• Title/Summary/Keyword: analysis and modeling

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Quantifying nitrogen source contribution ratios using stable isotope method: Application of Bayesian mixing model (안정동위원소를 이용한 하천에서의 질소오염원 기여율 정량화: Bayesian 혼합모델의 적용)

  • Nam, Tae-Hui;Ryu, Hui-Seoung;Kang, Tae-Woo;Han, Yeong-un;Kim, Jihyun;Lee, Kyounghee;Hwang, Soonhong;Kim, Kyunghyun
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.510-519
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    • 2019
  • The 'Stable Isotope Analysis in R' (SIAR), one of the Bayesian mixing models for stable isotopes, has been proven to be useful for source apportionment of nitrates in rivers. In this study, the contribution ratios of nitrate sources were quantified by using the SIAR based on nitrogen and oxygen stable isotope measurements in the Yeongsan River. From the measurements, it was found that the values of δ15N-NO3 and δ18O-NO3 ranged from -8.2 ‰ to +13.4 ‰ and from +2.2 ‰ to +9.8 ‰, respectively. We further analyzed the contribution ratios of the five nitrate sources by using the SIAR. From the modeling results, the main nitrate source was found to be soil N (29.3 %), followed by sewage (26.7 %), manure (19.6 %), chemical fertilizer (17.9 %) and precipitation (6.3 %). From the results, it was found that the anthropogenic sources, i.e., sewage, manure and chemical fertilizer contribute 64.2% of the total nitrate inflow from the watershed. Due to the significant correlation of δ15N-NO3 and lnNO3- in this study, the fractionation factors reflecting the biogeochemical processes of stable isotope ratios could be directly obtained. This may make the contribution ratios obtained in this study more precise. The fractionation factors were identified as +3.64 ± 0.91 ‰ for δ15N-NO3 (p<0.01) and -5.67 ± 1.73 ‰ for δ18O-NO3(p<0.01), respectively, and were applied in using the SIAR. The study showed that the stable isotope method using the SIAR could be applied to quantitatively calculate the contribution ratios of nitrate sources in the Yeongsan River.

Parameter estimations to improve urban planning area runoff prediction accuracy using Stormwater Management Model (SWMM) (SWMM을 이용한 도시계획지역 유출량 예측 정확도 향상을 위한 매개변수 산정)

  • Koo, Young Min;Seo, Dongil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.5
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    • pp.303-313
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    • 2017
  • In environmental impact assessments for large urban development projects, the Korean government requires analysis of stormwater runoff before, during and after the projects. Though hydrological models are widely used to analyze and prepare for surface runoff during storm events, accuracy of the predicted results have been in question due to limited amount of field data for model calibrations. Intensive field measurements have been made for storm events between July 2015 and July 2016 at a sub-basin of the Gwanpyung-cheon, Daejeon, Republic of Korea using an automatic monitoring system and also additional manual measurements. Continuous precipitation and surface runoff data used for utilization of SWMM model to predict surface runoff during storm events with improved accuracy. The optimal values for Manning's roughness coefficient and values for depression storage were estimated for pervious and impervious surfaces using three representative infiltration methods; the Curve Number Methods, the Horton's Method and the Green-Ampt Methods. The results of the research is expected to be used more efficiently for urban development projects in Korea.

A joint modeling of longitudinal zero-inflated count data and time to event data (경시적 영과잉 가산자료와 생존자료의 결합모형)

  • Kim, Donguk;Chun, Jihun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.1459-1473
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    • 2016
  • Both longitudinal data and survival data are collected simultaneously in longitudinal data which are observed throughout the passage of time. In this case, the effect of the independent variable becomes biased (provided that sole use of longitudinal data analysis does not consider the relation between both data used) if the missing that occurred in the longitudinal data is non-ignorable because it is caused by a correlation with the survival data. A joint model of longitudinal data and survival data was studied as a solution for such problem in order to obtain an unbiased result by considering the survival model for the cause of missing. In this paper, a joint model of the longitudinal zero-inflated count data and survival data is studied by replacing the longitudinal part with zero-inflated count data. A hurdle model and proportional hazards model were used for each longitudinal zero inflated count data and survival data; in addition, both sub-models were linked based on the assumption that the random effect of sub-models follow the multivariate normal distribution. We used the EM algorithm for the maximum likelihood estimator of parameters and estimated standard errors of parameters were calculated using the profile likelihood method. In simulation, we observed a better performance of the joint model in bias and coverage probability compared to the separate model.

