• 응용통계연구
• /
• 제23권5호
• /
• pp.783-797
• /
• 2010

이 논문은 투자성과에 있어 자산배분의 중요성이 크다는 것에 주목하여 최적 자산배분을 달성하기 위한 투자의 수단으로써 펀드의 가능성을 살펴보고자 한다. 우선 펀드의 자산별 배분(또는 스타일)을 정의하기 위해 Sharpe(1992)가 제시한 펀드 수익률 기반 스타일 분석을 적용하였다. 정의된 펀드의 스타일이 일정기간 유지되는지 확인하기 위해 특정 개별 투자자를 가정하고 스타일 변동 허용범위를 설정한 뒤 이를 충족시키는지 살펴보았다. 국내 주식형 펀드에 한정하여 실증 분석을 수행한 결과 투자시점에 가정하였던 펀드의 스타일이 투자 예상 기간 동안 지속적으로 유지되지 않음을 확인하였고 그 원인을 파악하고자 하였다. 몇 가지 분석 상의 한계에도 불구하고 실증 분석의 결과 펀드가 투자자의 최적 자산배분 달성을 위한 투자수단으로 적절치 않다는 결론을 얻을 수 있었다.

• 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
• /
• 제33권1호
• /
• pp.27-34
• /
• 2024

본 연구는 OECD 평균 수준의 소득대체율 대비 실현 소득대체율이 부족할 위험을 최소화하는 자산배분안을 제안하는 데 그 목적이 있다. 이를 위해 본 연구는 소득대체율 부족 위험을 정의하고 이를 최소화하는 최적 자산배분안을 퇴직연금제도 가입기간, 가입자 소득수준, 추가부담금 수준별로 산출하여 제시하였다. 이를 위해 본 연구는 투자의 대상으로 주식과 예금을 고려하였으며 주식의 경우 GBM 모형에 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 수행하여 수익률 분포를 생성하였다. 분석결과, 퇴직연금제도 가입 기간이 30년 이하인 경우, 가입자는 적립금의 최소 70~80%를 위험자산에 투자해야 소득대체율 부족 위험을 최소화할 수 있는 것으로 나타났다. 다만, 가입자가 부담금을 추가 납부할 경우 위험자산의 최적 투자 비중은 큰 폭으로 하락하였으며, 이러한 효과는 저소득자에서 크게 나타났다. 따라서, OECD 평균 수준의 소득대체율을 달성하기 위해 정부는 가입자들이 일정 수준 이상의 적립금을 위험자산에 투자할 수 있도록 유인하는 가운데 저소득층에게는 추가부담금 납입을 유인하기 위한 보조금 정책 등을 검토할 필요가 있다.

• 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
• /
• 제23권4호
• /
• pp.163-170
• /
• 2014

본 연구는 DC제도에서 근로자가 회사로부터 지급받는 퇴직금 추계액을 사용하여 마련해야할 퇴직금 규모를 설정하였다. 또한 적립금 성장모형을 활용하여 자산의 수익률과 배분에 따른 시뮬레이션 결과로 추계액과 적립금 비교를 통하여 shortfall risk 발생수준을 확률적으로 연구하여 가장 적절한 자산배분포트폴리오를 알아보았다. 이를 위해 2004년부터 2013년까지 KOSPI와 종합채권수익률을 기초로 시뮬레이션 분석을 하였으며 적립금이 추계액보다 부족한 경우와 동일한 경우 2개의 시나리오를 설정하였다. 이를 통해 1기간 동안 주식과 채권의 자산배분에 따라 연금리스크가 발생하지 않을 확률을 확인하였고 연금리스크가 발생하지 않도록 DC가입자, 정부, 기업들이 노력할 것을 제안한다.

• 품질경영학회지
• /
• 제51권4호
• /
• pp.573-588
• /
• 2023

Purpose: This study presents a research approach that utilizes deep reinforcement learning to construct optimal portfolios based on the business cycle for stocks and other assets. The objective is to develop effective investment strategies that adapt to the varying returns of assets in accordance with the business cycle. Methods: In this study, a diverse set of time series data, including stocks, is collected and utilized to train a deep reinforcement learning model. The proposed approach optimizes asset allocation based on the business cycle, particularly by gathering data for different states such as prosperity, recession, depression, and recovery and constructing portfolios optimized for each phase. Results: Experimental results confirm the effectiveness of the proposed deep reinforcement learning-based approach in constructing optimal portfolios tailored to the business cycle. The utility of optimizing portfolio investment strategies for each phase of the business cycle is demonstrated. Conclusion: This paper contributes to the construction of optimal portfolios based on the business cycle using a deep reinforcement learning approach, providing investors with effective investment strategies that simultaneously seek stability and profitability. As a result, investors can adopt stable and profitable investment strategies that adapt to business cycle volatility.

