• 제목/요약/키워드: area reduction

검색결과 3,923건 처리시간 0.037초

한국전쟁의 교훈과 대비 -병력수(兵力數) 및 부대수(部隊數)를 중심으로- (The lesson From Korean War)

  • 윤일영
    • 안보군사학연구
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    • 통권8호
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    • pp.49-168
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    • 2010
  • Just before the Korean War, the total number of the North Korean troops was 198,380, while that of the ROK(Republic of Korea) army troops 105,752. That is, the total number of the ROK army troops at that time was 53.3% of the total number of the North Korean army. As of December 2008, the total number of the North Korean troops is estimated to be 1,190,000, while that of the ROK troops is 655,000, so the ROK army maintains 55.04% of the total number of the North Korean troops. If the ROK army continues to reduce its troops according to [Military Reform Plan 2020], the total number of its troops will be 517,000 m 2020. If North Korea maintains the current status(l,190,000 troops), the number of the ROK troops will be 43.4% of the North Korean army. In terms of units, just before the Korean War, the number of the ROK army divisions and regiments was 80% and 44.8% of North Korean army. As of December 2008, North Korea maintains 86 divisions and 69 regiments. Compared to the North Korean army, the ROK army maintains 46 Divisions (53.4% of North Korean army) and 15 regiments (21.3% of North Korean army). If the ROK army continue to reduce the military units according to [Military Reform Plan 2020], the number of ROK army divisions will be 28(13 Active Division, 4 Mobilization Divisions and 11 Local Reserve Divisions), while that of the North Korean army will be 86 in 2020. In that case, the number of divisions of the ROK army will be 32.5% of North Korean army. During the Korean war, North Korea suddenly invaded the Republic of Korea and occupied its capital 3 days after the war began. At that time, the ROK army maintained 80% of army divisions, compared to the North Korean army. The lesson to be learned from this is that, if the ROK army is forced to disperse its divisions because of the simultaneous invasion of North Korea and attack of guerrillas in home front areas, the Republic of Korea can be in a serious military danger, even though it maintains 80% of military divisions of North Korea. If the ROK army promotes the plans in [Military Reform Plan 2020], the number of military units of the ROK army will be 32.5% of that of the North Korean army. This ratio is 2.4 times lower than that of the time when the Korean war began, and in this case, 90% of total military power should be placed in the DMZ area. If 90% of military power is placed in the DMZ area, few troops will be left for the defense of home front. In addition, if the ROK army continues to reduce the troops, it can allow North Korea to have asymmetrical superiority in military force and it will eventually exert negative influence on the stability and peace of the Korean peninsular. On the other hand, it should be reminded that, during the Korean War, the Republic of Korea was attacked by North Korea, though it kept 53.3% of troops, compared to North Korea. It should also be reminded that, as of 2008, the ROK army is defending its territory with the troops 55.04% of North Korea. Moreover, the national defense is assisted by 25,120 troops of the US Forces in Korea. In case the total number of the ROK troops falls below 43.4% of the North Korean army, it may cause social unrest about the national security and may lead North Korea's misjudgement. Besides, according to Lanchester strategy, the party with weaker military power (60% compared to the party with stronger military power) has the 4.1% of winning possibility. Therefore, if we consider the fact that the total number of the ROK army troops is 55.04% of that of the North Korean army, the winning possibility of the ROK army is not higher than 4.1%. If the total number of ROK troops is reduced to 43.4% of that of North Korea, the winning possibility will be lower and the military operations will be in critically difficult situation. [Military Reform Plan 2020] rums at the reduction of troops and units of the ground forces under the policy of 'select few'. However, the problem is that the financial support to achieve this goal is not secured. Therefore, the promotion of [Military Reform Plan 2020] may cause the weakening of military defence power in 2020. Some advanced countries such as Japan, UK, Germany, and France have promoted the policy of 'select few'. However, what is to be noted is that the national security situation of those countries is much different from that of Korea. With the collapse of the Soviet Unions and European communist countries, the military threat of those European advanced countries has almost disappeared. In addition, the threats those advanced countries are facing are not wars in national level, but terrorism in international level. To cope with the threats like terrorism, large scaled army trops would not be necessary. So those advanced European countries can promote the policy of 'select few'. In line with this, those European countries put their focuses on the development of military sections that deal with non-military operations and protection from unspecified enemies. That is, those countries are promoting the policy of 'select few', because they found that the policy is suitable for their national security environment. Moreover, since they are pursuing common interest under the European Union(EU) and they can form an allied force under NATO, it is natural that they are pursing the 'select few' policy. At present, NATO maintains the larger number of troops(2,446,000) than Russia(l,027,000) to prepare for the potential threat of Russia. The situation of japan is also much different from that of Korea. As a country composed of islands, its prime military focus is put on the maritime defense. Accordingly, the development of ground force is given secondary focus. The japanese government promotes the policy to develop technology-concentrated small size navy and air-forces, instead of maintaining large-scaled ground force. In addition, because of the 'Peace Constitution' that was enacted just after the end of World War II, japan cannot maintain troops more than 240,000. With the limited number of troops (240,000), japan has no choice but to promote the policy of 'select few'. However, the situation of Korea is much different from the situations of those countries. The Republic of Korea is facing the threat of the North Korean Army that aims at keeping a large-scale military force. In addition, the countries surrounding Korea are also super powers containing strong military forces. Therefore, to cope with the actual threat of present and unspecified threat of future, the importance of maintaining a carefully calculated large-scale military force cannot be denied. Furthermore, when considering the fact that Korea is in a peninsular, the Republic of Korea must take it into consideration the tradition of continental countries' to maintain large-scale military powers. Since the Korean War, the ROK army has developed the technology-force combined military system, maintaining proper number of troops and units and pursuing 'select few' policy at the same time. This has been promoted with the consideration of military situation in the Koran peninsular and the cooperation of ROK-US combined forces. This kind of unique military system that cannot be found in other countries can be said to be an insightful one for the preparation for the actual threat of North Korea and the conflicts between continental countries and maritime countries. In addition, this kind of technology-force combined military system has enabled us to keep peace in Korea. Therefore, it would be desirable to maintain this technology-force combined military system until the reunification of the Korean peninsular. Furthermore, it is to be pointed out that blindly following the 'select few' policy of advanced countries is not a good option, because it is ignoring the military strategic situation of the Korean peninsular. If the Republic of Korea pursues the reduction of troops and units radically without consideration of the threat of North Korea and surrounding countries, it could be a significant strategic mistake. In addition, the ROK army should keep an eye on the fact the European advanced countries and Japan that are not facing direct military threats are spending more defense expenditures than Korea. If the ROK army reduces military power without proper alternatives, it would exert a negative effect on the stable economic development of Korea and peaceful reunification of the Korean peninsular. Therefore, the desirable option would be to focus on the development of quality of forces, maintaining proper size and number of troops and units under the technology-force combined military system. The tableau above shows that the advanced countries like the UK, Germany, Italy, and Austria spend more defense expenditure per person than the Republic of Korea, although they do not face actual military threats, and that they keep achieving better economic progress than the countries that spend less defense expenditure. Therefore, it would be necessary to adopt the merits of the defense systems of those advanced countries. As we have examined, it would be desirable to maintain the current size and number of troops and units, to promote 'select few' policy with increased defense expenditure, and to strengthen the technology-force combined military system. On the basis of firm national security, the Republic of Korea can develop efficient policies for reunification and prosperity, and jump into the status of advanced countries. Therefore, the plans to reduce troops and units in [Military Reform Plan 2020] should be reexamined. If it is difficult for the ROK army to maintain its size of 655,000 troops because of low birth rate, the plans to establish the prompt mobilization force or to adopt drafting system should be considered for the maintenance of proper number of troops and units. From now on, the Republic of Korean government should develop plans to keep peace as well as to prepare unexpected changes in the Korean peninsular. For the achievement of these missions, some options can be considered. The first one is to maintain the same size of military troops and units as North Korea. The second one is to maintain the same level of military power as North Korea in terms of military force index. The third one is to maintain the same level of military power as North Korea, with the combination of the prompt mobilization force and the troops in active service under the system of technology-force combined military system. At present, it would be not possible for the ROK army to maintain such a large-size military force as North Korea (1,190,000 troops and 86 units). So it would be rational to maintain almost the same level of military force as North Korea with the combination of the troops on the active list and the prompt mobilization forces. In other words, with the combination of the troops in active service (60%) and the prompt mobilization force (40%), the ROK army should develop the strategies to harmonize technology and forces. The Korean government should also be prepared for the strategic flexibility of USFK, the possibility of American policy change about the location of foreign army, radical unexpected changes in North Korea, the emergence of potential threat, surrounding countries' demand for Korean force for the maintenance of regional stability, and demand for international cooperation against terrorism. For this, it is necessary to develop new approaches toward the proper number and size of troops and units. For instance, to prepare for radical unexpected political or military changes in North Korea, the Republic of Korea should have plans to protect a large number of refugees, to control arms and people, to maintain social security, and to keep orders in North Korea. From the experiences of other countries, it is estimated that 115,000 to 230,000 troops, plus ten thousands of police are required to stabilize the North Korean society, in the case radical unexpected military or political change happens in North Korea. In addition, if the Republic of Korea should perform the release of hostages, control of mass destruction weapons, and suppress the internal wars in North Korea, it should send 460,000 troops to North Korea. Moreover, if the Republic of Korea wants to stop the attack of North Korea and flow of refugees in DMZ area, at least 600,000 troops would be required. In sum, even if the ROK army maintains 600,000 troops, it may need additional 460,000 troops to prepare for unexpected radical changes in North Korea. For this, it is necessary to establish the prompt mobilization force whose size and number are almost the same as the troops in active service. In case the ROK army keeps 650,000 troops, the proper number of the prompt mobilization force would be 460,000 to 500,000.

