• Title/Summary/Keyword: and Simulation

Search Result 68,347, Processing Time 0.093 seconds

Identification of Uncertainty in Fitting Rating Curve with Bayesian Regression (베이지안 회귀분석을 이용한 수위-유량 관계곡선의 불확실성 분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Ug;Lee, Kil-Seong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.41 no.9
    • /
    • pp.943-958
    • /
    • 2008
  • This study employs Bayesian regression analysis for fitting discharge rating curves. The parameter estimates using the Bayesian regression analysis were compared to ordinary least square method using the t-distribution. In these comparisons, the mean values from the t-distribution and the Bayesian regression are not significantly different. However, the difference between upper and lower limits are remarkably reduced with the Bayesian regression. Therefore, from the point of view of uncertainty analysis, the Bayesian regression is more attractive than the conventional method based on a t-distribution because the data size at the site of interest is typically insufficient to estimate the parameters in rating curve. The merits and demerits of the two types of estimation methods are analyzed through the statistical simulation considering heteroscedasticity. The validation of the Bayesian regression is also performed using real stage-discharge data which were observed at 5 gauges on the Anyangcheon basin. Because the true parameters at 5 gauges are unknown, the quantitative accuracy of the Bayesian regression can not be assessed. However, it can be suggested that the uncertainty in rating curves at 5 gauges be reduced by Bayesian regression.

Load-Balancing and Fairness Support Mechanisms in Mobile Ad Hoc Networks (이동 애드혹 네트워크에서의 부하 균등화 및 공평성 지원 방법)

  • Ahn Sanghyun;Yoo Younghwan;Lim Yujin
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartC
    • /
    • v.11C no.7 s.96
    • /
    • pp.889-894
    • /
    • 2004
  • Most ad-hoc routing protocols such as AODV(Ad Hoc On-Demand Distance Vector) and DSR(Dynamic Source Routing) do not try to search for new routes if the network topology does not change. Hence, with low node mobility, traffic may be concentrated on several nodes, which results in long end-to-end delay due to congestion at the nodes. Furthermore, since some specific nodes are continuously used for long duration, their battery power may be rapidly exhausted. Expiration of nodes causes connections traversing the nodes to be disrupted and makes many routing requests be generated at the same time. Therefore, we propose a load balancing approach called Simple Load-balancing Approach (SLA), which resolves the traffic concentration problem by allowing each node to drop RREQ (Route Request Packet) or to give up packet forwarding depending on its own traffic load. Meanwhile, mobile nodes nay deliberately give up forwarding packets to save their own energy. To make nodes volunteer in packet forwarding. we also suggest a payment scheme called Protocol-Independent Fairness Algorithm (PIEA) for packet forwarding. To evaluate the performance of SLA, we compare two cases where AODV employs SLA or not. Simulation results show that SLA can distribute traffic load well and improve performance of entire ad-hoc networks.

An Admission Control Mechanism to guarantee QoS of Streaming Service in WLAN (WLAN에서 스트리밍 서비스의 QoS를 보장하기 위한 승인 제어 기술)

  • Kang, Seok-Won;Lee, Hyun-Jin;Lee, Kyu-Hwan;Kim, Jae-Hyun;Roh, Byeong-Hee
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
    • /
    • v.34 no.6B
    • /
    • pp.595-604
    • /
    • 2009
  • The HCCA reserves the channel resources based on the mean data rate in IEEE 802.11e. It may cause either the waste of channel resource or the increase of transmission delay at MAC layer if the frame size is rapidly varied when a compressed mode video codec such as MPEG video is used. To solve these problems, it is developed that the packet scheduler allocates the wireless resource adaptation by according to the packet size. However, it is difficult to perform the admission control because of the difficulty with calculating the available resources. In this paper, we propose a CAC mechanism to solve the problem that may not satisfy the QoS by increasing traffic load in case of using EDCA. Especially, the proposed CAC mechanism calculates the EB of TSs using the traffic information transmitted by the application layer and the number of average transmission according to the wireless channel environment, and then determines the admission of the TS based on the EB. According to the simulation results of the proposed CAC mechanism, it admitted the TSs under the loads which are satisfied within the delay bound. Therefore, the proposed mechanism guarantees QoS of streaming services effectively.