• 가정과삶의질연구
• /
• 제15권4호
• /
• pp.237-252
• /
• 1997

The purpose of this study were to identify the income allocation structure of private education and child care and to analyze contributing factors income allocation structure of private education and child care for two children among Korean married couples. For these purposes total sample of 760 married couples those having two children of both pre-school aged and elementary school aged wee selected and total sample was divided into two groups by first child's school aged; those were pre-school aged(375) and elementary school aged (385) Statistics were frequencies means percentile and Tobit and OLS analysis. The results were as follows. First 268 households among the households those having the first child of pre-school aged spent 11% of income for private education while 29 households spent 7% of income for child care. 348 households among the households having the first child of elementary school aged spent 11% of income for private education. Second pre=-school aged' contri uting factors to income allocation struture of private education and child care were household family type family size home ownership and financial asset amount and elementary school-aged factors were satisfaction of family relationship and financial asset.

• 한국주거학회논문집
• /
• 제26권1호
• /
• pp.109-118
• /
• 2015

The purpose of this research is to examine generational distinctions of housing investment and household wealth for two different age cohorts - 'baby-boomers' and 'eco-boomers'. In so doing, national survey data of two different periods were analyzed and the primary results are summarized as follows; aggregate assets of both generations have risen, and the rising household debt for baby-boomers was related to loans for living expenses while eco-boomer's debt was ascribed to home-buying loans. In the midst of economic slowdown, the age cohorts had conservative asset allocation in preference for risk-averting investment like savings. The main purpose of saving and investment was distinctive across the groups? retirement for baby-boomers and home purchase for eco-boomers. Both groups prioritized reduction of household liabilities and also were cautious on investing in real estate. Still home-buying was considered to be an important driver for asset accumulation. While baby-boomers were unwilling to dispose any form of owned real estate, eco-boomers found it challenging to take on a long-term investment like home-buying, especially in economic uncertainties. Rather the young generation would diversify asset allocation with better-returning investment commodities like stocks, bonds and derivatives.

• 아태비즈니스연구
• /
• 제14권4호
• /
• pp.151-161
• /
• 2023

Purpose - In this study, we examine the factors related to the asset allocation decisions of individual investors who 1) directly invest in stocks or bonds, 2) indirectly invest in various fund products (excluding CMA and MMF), and 3) invest in both products. Design/methodology/approach - We collect a sample of 3,000 individual investors and investigate the factors influencing investment behavior, especially the diversification tendency in asset allocation, with the "Investor Behavior Survey" that is conducted jointly by the Korea Financial Investment Association and the Korea Gallup Research Institute in 2011 and 2012. Findings - Our regression analyses estimate the marginal effects of various factors such as the amount of total financial assets, monthly income, occupation, age, and gender. The results reveal that male investors with manual labor occupations were less inclined to diversify their investments compared to female investors in office jobs. Additionally, higher monthly income is associated with a greater inclination toward diversification. Therefore, if a positive relationship exists between income and educational level, we may suggest that higher educational levels lead to a greater tendency for diversification. Research implications or Originality - Interestingly, investors who engage in direct investments tend to exhibit a weaker diversification tendency as the amount of their direct investment increases. On the other hand, investors who engage in both direct and indirect investments show a weaker diversification tendency as the amount of total financial assets increases. This suggests that the investment style of investors is closely related to their diversification behavior.

• 충청수학회지
• /
• 제26권2호
• /
• pp.343-349
• /
• 2013

The optimal portfolio selection problem under inflation risk is considered in this paper. There are three assets the economic agent can invest, which are a risk free bond, an index bond and a risky asset. By applying the martingale method, the optimal consumption rate and the optimal portfolios for each asset are obtained explicitly.

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국경영과학회/대한산업공학회 1999년도 춘계공동학술대회:정보화시대의 지식경영
• /
• pp.154-155
• /
• 1999

• International Journal of Human Ecology
• /
• 제7권2호
• /
• pp.53-62
• /
• 2006

The purpose of this study is to examine the changes in financial structure of the self-employed brought on the economic crisis in Korea.. We use financial ratio analysis, such as income to expenditure ratio, liquidity ratio, debt ratio, and capital accumulation ratio to analyze financial well-being of self-employed households. This study used a 1997 and 1998 Korean Household Panel Study collected by Daewoo Economic Research Institute. The average amount of holding of each type of asset showed that the investment of self-employed households decreased in the banking industry and the stock market in 1998 compared to 1997. On the other hand, asset allocation in bond and real estate increased, which implied preference for a stable type of asset with the increase in uncertainty of the future and economic instability. Devaluation of real estate allowed households to easily obtain real estate and increase preference for asset allocation in real estate after the crisis. The changes in financial ratio for the year 1998 shows that such ratios as income to expenditure, liquidity, and capital accumulation, decreased compared to the year 1997. Among those ratios, the income to expenditure ratio showed the biggest decline because of reduced income of self employed households. The results implied that the income structure of the self-employed is unstable, thus the self-employed were likely to be greatly affected during the economic downturn. Earners have more average income and net assets than the self-employed. However, using financial ratios, it was found that self-employed households were more stable than employees. The results shows that the financial ratio analysis is better tool to estimate households financial status. Implications for financial educators, counselors, and planners are offered. The results will provide implications for policy makers to establish appropriate policies for the self-employed and help them financially survive.