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한국가족계획사업(韓國家族計劃事業)의 문제점(問題點) (Problems in the Korean National Family Planning Program)

  • 홍종관
    • Clinical and Experimental Reproductive Medicine
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.27-36
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    • 1975
  • The success of the family planning program in Korea is reflected in the decrease in the growth rate from 3.0% in 1962 to 2.0% in 1971, and in the decrease in the fertility rate from 43/1,000 in 1960 to 29/1,000 in 1970. However, it would be erroneous to attribute these reductions entirely to the family planning program. Other socio-economic factors, such as the increasing age at marriage and the increasing use of induced abortions, definitely had an impact on the lowered growth and fertility rate. Despite the relative success of the program to data in meeting its goals, there is no room for complacency. Meeting the goal of a further reduction in the population growth rate to 1.3% by 1981 is a much more difficult task than any one faced in the past. Not only must fertility be lowered further, but the size of the target population itself will expand tremendously in the late seventies; due to the post-war baby boom of the 1950's reaching reproductive ages. Furthermore, it is doubtful that the age at marriage will continue to rise as in the past or that the incidence of induced abortion will continue to increase. Consequently, future reductions in fertility will be more dependent on the performance of the national family planning program, with less assistance from these non-program factors. This paper will describe various approaches to help to the solution of these current problems. 1. PRACTICE RATE IN FAMILY PLANNING In 1973, the attitude (approval) and knowledge rates were quite high; 94% and 98% respectively. But a large gap exists between that and the actual practice rate, which is only 3695. Two factors must be considered in attempting to close the KAP-gap. The first is to change social norms, which still favor a larger family, increasing the practice rate cannot be done very quickly. The second point to consider is that the family planning program has not yet reached all the eligible women. A 1973 study determineded that a large portion, 3096 in fact, of all eligible women do not want more children, but are not practicing family planning. Thus, future efforts to help close the KAP-gap must focus attention and services on this important large group of potential acceptors. 2. CONTINUATION RATES Dissatisfaction with the loop and pill has resulted in high discontinuation rates. For example, a 1973 survey revealed that within the first six months initial loop acceptance. nearly 50% were dropouts, and that within the first four months of inital pill acceptance. nearly 50% were dropouts. These discontinuation rates have risen over the past few years. The high rate of discontinuance obviously decreases the contraceptive effectiveness. and has resulted in many unwanted births which is directly related to the increase of induced abortions. In the future, the family planning program must emphasize the improved quality of initial and follow-up services. rather than more quantity, in order to insure higher continuation rates and thus more effective contraceptive protection. 3. INDUCED ABORTION As noted earlier. the use of induced abortions has been increase yearly. For example, in 1960, the average number of abortions was 0.6 abortions per women in the 15-44 age range. By 1970. that had increased to 2 abortions per women. In 1966. 13% of all women between 15-44 had experienced at least one abortion. By 1971, that figure jumped to 28%. In 1973 alone, the total number of abortions was 400,000. Besides the ever incre.sing number of induced abortions, another change has that those who use abortions have shifted since 1965 to include- not. only the middle class, but also rural and low-income women. In the future. in response to the demand for abortion services among rural and low-income w~men, the government must provide and support abortion services for these women as a part of the national family planning program. 4. TARGET SYSTIi:M Since 1962, the nationwide target system has been used to set a target for each method, and the target number of acceptors is then apportioned out to various sub-areas according to the number of eligible couples in each area. Because these targets are set without consideration for demographic factors, particular tastes, prejudices, and previous patterns of acceptance in the area, a high discontinuation rate for all methods and a high wastage rate for the oral pill and condom results. In the future. to alleviate these problems of the methodbased target system. an alternative. such as the weighted-credit system, should be adopted on a nation wide basis. In this system. each contraceptive method is. assigned a specific number of points based upon the couple-years of protection (CYP) provided by the method. and no specific targets for each method are given. 5. INCREASE OF STERILIZA.TION TARGET Two special projects. the hospital-based family planning program and the armed forces program, has greatly contributed to the increasing acceptance in female and male sterilization respectively. From January-September 1974, 28,773 sterilizations were performed. During the same time in 1975, 46,894 were performed; a 63% increase. If this trend continues, by the end of 1975. approximately 70,000 sterilizations will have been performed. Sterilization is a much better method than both the loop and pill, in terms of more effective contraceptive protection and the almost zero dropout rate. In the future, the. family planning program should continue to stress the special programs which make more sterilizations possible. In particular, it should seek to add the laparoscope techniques to facilitate female sterilization acceptance rates. 6. INCREASE NUMBER OF PRIVATE ACCEPTORS Among the current family planning users, approximately 1/3 are in the private sector and thus do not- require government subsidy. The number of private acceptors increases with increasing urbanization and economic growth. To speed this process, the government initiated the special hospital based family planning program which is utilized mostly by the private sector. However, in the future, to further hasten the increase of private acceptors, the government should encourage doctors in private practice to provide family planning services, and provide the contraceptive supplies. This way, those do utilize the private medical system will also be able to receive family planning services and pay for it. Another means of increasing the number of private acceptors, IS to greatly expand the commercial outlets for pills and condoms beyond the existing service points of drugstores, hospitals, and health centers. 7. IE&C PROGRAM The current preferred family size is nearly twice as high as needed to achieve a stable poplation. Also, a strong boy preference hinders a small family size as nearly all couples fuel they must have at least one or more sons. The IE&C program must, in the future, strive to emphasize the values of the small family and equality of the sexes. A second problem for the IE&C program to work. with in the: future is the large group of people who approves family planning, want no more children, but do not practice. The IE&C program must work to motivate these people to accept family planning And finally, for those who already practice, an IE&C program in the future must stress continuation of use. The IE&C campaign, to insure highest effectiveness, should be based on a detailed factor analysis of contraceptive discontinuance. In conclusion, Korea faces a serious unfavorable sociodemographic situation- in the future unless the population growth rate can be curtailed. And in the future, the decrease in fertility will depend solely on the family planning program, as the effect of other socio-economic factors has already been maximumally felt. A second serious factor to consider is the increasing number of eligible women due to the 1950's baby boom. Thus, to meet these challenges, the program target must be increased and the program must improve the effectiveness of its current activities and develop new programs.

