• Title/Summary/Keyword: and cyclone

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Relative contributions of weather systems to the changes of annual and extreme precipitation with global warming

  • Utsumi, Nobuyuki;Kim, Hyungjun;Kanae, Shinjiro;Oki, Taikan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.234-234
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    • 2015
  • The global patterns of annual and extreme precipitation are projected to be altered by climate change. There are various weather systems which bring precipitation (e.g. tropical cyclone, extratropical cyclone, etc.). It is possible in some regions that multiple weather systems affect the changes of precipitation. However, previous studies have assessed only the changes of precipitation associated with individual weather systems. The relative contributions of the weather systems to the changes of precipitation have not been quantified yet. Also, the changes of the relative importance of weather systems have not been assessed. This study present the quantitative estimates of 1) the relative contributions of weather systems (tropical cyclone (TC), extratropical cyclone (ExC), and "others") to the future changes of annual and extreme precipitation and 2) the changes of the proportions of precipitation associated with each weather system in annual and extreme precipitation based on CMIP5 generation GCM outputs. Weather systems are objectively detected from twelve GCM outputs and six models are selected for further analysis considering the reproducibility of weather systems. In general, the weather system which is dominant in terms of producing precipitation in the present climate contributes the most to the changes of annual and extreme precipitation in each region. However, there are exceptions for the tendency. In East Asia, "others", which ranks the second in the proportion of annual precipitation in present climate, has the largest contribution to the increase of annual precipitation. It was found that the increase of the "others" annual precipitation in East Asia is mainly explained by the changes of that in summer season (JJA), most of which can be regarded as the summer monsoon precipitation. In Southeast Asia, "others" precipitation, the second dominant system in the present climate, has the largest contribution to the changes of very heavy precipitation (>99.9 percentile daily precipitation of historical period). Notable changes of the proportions of precipitation associated with each weather system are found mainly in subtropics, which can be regarded as the "hotspot" of the precipitation regime shift.

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Development of the Selected Multi-model Consensus Technique for the Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast in the Western North Pacific (태풍 진로예측을 위한 다중모델 선택 컨센서스 기법 개발)

  • Jun, Sanghee;Lee, Woojeong;Kang, KiRyong;Yun, Won-Tae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.375-387
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    • 2015
  • A Selected Multi-model CONsensus (SMCON) technique was developed and verified for the tropical cyclone track forecast in the western North Pacific. The SMCON forecasts were produced by averaging numerical model forecasts showing low 70% latest 6 h prediction errors among 21 models. In the homogeneous comparison for 54 tropical cyclones in 2013 and 2014, the SMCON improvement rate was higher than the other forecasts such as the Non-Selected Multi-model CONsensus (NSMCON) and other numerical models (i.e., GDAPS, GEPS, GFS, HWRF, ECMWF, ECMWF_H, ECMWF_EPS, JGSM, TEPS). However, the SMCON showed lower or similar improvement rate than a few forecasts including ECMWF_EPS forecasts at 96 h in 2013 and at 72 h in 2014 and the TEPS forecast at 120 h in 2013. Mean track errors of the SMCON for two year were smaller than the NSMCON and these differences were 0.4, 1.2, 5.9, 12.9, 8.2 km at 24-, 48-, 72-, 96-, 120-h respectively. The SMCON error distributions showed smaller central tendency than the NSMCON's except 72-, 96-h forecasts in 2013. Similarly, the density for smaller track errors of the SMCON was higher than the NSMCON's except at 72-, 96-h forecast in 2013 in the kernel density estimation analysis. In addition, the NSMCON has lager range of errors above the third quantile and larger standard deviation than the SMCON's at 72-, 96-h forecasts in 2013. Also, the SMCON showed smaller bias than ECMWF_H for the cross track bias. Thus, we concluded that the SMCON could provide more reliable information on the tropical cyclone track forecast by reflecting the real-time performance of the numerical models.

