• Title/Summary/Keyword: average case error

Search Result 287, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

Real Time Error Correction of Hydrologic Model Using Kalman Filter

  • Wang, Qiong;An, Shanfu;Chen, Guoxin;Jee, Hong-Kee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2007.05a
    • /
    • pp.1592-1596
    • /
    • 2007
  • Accuracy of flood forecasting is an important non-structural measure on the flood control and mitigation. Hence, combination of horologic model with real time error correction became an important issue. It is one of the efficient ways to improve the forecasting precision. In this work, an approach based on Kalman Filter (KF) is proposed to continuously revise state estimates to promote the accuracy of flood forecasting results. The case study refers to the Wi River in Korea, with the flood forecasting results of Xinanjiang model. Compared to the results, the corrected results based on the Kalman filter are more accurate. It proved that this method can take good effect on hydrologic forecasting of Wi River, Korea, although there are also flood peak discharge and flood reach time biases. The average determined coefficient and the peak discharge are quite improved, with the determined coefficient exceeding 0.95 for every year.

  • PDF

Study on the Accuracy Improvement for Survey of Estuary Riverbed (하구하상 측량 정밀도 향상에 관한 연구)

  • 박운용;김천영;김용보
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
    • /
    • v.21 no.2
    • /
    • pp.137-145
    • /
    • 2003
  • Currently, the availability of 3-D topographical survey by combination of GPS and Echo Sounder has been increased in the various field like as the construction of structure, the dredging and the reclamation in the ocean and river, and observation of topographic change in seabed or riverbed. In this case, the error of depth sounding can divide in form that is happened by combination of GPS and Echo Sounder, and form that is happened in Echo Sounder itself, In this study, in the case happen by Echo Sounder itself, analyzed error by specially about geological features of the seabed and riverbed that is specular surface of sound wave and wished to present solution way. The sounding error about the echo sounder and characteristic of estuary riverbed was found by understanding the relation of average diameter and residual error and we defined correction formula, Y=-0.00474$^{*}$In(X) -0.0045 by the regression analysis. and then we verified applicability of correction formula. As the result, if measure Preliminary investigation or pre-survey the geological features for the survey area at topographical survey of estuary riverbed, we presented the error correction formula that estimate and can correct of error by Echo Sounderer.

Error analysis of areal mean precipitation estimation using ground gauge precipitation and interpolation method (지점 강수량과 내삽기법을 이용한 면적평균 강수량 산정의 오차 분석)

  • Hwang, Seokhwan;Kang, Narae;Yoon, Jung Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.55 no.12
    • /
    • pp.1053-1064
    • /
    • 2022
  • The Thiessen method, which is the current area average precipitation method, has serious structural limitations in accurately calculating the average precipitation in the watershed. In addition to the observation accuracy of the precipitation meter, errors may occur in the area average precipitation calculation depending on the arrangement of the precipitation meter and the direction of the heavy rain. When the watershed is small and the station density is sparse, in both simulation and observation history, the Thiessen method showed a peculiar tendency that the average precipitation in the watershed continues to increase and decrease rapidly for 10 minutes before and after the peak. And the average precipitation in the Thiessen basin was different from the rainfall radar at the peak time. In the case where the watershed is small but the station density is relatively high, overall, the Thiessen method did not show a trend of sawtooth-shaped over-peak, and the time-dependent fluctuations were similar. However, there was a continuous time lag of about 10 minutes between the rainfall radar observations and the ground precipitation meter observations and the average precipitation in the basin. As a result of examining the ground correction effect of the rainfall radar watershed average precipitation, the correlation between the area average precipitation after correction is rather low compared to the area average precipitation before correction, indicating that the correction effect of the current rainfall radar ground correction algorithm is not high.

A Generalized Model on the Estimation of the Long - term Run - off Volume - with Special Reference to small and Medium Sized Catchment Areas- (장기만연속수수량추정모형의 실용화 연구 -우리나라 중소유역을 대상으로-)

