• Title/Summary/Keyword: bayesian neural networks

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Spatial Analysis for Mean Annual Precipitation Based On Neural Networks (신경망 기법을 이용한 연평균 강우량의 공간 해석)

  • Sin, Hyeon-Seok;Park, Mu-Jong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.3-13
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    • 1999
  • In this study, an alternative spatial analysis method against conventional methods such as Thiessen method, Inverse Distance method, and Kriging method, named Spatial-Analysis Neural-Network (SANN) is presented. It is based on neural network modeling and provides a nonparametric mean estimator and also estimators of high order statistics such as standard deviation and skewness. In addition, it provides a decision-making tool including an estimator of posterior probability that a spatial variable at a given point will belong to various classes representing the severity of the problem of interest and a Bayesian classifier to define the boundaries of subregions belonging to the classes. In this paper, the SANN is implemented to be used for analyzing a mean annual precipitation filed and classifying the field into dry, normal, and wet subregions. For an example, the whole area of South Korea with 39 precipitation sites is applied. Then, several useful results related with the spatial variability of mean annual precipitation on South Korea were obtained such as interpolated field, standard deviation field, and probability maps. In addition, the whole South Korea was classified with dry, normal, and wet regions.

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Effective real-time identification using Bayesian statistical methods gaze Network (베이지안 통계적 방안 네트워크를 이용한 효과적인 실시간 시선 식별)

  • Kim, Sung-Hong;Seok, Gyeong-Hyu
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.331-338
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we propose a GRNN(: Generalized Regression Neural Network) algorithms for new eyes and face recognition identification system to solve the points that need corrective action in accordance with the existing problems of facial movements gaze upon it difficult to identify the user and. Using a Kalman filter structural information elements of a face feature to determine the authenticity of the face was estimated future location using the location information of the current head and the treatment time is relatively fast horizontal and vertical elements of the face using a histogram analysis the detected. And the light obtained by configuring the infrared illuminator pupil effects in real-time detection of the pupil, the pupil tracking was - to extract the text print vector.

Power consumption prediction model based on artificial neural networks for seawater source heat pump system in recirculating aquaculture system fish farm (순환여과식 양식장 해수 열원 히트펌프 시스템의 전력 소비량 예측을 위한 인공 신경망 모델)

  • Hyeon-Seok JEONG;Jong-Hyeok RYU;Seok-Kwon JEONG
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.60 no.1
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    • pp.87-99
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    • 2024
  • This study deals with the application of an artificial neural network (ANN) model to predict power consumption for utilizing seawater source heat pumps of recirculating aquaculture system. An integrated dynamic simulation model was constructed using the TRNSYS program to obtain input and output data for the ANN model to predict the power consumption of the recirculating aquaculture system with a heat pump system. Data obtained from the TRNSYS program were analyzed using linear regression, and converted into optimal data necessary for the ANN model through normalization. To optimize the ANN-based power consumption prediction model, the hyper parameters of ANN were determined using the Bayesian optimization. ANN simulation results showed that ANN models with optimized hyper parameters exhibited acceptably high predictive accuracy conforming to ASHRAE standards.

The effect investigation of the delirium by Bayesian network and radial graph (베이지안 네트워크와 방사형 그래프를 이용한 섬망의 효과 규명)

  • Lee, Jea-Young;Bae, Jae-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.911-919
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    • 2011
  • In recent medical analysis, it becomes more important to looking for risk factors related to mental illness. If we find and identify their relevant characteristics of the risk factors, the disease can be prevented in advance. Moreover, the study can be helpful to medical development. These kinds of studies of risk factors for mental illness have mainly been discussed by using the logistic regression model. However in this paper, data mining techniques such as CART, C5.0, logistic, neural networks and Bayesian network were used to search for the risk factors. The Bayesian network of the above data mining methods was selected as most optimal model by applying delirium data. Then, Bayesian network analysis was used to find risk factors and the relationship between the risk factors are identified through a radial graph.

Predicting unconfined compression strength and split tensile strength of soil-cement via artificial neural networks

  • Luis Pereira;Luis Godinho;Fernando G. Branco
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.611-624
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    • 2023
  • Soil properties make it attractive as a building material due to its mechanical strength, aesthetically appearance, plasticity, and low cost. However, it is frequently necessary to improve and stabilize the soil mechanical properties with binders. Soil-cement is applied for purposes ranging from housing to dams, roads and foundations. Unconfined compression strength (UCS) and split tensile strength (CD) are essential mechanical parameters for ascertaining the aptitude of soil-cement for a given application. However, quantifying these parameters requires specimen preparation, testing, and several weeks. Methodologies that allowed accurate estimation of mechanical parameters in shorter time would represent an important advance in order to ensure shorter deliverable timeline and reduce the amount of laboratory work. In this work, an extensive campaign of UCS and CD tests was carried out in a sandy soil from the Leiria region (Portugal). Then, using the machine learning tool Neural Pattern Recognition of the MATLAB software, a prediction of these two parameters based on six input parameters was made. The results, especially those obtained with resource to a Bayesian regularization-backpropagation algorithm, are frankly positive, with a forecast success percentage over 90% and very low root mean square error (RMSE).