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두경부암 환자의 양성자 치료 시 사용하는 자체 제작한 BoS Frame 고정장치의 선량학적 유용성 평가 (Dosimetric evaluation of using in-house BoS Frame Fixation Tool for the Head and Neck Cancer Patient)

  • 김광석;조광현;최병기
    • 대한방사선치료학회지
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.35-46
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    • 2016
  • 목 적 : 두경부암의 양성자 치료 시 BoS frame ($Q-fix^{TM}$)을 사용하면 후사방향의 빔 조사 시 couch 와 snout 사이 충돌을 피하면서 Airgap 을 최소화할 수 있다. 이는 couch 에서 BoS frame 을 얼마나 많이 extended 시켰는지가 각 치료 빔 방향의 Airgap (환자와 빔 사출구 거리)을 결정하기 때문이다. 이에 본원에서는 BoS frame의 제한점을 개선하기 위하여 고정장치를 자체 제작하였고, 제작한 고정장치의 유용성을 본 연구를 통해 선량학적으로 평가하고자 한다. 대상 및 방법 : 본원에서 양성자치료를 받은 Brain Cancer환자 3명의 빔 각도 중 후사방향의 빔 6개를 선택하였다. 현재 치료계획 되어 있는 환자를 기존 방식대로 BoS frame만 사용했을 때 각 환자마다 왼쪽후사방향, 오른쪽 후사방향의 빔에서 충돌을 피할 수 있는 snout 위치를 측정하고 이 위치에 따른 Airgap과 Lateral penumbra 영역을 계산하고 DVH값을 분석하였다. 같은 환자의 동일한 빔에서 자체 제작한 BoS frame 고정장치를 사용하여 제조회사에서 권고한 set-up 사항보다 BoS frame을 21 cm superior방향으로 set-up을 진행하였고, 그 후 충돌을 피할 수 있는 snout위치를 측정하고 이 위치에서 Airgap과 Lateral penumbra영역을 계산하고 DVH값을 분석하였다. 결 과 : 자체 제작 BoS frame 고정장치를 사용함에 따라 사용하지 않았을 때 보다 snout 위치 즉 Airgap을 각각 각도별로 5.4 cm ~ 15.4 cm 줄일 수 있었다. Lateral penumbra는 BoS frame 고정장치를 사용하면서 Airgap을 감소시킴에 따라 각도별로 선량분포곡선에서 왼쪽, 오른쪽 부분을 0.1 cm ~ 0.4 cm 감소시킬 수 있었다. 자체 제작한 BoS frame 고정장치 사용함으로써 감소한 Lateral penumbra에 의해 정상조직에 들어가는 선량을 비교해보면 Lt.eyeball, Lt.lens, Lt.hippocampus, Lt.cochlea, Rt.eyeball, Rt.lens, Rt.cochlea, Rt. hippocampus, stem에 들어가는 선량이 0 CGE ~ 4.4 CGE 감소한 것을 알 수 있었다. 결 론 : 두경부암의 양성자 치료 시 자체제작 BoS frame 고정장치를 사용함에 따라 사용하지 않았을 때보다 후사방향의 빔에서 snout 위치를 감소시킬 수 있었고, Airgap을 줄여 결과적으로 Lateral penumbra를 감소시켜 정상조직에 불필요한 선량을 최소화 할 수 있었다. 이에 본 연구를 통해 자체제작 BoS frame 고정장치의 유용성을 선량학적으로 평가한 결과, 후사방향의 빔을 사용하는 두경부암 환자의 양성자 치료 시 유용하게 사용 될 것으로 기대된다. 마지막으로 두경부암 뿐만 아니라 다른 부위 양성자 치료에서도 Airgap을 최소한 할 수 있는 방법을 고안하여 Lateral penumbra를 줄일 수 있는 지속적인 연구가 필요할 것이라고 사료된다.

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구충증(鉤蟲症)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究) 제1편(第1篇) 구충(鉤蟲)의 감염(感染) 및 구충성빈혈(鉤蟲性貧血)에 관(關)한 고찰(考奈) (Studies on Ancylostomiasis I. An Experimental Study on Hookworm Infection and Anemia)

