• Title/Summary/Keyword: analytic reasoning

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Evaluating the effectiveness of ERS for vessel oil spills using fuzzy evidential reasoning

  • Wang, H.Y.;Ren, J.;Yang, J.Q.;Wang, J.
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.161-179
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    • 2015
  • An emergency response system (ERS) for vessel oil spills is a complex and dynamic system comprising a number of subsystems and activities. Failures may occur during the emergency response operations, this has negative impacts on the effectiveness of the ERS. Of the classes of problems in analyzing failures, the lack of quantitative data is fundamental. In fact, most of the empirical data collected via questionnaire survey is subjective in nature and is inevitably associated with uncertainties caused by the human being's inability to provide complete judgement. In addition, incomplete information and/or vagueness of the meaning about the failures add difficulties in evaluating the effectiveness of the system. Therefore this paper proposes a framework to evaluate the ERS effectiveness by using the combination of fuzzy reasoning and evidential synthesis approaches. Based on analyzing the procedure of ERS for oil spills, the failures in the system could be identified, using Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)to determine the relative weight of identified failures. Fuzzy reasoning combined with evidential synthesis is applied to evaluate the effectiveness of ERS for oil spills under uncertainties last. The proposed method is capable of dealing with uncertainties in data including ignorance and vagueness which traditional methods cannot effectively handle. A case study is used to illustrate the application of the proposed method.

The Effect of Good and Bad Luck on Reasoning (행운과 불운이 추론에 미치는 효과)

  • Lee, Byung-Kwan;Lee, Guk-Hee
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2014
  • Good and bad luck is an important factor that frequently affects human information processing. However, in spite of its significance, few studies have been done to examine how good and bad luck influences information processing and reasoning. The current research was performed to explore the effect of good and bad luck on reasoning and, for this, two experiments were conducted. In experiment 1, participants were primed with good or bad luck and were asked to make an inference for a given murder case and include as many as clues for it, while in experiment 2, participants were asked to exclude as many as clues for the same murder case. Results show that, in experiment 1, participants who were primed with good luck included more clues than those who were primed with bad luck. However, in Experiment 2, it was found that participants who were primed with bad luck excluded more clues than those who were primed with good luck. Findings from this study indicate that priming good luck enhances holistic thinking which leads to including more and excluding less clues whereas priming bad luck increases analytic thinking which leads to including less and excluding more clues. Implications of this study for inference and decision making, consumer behavior, and addict psychology are discussed.

A Fundamental Study for 8 Constitution Medicine Diagnosis Expert System Development (8체질(體質) 진단(診斷) 전문가(專門家) 시스템 개발을 위한 기초연구(基礎硏究))

  • Shin, Yong-Sup;Park, Young-Bae;Park, Young-Jae;Kim, Min-Yong;Lee, Sang-Chul;Oh, Hwan-Sup
    • The Journal of the Society of Korean Medicine Diagnostics
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.25-47
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    • 2007
  • Background and Purpose: There was seldom study about method that diagnose 8 Constitution beside method of pulse diagnosis in 8 Constitution Medicine. Objectives: This study is to make out check list for 8 Constitution Medicine Diagnosis Expert System Development used CBR(Case based Reasoning). Methods: Review of literatures about special quality element of 8 Constitution and supplement learning advice of 8 Constitution Medicine Experts constructed knowledge base. And then, knowledge base divided through AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process), and made out check list with this. Results: Knowledge base based on special quality element of 8 Constitution was divided by 5 greate classification and 25 bisection kind, and check list consisted of 251 item was made out through this. Conclusion: Based on this research, cases necessary to make 8 Constitution Medicine Diagnosis Expert System can be gathered through check list, and further study for 8 Constitution Medicine Diagnosis Expert System Development used CBR(Case based Reasoning) is needed to supplement this research.

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The National of Proof and the Improvement of Proof Education - In the Perspective on the Philosophy of Mathematics - (증명의 수리철학적 분석과 지도 방향 탐색)

  • 나귀수
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.351-364
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    • 1998
  • This thesis analyzes the nature of proof in the perspective on the philosophy of mathematics. such as absolutism, quasi-empiricism and social constructivism. And this thesis searches for the improvement of teaching proof in the light of the result of those analyses of the nature of proof. Though the analyses of the nature of proof in the perspective on the philosophy of mathematics, it is revealed that proof is a dynamic reasoning process unifying the way of analytical thought and the way of synthetical thought, and plays remarkably important roles such as justification, discovery and conviction. Hence we should teach proof as a dynamic reasoning process unifying the way of analytic thought and the way of synthetic thought, avoiding the mistake of dealing with proof as a unilaterally synthetic method. At the same time, we should make students have the needs of proof in a natural way by providing them with the contexts of both justification and discovery simultaneously. Finally, we should introduce the aspect of proof that can be represented as conviction, understanding, explanation and communication to school mathematics.

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Emotion Modeling for Emotion-based Personalization Service

  • Kim, Tae Yeun;Bae, Sang Hyun
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 2020
  • This study suggests the emotion space modeling and emotion inference methods suitable for personalized services based on psychological and emotional models. For personalized emotion space modeling taking into account the subjective disposition based on the empirical assessment of the personal emotions felt by the personalization process of emotion space was used as a decision support tool, the Analytic Hierarchy Process. This confirmed that the special learning to perform personalized emotion space modeling without considering the subjective tendencies. In particular to check the possible reasoning based on fuzzy emotion space modeling and sensitivity for the quantification and vague human emotion to it based on the inherent human sensitivity.

