• 제목/요약/키워드: annual trend

검색결과 698건 처리시간 0.024초

우리나라 증발접시 증발량과 Penman 증발량 추세 비교분석 (Comparisons of the Pan and Penman Evaporation Trends in South Korea)

  • 임창수
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제30권5B호
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    • pp.445-458
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 연 및 월별 기후요소와 지역특성이 증발접시 증발량과 Penman 증발량에 미치는 영향 차이를 분석하였다. 이를 위하여 우리나라 전국 52개 기상관측지점에서 관측된 연 및 월별 기후자료를 수집하여 추세분석을 실시하였고, 다변량 회귀분석 등을 실시하여 연구지역의 지리적 요소와 기후요소가 증발접시 및 Penman 증발량에 미치는 영향을 비교분석하였다. 단계입력방식의 다변량회귀분석 결과에 의하면 년별 증발접시 증발량의 경우 지리적 요소로서 도시화율이, 기후요소로서 기온, 습도, 풍속, 일사량 등이 포함되어 이들 지리적 및 기후요소의 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났고, 풍속에 의해서 가장 큰 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다. 한편 Penman 증발량은 지리적 요소가 회귀식에 포함되지 않아서 지리적 요소의 영향을 받지 않는 것으로 나타났으나, 강수량을 제외한 다른 기후요소(기온, 습도, 풍속, 일사량)가 회귀식에 포함되어 이들 기후요소에 의해서 유의한 수준에서 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다. 특히 풍속에 의해서 가장 큰 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 증발접시 증발량 추세의 경우 7월에 지리적 요소로서 해안근접성이 회귀식에 포함되어 증발접시 증발량 추세에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났지만 연별 및 다른 계절에서는 지리적 요소 및 기후요소가 회귀식에 포함되지 않아서 증발접시 증발량 추세에 큰 영향을 미치지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 한편 Penman 증발량 추세는 년별 및 월별 모두에서 지리적 요소가 회귀식에 포함되지 않아서 이들 지리적 요소에 의해서 영향을 받지 않는 것으로 나타났다.

남극 세종기지에서 최근 태양 복사, 기온과 운량의 변화 (Recent Changes in Solar Irradiance, Air Temperature and Cloudiness at King Sejong Station, Antarctica)

  • 이방용;조희구;김준;정연진;이윤곤
    • 대기
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.333-342
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    • 2006
  • The long-term trends of global solar irradiance, air temperature, specific humidity and cloudiness measured at King Sejong station, Antarctica, during the period of 1988-2004, have been investigated. A statistically insignificant decrease, -0.21 $Wm^{-2}yr^{-1}$ (-0.26 %$yr^{-1}$, P<0.5) in global solar irradiance was found in an analysis from the time series of the monthly mean values, except for the increasing trends only in two months of January and June. The trends in irradiance are directly and inversely associated with the cloudiness trends in annual and monthly means. The trends in surface air temperature show a slight warming, $0.03^{\circ}Cyr^{-1}$ (1.88 %$yr^{-1}$, P<0.5) on the annual average, with cooling trend in the summer months and the warming in the winter. The exact relationship, if any, between the irradiance and temperature trends is not known. No significant tendency was found in specific humidity for the same periods. Recent (1996-2004) erythermal ultraviolet irradiance shows decreasing trend in annual mean, -0.15 $mWm^{-2}yr^{-1}$ (-1.18 %$yr^{-1}$, P<0.1) which is about five times the trends of global solar irradiance. The ratio of erythermal ultraviolet to global solar irradiance shows remarkable seasonal variations with annual mean value of 0.01 % and a peak in October and November, showing the increase of ultraviolet irradiance resulting from the Antarctic ozone hole. The sensitivity of global solar irradiance to the change in cloudiness is roughly $13%oktas^{-1}$ which is about twice of the value at the South Pole due to the difference in the average surface reflectance between the two stations. Much more sensitive values of $59%oktas^{-1}$ was found for erythermal UV irradiance than for the global solar irradiance.