  • 이문호;김동집;이장규;서병설;이순형
    • 대한핵의학회지
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.55-66
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    • 1967
  • In view of its prevalence in the Far East area, a more detailed knowledge on the hookworm infection is one of the very important medical problems. The present study was aimed to; determine the infectivity of the artificially hatched ancylostoma duodenale larvae in man after its oral administration, evaluate the clinical symptomatology of such infection, determine the date of first appearance of the ova in the stool, calculate the blood loss per worm per day, assess the relation-ships between the ova count, infectivity(worm load), blood loss and severity of anemia. An erythrokinetic study was also done to analyse the characteristics of hookworm anemia by means of $^{59}Fe\;and\;^{51}Cr$. Materials and Methods Ten healthy male volunteers(doctors, medical students and laboratory technicians) with the ages ranging from 21 to 40 years were selected as the experimental materials. They had no history of hookworm infection for preceding several years, and care was taken not to be exposed to reinfection. A baseline study including a through physical examinations and laboratory investigations such as complete blood counts, stool examination and estimation of the serum iron levels was done, and a vermifuge, bephenium hydroxynaphoate, was given 10 days prior to the main experiment. The ancylostoma duodenale filariform larvae were obtained in the following manner; The pure ancylostoma duodenale ova were obtained from the hookworm anemia patients and a modified filter paper method was adopted to harvest larger number of infective larvae, which were washed several times with saline. The actively moving mature larvae were put into the gelatine capsules, 150 in each, and were given to the volunteers in the fasting state with 300ml. of water. The volunteers were previously treated with intramuscular injection of 15mg. of chlorpromazine in order to prevent the eventual nausea and vomiting after the larvae intake. The clinical symptoms and signs mainly of the respiratory and gastrointestinal tracts, appearance of the ova and occult blood in the stool etc. were checked every day for the first 20 days and then twice weekly until the end of the experiment, which usually lasted for about 3 months. Roentgenological survey of the lungs was also done. The hematological changes such as the red blood cell, white blood cell and eosinophil cell counts, hemoglobin content and serum iron levels were studied. The appearance of the ova in the stool was examined by the formalin ether method and the ova were counted in triplicate on two successive days using the Stoll's dilution method. The ferrokinetic data were calculated by the modified Huff's method and the apparent half survival time of the red blood cells by the modified Gray's method. The isotopes were simultaneously tagged and injected intravenously, and then the stool and blood samples were collected as was described by Roche et al., namely, three separate 4-day stool samples with the blood sample drawing before each 4-day stool collection. The radio-activities of the stools ashfied and the blood were separately measured by the pulse-height analyser. The daily blood loss was calculated with the following formula; daily blood loss in $ml.=\frac{cpm/g\;stool{\times}weight\;in\;g\;of\;4-day\;stool}{cpm/ml\;blood{\times}4}$ The average of these three 4-day periods was given as the daily blood loss in each patient. The blood loss per day per worm was calculated by simply dividing the daily blood loss by the number of the hookworm recovered after the vermifuge given twice a week at the termination of the experiment. The iron loss in mg. through the gastrointestinal tract was estimated with the daily iron loss in $mg=\frac{g\;Hgb/100ml{\times}ml\;daily\;blood\;loss{\times}3.40}{100}$ 3.40=mg of iron per g Hgb following formula; Results 1. The respiratory symptoms such as cough and sputum were noted in almost all cases within a week after the infection, which lasted about 2 weeks. The roentgenological findings of the chest were essentially normal. A moderate degree of febril reaction appeared within 2 weeks with a duration of 3 or 4 days. 2. The gastrointestinal symptoms such as nausea, epigastric fullness, abdominal pain and loose bowel appeared in all cases immediately after the larvae intake. 3. The reduction of the red blood cell count was not remarkable, however, the hemoglobin content and especially the serum iron level showed the steady decreases until the end of the experiment. 4. The white blood cells and eosinophil cells, on the contrary, showed increases in parallel and reached peaks in 20 to 30 days after the infection. A small secondary rise was noted in 2 months. 5. The ova first appeared in the stool in 40. 1 days after the infection, ranging from 29 to 51 days, during which the occult blood reaction of the stool became also positive in almost cases. 6. The number of ova recovered per day was 164, 320 on the average, ranging from 89,500 to 253,800. The number of the worm evacuated by vermifuge was in rough correlation with the number of ova recovered. 7. The infectivity of ancylostoma duodenale was 14% on the average, ranging from 7.3 to 20.0%, which is relatively lower than those reported by other workers. 8. The mean fecal blood loss was 5.78ml. per day, with a range of from 2.6 to 11.7ml., and the mean blood loss per worm per day was 0.30ml., with a range of from 0.13 to 0.73ml., which is in rough coincidence with those reported by other authors. There appeared to exist, however, no correlation between the blood loss and the number of ova recovered. 9. The mean fecal iron loss was 2.02mg. per day, with a range of from 1.20 to 3.89mg., which is less than those appeared in the literature. 10. The mean plasma iron disappearance rate was 0.80hr., with a range of from 0.62 to 0.95hr., namely, a slight accerelation. 11. The hookworm anemia appeared to be iron deficiency in origin caused by continuous intestinal blood loss.

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혼식(混植)한 몇가지 수도품종(水稻品種)의 생육(生育)과 병해발생(病害發生) (The Effect of Mixed Cultivation of Rice Varieties on the Plant Characteristics and the Occurrence of Blast under Various Fertilizer Levels)

  • 이광수;안수봉
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.232-247
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    • 1987
  • 충남(忠南) 지역(地域) 일반계(一般系) 장려품종인 동진(東津)벼, 대청(大晴)벼, 추청(秋晴)벼 3품종(品種)의 혼식재배(混植栽培)가 병해(病害) 및 수량(收量)에 미치는 영향(影響)을 구명(究明)하기 위하여 1987년(年)에 충남대학(忠南大學) 농과대학(農科大學) 시험포(試驗圃)에서 수행(遂行)한 시험결과(試驗結果)를 요약(要約)하면 다음과 같다. 1. 혼식(混植)에 따른 품종(品種) 및 처리간(處理間) 출수기(出穗期) 변화(變化)는 차이(差異)가 없었고 추청(秋晴)벼 보비구(普肥區)에서만 1일(日) 지연(遲延)되었다. 2. 초장(草長)의 혼식효과(混植效果)는 소비구(少肥區)에서 높았으며 혼식조합별(混植組合別)로는 동진(東津)벼와 대청(大晴)벼 혼식조합구(混植組合區)에서 5.1%로 가장 높게 나타났고 경수(莖數)에서는 보비구(普肥區)에서 혼식효과(混植效果)가 나타났으며 혼식조합별(混植組合別)로는 추청(秋晴)벼와 동진(東津)벼의 혼식조합구(混植組合區)에서 단식구(單植區) 평균치(平均値)보다 5.7%가 증가(增加)하여 혼식효과(混植效果)가 가장 높았다. 3. 간장(稈長)은 시비량(施肥量)이 많을수록 혼식효과(混植效果)도 증가(增加)하였으며 동진(東津)벼와 대청(大晴)벼 혼식조합구(混植組合區)에서 간장(稈長)이 가장 길었으며 혼식효과(混植效果)도 높았다. 반대로 수장(穗長)은 시비량(施肥量)이 많을수록 감소(減少)하였으며 혼식효과(混植效果)도 떨어졌다. 혼식조합별(混植組合別)로는 동진(東津)벼와 대청(大晴)벼 혼식조합구(混植組合區)에서 수장(穗長)이 가장 길었으며, 혼식효과(混植效果)도 현저했다. 4. 성숙기(成熟期)의 지상부(地上部) 건물중(乾物重)은 단식구(單植區)에 비해 2품종(品種) 혼식구(混植區)에서 3.5%, 3품종(品種) 혼식구(混植區)에서 8.5% 증가(增加)하였으며 비료수준별(肥料水準別)로는 보비구(普肥區)에서 혼식효과(混植效果)가 현저했다. 5. 목도열병(稻熱病)과 지경(枝莖) 도열병(稻熱病)은 혼식구(混植區)에서 각각(各各) 11.7%, 14.0% 감소(減少)하였으며, 소비구(少肥區)보다는 보비구(普肥區)에서 혼식효과(混植效果)가 현저했으며, 혼식조합별(混植組合別)로는 동진(東津)벼와 대청(大晴)벼 혼식조합구(混植組合區)에서 도열병(稻熱病) 발생(發生)이 가장 적었다. 6. $m^2$당(當) 수수(穗數)는 추청(秋晴)벼와 동진(東津)벼 혼식조합구(混植組合區)에서 혼식효과(混植效果)가 가장 높았으나 수당(穗當) 영화수(穎花數)는 추청(秋晴)벼와 동진(東津)벼 혼식조합구(混植組合區)에서 가장 낮았다. 비료수준별(肥料水準別) 혼식효과(混植效果)는 $m^2$당(當) 수수(穗數)에서 비료수준(肥料水準)이 높을수록, 수당(穗當) 영화수(穎花數)는 비료수준(肥料水準)이 낮을수록 컸다. 7. 등숙율(登熟率)은 비료수준(肥料水準)에 관계(關係)없이 전(全) 혼식조합구(混植組合區)에서 혼식효과(混植效果)가 나타났으며, 1000립중(粒重)은 소비구(少肥區)에서 혼식조합간(混植組合間)에는 추청(秋晴)벼와 동진(東津)벼 혼식조합(混植組合)과 3품종(品種) 혼식조합구(混植組合區)에서 혼식효과(混植效果)가 높았다. 8. 수량(收量)은 단식구(單植區)보다 혼식구(混植區)에서 4.6% 증수(增收)되었으며 특히 소비구(少肥區)에서 증수(增收)가 현저했다. 혼식조합별(混植組合別)로는 추청(秋晴)벼와 동진(東津)벼 혼식조합구(混植組合區)에서 6.8% 증수(增收)되어 혼식효과(混植效果)가 가장 높았다. 9. 수량(收量)은 $m^2$당(當) 수수(穗數)와 건물중(乾物重)에 고도(高度)의 유의차(有意差)가 인정(認定)되었으며 수당(穗當) 영화수(穎花數)와 등숙율(登熟率)과는 유의차(有意差)가 인정(認定)되지 않았다.

