• 제목/요약/키워드: annual decrease

검색결과 510건 처리시간 0.031초

Pasture Vegetation Changes in Mongolia

  • Erdenetuya, M.
    • 한국제4기학회지
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    • 제18권2호통권23호
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    • pp.105-106
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    • 2004
  • The NDVI(normalized difference vegetation index) dataset is unique or main tool to assess the global, multi seasonal, multi annual, and multi spectral changes over the World. These features are useful for environmental studies in particular, for the vegetation coverage monitoring of the country as Mongolia, where are large pastureland and pastoral animal husbandry, which dependent on natural conditions. Pasture vegetation cover is changing accordingly with both of global climate change and anthropogenic effect or human impacts. Using past 20 years (1982-2001) NDVI derived from NOAA satellite, its dynamical trend has been decreased in all natural zones differently. Also applied the method named "Two Years Differences" which could calculate the number of years with increased or decreased NDVI values at the same place. From May to September have occurred the 9 years maximum decreases of NDVI over Mongolia, but it obtained differently in spatial and temporal scale. In 24.4 ? 32.7% of all territory occurred one year decrease of NDVI and in 18% occurred more than 3 years frequent decrease of NDVI. According to the linear trend of NDVI and in 18% occurred more than 3 years frequent decrease of NDVI dynamics over 69% of whole territory of Mongolia NDVI values had been decreased due to both natural and human induced impacts to the pasture condition. In this paper also included some results of the integrated analyses of NOAA/NDVI and ground truth data over Monglia separately by natural zones.

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기후변화의 위험이 시중은행과 손해보험에 장기적으로 미치는 영향 (Climate Change-Induced Physical Risks' Impact on Korean Commercial Banks and Property Insurance Companies in the Long Run)

  • 김세완
    • 대기
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    • 제34권2호
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    • pp.107-121
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    • 2024
  • In this study, we empirically analyzed the impact of physical risks due to climate change on the soundness and operational performance of the financial industry by combining economics and climatology. Particularly, unlike previous studies, we employed the Seasonal-Trend decomposition using LOESS (STL) method to extract trends of climate-related risk variables and economic-financial variables, conducting a two-stage empirical analysis. In the first stage estimation, we found that the delinquency rate and the Bank for International Settlement (BIS) ratio of commercial banks have significant negative effects on the damage caused by natural disasters, frequency of heavy rainfall, average temperature, and number of typhoons. On the other hand, for insurance companies, the damage from natural disasters, frequency of heavy rainfall, frequency of heavy snowfall, and annual average temperature have significant negative effects on return on assets (ROA) and the risk-based capital ratio (RBC). In the second stage estimation, based on the first stage results, we predicted the soundness and operational performance indicators of commercial banks and insurance companies until 2035. According to the forecast results, the delinquency rate of commercial banks is expected to increase steadily until 2035 under assumption that recent years' trend continues until 2035. It indicates that banks' managerial risk can be seriously worsened from climate change. Also the BIS ratio is expected to decrease which also indicates weakening safety buffer against climate risks over time. Additionally, the ROA of insurance companies is expected to decrease, followed by an increase in the RBC, and then a subsequent decrease.

Korean red ginseng attenuates HIV-1 vivo; High frequency of grossly deleted nef genes in HIV-1 infected long-term slow progressors treated with Korean red ginseng - Running title: Grossly deleted nef genes in slow progressors -

