• 제목/요약/키워드: back prediction

검색결과 447건 처리시간 0.03초

Hydrological Modelling of Water Level near "Hahoe Village" Based on Multi-Layer Perceptron

  • Oh, Sang-Hoon;Wakuya, Hiroshi
    • International Journal of Contents
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.49-53
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    • 2016
  • "Hahoe Village" in Andong region is an UNESCO World Heritage Site. It should be protected against various disasters such as fire, flooding, earthquake, etc. Among these disasters, flooding has drastic impact on the lives and properties in a wide area. Since "Hahoe Village" is adjacent to Nakdong River, it is important to monitor the water level near the village. In this paper, we developed a hydrological modelling using multi-layer perceptron (MLP) to predict the water level of Nakdong River near "Hahoe Village". To develop the prediction model, error back-propagation (EBP) algorithm was used to train the MLP with water level data near the village and rainfall data at the upper reaches of the village. After training with data in 2012 and 2013, we verified the prediction performance of MLP with untrained data in 2014.

목표색상 재현을 위한 페인트 안료 배합비율의 예측 (Recipe Prediction of Colorant Proportion for Target Color Reproduction)

  • 황규석;박창원
    • 한국응용과학기술학회지
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.438-445
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    • 2008
  • For recipe prediction of colorant proportion showing nonlinear behavior, we modeled the effects of colorant proportion of basic colors on the target colors and predicted colorant proportion necessary for making target colors. First, colorant proportion of basic colors and color information indicated by the instrument was applied by a linear model and a multi-layer perceptrons model with back-propagation learning method. However, satisfactory results were not obtained because of nonlinear property of colors. Thus, in this study the neuro-fuzzy model with merit of artificial neural networks and fuzzy systems was presented. The proposed model was trained with test data and colorant proportion was predicted. The effectiveness of the proposed model was verified by evaluation of color difference(${\Delta}E$).

침하예측방법들을 이용한 부산신항만 현장 침하 분석 (Analysis of the settlement of Pusan New Port construction site using the settlement prediction methods)

  • 박현일;김하영
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2009년도 세계 도시지반공학 심포지엄
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    • pp.1202-1205
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    • 2009
  • Embankment preloading, in conjunction with prefabricated vertical (PV) drains, was used to accelerate consolidation of marine clays in Pusan New Harbour project. UP to eightteen settlement plates were installed at the ground reclamated site under the embankment fill to monitor the preload performance. This analysis is carried out by five settlement prediction methods including the Asaoka, Hyperbolic, Hoshino, and back-analysis method based on optimization. The field settlement data can be analysed by settlement prediction methods to predict the ultimate settlement and the degree of consolidation of the reclaimed land under charge fill. The authors compared with the analyzed results of the methods.

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Flashover Prediction of Polymeric Insulators Using PD Signal Time-Frequency Analysis and BPA Neural Network Technique

  • Narayanan, V. Jayaprakash;Karthik, B.;Chandrasekar, S.
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.1375-1384
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    • 2014
  • Flashover of power transmission line insulators is a major threat to the reliable operation of power system. This paper deals with the flashover prediction of polymeric insulators used in power transmission line applications using the novel condition monitoring technique developed by PD signal time-frequency map and neural network technique. Laboratory experiments on polymeric insulators were carried out as per IEC 60507 under AC voltage, at different humidity and contamination levels using NaCl as a contaminant. Partial discharge signals were acquired using advanced ultra wide band detection system. Salient features from the Time-Frequency map and PRPD pattern at different pollution levels were extracted. The flashover prediction of polymeric insulators was automated using artificial neural network (ANN) with back propagation algorithm (BPA). From the results, it can be speculated that PD signal feature extraction along with back propagation classification is a well suited technique to predict flashover of polymeric insulators.

포화사질토의 동적거동규명을 위한 수정 교란상태개념 (Modified Disturbed State Concept for Dynamic Behaviors of Fully Saturated Sands)

  • 최재순;김수일
    • 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지진공학회 2003년도 추계 학술발표회논문집
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2003
  • There are many problems in the prediction of dynamic behaviors of saturated soils because undrained excess pore water pressure builds up and then the strain softening behavior is occurred simultaneously. A few analytical constitutive models based on the effective stress concept have been proposed but most models hardly predict the excess pore water pressure and strain softening behaviors correctly In this study, the disturbed state concept (DSC) model proposed by Dr, Desai was modified to predict the saturated soil behaviors under the dynamic loads. Also, back-prediction program was developed for verification of modified DSC model. Cyclic triaxial tests were carried out to determine DSC parameters and test result was compared with the result of back-prediction. Through this research, it is proved that the proposed model based on the modified disturbed state concept can predict the realistic soil dynamic characteristics such as stress degradation and strain softening behavior according to dynamic process of excess pore water pressure.

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Support Vector Machine을 이용한 초기 소프트웨어 품질 예측 (Early Software Quality Prediction Using Support Vector Machine)

  • 홍의석
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.235-245
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    • 2011
  • Early criticality prediction models that determine whether a design entity is fault-prone or not are becoming more and more important as software development projects are getting larger. Effective predictions can reduce the system development cost and improve software quality by identifying trouble-spots at early phases and proper allocation of effort and resources. Many prediction models have been proposed using statistical and machine learning methods. This paper builds a prediction model using Support Vector Machine(SVM) which is one of the most popular modern classification methods and compares its prediction performance with a well-known prediction model, BackPropagation neural network Model(BPM). SVM is known to generalize well even in high dimensional spaces under small training data conditions. In prediction performance evaluation experiments, dimensionality reduction techniques for data set are not used because the dimension of input data is too small. Experimental results show that the prediction performance of SVM model is slightly better than that of BPM and polynomial kernel function achieves better performance than other SVM kernel functions.

신경 회로망을 이용한 음성 신호의 장구간 예측 (Long-term Prediction of Speech Signal Using a Neural Network)

  • 이기승
    • 한국음향학회지
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.522-530
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    • 2002
  • 본 논문에서는 선형 예측 후에 얻어지는 잔차 신호 (residual signal)를 신경 회로망에 바탕을 둔 비선형 예측기로 예측하는 방법을 제안하였다. 신경 회로망을 이용한 예측 방법의 타당성을 입증하기 위해, 먼저 선형 장구간 예측기와 신경 회로망이 도입된 비선형 장구간 예측기의 성능을 서로 비교하였다. 그리고 비선형 예측 후의 잔차 신호를 양자화 하는 과정에서 발생하는 양자화 오차의 영향에 대해 분석하였다. 제안된 신경망 예측기는 예측 오차뿐만 아니라 양자화의 영향을 함께 고려하였으며, 양자화오차에 대한강인성을 갖게 하기 위하여 쿤-터커 (Kuhn-Tucker) 부등식 조건을 만족하는 제한조건 역전파 알고리즘을 새로이 제안하였다. 실험 결과, 제안된 신경망 예측기는 제한조건을 갖는 학습 알고리즘을 사용했음에도 불구하고, 예측 이득이 크게 뒤떨어지지 않는 성능을 나타내었다.