A Selection of the Refuge Area in the West Sea for the National Fishery Supervision Vessel according to the Trajectories of the Extratropical Cyclone in Winter Season (겨울철 온대저기압의 이동경로에 따른 국가어업지도선의 서해 피항지 선정)

  • Chong, Ki-Chol;Seol, Dong-Il
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.555-562
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    • 2007
  • The environs of Korea in winter season are influenced by the distribution of atmospheric pressure, namely, the typical east-low and west-high pattern that is formed from both the Siberian continental high pressure and the Aleutian oceanic low pressure. In this reason, the violent West or North-West monsoon, the billows with the strong wind, and the tremendous heavy snowfall are encountered very frequently in the West Sea. In this study, the trajectories of the extratropical cyclone are analysed to choose the safe refuge areas of National Fishery Supervision Vessel using the surface analysis weather chart for 11 years from 1994 to 2004. The safe refuge areas according to the trajectories of the extratropical cyclone in the West Sea are decided using data that contain the topographical properties of island, the depth of water, the state of low quality, the influence of tidal current, and the distribution of fishing-net.

Development of Cost Data Prototype based on Production Crew by Productivity Analysis of Form Work (거푸집 공사의 생산성 분석을 통한 작업조 기반의 Cost Data Prototype 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Dong-Wan;Ji, Soung-Min;Hyun, Chang-Taek
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.44-52
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    • 2012
  • In the cost management of public construction projects, it is an important issue to develop an adequate cost data for estimating the predetermined amount by various methods. For a long time, a standard of estimation in korea is used as a basis for estimating the predetermined amount of public construction. However, they did not have a reasonable cost data based on a labor and equipment productivity analysis. For this reason, it is difficult to make a reasonable and efficient estimation of the costs, and this situation presents an urgent need for more accurate cost data to use in an early phase. This study analyzed the productivity of form work by the CYCLONE model, and presented the model on the number of optimal labor through sensitivity analysis. This CYCLONE model can be useful in analyzing productivity on the various sizes of form. Also, the regression model to estimate the daily output can be used in predicting the amount of labor. Considering the work duration in the regression model is expected to make the daily output estimation much more accurate.

Application of a Semi-Physical Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Model in South Korea to estimate Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Risk

  • Alcantara, Angelika L.;Ahn, Kuk-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.152-152
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    • 2022
  • Only employing historical data limits the estimation of the full distribution of probable Tropical Cyclone (TC) risk due to the insufficiency of samples. Addressing this limitation, this study introduces a semi-physical TC rainfall model that produces spatially and temporally resolved TC rainfall data to improve TC risk assessments. The model combines a statistical-based track model based on the Markov renewal process to produce synthetic TC tracks, with a physics-based model that considers the interaction between TC and the atmospheric environment to estimate TC rainfall. The simulated data from the combined model are then fitted to a probability distribution function to compute the spatially heterogeneous risk brought by landfalling TCs. The methodology is employed in South Korea as a case study to be able to implement a country-scale-based vulnerability inspection from damaging TC impacts. Results show that the proposed model can produce TC tracks that do not only follow the spatial distribution of past TCs but also reveal new paths that could be utilized to consider events outside of what has been historically observed. The model is also found to be suitable for properly estimating the total rainfall induced by landfalling TCs across various points of interest within the study area. The simulated TC rainfall data enable us to reliably estimate extreme rainfall from higher return periods that are often overlooked when only the historical data is employed. In addition, the model can properly describe the distribution of rainfall extremes that show a heterogeneous pattern throughout the study area and that vary per return period. Overall, results show that the proposed approach can be a valuable tool in providing sufficient TC rainfall samples that could be an aid in improving TC risk assessment.

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A Study on Material Separation of Heavy Group Plastics by Triboelectrostatic Separation (마찰하전형(摩擦荷電型) 정전선별(靜電選別)에 의한 고비중(高比重) 플라스틱 혼합물(混合物)의 재질분리(材質分離)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Jeon, Ho-Seok;Baek, Sang-Ho;Park, Chul-Hyun;Kim, Byoung-Gon
    • Resources Recycling
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    • v.16 no.2 s.76
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    • pp.56-62
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    • 2007
  • In this study, we carried out the research on triboelectrostatic separation for heavy group plastics (PET, PVC) recovered from wet gravity separation. From the research on charging characteristic for the choice of charging materials, it was found that PP was optimum charging material to make high charging amount with opposite polarity for PET and PVC of heavy group. Therefore, we manufactured a charger of cyclone type using PP material for separation of PET and PVC. At optimum test conditions that used PP cyclone charger developed in this study, we developed a triboelectrostatic separation technique that can separate PET plastic up to grade of 98.5% and recovery of 86.2%. We established new separation technology that could recycle the PET and PVC heavy group plastics recovered from wet gravity separation.