  • Cho, Young-K.;Lim, Ji-Y.;Jung, You-S.;Oh, Sun-K.;Lee, Hee-J.;Sung, Heung-Sup
    • 고려인삼학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 고려인삼학회 2006년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.40-51
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    • 2006
  • To investigate the association between Korean red ginseng (KRG) intake in HIV-1 infected patients and occurrence of grossly deleted nef genes ($g{\Delta}nef$), we characterized nef genes in 10 long-term slow progressors (LTSP) infected with HIV-1 subtype B and 34 control patients. LTSP was defined whose the annual decrease in CD4 T cells was less than $20/{\mu}l$ over 10 years in the absence of antiretroviral therapy. They were treated with KRG for a prolonged period. Nef genes were amplified from peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) using nested PCR and products were sequenced directly. Patient CD4 T cell counts decreased from $444{\pm}207/{\mu}l$ to $294{\pm}177/{\mu}l$ over $136{\pm}23$ months of KRG intake. This corresponds to an annual decrease in the level of CD4 T cells of $13.3/{\mu}l$. A total of 479 nef genes were amplified from 137 PBMC samples. Nine out of the 10 patients, 47 (34.3%) out of the 137 samples, and 92 out of the 479 genes revealed $g{\Delta}nef$. The deletion extended outside the nef gene in 25 $g{\Delta}nef$ obtained from 6 patients. The proportion of samples with $g{\Delta}nef$ (34.3%) was significantly higher than 4.8% in control patients (P<0.001). In addition, it significantly increased as the duration of KRG intake prolongs (P<0.01). These data suggest the possibility that occurrence of $g{\Delta}nef$ might be associated with long-term intake of KRG.

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Time Trends of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma in Urban Guangzhou over a 12-Year Period (2000-2011): Declines in Both Incidence and Mortality

  • Li, Ke;Lin, Guo-Zhen;Shen, Ji-Chuan;Zhou, Qin
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권22호
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    • pp.9899-9903
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    • 2014
  • Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is an uncommon disease in most countries but occurs with much greater frequency in southern China. This study aimed to examine the secular trends of NPC in urban Guangzhou over the time period of 2000-2011 using data from the Guangzhou Cancer Registry. Age-adjusted annual incidence rates of NPC were calculated by the direct method using the WHO World Standard Population (1960) as the reference. The average annual percentage change (AAPC) was used as an estimate of the trend. A total of 7,532 new cases of NPC and 3,449 related deaths were registered. In both genders, the peak incidence occurred in the 50- to 59-year age group, and this age distribution pattern remained similar throughout. The AAPC in NPC incidence rates was -3.26% (95% CI: -5.4%--1.1) for males and -5.74% (95% CI: -8.9%--2.5) for females, resulting in a total decrease of 39.3% (from 22.14 to 13.44 per 100,000 population) for males and 48.6% (from 10.1 to 5.18 per 100,000 population) for females over this 12-year period. The AAPCs in NPC mortality rates were -4.62% (95%CI: -3.5%--5.7) for males and -6.75% (95% CI: -5.2%--8.3) for females, resulting in a total decrease of -46.1% (from 12.1 to 6.54 per 100,000 population) for males and 51.7% (from 4.14 to 2.00 per 100,000 population) for females. The age-adjusted incidence and mortality rates of NPC declined during 2000-2011 in urban Guangzhou but remained high. Future efforts to improve prevention, early detection and treatment strategies are needed.

지역 기후 앙상블 예측을 활용한 한반도 풍력 에너지의 시·공간적 변동성 연구 (Variability of Wind Energy in Korea Using Regional Climate Model Ensemble Projection)

  • 김유미;김연희;김나윤;임윤진;김백조
    • 대기
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.373-386
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    • 2016
  • The future variability of Wind Energy Density (WED) over the Korean Peninsula under RCP climate change scenario is projected using ensemble analysis. As for the projection of the future WED, changes between the historical period (1981~2005) and the future projection (2021~2050) are examined by analyzing annual and seasonal mean, and Coefficient of Variation (CV) of WED. The annual mean of WED in the future is expected to decrease compared to the past ones in RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 respectively. However, the CV is expected to increase in RCP 8.5. WEDs in spring and summer are expected to increase in both scenarios RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. In particular, it is predicted that the variation of CV for WED in winter is larger than other seasons. The time series of WED for three major wind farms in Korea exhibit a decrease trend over the future period (2021~2050) in Gochang for autumn, in Daegwanryeong for spring, and in Jeju for autumn. Through analyses of the relationship between changes in wind energy and pressure gradients, the fact that changes in pressure gradients would affect changes in WED is identified. Our results can be used as a background data for devising a plan to develop and operate wind farm over the Korean Peninsula.

