 Auditor 들에게 어떠한 식으로 권고되어 왔는지 확인하고자 지난 17년간 Loss Control Engineer가 Risk Survey 이후 도출하였던 안전권고사항 약 614개를 분석하였다. 최종적으로 이를 중대사고 전조신호 평가지표로 개발이 용이하도록 정유 및 석유화학플랜트에서의 중대사고 전조신호 판단기준을 유형별로 그룹화한 후 상위 및 하위 항목으로 구분하였다. 또한, 정유 및 석유화학공장 관련 전문가(40명)에게 설문 실시 및 AHP기법을 적용하여 각 항목별 가중치(중요도)를 도출하여 최종 전조신호 판단기준과 항목별 가중치가 적용된 '정유 및 석유화학플랜트에서의 중대사고 전조신호 평가지표'를 개발하였다. 그리고 개발한 지표를 8개의 정유 및 석유화학플랜트에 적용하여 분석하였다. 본 연구에서 개발된 평가지표는 정유 및 석유화학공장 등 장치산업에서의 중대사고 예방을 위하여 추적관리 되어야 할 전조신호 항목 및 요소가 무엇인지 인식하고 취약수준을 평가하는데 도움이 될 수 있고, 관련 사업장 자체 관계자뿐만 아니라 외부 auditor들에게 유용하게 활용되리라 판단된다.

• 비교문화연구
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• 제29권
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• pp.25-53
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• 2012

The attitude of observer in the painting of history is to exclude a prejudice and a subjective view of an artist and to introduce a photograph, which is a record of objectivity, in the process of painting. Its ultimate intent is to redescribe the fact of an event's image intactly without any prejudice and to represent the event as a proven evidence that it was. The representation of history based on fact had already been conceived in imagination of renowned artists such as Francisco Goya or $Th{\acute{e}}odore$ $G{\acute{e}}ricault$ even before cameras were invented. What they portrayed was their own truth of reality which is gained through their observation, not a history that have corresponded to political ideologies, for all reliance on a limited tool of representation, painting. Furthermore, history was necessary for 19th century impressionism artists to be represented under proven fact in a neutral perspective excluding all subjective prejudice, not based on the representation with imagination. Edouard Manet in particular reconstited an instant moment on the basis of real proof of photograph without personal prejudice or opinion as if today's photojournalism. The catastrophic series by Andy Warhol and the photographic painting by Gerhard Richter show another role of painting in the realm of art, each of them implying information distortion and abuse by current media and intentional deformation toward history as Manet's painting of history. Today, the representation of an historical event that we experience in the era of the Internet and social networks having a great deal of information already came to be the exclusive property of the cutting edge mass media. Nevertheless, the attitude of observer which is realistic and contemplative in the realm of art is the crucial point in terms of artists' act as ever.

• Journal of Contemporary Eastern Asia
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.98-110
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• 2016

Building resilient community is often a complicated process to be gained by interorganizational collaboration. Since patterns of interorganizational relations among governments and sectors are constantly changing due to internal and external factors in the field of emergency management, understanding the dynamic nature of interorganizational collaboration is a critical step for improving a community’s ability to bounce back from a catastrophic event. From two theoretical perspectives, this research aims to examine the essential role of working across levels of governments and sectors in building resilient community by focusing on sources of community resiliency and a strong commitment. The empirical evidence highlights the importance of studying resilience as a way to understand the motivation and incentive for organizations to work jointly during emergency response. The study of organizational resilience also draws attention for the importance of various forms of interorganizational collaboration such as formal and informal relations. It also highlights how local organizations can utilize their relations to seek resources without necessarily jeopardizing their ability to perform their core organizational functions.

• Journal of Chest Surgery
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.543-548
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• 1986

Massive air embolism during cardiopulmonary bypass is uncommon but serious and often lethal complication. Following this catastrophic event, the immediate institution of retrograde arterial blood perfusion via superior vena cava was made to remove air emboli from cerebral circulation. This method was performed by removing the arterial perfusion line from aortic cannula and connecting it to superior vena caval cannula. Then, retrograde perfusion at a flow rate of 2Umin via superior vena cava was carried out for 3 minutes. After air returning from the aortic cannula was identified, each line was connected to the cannulae primarily. In 2 cases who had massive air emboli due to air pumping into arterial line, the postoperative complete recovery resulted from this technique, which was used in conjunction with other therapy postoperatively.

