• Title/Summary/Keyword: bagging

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연결강도분석을 이용한 통합된 부도예측용 신경망모형

  • Lee Woongkyu;Lim Young Ha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Association of Information Systems Conference
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    • 2002.11a
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    • pp.289-312
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    • 2002
  • This study suggests the Link weight analysis approach to choose input variables and an integrated model to make more accurate bankruptcy prediction model. the Link weight analysis approach is a method to choose input variables to analyze each input node's link weight which is the absolute value of link weight between an input nodes and a hidden layer. There are the weak-linked neurons elimination method, the strong-linked neurons selection method in the link weight analysis approach. The Integrated Model is a combined type adapting Bagging method that uses the average value of the four models, the optimal weak-linked-neurons elimination method, optimal strong-linked neurons selection method, decision-making tree model, and MDA. As a result, the methods suggested in this study - the optimal strong-linked neurons selection method, the optimal weak-linked neurons elimination method, and the integrated model - show much higher accuracy than MDA and decision making tree model. Especially the integrated model shows much higher accuracy than MDA and decision making tree model and shows slightly higher accuracy than the optimal weak-linked neurons elimination method and the optimal strong-linked neurons selection method.

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Learning to Prevent Inactive Student of Indonesia Open University

  • Tama, Bayu Adhi
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.165-172
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    • 2015
  • The inactive student rate is becoming a major problem in most open universities worldwide. In Indonesia, roughly 36% of students were found to be inactive, in 2005. Data mining had been successfully employed to solve problems in many domains, such as for educational purposes. We are proposing a method for preventing inactive students by mining knowledge from student record systems with several state of the art ensemble methods, such as Bagging, AdaBoost, Random Subspace, Random Forest, and Rotation Forest. The most influential attributes, as well as demographic attributes (marital status and employment), were successfully obtained which were affecting student of being inactive. The complexity and accuracy of classification techniques were also compared and the experimental results show that Rotation Forest, with decision tree as the base-classifier, denotes the best performance compared to other classifiers.

A Hybrid Genetic Algorithm for K-Means Clustering

  • Jun, Sung-Hae;Han, Jin-Woo;Park, Minjae;Oh, Kyung-Whan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2003.09a
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    • pp.330-333
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    • 2003
  • Initial cluster size for clustering of partitioning methods is very important to the clustering result. In K-means algorithm, the result of cluster analysis becomes different with optimal cluster size K. Usually, the initial cluster size is determined by prior and subjective information. Sometimes this may not be optimal. Now, more objective method is needed to solve this problem. In our research, we propose a hybrid genetic algorithm, a tree induction based evolution algorithm, for determination of optimal cluster size. Initial population of this algorithm is determined by the number of terminal nodes of tree induction. From the initial population based on decision tree, our optimal cluster size is generated. The fitness function of ours is defined an inverse of dissimilarity measure. And the bagging approach is used for saying computational time cost.

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Study on the Control of Ripe Rot Disease of Grape (포도만부병방제에 관한 시험)

  • LEE Du Hyung
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.1
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    • pp.47-50
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    • 1962
  • Ripe rot, caused by Glomerlla cingulata is the most destructive disease of grapes in korea. this experiment was to determine the most effective control teratment for ripe rot of grapes. The variety, Campbell Early, was used in the trials planted on land managed by the Pomology Section of the Horticultural Experiment Station. This experiment indicated that Tuzet and Delan-wp were most effective in the control of ripe rot of grapes either with or without bagging in 1962.

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Ensemble Forecasting of Summer Seasonal Streamflow Using Hydroclimatic Information (수문기상정보를 이용한 여름 유량의 Ensemble 예측)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Moon, Young-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.1455-1459
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    • 2006
  • 우리나라 수자원 관리에서 여름 유량은 이수 및 치수 측면에서 매우 중요한 역할을 한다. 이러한 점에서 여름유량의 예측 가능성을 검토하는 것은 수자원 관리에 유연성을 주는 동시에 상대적으로 위험도를 저감시킬 수 있는 역할을 할 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구의 목적은 여름 계절 유량을 대상으로 기상인자와의 상관성 분석을 통해 유량 예측을 위한 수문기상정보(hydroclimatics)를 전 지구적으로 검토하고 최종적으로 불확실성을 고려할 수 있는 Ensemble예측을 실시하고자 한다. Ensemble예측은 설정 가능한 입력 자료를 통하여 다수의 출력자료를 얻는 방법론으로서 불확실성이 큰 기상 및 수문기상자료 분석에 주로 이용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 해수면온도(sea surface temperature), 해수면기압(sea level pressure)과 방출장파복사에너지(outgoing longwave radiation)를 주요 기상인자로 고려하였으며 예측모형으로서는 Cross Ensemble(out of bagging)방법에 근거한 Support Vector Machine 모형을 이용하였다. 분석결과 주요 기상인자와 50%이상의 상관관계를 보이고 있으며 다소 합리적인 예측 결과를 제시하여 주고 있어 수자원관리를 위한 보조수단으로 이용이 가능할 것으로 사료된다.