Improving Weighted k Nearest Neighbor Classification Through The Analytic Hierarchy Process Aiding

  • Park, Cheol-Soo;Ingoo Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Database Society Conference
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    • 1999.06a
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    • pp.187-194
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    • 1999
  • Case-Based Reasoning(CBR) systems support ill structured decision-making. The measure of the success of a CBR system depends on its ability to retrieve the most relevant previous cases in support of the solution of a new case. One of the methodologies widely used in existing CBR systems to retrieve previous cases is that of the Nearest Neighbor(NN) matching function. The NN matching function is based on assumptions of the independence of attributes in previous case and the availability of rules and procedures for matching.(omitted)

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Visual servoing by a fuzzy reasoning method (퍼지추론에 의한 시각적 구동방법)

  • 김태원;서일홍;오상록
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1991.10a
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    • pp.984-989
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    • 1991
  • In this paper, a novel type of a visual servoing method is proposed for eye-in-hand robots by employing a self-organizing fuzzy controller. For this is there defined a new Jacobian riot to be the function of a relative position of the object but to be a function of the only image features. Instead of obtaining an analytic form of the proposed Jacobian, a self-organizing fuzzy controller is then proposed to alleviate difficulties in real-time implementation. To show the validities, the proposed method is applied to a 2-dimensional visual servoing task.

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A Study on Fuzzy Traffic Signal control using Analytic Hierarchy Process (계층분석 방법을 이용한 퍼지 교통 신호 제어에 관한연구)

  • 이상훈
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.83-93
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    • 2000
  • This paper proposes the use of the analytic hierarchy process(AHP) controller for obtaining optimal cycle time of traffic intersection signal. By means of simulations that have data from expert traffic estimators, the performance of AHP controller is compared with a fixed-time controller and fuzzy controller. A simulation was executed using data obtained from many expert interviewer of Ansan City hall rotary. The principal issue is how AHP controller algorithm can aid traffic signal supervisor to construct an expert system for traffic intersection signal control. This paper has two steps: (I) we shall present a new methodology based on the work of Satty for calculating a scale of importance of each of the objectives, (2) we also consider that the human's decision mechanism is represented by approximating reasoning where the fuzzy integral is used.

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The Effect of task-irrelevant affective priming on belief-bias (과제 무관련 정서 점화가 신념편향에 미치는 영향)

  • Hong, Youngji;Woo, Hyunjung;Lee, Yoonhyoung
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.43-64
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of the current study is to investigate how task-irrelevant affective priming affects higher cognitive function. In the study, we selected prime stimuli from International Affective Picture System(IAPS) and examined if they influence participants' performance of syllogistic reasoning task when they are task-irrelevant. In Experiment 1, arousal of IAPS stimuli was controlled while valence of the stimuli was manipulated. In Experiment 2, valence of IAPS stimuli was controlled while arousal of stimuli was manipulated. In both experiments, task-irrelevant affective primes were followed by syllogistic reasoning tasks consisting of three sentences and measured accuracies of task performance. The results showed that valence of affective prime affected logical validity of reasoning and belief-bias whereas arousal of affective primes did not yield any difference. That is, positive valence facilitated logical and analytic processing by reducing belief-bias while arousal did not affect reasoning task performance. These results suggest that dimensions of valence and arousal independently influence higher cognitive function.

A Study for 8 Constitution Medicine Diagnosis Expert System Development(2) (8체질 진단을 위한 전문가 시스템 개발에 관한 연구(2))

  • Shin, Yong-Sup;Park, Young-Bae;Park, Young-Jae;Kim, Min-Yong;Lee, Sang-Chul;Oh, Hwan-Sup
    • The Journal of the Society of Korean Medicine Diagnostics
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.107-126
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    • 2008
  • Background : There was seldom study about method that diagnose 8 Constitution beside method of pulse diagnosis in 8 Constitution Medicine. Objectives : This study is to make out 8 Constitution Medicine Diagnosis Expert System Development used CBR(Case based Reasoning). Methods : First, at case base construction process we constructed case base for CBR embodiment because gathering 925 cases all to patient who constitution is verified, and second, at study model establishment process superior expert system development by purpose CBR of reasoning process dividing fundamental type CBR that spend basis data value and expert type CBR that reflect weight in basis data value accordin I II III to advice expert opinion, and third, system embodiment process explained about way to give process and weight that diagnose constitution through Nearest Neighbor Method sampling process of CBR techniques, and fourth, at system estimation process we selected superior CBR model because comparing and estimate the diagnosis rate of expert system with fundamental type system (GECBR) model and expert type I II III CBR system (AVCBR, AACBR, AGCBR) model that reflect expert opinion in fundamental type system. GECBR and AGCBR chose on superior study model. Through such 4 study process, we developed 8 constitution diagnosis expert system lastly. Results : 1. When we select GECBR that is fundamental type by reasoning system, diagnosis rate 78.91% of 8 constitution diagnosis expert system is expected, and the constitution diagnosis rate Hepatonia 90.4%, Cholecystonia 63.0%, Pancreotonia 91.1%, Gastrotonia 0%, Pulmotonia 71.2%, Colonotonia 74.4%, Renotonia 37.5%, Vesicotonia 67.1% expect. 2. When we select AGCBR that is expert type III by reasoning system, diagnosis rate 77.51% of 8 constitution diagnosis expert system is expected, and the constitution diagnosis rate Hepatonia 93.4%, Cholecystonia 58.5%, Pancreotonia 91.1%, Gastrotonia 0%, Pulmotonia 73.1%, Colonotonia 64.4%, Renotonia 41.7%, Vesicotonia 72.2% expect. Conclusion : Based on this study, 8 constitution diagnosis expert system may give help to diagnose 8 constitution, and it is going to utilize as objective estimation tool of 8 constitution diagnosis, and further study for 8 Constitution Medicine Diagnosis Expert System Development used CBR(Case based Reasoning) is needed to supplement this study.

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