입지 유형에 따른 중부지방 소나무의 수분생리 특성 (Characteristics of Water Relation Parameters for Pinus densiflora at Different Aspects in Central South Korea)

  • 신만용;정동준;신창섭
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.18-23
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구는 우리나라 중부지방의 소나무 천연 임분을 대상으로 입지환경별 생장 및 수분생리 특성을 파악하여 합리적인 경영방안을 제시하기 위하여 수행되었다. 연구 대상지의 소나무림은 평균 206.5㎥/ha을 나타냈으며, 각 방위별로 본수, 단면적, 재적 등의 임분 통계량을 보면 북사면에서 남사면으로 갈수록 증가하는 경향을 보이고 있지만 연년생장량과 10년 간의 정기평균 생장량은 반대로 남사면에서 가장 낮은 값을 나타내고 있다. 오후 12∼14시 사이에 측정된 최대 수분포텐셜(Ψ$_{w}$)을 각 방위 및 고도별로 구분하며 분석한 결과 소나무는 북사면에서 남사면으로 가면서 수분포텐셜이 낮아지는 경향을 보였으며, 고도별 수분포텐셜은 상부에서 하부로 가면서 증가하였다. 각 방위별 토양 수분함량은 북사면에서 남사면으로 가면서 감소하는 경향을 나타냈고, 토양 수분함량에 따른 소나무의 수분포텐셜은 고도의 음의 상관관계를 나타냈다. 따라서 연구 대상지의 소나무는 남사면과 능선에서 수분 요구도가 높은데, 이는 이곳에서의 많은 증발량에 따른 수분 결핍에 의한 종내 수분 경쟁의 결과로 판단된다..

위성영상과 임상통계를 이용한 충남해안지역의 기후변화에 따른 임상 변화 (Changes of the Forest Types by Climate Changes using Satellite imagery and Forest Statistical Data: A case in the Chungnam Coastal Ares, Korea)

  • 김찬수;박지훈;장동호
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.523-538
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    • 2011
  • This study analyzes the changes in the surface area of each forest cover, based on temperature data analysis and satellite imagery as the basic methods for the impact assessment of climate change on regional units. Furthermore, future changes in the forest cover are predicted using the double exponential smoothing method. The results of the study have shown an overall increase in annual mean temperature in the studied region since 1990, and an especially increased rate in winter and autumn compared to other seasons. The multi-temporal analysis of the changes in the forest cover using satellite images showed a large decrease of coniferous forests, and a continual increase in deciduous forests and mixed forests. Such changes are attributed to the increase in annual mean temperature of the studied regions. The analysis of changes in the surface area of each forest cover using the statistical data displayed similar tendencies as that of the forest cover categorizing results from the satellite images. Accordingly, rapid changes in forest cover following the increase of temperature in the studied regions could be expected. The results of the study of the forest cover surface using the double exponential smoothing method predict a continual decrease in coniferous forests until 2050. On the contrary, deciduous forests and mixed forests are predicted to show continually increasing tendencies. Deciduous forests have been predicted to increase the most in the future. With these results, the data on forest cover can be usefully applied as the main index for climate change. Further qualitative results are expected to be deduced from these data in the future, compared to the analyses of the relationship between tree species of forest and climate factors.

택시 운전자의 교통사고 야기 성향 분석에 관한 연구 (A Study about The Taxi Driver's Car Accident Characteristics)

  • 장석용;정헌영;이원규
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제28권2D호
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    • pp.191-203
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    • 2008
  • 사업용 자동차 교통사고 특성 분석(도로교통안전관리공단, 2007)에 따르면, 사업용 차량의 1만대 당 교통사고 발생률과 사망률이 비사업용 차량에 비해 각각 6.7배와 5.3배 높은 것으로 나타났다. 또한 최근 10년 동안 전체 교통사고는 연평균 1.5% 감소한데 비하여, 사업용 차량의 교통사고는 연평균 2.0%씩 증가하는 추세를 보이고 있다. 최근 10년 동안 사업용 차량 중 버스와 화물트럭의 교통사고 발생건수는 꾸준히 감소하였다. 그러나 택시의 교통사고 발생건수만은 연평균 5.6%씩 꾸준히 증가하고 있다. 이와 같은 상황에서 심리성격 분석 기법인 Q분석을 통하여, 택시 운전자의 운전 성향별 특성을 파악하고, 운전 성향별 교통사고 저감대책을 마련하고자 하였다.