A Study on Treatment Efficiency of Toluene and CO2 using Vortex Cyclones (보텍스 사이클론을 이용한 Toluene과 CO2 처리효율에 관한 연구)

  • 임계규
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.493-501
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    • 2004
  • The principle of vortex tube and cyclone was introduced to enhance the treatment efficiency of waste air streams containing particulate matters, toluene, and others developed by Hangreen Tech, Ltd. and Hoseo Chemical and Industrial Technology R&D Center. Adsorption, condensation, and/or coagulation could be induced at low temperature zone formed by vortex tube and Joule-Thomson expansion. The pressurized air was introduced at the tangential direction into the cyclone system applied with the coaxial funnel tube. Easily condensible vapors such as toluene. carbon dioxide, and water vapor were adsorbed enforcedly on coagulated or condensed materials which were formed as cores for coagulation or condensation by themselves. These types of coagulation or condensation rates were rapidly promoted as the diameter being growing up. The maximum removal efficiency for carbon dioxide and toluene was achieved to about 87 and 90 percent, respectively. The Joule-Thomson coefficients were increased with the pressure of air injected in the range of the relative humidities between 10% and 30%. An optimum value was observed within the range of the tested temperatures at a fixed pressure. In conclusion. it could be identified that the treatment efficiency would be depended on the pressure of the process air introduced and physical and chemical characteristics of waste air streams containing target materials for a designed system. The final design parameters should be decided depending upon the given system and target materials.

Comparison of tropical cyclone wind field models and their influence on estimated wind hazard

  • Gu, J.Y.;Sheng, C.;Hong, H.P.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.321-334
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    • 2020
  • Engineering type tropical cyclone (TC) wind field models are used to estimate TC wind hazard. Some of the models are well-calibrated using observation data, while others are not extensively compared and verified. They are all proxies to the real TC wind fields. The computational effort for their use differs. In the present study, a comparison of the predicted wind fields is presented by considering three commonly used models: the gradient wind field model, slab-resolving model, and a linear height-resolving model. These models essentially predict the horizontal wind speed at a different height. The gradient wind field model and linear height-resolving model are simple to use while the nonlinear slab-resolving model is more compute-intensive. A set of factors is estimated and recommended such that the estimated TC wind hazard by using these models becomes more consistent. The use of the models, including the developed set of factors, for estimating TC wind hazard over-water and over-land is presented by considering the historical tracks for a few sites. It is shown that the annual maximum TC wind speed can be adequately modelled by the generalized extreme value distribution.

Characteristics of Cyclone-Bag Filter with Bottom Inlet (하부유입식 원심 여과집진장치의 특성)

  • Yoa, Seok-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.639-650
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    • 2000
  • The main object of this study was to investigate experimentally the characteristics of cyclone-bag filter with bottom inlet to decrease the high pressure drop which was one of main problems of fabric bag filter. The experiment was executed for the analysis of collection efficiency and pressure drop(specially, pressure drop of fabric filter) characteristics of the cyclone-bag filter in comparison with those of general fabric bag filter with various experimental parameters such as the inlet velocity, dust loading and variation of vortex region, etc. In the results, the tangential inlet type showed higher collection efficiency for submicron particles below $1{\mu}m$ in diameter than of center inlet, and over 99% for overall collection efficiency. For the inlet particle concentration $100mg/m^3$, pressure drop reduction ratios were shown as 15~38% with the inlet velocity in case of large bag, while 30~48% for small bag due to the increase of vortex region.

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International Cooperation for Cyclone-4 Launch Vehicle between Ukraine and Brazil (우크라이나와 브라질의 사이클론-4 발사체 국제협력)

  • Lee, Joon-Ho;Oh, Bum-Seok;Hong, Il-Hee
    • Current Industrial and Technological Trends in Aerospace
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.99-104
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of international cooperation for launch vehicle between Ukraine and Brazil was to launch Ukraine's Cyclone-4 launch vehicles at the Alcantara cosmodrome in Brazil. Ukraine and Brazil have prepared this cooperation since 1999 and established a joint venture. However, the first launch has been postponed several times. Because it took a lot of time and efforts to negotiate, sign and ratify the cooperation agreement and to regulate the protection of technology transfer to the third countries. Thus, the administrative affairs and diplomatic steps as well as the technical matters should be considered to prepare international cooperation for launch vehicles.

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