  • 임병현
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.32 no.4
    • /
    • pp.27-43
    • /
    • 1990
  • This study aimed at developing a generalized model on the estimation of the long - term run - off volume for practical purpose. During the research period of last 3 years( 1986-1988), 3 types of estimation model on the long - term run - off volume(Effective rainfall model, unit hydrograph model and barne's model for dry season) had been developed by the author. In this study, through regressional analysis between determinant factors (bi of effective rainfall model, ai of unit hydrograph model and Wi of barne's model) and catchment characteris- tics(catchment area, distance round the catchment area, massing degree coefficient, river - exte- nsion, river - slope, river - density, infiltration of Watershed) of 11 test case areas by multiple regressional method, a new methodology on the derivation of determinant factors from catchment characteristics in the watershed areas having no hydrological station was developed. Therefore, in the resulting step, estimation equations on run - off volume for practical purpose of which input facor is only rainfall were developed. In the next stage, the derived equations were applied on the Kang - and Namgye - river catchment areas for checking of their goodness. The test results were as follows ; 1. In Kang - river area, average relative estimation errors of 72 hydrographs and of continuous daily run - off volume for 245 days( 1/5/1982 - 31/12) were calculated as 6.09%, 9.58% respectively. 2. In Namgye - river area, average relative estimation errors of 65 hydrographs and of conti- nuous daily run - off volume for 2fl days(5/4/1980-31/12) were 5.68%, 10.5% respectively. In both cases, relative estimation error was averaged as 7.96%, and so, the methodology in this study might be hetter organized than Kaziyama's formula when comparing with the relative error of the latter, 24~54%. However, two case studies cannot be the base materials enough for the full generalization of the model. So, in the future studies, many test case studies of this model should he carries out in the various catchment areas for making its generalization.

  • PDF

A Study on Bagging Neural Network for Predicting Defect Size of Steam Generator Tube in Nuclear Power Plant (원전 증기발생기 세관 결함 크기 예측을 위한 Bagging 신경회로망에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyung-Jin;Jo, Nam-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
    • /
    • v.30 no.4
    • /
    • pp.302-310
    • /
    • 2010
  • In this paper, we studied Bagging neural network for predicting defect size of steam generator(SG) tube in nuclear power plant. Bagging is a method for creating an ensemble of estimator based on bootstrap sampling. For predicting defect size of SG tube, we first generated eddy current testing signals for 4 defect patterns of SG tube with various widths and depths. Then, we constructed single neural network(SNN) and Bagging neural network(BNN) to estimate width and depth of each defect. The estimation performance of SNN and BNN were measured by means of peak error. According to our experiment result, average peak error of SNN and BNN for estimating defect depth were 0.117 and 0.089mm, respectively. Also, in the case of estimating defect width, average peak error of SNN and BNN were 0.494 and 0.306mm, respectively. This shows that the estimation performance of BNN is superior to that of SNN.

Development of Easy-to-Use Crane-Tip Controller for Forestry Crane

  • Ki-Duck, Kim;Beom-Soo, Shin
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
    • /
    • v.38 no.4
    • /
    • pp.239-248
    • /
    • 2022
  • Forestry crane work in a forest harvester or forwarder is regarded as one of most hard work requiring a very high level of operation skill. The operator must handle two or more multi-axes joysticks simultaneously to control the multiple manipulators for maneuvering the crane-tip to its intended location. This study has been carried out to develop a crane-tip controller which can intuitively maneuver the crane-tip, resulting in improving the productivity by decreasing the technical difficulty of control as well as reducing the workload. The crane-tip controller consists of a single 2-axis joystick and a control algorithm run on microcontroller. Lab-scale forestry crane was constructed using electric cylinders. The crane-tip control algorithm has the crane-tip follow the waypoints generated on the given path considering the dead band region using LBO (Lateral Boundary Offset). A speed control gain to change the speed of relevant cylinders relatively is applied as well. By the P (Proportional) control within the control interval of 20 msec, the average error of crane-tip control on the predefined straight path turned out to be 14.5 mm in all directions. When the joystick is used the waypoints are generated in real time by the direction signal from the joystick. In this case, the average error of path control was 12.4 mm for straight up, straight forward and straight down movements successively at a certain constant speed setting. In the slant movement of crane-tip by controlling two axes of joystick simultaneously, the movement of crane-tip was controlled in the average error of 15.9 mm when the crane-tip is moved up and down while moving toward forward direction. It concluded that the crane-tip control was possible using the control algorithm developed in this study.

View Angle Emission Pattern in ITO-TPD-$Alq_3$-LiF-Al Organic Light-Emitting Diodes

  • Kim, Tae-Wan;Park, Clara
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
    • /
    • 2009.11a
    • /
    • pp.193-194
    • /
    • 2009
  • This report makes an important correction to estimating angular dependent emission pattern of Organic Light-Emitting Diodes (OLEDs). Today, experiments on measuring angular light intensity of OLEDs are conducted without considering the difference between the view angle identified by photodiode and the actual angle being measured. ITO-TPD-$Alq_3$-LiF-Al Organic Light-Emitting Diode was used to find out the degree of the error. In this case, the difference in average was about $1^*$, which is highly significant. Since the difference varies from case to case, the need for adjustment must be evaluated for each case.