Business Process Model for Progress Phase of Design-Build Project (설계시공일괄방식 사업의 진행단계별 업무프로세스 모델)

  • Song, Young-Woong;Son, Bo-Sik;Chun, Jae-Youl;Choi, Yoon-Ki
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.38-49
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    • 2009
  • In public project market, design-build projects have been increased because of market trend change which enables technical competition. In this condition, its importance is also getting important. Generally, life cycle of design-build project consists of planning, preliminary design, procurement, contract, detail design, start of construction, construction, end of construction, and evaluation. From contractor's viewpoint, it has problems such as difficulties in project management and information sharing because of frequent change of charged division. To solve these problems, it is desirable to change from function-based management system to process-based management system. The purpose of this study is to develop management process model for design-build project by progress phases. This study analyzed main conflicts and decision making factors of each stage in design-build projects, then systemized management subjects' responsibilities and management points' change. And also this study defined the key information that is the key point by project characteristics and progress phases. Based on this analysis, this study did business process modeling from planning stage to construction design check stage. At last, we proposed the way to manage business process by design-build project progress.

Precision Validation of Electromagnetic Physics in Geant4 Simulation for Proton Therapy (양성자 치료 전산모사를 위한 Geant4 전자기 물리 모델 정확성 검증)

  • Park, So-Hyun;Rah, Jeong-Eun;Shin, Jung-Wook;Park, Sung-Yong;Yoon, Sei-Chul;Jung, Won-Gyun;Suh, Tae-Suk
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.225-234
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    • 2009
  • Geant4 (GEometry ANd Tracking) provides various packages specialized in modeling electromagnetic interactions. The validation of Geant4 physics models is a significant issue for the applications of Geant4 based simulation in medical physics. The purpose of this study is to evaluate accuracy of Geant4 electromagnetic physics for proton therapy. The validation was performed both the Continuous slowing down approximation (CSDA) range and the stopping power. In each test, the reliability of the electromagnetic models in a selected group of materials was evaluated such as water, bone, adipose tissue and various atomic elements. Results of Geant4 simulation were compared with the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) reference data. As results of comparison about water, bone and adipose tissue, average percent difference of CSDA range were presented 1.0%, 1.4% and 1.4%, respectively. Average percent difference of stopping power were presented 0.7%, 1.0% and 1.3%, respectively. The data were analyzed through the kolmogorov-smirnov Goodness-of-Fit statistical analysis test. All the results from electromagnetic models showed a good agreement with the reference data, where all the corresponding p-values are higher than the confidence level $\alpha=0.05$ set.

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Modeling Traffic Accident Occurrence Involving Child Pedestrians at School Zone (공간적 특성을 고려한 어린이 교통사고 모형 개발)

  • BEAK, Tea Hun;Son, Seulki;PARK, Byung Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.489-498
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is to develop road traffic accident model involving child pedestrian especially at school zones and its surrounding area. The analysis is based upon traffic accident data collected near sixty elementary schools in City of Cheongju during 2012 and 2014. This study results in two statistical models ; one is to predict the number of road traffic accidents involving children, and the other is to predict EPDO(Equivalent Prperty Damage Only). These models are represented as Poisson models. which are statistically significant with the likelihood ratios of 0.533 and 0.273. The common explanatory variables of these models are the ratio of road section with more than 4 lanes, the number of entrance and exit, the number of signalized crosswalk in school zone, the number of school zone signage including road surface marking, and the number of speed limit signs. The specific variables are the length of road stretch in school zone, the number of reflector mirrors, and the number of signalized crosswalk outside school zone. It is concluded that these types of road safety facilities can reduce the number of traffic accidents involving children at school zones and its surrounding area.

Analysis of the Behavior of Tubular-Type Equipment for Nuclear Waste Treatment : Sensitivities of the Parameters Affecting Mass Transfer Yield (방사성폐기물의 화학처리공정에 사용되는 유동관식 장치의 해석 : 물질전달 수율에 미치는 매개변수들의 민감도)

  • Yoo, Jae-Hyung;Lee, Byung-Jik;Shim, Joon-Bo;Kim, Eung-Ho
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.91-99
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    • 2007
  • It was intended in this study to investigate the effects of various parameters on the chemical reaction or mass transfer yield in a tubular-type nuclear waste treatment equipment. Since such equipments, as a tubular reactor, multistage solvent extractor, and adsorption column, accompany chemical reaction or mass transfer along the fluid-flowing direction, mathematical modeling for each equipment was carried out first. Then their behaviors of the chemical reaction or mass transfer were predicted through computer simulations. The inherent major parameters for each equipment were chosen and their sensitivities. affecting the reaction or mass transfer yield were analyzed. For the tubular reactor, the effects of axial diffusion coefficient and reaction rate constant on the reaction yield were investigated. As for the multistage solvent extractor, the backmixing of continuous phase and the distribution coefficient between fluid and solvent were considered as the major parameters affecting the extraction yield as well as concentration profiles throughout the axial direction of the extractor. For the adsorption column, the equilibrium constant between fluid and adsorbent surface, and the overall mass transfer coefficient between the two phases were taken as the major factors that affect the adsorption rate.

