• 제목/요약/키워드: autoregressive modeling

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Longitudinal Study on Factors Affecting Older Adults' Welfare Service Utilization (노인의 노인복지서비스 이용경험에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 종단연구 -서울과 춘천 노인들을 중심으로)

  • Lim, Yeon Ok;Yoon, Hyunsook
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.1063-1085
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    • 2009
  • The purposes of this study were to investigate the transition of elderly's welfare service utilization and to examine the factors affecting their utilization as time passed. To solve these research questions, the behavioral model presented by Andersen and Newman(1973) was applied. Using Hallym Aging Panel data consisted of 3 waves from 2003 to 2007, autoregressive modeling and regression analysis were applied for research purposes. The results of this study were as follows; (1) The experiences of welfare service utilization were increasing gradually. The complimentary service for the aged was utilized generally, but leisure service and community service were not used in common. (2) Past experience of service affected service utilization in the following times. (3) The factors affecting older adult's service utilization were different among the types of services. Nonetheless, the factors affecting continuously during the periods were found: age as predisposing factor and area as enabling factor in the complimentary service; area and existence of spouse as enabling factor in leisure service; education as predisposing factor and service cognition as enabling factor in community service. Enabling factor has affected more consistently than other factors. The results showed that special attention should be paid to balanced regional arrangement for welfare resources and the public relation considering the elderly's intellectual level.

A Spatial-Temporal Correlation Analysis of Housing Prices in Busan Using SpVAR and GSTAR (SpVAR(공간적 벡터자기회귀모델)과 GSTAR(일반화 시공간자기회귀모델)를 이용한 부산지역 주택가격의 시공간적 상관성 분석)

  • Kwon, Youngwoo;Choi, Yeol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.245-256
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    • 2024
  • Since 2020, quantitative easing and easy money policies have been implemented for the purpose of economic stimulus. As a result, real estate prices have skyrocketed. In this study, the relationship between sales and rental prices by housing type during the period of soaring real estate prices in Busan was analyzed spatio-temporally. Based on the actual transaction price data, housing type, transaction type, and monthly data of district units were constructed. Among the spatio-temporal analysis models, the SpVAR, which is used to understand the temporal and spatial effects of variables, and the GSTAR, which is used to understand the effects of each region on those variables, were used. As a result, the sales price of apartment had positive effect on the sale price of apartment, row house, and detached house in the surrounding area, including the target area. On the other hand, it was confirmed that demand was converted to apartment rental due to an increase in apartment sales prices, and the sale price fell again over time. The spatio-temporal spillover effect of apartments was positive, but the positive effect of row house and detached house were concentrated in the original downtown area.