Forecasting Long-Term Steamflow from a Small Waterhed Using Artificial Neural Network (인공신경망 이론을 이용한 소유역에서의 장기 유출 해석)

  • 강문성;박승우
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2001
  • An artificial neural network model was developed to analyze and forecast daily steamflow flow a small watershed. Error Back propagation neural networks (EBPN) of daily rainfall and runoff data were found to have a high performance in simulating stremflow. The model adopts a gradient descent method where the momentum and adaptive learning rate concepts were employed to minimize local minima value problems and speed up the convergence of EBP method. The number of hidden nodes was optimized using Bayesian information criterion. The resulting optimal EBPN model for forecasting daily streamflow consists of three rainfall and four runoff data (Model34), and the best number of the hidden nodes were found to be 13. The proposed model simulates the daily streamflow satisfactorily by comparison compared to the observed data at the HS#3 watershed of the Baran watershed project, which is 391.8 ha and has relatively steep topography and complex land use.

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Long Term Streamflow Forecasting in Small Watershed using Artificial Neural Network (신경망이론을 이용한 소유역에서의 장기 유출 해석(수공))

  • 강문성;박승우
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.384-389
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    • 2000
  • A artificial neural network model was developed to analyze and forecast the flow fluctuation at small streams in the Balan watershed. Backpropagation neural networks were found to perform very well in forecasting daily streamflows. In order to deal with slow convergence and an appropriate structure, two algorithms were proposed for speeding up the convergence of the backpropagation method, and the Bayesian Information Criterion(BIC) was proposed for obtaining the optimal number of hidden nodes. From simulations using daily flows at the HS#3 watershed of the Balan Watershed Project, which is 412,5 ㏊ in size and relatively steep in landscape, it was found that those algorithms perform satisfactorily.

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Using machine learning to forecast and assess the uncertainty in the response of a typical PWR undergoing a steam generator tube rupture accident

  • Tran Canh Hai Nguyen ;Aya Diab
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.55 no.9
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    • pp.3423-3440
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    • 2023
  • In this work, a multivariate time-series machine learning meta-model is developed to predict the transient response of a typical nuclear power plant (NPP) undergoing a steam generator tube rupture (SGTR). The model employs Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), including the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), and a hybrid CNN-LSTM model. To address the uncertainty inherent in such predictions, a Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) was implemented. The models were trained using a database generated by the Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty (BEPU) methodology; coupling the thermal hydraulics code, RELAP5/SCDAP/MOD3.4 to the statistical tool, DAKOTA, to predict the variation in system response under various operational and phenomenological uncertainties. The RNN models successfully captures the underlying characteristics of the data with reasonable accuracy, and the BNN-LSTM approach offers an additional layer of insight into the level of uncertainty associated with the predictions. The results demonstrate that LSTM outperforms GRU, while the hybrid CNN-LSTM model is computationally the most efficient. This study aims to gain a better understanding of the capabilities and limitations of machine learning models in the context of nuclear safety. By expanding the application of ML models to more severe accident scenarios, where operators are under extreme stress and prone to errors, ML models can provide valuable support and act as expert systems to assist in decision-making while minimizing the chances of human error.

Crack segmentation in high-resolution images using cascaded deep convolutional neural networks and Bayesian data fusion

  • Tang, Wen;Wu, Rih-Teng;Jahanshahi, Mohammad R.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.221-235
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    • 2022
  • Manual inspection of steel box girders on long span bridges is time-consuming and labor-intensive. The quality of inspection relies on the subjective judgements of the inspectors. This study proposes an automated approach to detect and segment cracks in high-resolution images. An end-to-end cascaded framework is proposed to first detect the existence of cracks using a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) and then segment the crack using a modified U-Net encoder-decoder architecture. A Naïve Bayes data fusion scheme is proposed to reduce the false positives and false negatives effectively. To generate the binary crack mask, first, the original images are divided into 448 × 448 overlapping image patches where these image patches are classified as cracks versus non-cracks using a deep CNN. Next, a modified U-Net is trained from scratch using only the crack patches for segmentation. A customized loss function that consists of binary cross entropy loss and the Dice loss is introduced to enhance the segmentation performance. Additionally, a Naïve Bayes fusion strategy is employed to integrate the crack score maps from different overlapping crack patches and to decide whether a pixel is crack or not. Comprehensive experiments have demonstrated that the proposed approach achieves an 81.71% mean intersection over union (mIoU) score across 5 different training/test splits, which is 7.29% higher than the baseline reference implemented with the original U-Net.

Classification of Very High Concerns HRCT Images using Extended Bayesian Networks (확장 베이지안망을 적용한 고위험성 HRCT 영상 분류)

  • Lim, Chae-Gyun;Jung, Yong-Gyu
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 2012
  • Recently the medical field to efficiently process the vast amounts of information to decision trees, neural networks, Bayesian Networks, including the application method of various data mining techniques are investigated. In addition, the basic personal information or patient history, family history, in addition to information such as MRI, HRCT images and additional information to collect and leverage in the diagnosis of disease, improved diagnostic accuracy is to promote a common status. But in real world situations that affect the results much because of the variable exists for a particular data mining techniques to obtain information through the enemy can be seen fairly limited. Medical images were taken as well as a minor can not give a positive impact on the diagnosis, but the proportion increased subjective judgments by the automated system is to deal with difficult issues. As a result of a complex reality, the situation is more advantageous to deal with the relative probability of the multivariate model based on Bayesian network, or TAN in the K2 search algorithm improves due to expansion model has been proposed. At this point, depending on the type of search algorithm applied significantly influenced the performance characteristics of the extended Bayesian network, the performance and suitability of each technique for evaluation of the facts is required. In this paper, we extend the Bayesian network for diagnosis of diseases using the same data were carried out, K2, TAN and changes in search algorithms such as classification accuracy was measured. In the 10-fold cross-validation experiment was performed to compare the performance evaluation based on the analysis and the onset of high-risk classification for patients with HRCT images could be possible to identify high-risk data.