Estimation of Time Trends of Incidence of Prostate Canner - an Indian Scenario

  • Lalitha, Krishnappa;Suman, Gadicherla;Pruthvish, Sreekantaiah;Mathew, Aleyamma;Murthy, Nandagudi S.
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권12호
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    • pp.6245-6250
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    • 2012
  • Background: With increase in life expectancy, adoption of newer lifestyles and screening using prostate specific antigen (PSA), the incidence of prostate cancer is on rise. Globally prostate cancer is the second most frequently diagnosed cancer and sixth leading cause of cancer death in men. The present communication makes an attempt to analyze the time trends in incidence for different age groups of the Indian population reported in different Indian registries using relative difference and regression approaches. Materials and Methods: The data published in Cancer Incidence in Five Continents for various Indian registries for different periods and/or publications by the individual registries served as the source materials. Trends were estimated by computing the mean annual percentage change (MAPC) in the incidence rates using the relative difference between two time periods (latest and oldest) and also by estimation of annual percentage change (EAPC) by the Poisson regression model. Results: Age adjusted incidence rates (AAR) of prostate cancer for the period 2005-2008 ranged from 0.8 (Manipur state excluding Imphal west) to 10.9 (Delhi) per $10^5$ person-years. Age specific incidence rates (ASIR) increased in all PBCRs especially after 55 years showing a peak incidence at +65 years clearly indicating that prostate cancer is a cancer of the elderly. MAPC in crude incidence rate(CR) ranged from 0.14 (Ahmedabad) to 8.6 (Chennai). Chennai also recorded the highest MAPC of 5.66 in ASIR in the age group of 65+. Estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) in the AAR ranged from 0.8 to 5.8 among the three registries. Increase in trend was seen in the 55-64 year age group cohort in many registries and in the 35-44 age group in Metropolitan cities such as Delhi and Mumbai. Conclusions: Several Indian registries have revealed an increasing trend in the incidence of prostate cancer and the mean annual percentage change has ranged from 0.14-8.6.

우리나라의 오존도 변화 추이와 주요 인자 (Trends and Factors of Ozone Concentration Variations in Korea)

  • 김영성
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.607-623
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    • 2000
  • Major trends of ozone concentration variations in Korea were investigated by using observation data from around 100 stations for the period of 1991∼1997. In addition, important regulating those variations were inferred. Three measures such as the number of days exceeding 80ppb, the 95th percentile of daily maxima, and the annual average concentration were used for the analysis of multi-scale ozone concentration variations. Three areas in the southwest (Sosan, Mokpo, and Cheju) of which monitoring has been operated since 1995 showed the highest annual average concentrations over; this was noted because of the high annual average in the Yosu area in the early 1990s. Large increases in annual average concentrations were observed along the relatively cleaner areas connecting Kangnung and Kwangju(northeast to southwest), in contrast to polluted areas connecting Seoul and Pusan(northeast to southeast). Both the number of exceedance days and the daily maximum concentration were nearly constant in the Greater Seoul Area in spite of interannual flucturations associated with year-to-year changes in air temperature. Within the Greater Seoul Area, all three measures usually showed the same trend; they decreased in the middle and west and increased in the east and northeast. All three measures including the number of exceedance days increased largely at Sillim where the average concentration was high but no exceedance days were recorded in the early 1999s, Nationwide ozone concentration variations appear to be determined by the competitive influence of long-range transport and local urban emissions, Within the city including the Greater Seoul Area, changes in emission which accompany changes in population and in the number if vehicles ( in the process of urban development) were found to be important components of ozone concentration variations.