  • PDF

A Study on the Optimum Selection of Placing Photovoltaic Module In the Metropolitan City Using a TRNSYS (TRNSYS를 이용한 지역별 고정형 태양광모듈 배치안 검토)

  • Park, Sung-Hyun;Seo, Jang-Hoo
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2011.11a
    • /
    • pp.297-302
    • /
    • 2011
  • In this study, used Trnsys and will apply metropolitan city distinguishes, fixations and BIPV systems the photovoltaic module arrangement environment which receives solar radiation quantity plentifully from the case design process which and most the outcome value simulation did analyzed. The climate data uses each metropolitan city distinguishes 20 average weather data, With measured values of horizontal solar radiation. The error scope appeared with 0.1%~6.7%. Variable of module arrangement Azimuth and angle of inclination of module and comparison group Module on due south direction angle of inclination $45^{\circ}$ day time set with the yearly average solar radiation quantity which receives. The result When the case comparison group which arranges a solar storehouse module with optimum environment and comparing until the minimum 1.4% - maximum 10.9% the solar radiation quantity difference appears with the thing, metropolitan city distinguishes considers the case solar radiation quantity which will arrange a photovoltaic module and that must establish with optimum environment judges.

  • PDF

Performance Analysis of Decode-and-Forward Relaying with Partial Relay Selection for Multihop Transmission over Rayleigh Fading Channels

  • Bao, Vo Nguyen Quoe;Kong, Hyung-Yun
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
    • /
    • v.12 no.5
    • /
    • pp.433-441
    • /
    • 2010
  • Multihop transmission is a promising technique that helps in achieving broader coverage (excellent network connectivity) and preventing the impairment of wireless channels. This paper proposes a cluster-based multihop wireless network that makes use of the advantages of multihop relaying, i.e., path loss gain, and partial relay selection in each hop, i.e., spatial diversity. In this partial relay selection, the node with the maximum instantaneous channel gain will serve as the sender for the next hop. With the proposed protocol, the transmit power and spectral efficiency can be improved over those in the case of direct transmission and conventional multihop transmission. Moreover, at a high signal-to-noise ratio (SNR), the performance of the system with at least two nodes in each cluster is dependent only on the last hop and not on any of the intermediate hops. For a practically feasible decode-and-forward relay strategy, a compact expression for the probability density function of the end-to-end SNR at the destination is derived. This expression is then used to derive closed-form expressions for the outage probability, average symbol error rate, and average bit error rate for M-ary square quadrature amplitude modulation as well as to determine the spectral efficiency of the system. In addition, the probability of SNR gain over direct transmission is investigated for different environments. The mathematical analysis is verified by various simulation results for demonstrating the accuracy of the theoretical approach.

Analysis of the Tsyganenko Magnetic Field Model Accuracy during Geomagnetic Storm Times Using the GOES Data

  • Song, Seok-Min;Min, Kyungguk
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
    • /
    • v.39 no.4
    • /
    • pp.159-167
    • /
    • 2022
  • Because of the small number of spacecraft available in the Earth's magnetosphere at any given time, it is not possible to obtain direct measurements of the fundamental quantities, such as the magnetic field and plasma density, with a spatial coverage necessary for studying, global magnetospheric phenomena. In such cases, empirical as well as physics-based models are proven to be extremely valuable. This requires not only having high fidelity and high accuracy models, but also knowing the weakness and strength of such models. In this study, we assess the accuracy of the widely used Tsyganenko magnetic field models, T96, T01, and T04, by comparing the calculated magnetic field with the ones measured in-situ by the GOES satellites during geomagnetically disturbed times. We first set the baseline accuracy of the models from a data-model comparison during the intervals of geomagnetically quiet times. During quiet times, we find that all three models exhibit a systematic error of about 10% in the magnetic field magnitude, while the error in the field vector direction is on average less than 1%. We then assess the model accuracy by a data-model comparison during twelve geomagnetic storm events. We find that the errors in both the magnitude and the direction are well maintained at the quiet-time level throughout the storm phase, except during the main phase of the storms in which the largest error can reach 15% on average, and exceed well over 70% in the worst case. Interestingly, the largest error occurs not at the Dst minimum but 2-3 hours before the minimum. Finally, the T96 model has consistently underperformed compared to the other models, likely due to the lack of computation for the effects of ring current. However, the T96 and T01 models are accurate enough for most of the time except for highly disturbed periods.