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카자흐스탄 듀셈바이지역의 퇴적분기형 연-아연 광화작용에 대한 잠재력 연구 (Potential Study for the Sedimentary Exhalative Pb-Zn Mineralization in Dyusembay Area, Kazakhstan)

  • 노상건;이승한;박기웅;정현국;윤지성;김선옥;박맹언
    • 자원환경지질
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    • 제51권3호
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    • pp.213-222
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    • 2018
  • 카자흐스탄 듀셈바이지역에서 변성퇴적암을 모암으로 발달한 연-아연 광화대가 확인되었다. 이 광화대에서 채취된 암추시료의 암석학적 특징, 변질지수(Alteration Index) 및 광석의 산화-환원 민감도(Redox-sensitive)를 퇴적분기형(SEDEX-type) 광상과 대비하였다. 광화작용은 습곡과 단층에 의해 규제되며 주로 흑연질천매암의 엽리를 따라 발달한다. 주요 광석광물은 황철석, 자류철석, 섬아연석 및 방연석이며, 세립질 석영과 함께 산점상 또는 층상으로 발달되어 있다. 광화대의 연변부는 전반적으로 견운모 및 녹니석을 수반하는 광역변성작용의 특징을 보인다. 모암을 관입한 마츄빈 화강암류 인근에서 열수작용에 의한 각력화와 망상의 석영-방해석 맥에 수반되는 연-아연 광화작용이 확인된다. 광화작용은 광석광물의 산출형태, 공생광물, 화학조성 및 동위원소 특성에 의해 세 가지 유형으로 구분된다. 광화 제1유형은 엽층리가 잘 발달된 모암 내에 미립의 황철석, 자황철석 및 섬아연석이 엽층리에 평행하게 단속적으로 배태되는 특징을 가지며, 지구화학적 분석결과 퇴적분기형 광화작용의 초기 단계 특징과 유사하다. 광화 제2유형은 광역변성작용에 의해 모암에 형성된 엽리에 평행하게 광석광물이 농집되어 나타나며, 석영 및 백운모(${\pm}$ 흑운모)와 공생하는 특징을 보인다. 광화 제3유형은 열수각력대 내에 발달하며, 모암의 엽리면과 각력 사이의 열극에 규제되어 층상, 망상 및 세맥상의 형태로 발달하는 특징을 가진다. 듀셈바이 연-아연 광화대의 모암은 유사한 변성정도를 나타내고, 명확한 변질대의 분대 현상이 관찰되지 않는다. 또한 광화 제1유형, 제2유형 및 제3유형 모두 유사한 희토류원소(REEs) 패턴을 나타내므로 동일한 기원에 의해 형성된 것으로 해석된다. 광화대에서 산출되는 황화광물은 제한된 범위의 황 동위원소 값(제2유형: ${\delta}^{34}S=-13.3{\sim}-11.7$‰, 제3유형: ${\delta}^{34}S=-13.9{\sim}-8.2$‰)을 가지며, 동위원소 지질온도계 적용 결과, 제2유형($T=251{\pm}38^{\circ}C{\sim}277{\pm}40^{\circ}C$)과 제3유형($T=360{\pm}2^{\circ}C$, $537{\pm}29^{\circ}C$)이 각각 다른 온도 범위로 나타났다. 이는 각각 모암의 변성작용과 마츄빈 화강암류의 관입에 의한 영향을 반영하는 것으로 추정된다. Th-Zr-Sc을 이용한 퇴적환경 분석 및 V/Mo 값을 이용한 산화-환원 민감도 검토 결과, 열수퇴적물은 침전 후 환원환경을 겪었으며 이후 변성작용과 화성암체의 관입에 의한 영향을 받은 것을 지시한다. 또한, 주성분을 이용한 SEDEX 지수를 산출하여 퇴적분기형 광상 판별도에 도시해본 결과 원지성 광화대에 대비된다. 따라서 듀셈바이 연-아연 광화대는 퇴적암을 모암으로 발달하는 층상 퇴적분기형 광상의 원지성 광화대에 해당하는 것으로 판단된다.

내과계 중환자실 환자에서 Chlorhexidine-silver Sulfadiazine Coated Catheter의 중심정맥관 감염에 대한 연구 (The Central Venous Catheter-related Infection of Chlorhexidine-silver Sulfadiazine Coated Catheters in Medical ICU)