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신갈나무의 인장응력재와 대응재의 해부학적 특성 (Some Anatomical Characteristics in Tension and Opposite Woods of Quercus mongolica Fischer)

  • 이승환;황원중;김남훈
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.43-49
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    • 1997
  • The lengths of fibers and vessel elements, vessel diameters, and ray spacings of tension and opposite woods in Quercus mongolica Fischer and their radial variations were examined. Crystallinity indices and crystallites orientations of tension, opposite and lateral woods were also investigated. The lengths of fibers and vessel elements, and ray spacings of tension wood were longer and denser than those of opposite wood, respectively. In the latewood, the vessels of tension wood had a little larger diameters than those of opposite wood. whereas the vessel diameters of earlywood were similar in both woods. With the exception of vessel diameters of earlywood, there were differences between tension and opposite woods in all anatomical characteristics examined. In the radial variation pattern, the fiber lengths of both woods increased markedly to about 15th annual ring and thereafter remained virtually constant. The vessel element lengths of earlywood in tension wood increased to certain annual ring and thereafter were stabilized, but opposite wood had a relatively constant trend from pith to bark. Those of late wood in both woods increased to certain annual ring and thereafter showed constant patterns. Vessel diameters appeared to show similar trend in both woods. Ray spacings decreased to about 15 annual ring and thereafter were stabilized in both woods. In the fine structures, tension wood had higher crystallinity index and better crystallites orientation than opposite and lateral woods.

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최근 아파트 주거환경 디자인 경향 분석연구 (A Study on the Trend of Housing Environment Design of Recent Apartments)

  • 원미숙;이윤정;정준현
    • 한국주거학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국주거학회 2005년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.139-142
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    • 2005
  • This study aimed not only to analyze the trend of housing environment design through the advertisements for sale of apartments to be completed after 2006 but also to discuss the future trend of housing environment on the basis of the results of analysis. Building companies used to collect data were limited to those that ranked within the 30th place in the Construction Association of Korea's Contract Ranking from 2001 to 2004. The contens of advertisements appeared on their websites were used. The contents analyzed were also limited to 1) concept and method of design and 2) main advanced systems.

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Steric Sea Level Variability in the East Asian Seas estimated from Ocean Reanalysis Intercomparison Project Data

  • Chang, You-Soon;Kang, Min-Ji
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제40권5호
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    • pp.487-501
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    • 2019
  • In this study, steric height variability in the East Asian Seas (EAS) has been analyzed by using ocean reanalysis intercomparison project (ORA-IP) data. Results show that there are significant correlations between ocean reanalysis and satellite data except the phase of annual cycle and interannual signals of the Yellow Sea. Reanalysis ensemble derived from 15-different assimilation systems depicts higher correlation (0.706) than objective analysis ensemble (0.296) in the EAS. This correlation coefficient is also much higher than that of the global ocean (0.441). For the long-term variability of the thermosteric sea level during 1993-2010, a significant warming trend is found in the East/Japan Sea, while cooling trend is shown around the Kuroshio extension area. For the halosteric sea level, a dominant freshening trend is found in the EAS. However, below 300 m depth around this area, the signal-to-noise ratio of the linear trend is generally less than one, which is related to the low density of observation data.

도시화에 따른 수문기후변화 I (연 물수지 변화 분석) (A Study on Variation in Annual Water Balance)

  • 임창수;채효석
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제40권7호
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    • pp.555-570
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    • 2007
  • 도시화에 따른 기후변화가 연 물수지에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위하여 전국 56개 기후관측지점을 중심으로 반경 10 km에 해당하는 $314\;km^2$의 면적을 연구지역으로 설정하였다. 연구지역 내에서 연 실제증발산량을 산정하였고, 도시화에 따른 연 유출량변화를 모의하기 위하여 연 물수지분석을 실시하였다. 연 실제증발산량 산정을 위하여 수문기후자료와 토지이용자료를 이용하여 추정된 식생지수를 이용하여 연구지역별 연 실제증발산량을 산정하였다. 여기서 연 실제증발산량은 Zhang et al.(2001)에 의해서 전 세계 250개 유역에서 장기간의 물수지분석으로부터 유도된 경험 공식을 적용하였다. 연구결과 도시화가 진행됨에 따라서 기준잠재증발산량의 증가추세를 보이고 있다. 따라서 도시화에 따른 기후변화가 연 실제증발산량을 증가시키는 요인과 도시화가 진행됨에 따라 주거지면적이 증가하여 지역 내의 연 실제증발산량을 감소시키는 요인이 복합적으로 작용하는 것으로 판단된다. 강수량자료의 분석 결과 연구기간 동안에 도시화에 따른 연 강수량의 뚜렷한 추세를 보이지 않고 있다. 도시화지역에서 연 유출량은 연 강수량의 변화에 직접적인 영향을 받고 있고, 실제증발산량의 변화정도는 연 강수량의 영향을 받음에도 불구하고 연 강수량에 비하여 그 편차가 크지 않다. 도시화에 따른 연 실제증발산량의 변화는 연 유출량에 큰 영향을 미치지 않는 것으로 보이며, 도시화에 따른 연 유출량 변화는 크지 않은 것으로 판단된다.

