• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.91-99
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• 2019

Fragility analysis is an effective tool that is frequently used for seismic risk assessment of bridges. There are three different approaches to derive a fragility curve: experimental, empirical and analytical. Both experimental and empirical methods to derive fragility curve are based on past earthquake reports and expert opinions which are not suitable for all bridges. Therefore, analytical fragility analysis becomes important. Nonlinear time history analysis is commonly used which is the most reliable method for determining probabilistic demand models. In this study, to determine the probabilistic demand models of bridges, time history analyses were performed considering both material and geometrical nonlinearities. Serviceability limit states for three different service velocities were considered as a performance goal. Also, support displacements, component yielding and collapse limits were taken into account. Both serviceability and component fragility were derived by using maximum likely hood methods. Finally, the seismic performance and critical members of the bridge were probabilistically determined and clearly presented.

• Smart Structures and Systems
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• 제14권5호
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• pp.847-867
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• 2014

There are continuous efforts to mitigate structural losses from earthquakes and manage risk through seismic risk assessment; seismic fragility curves are widely accepted as an essential tool of such efforts. Seismic fragility curves can be classified into four groups based on how they are derived: empirical, judgmental, analytical, and hybrid. Analytical fragility curves are the most widely used and can be further categorized into two subgroups, depending on whether an analytical function or simulation method is used. Although both methods have shown decent performances for many seismic fragility problems, they often oversimplify the given problems in reliability or structural analyses owing to their built-in assumptions. In this paper, a new method is proposed for the development of seismic fragility curves. Integration with sophisticated software packages for reliability analysis (FERUM) and structural analysis (ZEUS-NL) allows the new method to obtain more accurate seismic fragility curves for less computational cost. Because the proposed method performs reliability analysis using the first-order reliability method, it provides component probabilities as well as useful byproducts and allows further fragility analysis at the system level. The new method was applied to a numerical example of a 2D frame structure, and the results were compared with those by Monte Carlo simulation. The method was found to generate seismic fragility curves more accurately and efficiently. Also, the effect of system reliability analysis on the development of seismic fragility curves was investigated using the given numerical example and its necessity was discussed.

• 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.175-182
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• 2008

지진에 대한 구조물의 위험도를 해석하는 경우, 여러 위험 단계에 대한 구조물의 취약도를 확인할 필요가 있다. 그리고, 교량과 같은 구조물은 지진에 저항하는 능력을 가져야하므로, 지진 격리장치가 있는 경우와 없는 경우에 대해 지진에 대한 손상 해석을 할 필요가 있다. 본 논문에서는 지진의 영향으로 최대지반가속도(PGA), 최대지반속도(PGV), 스펙트럼가속도(SA), 스펙트럼속도(SV), 스펙트럼강도(SI) 등의 특성을 고려하여, 내진 능력을 확보하기 위하여 납면진 받침을 갖는 교량의 손상도 곡선을 구하고, 탄성계수의 변화에 따른 이들 손상도 곡선의 안정성을 평가하였다.

• 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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• 제13권2호통권54호
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• pp.145-152
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• 2009

지진에 대한 구조물의 위험도를 해석하는 경우, 여러 위험 단계에 대한 구조물의 취약도 또는 손상도를 확인할 필요가 있다. 그리고, 교량과 같은 구조물은 지진에 저항하는 능력을 가져야하므로, 지진 격리장치가 있는 경우와 없는 경우에 대해 지진에 대한 손상 해석을 할 필요가 있다. 본 논문에서는 지진의 영향으로 최대지반가속도(PGA), 최대지반속도(PGV), 스펙트럼가속도(SA), 스펙트럼속도(SV), 스펙트럼강도(SI) 등의 특성을 고려하여, 납면진 받침을 갖는 교량의 손상도 곡선을 구하고, 입력 지진의 변화에 따른 이들 손상도 곡선의 안정성을 평가하였다.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제18권2호
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• pp.249-261
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• 2020

Seismic loss estimation studies require fragility curves which are usually derived using ground motion datasets. Ground motion records can be either in the form of recorded or simulated time histories compatible with regional seismicity. The main purpose of this study is to investigate the use of alternative ground motion datasets (simulated and real) on the fragility curves. Simulated dataset is prepared considering regional seismicity parameters corresponding to Erzincan using the stochastic finite-fault technique. In addition, regionally compatible records are chosen from the NGA-West2 ground motion database to form the real dataset. The paper additionally studies the effects of hazard variability and two different fragility curve derivation approaches on the generated fragility curves. As the final step for verification purposes, damage states estimated for the fragility curves derived using alternative approaches are compared with the observed damage levels from the 1992 Erzincan (Turkey) earthquake (Mw=6.6). In order to accomplish all these steps, a set of representative masonry buildings from Erzincan region are analyzed using simplified structural models. The results reveal that regionally simulated ground motions can be used alternatively in fragility analyses and damage estimation studies.