Vibration of Contact Lenses (콘택트 렌즈의 진동에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dae Soo
    • Journal of Korean Ophthalmic Optics Society
    • /
    • v.6 no.1
    • /
    • pp.13-29
    • /
    • 2001
  • A mathematical model was proposed to analyze the vibration of diaphragm, such as the contact lenses fitted on the eyes, being subjected to the external sinusoidal pressure. The model incorporates the differential equations and their numerical solution program, based on the wave equations. Turbo-C and graphic software, formulated to describe the dependence of the various parameters involved in the vibration. The model predicts the radial distribution of amplitude, frequency dependence of both average displacement amplitude and the power of diaphragm whose edge is being either simply supported or rigidly clamped in vibration. The effect of variables such as thickness, radius, damping coefficients on the vibration characteristics was illustrated by the computer simulation of the derived program. As the frequency of driving pressure increases above the certain value determined by the boundary conditions and parameters the wave shape or pattern changes from simple arc to belly or loops having double antinode. It seems that the effect of outer antinode progressively increases as the frequency increases. If this kind of phenomena occurs to the contact lens on the cornea in vivo, it may cause an abnormal correction power in the lenses or pull off the eye due the increased rise of outer part of the lens.

  • PDF

Comparing Survival Functions with Doubly Interval-Censored Data: An Application to Diabetes Surveyed by Korean Cancer Prevention Study (이중구간중도절단된 생존자료의 생존함수 비교를 위한 검정: 한국인 암 예방연구 중 당뇨병에의 응용)

  • Jee, Sun-Ha;Nam, Chung-Mo;Kim, Jin-Heum
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.22 no.3
    • /
    • pp.595-606
    • /
    • 2009
  • Two tests were introduced for comparing several survival functions with doubly interval-censored data and illustrated with data surveyed by Korean Cancer Prevention Study (Jee et al., 2005). The test which extended Kim et al. (2006)'s test to the doubly interval-censored data has an advantage over Sun (2006)'s test in terms of saving computation time because the proposed test only depends on the size of risk set, and also the proposed test is applicable to continuous failure time data as well as discrete failure time data unlike Sun's test. Comparing male with female groups on the incubation time of diabetes was highly different and the survival of female group was longer than that of male one. Regardless of gender, the difference in survival functions of four age groups was highly significant with p-value of less than 0.001. This trend was more remarkable for female group than for male one. Simulation results showed that the significance level of both tests was well controlled and the proposed test was better than Sun's test in terms of power.

The Study on Design of Semiconductor Detector for Checking the Position of a Radioactive Source in an NDT (비파괴검사 분야에서 방사선원의 위치 확인을 위한 반도체 검출기 설계에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyo-Tae;Kim, Joo-Hee;Han, Moo-Jae;Heo, Ye-Ji;Ahn, Ki-Jung;Park, Sung-Kwang
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
    • /
    • v.11 no.3
    • /
    • pp.171-175
    • /
    • 2017
  • In the non-destructive inspection field, we invest a lot of time and resources in developing the radiation source system to ensure the safety of the workers. However, the probability of accidents is still high. In order to prevent potential radiation accidents in advance, it is necessary to directly verify the position of the radiation source, but the research is still insufficient. In this study, we developed a monitoring system that can detect the position of the radiation source in the source guide tube in the gamma-ray irradiator. The characteristics of the radiation detector are estimated by monte carlo simulation. As a result, the radiation detector for Ir-192 gamma-ray energy was analyzed to have secondary electron equilibrium at $150{\mu}m$ regardless of the semiconductor material. Also, it is expected that the gamma ray response characteristic is the best in $HgI_2$. These results are expected to be used as a basis for determining the optimal thickness of the radiation detector located in the detection part of the future monitoring system. In addition, when developing a monitoring system based on this, radiation workers can easily recognize the danger and secure safety, as well as prevent and preemptively respond to potential radiation accidents.

A Study on the Application Scheme of Fire Identification Considering the Heat Release Rate Characteristics of Inflammable Material (가연물의 발열량 특성을 고려한 화재감식 적용방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Jung-Ki;Oh, Jin-Hee;You, Woo-Jun;Ryou, Hong-Sun;Choi, Don-Mook
    • Fire Science and Engineering
    • /
    • v.28 no.6
    • /
    • pp.52-57
    • /
    • 2014
  • The present study suggests the fundamental method for the prediction time of the fire origin by analyzing the combustion phenomenon of inflammable material in the building structure. The heat release rate (HRR) with time variant is evaluated for the interphone as a inflammable material, which is opted from the fire incidents in the stairwell. the fire dynamics simulator (FDS ver. 6.1) is applied in order to analyze the difference of the smoke inflow time to the downstair from the fire event area with various fire pattern. The results show that the maximum inflow time difference for the case of the interphone made from ABS materials is about 4.93 times with the input conditions of heat flux values and the environment in the FDS for the fixed stairwell which composed of total volume $291.3m^3$, floorage $23.3m^2$ and the height of each floor 2.5 m. This research can be practical information for the application method of simulation scheme with experimental data to the fire Identification.