  • 정영주;고윤석;임채만;이재승;유미현;오연목;심태선;이상도;김우성;김동순;김원동;홍상범
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • 제59권4호
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    • pp.389-396
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    • 2005
  • 목 적 : 중환자실 환자에서 중심정맥관 관련 감염증은 원내 감염의 주요 부분을 차지한다. 이러한 중심 정맥관 관련 감염증을 감소시키기 위하여 chlorhexidine-silver sulfadiazine coated catheter (CHSS) 사용에 대한 임상적 유용성에 대해서는 논란의 여지가 있지만, 국내에서는 아직 이와 관련된 보고가 없었다. 본 연구는 non-coated catheter (NCC)와 CHSS의 중심 정맥관 관련 감염증의 차이를 비교하고자 하였다. 대상 및 방법 : 2004년 1월부터 12월까지 12개월간 서울아산병원 내과계 중환자실에 입원하여 48시간 이상 중심정맥관을 삽입하였던 446 예을 대상으로 하였다. NCC(n=187)과 CHSS (n=259)에서 중심정맥관과 환자의 특성, 중심정맥관 삽입 위치, 평균 삽입 일수, 집락화중심정맥관 관련 감염증의 빈도, 및 원인균 등에 대하여 후향적인 방법으로 조사하였다. 결 과 : 1) NCC와 CHSS에서 환자군의 나이 ($62{\pm}16$, $63{\pm}15$; p=0.42) 세, 성비 (94:50, 141:69; p=0.9), 중환자실 재원일수 ($29{\pm}37$, $26{\pm}44$ ;p=0.42) 일, 인공 호흡기 사용 기간 ($17{\pm}22$, $15{\pm}19$; p=0.17) 일, 카테터 삽입 시 APACHE III 점수는 ($81{\pm}34$, $82{\pm}37$; p=0.61) 차이가 없었다. 2) 평균 카테터 삽입 기간은 NCC $11{\pm}8$ 일, CHSS $11{\pm}9$ 일 이었고(p=0.98), 총 카테터 일수는 NCC 2176일, CHSS 3035 일 이었다. NCC와 CHSS에서 카테터 감염 발생 환자는 각각 9명 (4.8%), 4명(1.5%) 으며, 1000 catheter-day당 감염 건수는 4.1건, 1.3건 이었다(p=0.04). 삽입 위치에서는 내경 정맥 삽입 시 CHSS에서 NCC 보다 중심정맥관 관련 감염증이 감소하였다 (p=0.01). 3) 중심정맥관 관련 감염증에서 동정된 균은 NCC에서 Stazfphylococcus aureus 3명, Candida species 3명, coagulase-negative Staphylococci 2명, Klebsiella 1명, 이었고 CHSS는 coagulase-negative Staphylococci 2명, Candida species 2명, Proteus 1명 이었다. 결 론 : 내과계 중환자실 환자에서 중심정맥관 삽입 시 NCC에 비해 CHSS에서 중심정맥관 감염율이 감소하였으며, 특히 삽입 위치가 내경 정맥일 때 유의한 감소를 보였다.

인공지능 기술 기반 인슈어테크와 디지털보험플랫폼 성공사례 분석: 중국 평안보험그룹을 중심으로 (Analysis of Success Cases of InsurTech and Digital Insurance Platform Based on Artificial Intelligence Technologies: Focused on Ping An Insurance Group Ltd. in China)

  • 이재원;오상진
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.71-90
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    • 2020
  • 최근 전 세계 보험업계에도 기계학습, 자연어 처리, 딥러닝 등의 인공지능 기술 활용을 통한 디지털 전환이 급속도로 확산하고 있다. 이에 따라 인공지능 기술을 기반으로 한 인슈어테크와 플랫폼 비즈니스 성공을 이룬 해외 보험사들도 증가하고 있다. 대표적으로 중국 최대 민영기업인 평안보험그룹은 '금융과 기술', '금융과 생태계'를 기업의 핵심 키워드로 내세우며 끊임없는 혁신에 도전한 결과, 인슈어테크와 디지털플랫폼 분야에서 괄목할만한 성과를 보이며 중국의 글로벌 4차 산업혁명을 선도하고 있다. 이에 본 연구는 평안보험그룹 인슈어테크와 플랫폼 비즈니스 활동을 ser-M 분석 모델을 통해 분석하여 국내 보험사들의 인공지능 기술기반 비즈니스 활성화를 위한 전략적 시사점을 제공하고자 했다. ser-M 분석 모델은 기업의 경영전략을 주체, 환경, 자원, 메커니즘 관점에서 통합적으로 해석이 가능한 프레임으로, 최고경영자의 비전과 리더십, 기업의 역사적 환경, 다양한 자원 활용, 독특한 메커니즘 관계가 통합적으로 해석되도록 연구하였다. 사례분석 결과, 평안보험은 안면·음성·표정 인식 등 핵심 인공지능 기술을 활용하여 세일즈, 보험인수, 보험금 청구, 대출 서비스 등 업무 전 영역을 디지털로 혁신함으로써 경비 절감과 고객서비스 발전을 이루었다. 또한 '중국 내 온라인 데이터'와 '회사가 축적한 방대한 오프라인 데이터 및 통찰력'을 인공지능, 빅데이터 분석 등 신기술과 결합하여 금융 서비스와 디지털 서비스 사업이 통합된 디지털 플랫폼을 구축하였다. 이러한 평안보험그룹의 성공 배경을 ser-M 관점에서 분석해 보면, 창업자 마밍즈 회장은 4차 산업혁명 시대의 디지털 기술발전, 시장경쟁 및 인구 구조의 변화를 빠르게 포착하여 새로운 비전을 수립하고 디지털 기술중시의 민첩한 리더십을 발휘하였다. 환경변화에 대응한 창업자 주도의 강력한 리더십을 바탕으로 인공지능 기술 투자, 우수 전문인력 확보, 빅데이터 역량 강화 등 내부자원을 혁신하고, 외부 흡수역량의 결합, 다양한 업종 간의 전략적 제휴를 통해 인슈어테크와 플랫폼 비즈니스를 성공적으로 끌어냈다. 이와 같은 성공사례 분석을 통하여 인슈어테크와 디지털플랫폼 도입을 본격 준비하고 있는 국내 보험사들에게 디지털 시대에 필요한 경영 전략과 리더십에 대한 시사점을 줄 수 있다.

재상업복무교역중적매매관계중상호신임대관계적효적영향(在商业服务交易中的买卖关系中相互信任对关系绩效的影响) (The Effect of Mutual Trust on Relational Performance in Supplier-Buyer Relationships for Business Services Transactions)