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Voice Activity Detection using Motion and Variation of Intensity in The Mouth Region (입술 영역의 움직임과 밝기 변화를 이용한 음성구간 검출 알고리즘 개발)

  • Kim, Gi-Bak;Ryu, Je-Woong;Cho, Nam-Ik
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.519-528
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    • 2012
  • Voice activity detection (VAD) is generally conducted by extracting features from the acoustic signal and a decision rule. The performance of such VAD algorithms driven by the input acoustic signal highly depends on the acoustic noise. When video signals are available as well, the performance of VAD can be enhanced by using the visual information which is not affected by the acoustic noise. Previous visual VAD algorithms usually use single visual feature to detect the lip activity, such as active appearance models, optical flow or intensity variation. Based on the analysis of the weakness of each feature, we propose to combine intensity change measure and the optical flow in the mouth region, which can compensate for each other's weakness. In order to minimize the computational complexity, we develop simple measures that avoid statistical estimation or modeling. Specifically, the optical flow is the averaged motion vector of some grid regions and the intensity variation is detected by simple thresholding. To extract the mouth region, we propose a simple algorithm which first detects two eyes and uses the profile of intensity to detect the center of mouth. Experiments show that the proposed combination of two simple measures show higher detection rates for the given false positive rate than the methods that use a single feature.

Design of Sliding Mode Fuzzy Controller for Vibration Reduction of Large Structures (대형구조물의 진동 감소를 위한 슬라이딩 모드 퍼지 제어기의 설계)

  • 윤정방;김상범
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.63-74
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    • 1999
  • A sliding mode fuzzy control (SMFC) algorithm is presented for vibration of large structures. Rule-base of the fuzzy inference engine is constructed based on the sliding mode control, which is one of the nonlinear control algorithms. Fuzziness of the controller makes the control system robust against the uncertainties in the system parameters and the input excitation. Non-linearity of the control rule makes the controller more effective than linear controllers. Design procedure based on the present fuzzy control is more convenient than those of the conventional algorithms based on complex mathematical analysis, such as linear quadratic regulator and sliding mode control(SMC). Robustness of presented controller is illustrated by examining the loop transfer function. For verification of the present algorithm, a numerical study is carried out on the benchmark problem initiated by the ASCE Committee on Structural Control. To achieve a high level of realism, various aspects are considered such as actuator-structure interaction, modeling error, sensor noise, actuator time delay, precision of the A/D and D/A converters, magnitude of control force, and order of control model. Performance of the SMFC is examined in comparison with those of other control algorithms such as $H_{mixed 2/{\infty}}$ optimal polynomial control, neural networks control, and SMC, which were reported by other researchers. The results indicate that the present SMFC is an efficient and attractive control method, since the vibration responses of the structure can be reduced very effectively and the design procedure is simple and convenient.

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Implementation of the mobility for Location Searching in Broadband Intelligence Wireless ATM Networks (광대역 지능 무선 ATM 망에서 위치 탐색을 위한 이동성 구현)

  • 정운석;박광채
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.461-467
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    • 2003
  • This paper proposes the method of mobility implementation for location searching in the intelligence wireless ATM networks that expand and apply standard broadband signaling capabilities, and analyze the performance based on the numerical algorithm. The existing B-ISDN UNI protocol stack demands the location search mechanism to determine the location of mobile terminal in the wireless ATM networks because it use single protocol through the fixed PTP interface or PTM interface that don't support terminal mobility. The proposed method make possible the dynamic mobility at a part of wireless access by minimizing the signaling load without a falling-off in system performance by using the intelligence network technology according to the expansion of ATM and B-ISDN signaling integration based on the fixed networks. We implemented the performance analysis by MFC modeling based on numerical algorithm, and realized the efficiency of expenses by carrying out the comparative signaling performance evaluation to measure the relative gains of location search service in the intelligence wireless ATM system. The obtained results have the flexibility to operate in the public B-ISDN network environment without a change of existing B-ISDN/ATM NNI signaling reference to support the wireless ATM access system, and can easily expand to correspond to terminal mobility and various multimedia services in the next broadband PCS.