An Analysis on Signal Control Efficiency in a Three-Leg Intersection Adopting Pedestrian Push-Button System Following Pedestrian volume (3지 교차로에서 보행자 교통량에 따른 보행자작동신호기를 이용한 신호제어효율에 관한 분석)

  • Kim, Eung-Cheol;Cho, Han-Seon;Jung, Dong-Woo;Kim, Hyoung-Soo
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
    • /
    • v.11 no.3
    • /
    • pp.121-128
    • /
    • 2009
  • This study has proposed the signal operating system to use both semi-actuated signal control and pedestrian push-button as a way to make up for the problems of 3 leg intersections which are operated inefficiently in the signal operation, one of the methods of traffic operations. In case of the semi-actuated signal control, it can reduce delay inside the intersection by serving to uncongested traffic on the main road where there is not much traffic volume on the secondary road and push-button signal can reduce unnecessary waiting time it could happen to vehicles by operating it though there is no pedestrian. Quantitative analysis was tried regarding the average delay reduction per vehicle using VISSIM, microscopic simulation program regarding how much effect it has compared with the existing signal control system and semi-actuated signal control system when the above two advantages are collected. The field test was performed for one three-leg intersection of Incheon. According to respectively signal control method pedestrian traffic changed and executed a sensitivity analysis. The result which compares the average delay time per a vehicle of scenarios, the signal control method of using the pedestrian push-button system in comparison with the fixed signal control method showed to decrease effect of a minimum 3.7 second (10%), a maximum 5.8 second (16%). When the pedestrian traffic volume was 20% or less of the measurement traffic volume, The signal control method of using the pedestrian push-button system appeared to be more efficient the semi-actuated signal control with object intersection.

  • PDF

Selection of bandwidth for local linear composite quantile regression smoothing (국소 선형 복합 분위수 회귀에서의 평활계수 선택)

  • Jhun, Myoungshic;Kang, Jongkyeong;Bang, Sungwan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.30 no.5
    • /
    • pp.733-745
    • /
    • 2017
  • Local composite quantile regression is a useful non-parametric regression method widely used for its high efficiency. Data smoothing methods using kernel are typically used in the estimation process with performances that rely largely on the smoothing parameter rather than the kernel. However, $L_2$-norm is generally used as criterion to estimate the performance of the regression function. In addition, many studies have been conducted on the selection of smoothing parameters that minimize mean square error (MSE) or mean integrated square error (MISE). In this paper, we explored the optimality of selecting smoothing parameters that determine the performance of non-parametric regression models using local linear composite quantile regression. As evaluation criteria for the choice of smoothing parameter, we used mean absolute error (MAE) and mean integrated absolute error (MIAE), which have not been researched extensively due to mathematical difficulties. We proved the uniqueness of the optimal smoothing parameter based on MAE and MIAE. Furthermore, we compared the optimal smoothing parameter based on the proposed criteria (MAE and MIAE) with existing criteria (MSE and MISE). In this process, the properties of the proposed method were investigated through simulation studies in various situations.

Assessing Estimation Methods of the Expected Crashes using Panel Traffic Crash Data (패널교통사고자료 기반 기대교통사고건수 추정기법 평가)

  • Sin, Gang-Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.29 no.1
    • /
    • pp.103-111
    • /
    • 2011
  • To evaluate highway safety countermeasures or identify high risk sites, the expected crashes for a site (or segment) have been estimated using the panel crash data. Past studies show that two different methods can be employed to estimate the expected crashes: observed crash based method and empirical Bayes (EB) method. This study conducts a simulation study to analyze how the estimation errors of the two estimates are affected by the different structures of the panel crash data and the presence of the change in safety over time. The results disclose that the estimation errors of the observed crash based estimates (i.e. the mean observed crash and comparative parallel estimate) are always greater than those of the EB estimates regardless of the structure of the panel crash data and the presence of the change in safety over time. Thus, it is highly recommended that the EB method be used in the study of traffic safety to obtain more reliable estimates for the expected crashes. In addition, this study corroborates that the estimation errors of the two estimates decrease as the analysis periods increase if safety does not change over time. Hence, it is also recommended that the 1-year analysis period used for identifying high risk sites in Korea be extended to produce more efficient estimates of the time-constant expected crashes.