  • Noh, Jeon-Pyo
    • 마케팅과학연구
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.32-43
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    • 2009
  • 信任在心理学, 经济学, 社会学中已被广泛研究, 其重要性不仅在市场营销中被强调, 在一般商业原则中也被强调. 供应商和买家之间的关系与过去不同, 过去的关系需要相当大的私人网络优势, 并可能涉及不道德的商业行为. 而在以工业营销成功的为核心的二十一世纪激烈的全球竞争中, 供应商和买家之间的关系是伙伴关系. 在相互合作的高级别信任的基础上, 通过交换的关系, 这会给买家和供应商带来长期的利益, 竞争力增强和交易成本的降低以及其他福利. 尽管现有的研究有信任的重要性, 但是在购买与供应关系中却忽视了信任的作用, 也没有系统地分析信任对关系的影响. 因此, 深入研究, 确定买家和商业服务供应商之间信任和关系绩效之间的联系是绝对需要的. 本研究中的商业服务, 包括那些支持制造业, 正作为下一代经济增长的引擎而吸引着人们的注意. 韩国政府已选择其作为制造业发展的战略领域. 由于商业服务开放市场的需求日趋激烈, 商业服务业的竞争力应该比以往得到更多的提倡. 本研究的目的是探索相互信任对买家和供应商之间的关系绩效的影响. 具体来说, 本研究在商业服务交易中提出了一个关于信任-关系绩效的理论模型, 并实证检验根据模型而提出的假设. 这项研究表明, 研究结果有战略意义. 本研究通过多种方法收集经验数据. 这些方法包括通过电话, 邮件和面试. 作为样本的公司是在韩国供应和购买商业服务的以知识为本的公司. 本研究收集的是二进的基础数据. 每个样本公司对包括购买公司及其相应的供应公司. 并跟踪调查每个公司对的相互信任. 本研究为商业服务的买卖双方提出了信任-关系绩效的模型. 该模型由信任和它的前因和后果. 买家的信任分为对供应公司的信任和对销售人员的信任. 根据Doney 和Cannon (1997)的研究我们在个人水平和组织水平上观察信任. 通常情况下, 买方是信任的受体, 但这项研究我们建议以供应商为观察受体. 因此, 它独特的关注了双边角度的知觉风险. 换言之, 供应商和买家一样, 是信任的主体, 因为交易通常是双边的. 从这个角度来看, 供应商对买家信任和买方对供货商的信赖一样重要. 供应商的信任从某种程度上受它信任的买方公司和买家的影响. 这种使用个人水平和组织水平的信任分类是根据Doney 和Cannon (1997)的研究. 信任影响供应商的选择, 这是一项双向放的工作. 供应商们积极参与供应商选择过程中, 和买家密切的一起工作. 此外, 该过程从某种程度上受每一方信任的合作伙伴的影响. 挑选过程包括一些步骤: 识别, 信息检索, 供应商选择和绩效评价. 作为这一进程的结果, 买家和供应商都进行绩效评估, 并就这些结果为基础, 采取有形或无形的纠正行动. 本研究中使用的关于信任的测量问项是根据Mayer, Davis 和 Schoorman (1995) 以及Mayer和Davis (1999)的研究发展起来的. 根据他们的建议, 有关信任的三个方面的研究包括有能力, 善和完整. 根据商业服务这个背景我们调整了原来的问题. 例如, 如 "他/她的专业能力" 已被改为 "当我们讨论我们的产品时销售人员表现出专业能力. "这项研究使用的测量问项不同于在以往的研究中使用的问项(Rotter 1967; Sullivan和Peterson 1982; Dwyer和Oh 1987. 本研究中有关信任的前因后果的测量问项是根据Doney和Cannon (1997)的研究为基础制定的. 根据商业服务这个背景我们调整了原来的问题. 特别是, 问题被设计为对买家和供应商以解决下列因素: 信誉 (诚信, 客户服务, 良好意愿), 市场地位 (公司规模, 市场份额, 在行业中的地位), 愿意定制(产品, 过程, 交付), 信息共享(专有信息, 个人信息), 愿意保持良好关系, 认为专业, 权威授权, 买方与卖方的相似性, 以及接触频率. 作为信任相应的变量, 我们对关系绩效进行了测试. 关系绩效分为有形的影响, 无形影响, 和副作用. 有形的影响包括财务业绩;无形的影响, 包括关系的改善, 网络开发, 以及内部员工的满意度;副作用包括既不是有形影响也不是无形影响的影响. 我们联系了350对公司, 105对公司答复了我们. 由于不完整我们删除了5对公司, 105对公司被用于数据分析. 用于数据分析的回应率为30%(三百五十零分之一百零五), 高于工业营销的平均回复比率. 至于回复的公司的特点, 大多数的公司运作的商业服务既为买方(85.4%)也为供应商(81.8%). 大部分买家是做消费品贸易(76%), 而供应商的大部分(70%)是做工业品贸易. 这可能意味着买家的过程是购入材料, 部件和组件从而生产消费品成品. 正如他们对他们与合作伙伴关系的长度的报告表示, 供应商比买家有更长的商业关系. 假设1测试买方-供应方特点对信任的影响. 销售人员的专业度(t=2.070, p<0.05)和权威授权(t=2.328, p<0.05)积极影响买方对供应方的信任. 另一方面, 权威授权(t=2.192, p<0.05)积极影响供应方对买方的信任. 对买方和供应方来说, 权威授权的程度对保持对彼此的信任有关键作用. 假设2测试买卖双方关系特点对信任的影响. 买家倾向于信任供应方, 因为供应方总是尽全力联系买方(t=2.212, p<0.05)这种倾向性在供应方方面也表现得很强(t=2.591, p<0.01). 另一方面, 供应商对买方的信任是由于供应商感知买家与自己的相似性(t=2.702, p<0.01). 这一发现证实了Crosby, Evans, 和Cowles(1990)的研究结果. 他们的结果表明供应方和买方通过商务或私务的定期会议来建立彼此的联系. 假设3测试信任对感知风险的影响. 结果表明无论对买方还是供应方, 信任越低, 感知风险就越大(买方: t =-6.621, p<0.01; 供应方: t=-2.437, p<0.05). 有趣的是, 这一趋势已被证明对买方更强. 这种较高水平的感知风险的一个可能的解释是在商业服务交易中买方通常比供应方感知到更大的风险. 为此, 有必要对供应商对买方实施减少风险的战略. 假设4测试信任对信息搜集. 根据结果, 对供应方和买方, 与预期相反, 信任取决于他们合作伙伴的名誉(买方t=2.929, p<0.01; 供应方t=2.711, p<0.05). 这一发现表明, 具有良好信誉的供应商往往是可信的. 以往的经验并没有显示出任何与买家或供应商信任的重要关系. 假设5测试信任对供应方/买方选择的影响. 与买方不同, 当供应方认为以往与买方的交易重要时, 供应方倾向信任买方(t=2.913 p<0.01). 但是, 本研究并没有现实资源忠诚和买方对供应方的信任之间有显著关系. 假设6测试的是信任对关系绩效的影响. 对买方和供应方, 当财务表现被报告提高时, 他们比较信任他们的合作伙伴(买方: t=2.301, p<0.05;供应方: t=3.692, p<0.01). 有趣的是, 这种趋势在供应方比较明显. 类似的, 当竞争力被报告提高时, 买卖双方比较信任他们的合作伙伴(买方t=3.563, p<0.01 ; 供应方t=3.042, p<0.01). 对供应方来说, 当对买方信任时效率和生产力会提高(t=2.673, p<0.01). 其他绩效指标与信任没有显著关系. 这项研究结果有一定的战略意义. 首先和最重要的是, 以信任为基础的交易对供应商和买家而言都是有益的. 根据研究证实, 通过努力建立和保持相互信任可以使财务表现提高. 同样, 可以通过同样的努力提高竞争力. 第二, 以信任为基础的交易能够减少购买情况中的感知风险. 这对供应商和买家都有启示. 人们普遍认为, 在一个高度参与的采购情况中买家感知到更高的风险. 为了减少风险, 以往的研究已建议供应商制定降低风险的策略. 而本研究的特点是从双边角度关注知觉风险. 换言之, 供应商也容易存在风险, 特别是当他们提供的服务, 需要非常先进的技术, 操作和维护. 因此, 购买者和供应商必须一起密切合作解决问题. 因此, 相互信任在问题解决过程中起着关键作用. 第三, 在这项研究中发现, 销售人员有更多的授权, 他或她越被信任. 这一发现从战术角度看是非常重要的. 建立信任是一个长期的任务, 然而, 当互信尚未开发, 供应商能够通过授权销售人员做出某些决定来克服遇到的问题, 这一结论也适用于供应商.