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Ensemble Learning for Underwater Target Classification (수중 표적 식별을 위한 앙상블 학습)

  • Seok, Jongwon
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.18 no.11
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    • pp.1261-1267
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    • 2015
  • The problem of underwater target detection and classification has been attracted a substantial amount of attention and studied from many researchers for both military and non-military purposes. The difficulty is complicate due to various environmental conditions. In this paper, we study classifier ensemble methods for active sonar target classification to improve the classification performance. In general, classifier ensemble method is useful for classifiers whose variances relatively large such as decision trees and neural networks. Bagging, Random selection samples, Random subspace and Rotation forest are selected as classifier ensemble methods. Using the four ensemble methods based on 31 neural network classifiers, the classification tests were carried out and performances were compared.

Inconsistent Pattern Model for Improving the Performance of Supervised Learning in Data Mining (데이터 마이닝의 지도학습 기법 성능향상을 위한 불일치 패턴 모델)

  • Heo, Jun;Kim, Jong-U
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.288-305
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    • 2007
  • 본 논문은 데이터 마이닝의 기법 중 가장 잘 알려진 지도학습 기법의 성능 향상을 위한 새로운 Hybrid 및 Combined 기법인 불일치 패턴 모델(오차 패턴 모델)에 대한 연구 논문이다. 불일치 패턴 모델이란 2개 이상의 기법 중 향후 더 레코드별로 더 잘 맞출 수 있는 기법을 메타 분류하는 불일치 패턴 모델을 개발하여, 최종적으로는 기존의 기법보다 더 좋은 분류 정확도 및 예측 향상율을 기대하기 위한 기법을 의미한다. 본 논문에서는 의사 결정나무 추론 기법인 C5.0과 C&RT 그리고 신경망 분석, 그리고 로지스틱 회귀분석과 같은 대표적인 데이터 마이닝의 지도학습 기법을 이용하여 불일치 패턴 모델을 생성하여 보고, 이들이 기존 단일 기법과 기존의 Combined 모델인 Bagging, Boosting 그리고 Stacking 기법보다 성능이 우수함을 23개의 실제 데이터 및 공신력 있는 공개 데이터를 이용하여 증명하여 보였다. 또한 데이터의 특성에 따라서 불일치 패턴 모델의 성능의 변화 및 더 우수해 지는지를 알아보기 위한 연구포 같이 수행을 하여 본 모델의 활용성을 높이고자 하였다.

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Data Fusion, Ensemble and Clustering for the Severity Classification of Road Traffic Accident in Korea (데이터융합, 앙상블과 클러스터링을 이용한 교통사고 심각도 분류분석)

  • 손소영;이성호
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.597-600
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    • 2000
  • 계속적인 증가 추세를 보이고 있는 교통량으로 인해 환경 문제뿐 아니라 교통사고로 인한 사상자 및 물적피해가 상당량으로 집계되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 데이터융합 및 앙상블 클러스터링방법을 이용한 교통사고 심각도 분류분석방법을 제안함으로서 교통사고예방에 기여하고자 한다. 이를 위하여 신경망과 Decision-Tree기법을 이용하여 얻은 물적피해와 신체상해가 발생할 확률을 융합하는 전형적인 데이터 융합기법(템스터-쉐퍼, 베이지안 방법, 로지스틱융합방법)을 사용하였다. 또한, 분류정확도를 향상시키고자 Bootstrap 재추출 방법을 이용해 얻어진 여러 개의 분류예측 결과 중 다수의 분류결과를 선택하는 앙상블 (arcing, bagging)기법을 적용하였다. 더불어, 본 연구에서는 클러스터링 방법을 제시하고, 이 방법이 기존의 융합기법, 앙상블기법과 비교한 결과, 분류예측면에서 정확도가 향상됨을 보였다.

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Effect of Calcium Solution Spray on Fruit or Leaf on Calcium Accumulation into Apple Fruit (사과나무 과실과 잎에 살포된 칼슘의 과실로의 축적)

  • Choi, Jong-Seung
    • The Journal of Natural Sciences
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2007
  • This research was conducted to investigate the effects of calcium solution spray on the accumulation of calcium into apple fruit. $^{45}_{CaCl_2}$ applied to fruit with different growth stages showed that more $^{45}Ca$ was penetrated into fruits when applied in the late stage than early stage. Slight radioactivity was detected only in pedicel except leaf when $^{45}Ca$ was treated on the leaves proximate to the fruit. When the Ca was treated on fruit surface only, calcium contents of fruit was increased.

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Characteristics on Inconsistency Pattern Modeling as Hybrid Data Mining Techniques (혼합 데이터 마이닝 기법인 불일치 패턴 모델의 특성 연구)

  • Hur, Joon;Kim, Jong-Woo
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.225-242
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    • 2008
  • PM (Inconsistency Pattern Modeling) is a hybrid supervised learning technique using the inconsistence pattern of input variables in mining data sets. The IPM tries to improve prediction accuracy by combining more than two different supervised learning methods. The previous related studies have shown that the IPM was superior to the single usage of an existing supervised learning methods such as neural networks, decision tree induction, logistic regression and so on, and it was also superior to the existing combined model methods such as Bagging, Boosting, and Stacking. The objectives of this paper is explore the characteristics of the IPM. To understand characteristics of the IPM, three experiments were performed. In these experiments, there are high performance improvements when the prediction inconsistency ratio between two different supervised learning techniques is high and the distance among supervised learning methods on MDS (Multi-Dimensional Scaling) map is long.

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