• Advances in Computational Design
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• 제1권2호
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• pp.195-206
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• 2016

Dams play a vital role in the development and sustainment in a country. Failure of dams leads to the catastrophic event with sudden release of water and is of great concern. Hence earthquake-resistant design of dams is of prime importance. The present study involves static, modal and transient analyses of dam-reservoir-foundation system using finite element software ANSYS 15. The dam and the foundation are modeled with 2D plane strain element "PLANE 42" and the reservoir by fluid acoustic element "FLUID 29" with proper consideration of fluid-structure interaction. An expression for the fundamental period of concrete dams is developed based on modal analysis. Seismic response of gravity dams subjected to earthquake acceleration is evaluated in terms of peak displacement and stress.

• 한국철도학회논문집
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• 제6권3호
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• pp.156-162
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• 2003

Due to almost all tracks of new Kyoungbu high-speed lines(HSL) consisting of bridges and tunnels, HSR operational safety management is very important factor for passenger safety and preventing catastrophic event. Especially, it is important to approach the scene of the accident and assist in saving lives as soon as possible under emergency conditions. Therefore it is essential to prepare access methods and available resources in advance in order to support emergency correspodances promptly and effectively. This paper persents an application of geographical information system(GIS) for developing emergency management system as well as batabase system on tracks and facilities, electric/communication equipment and safety equipment required to support emergencies. The on-site information on the proximity of HSL is expressed on the numerical map, which can be helpful to call external supports such as medical service, local authorities, police offices, fire brigades, and etc. for the emergency situations.

• Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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• 제71권2호
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• pp.134-138
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• 2011

Trousseau's syndrome is an unexplained thrombotic event that precedes the diagnosis of an occult visceral malignancy or appears concomitantly with the tumor. Upper extremity deep vein thrombosis is prevalent in patients with a central venous catheter. Furthermore, a peripheral intravenous injection may cause upper extremity deep vein thrombosis as well. However, a deep vein thrombosis has not been reported in the form of Trousseau's syndrome with a catastrophic clinical course triggered by a single peripheral intravenous injection. A 48-year-old man presented with a swollen left arm on which he was given intravenous fluid at a local clinic due to flu symptoms. Contrast computed tomgraphy scans showed thromboses from the left distal brachial to the innominate vein. The patient developed multiple cerebral infarctions despite anticoagulation treatment. He was diagnosed with stomach cancer by endoscopic biopsy to evaluate melena and had a persistently positive lupus anticoagulant. After recurrent and multiple thromboembolic events occurred with treatment, he died on day 20.

• 한국가스학회지
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• 제5권4호
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• pp.40-48
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• 2001

본 연구에서는 LPG 충전소에 대하여 Fussel-Vesely 중요도와 RDF 및 RIF 중요도를 수행하여 위험성 등급(Risk Rank)을 설정하였다 설정된 위험성 등급에서 위험성이 가장 큰 장치 및 설비에 대하여 정량적 위험성 분석을 수행하였다. LPG 충전소에 대한 중요도 분석결과 외부사고가 가장 위험하다고 확인되었으며, ekda 으로 구조물 결함과 파이프 배관의 부식의 위험등급이 높았다. 정량적 위험성 분석 결과로는 LPG 충전소 저장탱크의 완전히 파열하였을 경우에 대한 BLEVE의 경가 발생하였을 경우에 복사열에 의해 공정 설비에 손해를 입히기에 충분한 거리는 46.3m로 분석되었다.

• Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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• 제42권2호
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• pp.83-88
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• 2007

Objective : Pituitary apoplexy, resulting from an acute infarction or hemorrhage mainly in pituitary adenomas, is a rare yet major clinical event with neurological, ophthalmological and hormonal emergent consequences. The authors review our surgical experience with a series of 16 cases of pituitary apoplexy. Methods : The cases of pituitary apoplexy, operated via trans-sphenoidal approach in our hospital between 1998-2005, were retrospectively analyzed in terms of their clinicoradiological features, pathological findings and surgical outcomes. Results : The mean age of patients (9 male and 7 female) was 47.1 years. The average time of presentation after onset of symptom was 8.9 days. Pituitary apoplexy occurred as an initial manifestation of pituitary adenoma in all patients. Headache was the most common presenting symptom (94%). Visual disturbance was found in 56% of patients. Thirty-one percent of the patients had hypopituitarism. On magnetic resonance imaging, this entire catastrophic event accompanied with macroadenoma in a mean size of 22.5 mm. Only four patients needed postoperative hormone replacement therapy. Three of them showed preoperative hypopituitary function, and one patient in normal pituitary function. There was no specific complication in any of these patients. Conclusion : Early trans-sphenoidal decompression with high-dose corticosteroid replacement showed good outcomes of pituitary apoplexy.