A cross-sectional study of colic and rate of return to racing in Thoroughbreds at Seoul Racecourse in Korea between 2010 and 2020

  • Seung-Ho Ryu;Yongwoo Sohn;Eliot Forbes;Hyung Seon Jeon;Sung Jun An;Byung Sun Kim;Soon-Goo Kyung;Inhyung Lee
    • Journal of Veterinary Science
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.81.1-81.12
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    • 2023
  • Background: The incidence of colic and the outcomes of colic surgery have not been surveyed in racetracks in Korea. Objectives: This study examined the incidence, mortality, and case fatality of colic and investigated the effects of age and sex after an exploratory celiotomy on the long-term survival rate (return to racing), subsequent racing performance, and career longevity. Methods: The incidence, mortality, and case fatalities of colic were examined over an 11-year period. The records of 40 horses that had undergone a celiotomy, after participating in at least one race and 75 race-matched control horses were analyzed. The racing performance and career length of the horses that returned to racing post-surgery were compared with a control group. Results: The annual incidence, fatality rate of colic, and annual mortality rate at Seoul Racecourse were 6.5, 2.8 per 100 horse-years, and 0.2 deaths cases per 100 horse-years, respectively. Of the 40 horses that underwent colic surgery, 26 (65%) returned to racing. The likelihood of returning to racing decreased with increasing age of the horses, and geldings had a lower probability of returning. While the performance in the five preoperative races between the two groups was not significantly different, a significant decrease in racing performance was observed after the surgery date (p < 0.01). Horses that underwent colic surgery did not show a significant decrease in career length. Conclusions: Surgical treatment for colic at the age of three and four years had a negative impact on the racing performance. On the other hand, there was no significant difference in career longevity between the two groups.

경기도 도시가로수의 탄소저장량과 연간 이산화탄소 흡수량 산정 (Estimation of C Storage and Annual $CO_2$ Uptake by Street Trees in Gyeonggi-do)

  • 박은진;강규이
    • 한국환경생태학회지
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.591-600
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    • 2010
  • 도시가로수의 탄소흡수원 기능을 평가하기 위하여 가로수로 흔히 식재되는 9개 수종을 선정하여 수종별 탄소저장량과 연간 이산화탄소 흡수량을 산정하여 비교하였다. 수종별로 가로수 식재현황을 고려하여 대상지를 선정하고 흉고직경과 수령을 측정하였으며, 활엽수와 침엽수 상대생장식을 활용하여 가로수의 탄소저장량과 생장속도, 연간 이산화탄소 흡수량을 산정하였다. 튤립나무, 메타세쿼이아, 양버즘나무가 빠른 생장속도를, 벚나무, 은행나무, 느티나무, 회화나무, 단풍나무는 중간의 생장속도를, 소나무는 느린 생장속도를 가진 그룹으로 분류되었고, 속성수의 경우 전정관리와 환경요인의 영향을 크게 받는 것으로 평가되었다. 조사한 9개 대표수종의 1 그루당 평균 탄소저장량은 205kgC/tree로, 수종에 따라 최대 518kgC/tree(튤립나무)에서 최소 41kgC/tree(소나무)를 나타냈다. 또한, 수종별로 생장 전년에 걸쳐 수목 1 그루가 흡수한 이산화탄소량은 연간 평균 $7.6{\sim}99.1kgCO_2$/tree/y 의 범위로, 튤립나무의 흡수량이 가장 높고 메타세쿼이아, 양버즘나무의 순이었으며, 소나무가 가장 낮았다. 대표수종의 연간 이산화탄소 흡수량을 기초로 추정한 경기도 전체 도시 가로수의 연간 이산화탄소 흡수량은 경기도의 산림이 흡수하는 이산화탄소량의 약 0.67% 정도로 매우 작은 것으로 평가되었다. 그러나, 경기도에서는 매년 산림이 감소하고 시가화면적이 확대되고 있어 도심 내 탄소흡수원 확대는 점점 중요해질 것으로 보이며, 도심 내에서 수목은 열섬현상을 완화시키고 건물 냉난방에너지를 절감시킴으로써 간접적으로 이산화탄소 배출을 감소시키는 기능 또한 매우 중요한 의미를 가지고 있어 보다 다기능적인 관리가 이루어질 필요가 있다.