도로변 및 배경농도 측정망 PM10 자료를 이용한 노후 운행경유차 배출가스 저감사업 효과 해석 (Evaluation of Emission Reduction Program for In-use Diesel Vehicles Using PM10 Concentrations of Road-side and Background Monitoring Network)

  • 김철희;조현영;이승원;오창석
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제20권12호
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    • pp.1585-1598
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    • 2011
  • Emission reduction program for in-use diesel vehicles (ERPDV) has been enacted since 2004 over the Seoul metropolitan area, and diesel emission reduction is forced to fulfill this regulation. This study was performed to evaluate the ERPDV using $PM_{10}$ concentrations of both road-side monitoring and national background network during the period of 2004-2010. In order to assess the pure road emission, we first eliminated the long range transport effect by deducting the trend of annual national background concentrations from the road-side $PM_{10}$ concentrations, and then analyzed the time series of the resultant $PM_{10}$ concentrations over Seoul metropolitan area. The annual rates of variations of road-side $PM_{10}$ with the deduction of trend of background level show -3.2, +0.4, and -2.4 ${\mu}g/m^3$/year, in Seoul, Incheon, and Gyonggi province, respectively. There are steadily decreasing trend in Seoul with all of statistic parameters such as mean, mediam, 5%ile, 10%ile, 25%ile, 75%ile, 90%ile, and 95%ile concentrations. Incheon shows some fluctuations with positive with no significant trend, and Gyonggi province shows overall decreasing but not consistent. Student-t test shows 95% significant level of ERPDV effect in Seoul, but there exists no significant level greater than 90% in both Incheon, and Kyonggi province. Total annual averaged trend over the whole Seoul metropolitan area is estimated to lie in approximately $-2.9{\mu}g/m^3$/year in this study, implying the intimate involvement of ERPDV to a large extent. This is also suggesting that the further research cost-effectiveness of ERPDV with consideration of the long range transport process would be needed over the Seoul metropolitan area.

2018년 재난적 의료비 경험률 현황 및 추이 (Catastrophic Health Expenditure and Trend of South Korea in 2018)

  • 정원정;김윤경;박은철
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.126-130
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    • 2020
  • Catastrophic health expenditure refers to measure the level of the economic burden of households due to medical expenses. The purpose of this study was to examine the proportion of households that experienced catastrophic health expenditure between 2006 and 2018 using available data from the National Survey of Tax and Benefit (NaSTaB), Korea Health Panel (KHP), and Households Income and Expenditure Survey (HIES). Trend test was used to analyze the proportion of household with catastrophic healthcare expenditure. The households experienced the catastrophic health expenditure 2.08% in 2018 using the NaSTaB data. Trend analysis was significant with the decreasing trend (Annual Percentage Change [APC], -4.88; p<0.0001) in the proportion of households with the catastrophic health expenditure. On the other hand, the results of the HIES showed 2.92%, and KHP showed 2.48% of households experienced the catastrophic health expenditure in 2016. The trend was significantly increased in HIES (APC, 1.43; p<0.0001) and KHP (APC, 6.68; p<0.0001). Therefore, this suggests that further interventions to alleviate the burden of catastrophic health expenditure to the low-income group are needed.