• Advances in concrete construction
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.183-189
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• 2019

In this study, it has been tried to prepare an analytical fragility curves for isolated straight continues highway bridges by considering different spectral intensity measures. A three-span concrete isolated bridge has been selected and the seismic performance of the bridge has been improved by Lead Rubber Bearing (LRB). Incremental Dynamic Analysis (IDA) is applied to the bridge in longitudinal direction. A suite of 14 earthquake ground motions from medium to sever motions are scaled and used for nonlinear time history analysis. Fragility function considers the relationship of earthquake intensity measures (IM) and probability of exceeding certain Damage State (DS). A full three dimensional finite element model of the isolated bridge has been developed and analyzed. A wide range of different intensity measures are selected and the optimal intensity measure which has the less dispersion is proposed.

• Computers and Concrete
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.99-123
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• 2015

In this study, structural vulnerability of reinforced concrete moment resisting frames (RC-MRFs) by considering the Iran-specific characteristics is investigated to manage the earthquake risk in terms of multicomponent seismic excitations. Low and medium rise RC-MRFs, which constitute approximately 80-90% of the total buildings stock in Iran, are focused in this fragility-based assessment. The seismic design of 3-12 story RC-MRFs are carried out according to the Iranian Code of Practice for Seismic Resistant Design of Buildings (Standard No. 2800), and the analytical models are formed accordingly in open source nonlinear platforms. Frame structures are categorized in three subclasses according to the specific characteristics of construction practice and the observed seismic performance after major earthquakes in Iran. Both far and near fields' ground motions have been considered in the fragility estimation. An optimal intensity measure (IM) called Sa, avg and beta probability distribution were used to obtain reliable fragility-based database for earthquake damage and loss estimation of RC buildings stock in urban areas of Iran. Nonlinear incremental dynamic analyses by means of lumped-parameter based structural models have been simulated and performed to extract the fragility curves. Approximate confidence bounds are developed to represent the epistemic uncertainties inherent in the fragility estimations. Consequently, it's shown that including vertical ground motion in the analysis is highly recommended for reliable seismic assessment of RC buildings.

• 한국지진공학회논문집
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• 제7권5호
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• pp.75-83
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• 2003

본 연구의 궁극적인 목표는 콘크리트 교량의 교각을 Steel Jacket으로 보강한 효과를 정량적으로 산정함으로써, 지진 발생시 도로/교통 시스템의 역할을 평가할 수 있는 자료를 제공하는 데에 있다. Steel Jacket으로 보강 시, 교각의 연성능력이 어느 정도 증가되는지, 또 그로 인해 교량의 취약 상태가 어느 정도 개선되는지를 취약도 곡선을 통하여 나타내었다. 본 연구에서 해석적으로 구한 취약도 곡선이, 과거 지진 발생시 수집된 손상 자료를 이용하여 작성된 보강이 안된 교량의 취약도 곡선을 보정하는데 사용하였다. 그 보정은 Steel Jacket 보강 전과 후의 취약도 곡선상의 중간 값들을 비교해 그 증가분 만큼을 반영하는 방식으로 수행되었다.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제19권5호
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• pp.379-393
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• 2020

The purpose of this study is to first evaluate the seismic behavior of ageing arch bridges by using the Intensity Measure - based demand and DCFD format, which is referred to as the fragility-hazard format. Then, an investigation is performed for their seismic vulnerability. Analytical models are created for bridges concerning different features and these models are subjected to Incremental Dynamic Analysis (IDA) analysis using a set of 22 earthquake records. The hazard curve and results of IDA analysis are employed to evaluate the return period of exceeding the limit states in the IM-based probabilistic performance-based context. Subsequently, the fragility-hazard format is used to assess factored demand, factored capacity, and the ratio of the factored demand to the factored capacity of the models with respect to different performance objectives. Finally, the vulnerability curves are obtained for the investigated bridges in terms of the loss ratio. The results revealed that decreasing the span length of the unreinforced arch bridges leads to the increase in the return period of exceeding various limit states and factored capacity and decrease in the displacement demand, the probability of failure, the factored demand, as well as the factored demand to factored capacity ratios, loss ratio, and seismic vulnerability. Finally, it is derived that the probability of the need for rehabilitation increases by an increase in the span length of the models.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제66권1호
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• pp.75-84
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• 2018

This study presents the reliability-based analysis of nonlinear structures using the analytical fragility curves excited by random earthquake loads. The stochastic method of ground motion simulation is combined with the random vibration theory to compute structural failure probability. The formulation of structural failure probability using random vibration theory, based on only the frequency information of the excitation, provides an important basis for structural analysis in places where there is a lack of sufficient recorded ground motions. The importance of frequency content of ground motions on probability of structural failure is studied for different levels of the nonlinear behavior of structures. The set of simulated ground motion for this study is based on the results of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. It is demonstrated that the scenario events identified by the seismic risk differ from those obtained by the disaggregation of seismic hazard. The validity of the presented procedure is evaluated by Monte-Carlo simulation.