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시뮬레이션 모형에 의한 온실의 열환경 분석 (Analysis of Greenhouse Thermal Environment by Model Simulation)

  • 서원명;윤용철
    • 생물환경조절학회지
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.215-235
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    • 1996
  • 본 연구에서 수행한 Model 시뮬레이션에 의한 열환경 분석 기법은 지역별로 다양한 기상여건 하에서 대상온실의 난방 및 냉방부하를 보다 합리적으로 예측할 수 있을 뿐만 아니라 냉방이나 난방용 시스템의 결정을 비롯한 난방대책을 수립하고, 에너지 이용 전략의 수립이나 계절적인 작부계획 수립, 온실산업용 적지선정 등에 유익하게 활용될 수 있을 것이라 판단된다. 본 연구에서는 온실의 적극적인 환경조절 유형을 난방과 냉방의 두 가지로 대별하고, 난방 소요열량 산정을 비롯하여 야간의 보온 커튼효과, Heating Degree-Hour 산정 등 난방과 관련된 시뮬레이션은 동적 모형을 이용하여 시간별, 일별 및 월별로 검토하였으며, 환기를 비롯한 차광, 증발냉각시스템의 효과 분석은 정적모형을 이용하여 검토하였다. 특히 하절기 지하수와 같은 저온수를 직접 이용하거나 Heat Pump를 통하여 확보될 수 있는 저온수를 이용하여 온실의 피복면에 살수함으로서 확보할 수 있는 온실냉방효과를 검토하는 데는 1.2m$\times$2.4m 크기의 모형온실을 제작하여 기초실험을 수행함으로서 동절기의 수막시스템의 보온효과와 마찬가지로 하절기 냉방 효과를 거둘 수 있다는 가능성을 확인하였다. 본 연구에 활용된 온실의 수치 환경모형 중 난방관련 시뮬레이션용 동적 수치모형은 소기의 목적을 달성하는데 충분히 응용될 수 있는 이론모형이다. 이 이론모형이 범용성이 높은 것은 온실 내ㆍ외의 미기상 변화, 특히 난방이나 냉방이 본격적으로 요구되는 기간동안에 온도, 습도, 일사, 풍속 등의 미기상 인자들을 면밀하게 관찰하여 실측된 자료를 바탕으로 개발되었고, 다양한 자료에 의해 충분히 검정되었기 때문이다. 본 연구에서는 경남 진주지역의 어느 특정 기간(1987년)의 시간별 기상자료를 중심으로 온실의 열적 환경변화에 대한 수치모형 시뮬레이션을 실시하였으며, 아직 수치모형에 의한 시뮬레이션이 불가능한 일부 냉방효과를 검토하는 데는 모형 실험을 실시하였으며, 그 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 1. 주간과 야간의 설정온도를 달리하고 다단계 변온조절방식으로 시뮬레이션을 행한 결과 난방 소요열량은 난방 설정온도에 따라 현저한 차이를 보였다. 특히 주간 설정온도에 비하여 야간 설정온도가 난방 소요열량에 예민하게 영향을 미치므로 야간의 설정온도 결정에 신중을 기해야 할 것으로 판단된다. 2. 기존의 Heating Degree-Hour 자료는 평균 외기온을 중심으로 임의의 설정온도에 대하여 산정된 값이므로 난방 소요열량에 대한 상대적인 비교수단은 되나 고려되는 기상인자의 제한과 설정온도의 임의성 때문에 실용성이 부족하다. 따라서 본 연구에서 제시된 것처럼 온실 주변의 제반 미기상 인자나 경계조건이 반영됨은 물론 작물의 생육상태 및 구체적인 설정온도까지도 고려하는 동적 수치모형으로 시시각각으로 예측된 실내기온을 중심으로 재배기간 동안의 난방열량을 적산함이 합리적이라 판단된다. 기존의 MDH 자료로 난방 설계를 할 경우에는 지나치게 과잉설계 될 가능성이 있다. 3. 산정된 난방 소요열량은 물론 커튼의 보온성능도 월별 기상여건에 따라 현저한 차이를 보이며, 시뮬레이션에 이용된 커튼의 경우 높은 보온효과를 보임으로서 년 평균 50% 이상의 난방 에너지를 절감할 수 있으며, 동절기 3-4개월의 집중 난방기에 에너지가 크게 절감됨을 발견할 수 있다. 4. 고온기 환기성능은 온실의 구조, 기상조건, 작물의 생육상태 등에 따라 다소의 차이가 있으나 환기율에 의해 크게 좌우되며, 시뮬레이션에 이용된 두 가지 농가보급형 온실 모두 환기율의 증가에 따른 실내기온의 강하 효과가 환기율이 1회/min 정도를 넘어서면서 급격히 둔화되는 현상을 보인다. 이는 기존에 권장되고 있는 적정 환기율인 1회/min 전후의 환기 시스템을 갖추는 것이 합리적임을 확인해 준다. 5. 작물이 성숙된 유리온실에서 외기의 상대습도가 50%인 쾌청한 주간동안 연속적으로 1회/min로 환기를 시킬 경우 실내기온 36.5$^{\circ}C$의 대조구에 비한 온도강하는 50% 차광만 했을 시 2.6$^{\circ}C$이고 효율 80%의 Pad & Fan 시스템만 작동시 6.1$^{\circ}C$ 정도이며, 차광과 냉각시스템을 동시에 작동시는 약 8.6$^{\circ}C$로서 외기온보다 3.3$^{\circ}C$가 낮은 28$^{\circ}C$까지 실내온도를 낮출 수 있으나, 동일 조건하에서 외기의 상대습도가 80%로 높은 경우에는 Pad & Fan시스템에 의한 온도강하가 2.4$^{\circ}C$에 불과하여 50% 차광하에서도 외기온 이하로 실내온도를 낮출 수 없음을 알 수 있다. 6. 하절기 3개월(6/1-8/31)동안 Pad & Fan 시스템의 냉방효과($\Delta$T)는 설정된 작동 온도에 따라 다소 차이를 보일 것으로 예상되나 본 시뮬레이션에서 설정한 시스템의 작동 온도 27$^{\circ}C$에서 상대습도와의 상관관계는 대략 다음과 같았다: $\Delta$T= -0.077RH+7.7 7. 전형적인 하절기 주간기상 하에서 경시적 냉방효과를 분석한 결과 환기만으로는 실내기온을 외기온 보다 5$^{\circ}C$ 높게 유지하는 정도가 고작이고, 차광이나 증발식 냉방시스템 만으로는 작물이 성숙한 단계에서조차도 외기온 이하로 떨어뜨리기가 어려우나 차광과 아울러 증발식 냉방을 병행할 경우에는 작물상태에 따라 다소 차이는 있지만 실내기온을 외기온보다 2.0-2.3$^{\circ}C$ 낮게 유지할 수 있음을 발견할 수 있다. 8. 일사가 차단된 27.5-28.5$^{\circ}C$의 외기온하에서 6.5-8.5$^{\circ}C$의 냉수를 온실 바닥면적 1$m^2$당 1.3 liter/min의 유량으로 온실표면에 살수했을 때 실내기온을 외기온보다 1$0^{\circ}C$ 낮은 16.5-18.$0^{\circ}C$ 정도로 낮출 수 있었다. 앞으로 살수 수온(T$_{w}$ )이나 외기온(T$_{o}$ ) 뿐만아니라 살수율(Q)에 따라 온실기온 (T$_{g}$ )에 미치는 상관 관계 T$_{g}$ = f(T$_{w}$ , Q, T$_{o}$ )를 구명하여 지하수 자체 또는 Heat Pump를 이용한 지하수온 이하의 냉수로 온실냉방의 가능성을 구명하는 것이 앞으로의 과제이다.

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