• Title/Summary/Keyword: almost causal

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ALMOST CAUSAL STRUCTURE IN SPACE-TIMES

  • Park, Jong-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.257-264
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    • 1997
  • We shall introduce the concept of almost causality condition. By defining the almost causality condition we would like to examine the relationship between Woodhouse's causality principle and other known causality conditions. We show that a series of causality conditions can be characterized by using the almost causality condition.

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Inferring the Causal Relationship between Three Events (세 사건간의 인과관계 판단)

  • Do, Kyung-Soo;Choi, Jae-Hyuk
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.47-75
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    • 2010
  • Two experiments were conducted to explore whether the Or structure works as a default causal model in inferring the causal structure from the contingency data. The contingencies of three unfamiliar variables were used in Experiment 1. Participants inferred the Or structure quite well from the OR data, but incorrectly inferred the Or structure from the And data for about a little less than half of the time, and almost always inferred the Or structure from the chain data. The results suggested that the Or interpretation can be the default causal model. The prevalence of the Or interpretation from the contingency data was reported even when the three variables were familiar ones in Experiment 2. Multinomial modeling performed on the results of the two experiments strongly suggested that the Or interpretation work as a default causal model.

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Exploration of errors in variance caused by using the first-order approximation in Mendelian randomization

  • Kim, Hakin;Kim, Kunhee;Han, Buhm
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.9.1-9.6
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    • 2022
  • Mendelian randomization (MR) uses genetic variation as a natural experiment to investigate the causal effects of modifiable risk factors (exposures) on outcomes. Two-sample Mendelian randomization (2SMR) is widely used to measure causal effects between exposures and outcomes via genome-wide association studies. 2SMR can increase statistical power by utilizing summary statistics from large consortia such as the UK Biobank. However, the first-order term approximation of standard error is commonly used when applying 2SMR. This approximation can underestimate the variance of causal effects in MR, which can lead to an increased false-positive rate. An alternative is to use the second-order approximation of the standard error, which can considerably correct for the deviation of the first-order approximation. In this study, we simulated MR to show the degree to which the first-order approximation underestimates the variance. We show that depending on the specific situation, the first-order approximation can underestimate the variance almost by half when compared to the true variance, whereas the second-order approximation is robust and accurate.

Population Ageing Crisis and Causal loop Analysis on the It's Dynamics in Rural County Regions (우리나라 군지역의 고령화 위기와 동태성의 인과순환적 구조분석)

  • Choi, Nam Hee;Lee, Jong Kun;Kim, Keun Sei;Lee, Myung Suk
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.75-96
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    • 2014
  • This research primarily aims at analyzing major crises originating from marginalizing population, especially in counties. In addition, based on the system dynamics approaches, it pays attention to divulging causal loop structure which has been rather strengthened by diverse interactions among key variables. Judging from simulation works, even though Korea is exposed to unprecedented aging trends over decades, its counter response seems inadequate and insufficient, mostly dismissing a series of impact embedded in the aging dynamics. This research statistically confirms that demographic marginalization trends have already begun in the villages within Eup and Myon counties. Furthermore, this research pinpoints out the fact that it would be almost impossible for majority of villages within Eup and Myon counties to escape from going out of existence in the course of time, as they tend to be entrapped vicious cycle of marginalization or extinction.

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An Analysis of Effective Variables on Clothing Wear Comfort Using Linear Structural Equation (선형구조방정식을 이용한 의복착용쾌적감 영향요인 분석)

  • 이은주;조정숙;이정주;최종명;조길수
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Emotion and Sensibility Conference
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    • 1997.11a
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    • pp.47-52
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    • 1997
  • This study was carried out to investigate effects of fabric properties and the changes of microclimates on comfort sensations and to identify effective varuables on clothing wear comfort sensations. A wied range of nontreated and functionally treated woven fabrics, knits, and nonwoven fabrics and test garments made of them were used as specimens. Linear structural equation was used to analyze causal relation among the variables on a path diagram. The results were as follows: 1. Almost of causal relations among variables were significant excdpt the effects of fabric properties including air permeability and water-vapor permebility on the changes of microclimate temperature. 2. Fabric properties were most effective variables on clothing wear comfort sensations including thermal sensation, subjeceive wettedness, and overall comfort and therefore comfort sensations and fabric properties were identified for improving clothing comfort.

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Effects of Objective, Subjective variables on the household economic well-being (가정경제복지에 대한 객관적, 주관적 평가 변인의 영향력)

  • 고보선
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.269-280
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    • 1995
  • This study focused on examining the effects of Objective, Subjective variables on the household economic well-being. Data were collected from 254 financial managers in Seoul. City. Results show that the Causal model supported hypothesis. Almost of the hypothesis were supported and Perceived adequacy of resources variable was mediated between Input variables and Satisfaction with financial situation variable. The present study implicated that this model apply to family resource management research.

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A Dynamic Analysis and Simulation Modeling of Corporate Growth - A Telecommunication Carrier (H Company) Case - (동태적 기업성장 분석과 시뮬레이션 모델구축 - H통신사업자 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • 최남희;홍민기;전재호
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.5-42
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    • 2002
  • The main purpose of this paper is analyzing long-term growth possibility of a telecommunication Company (Telco) H. First of all, to achieve this purpose, the precise understanding about causal relations among growth and decay factors of Telco H is required. Based upon the causal analysis, a basic computer simulation model is developed. Finally, several predictive examinations about growth possibility and pattern of the Telco H are conducted using three scenarios. From simulation results, the most important policy leverages are capabilities of market share sustenance, improvement of service quality and squeezing current network facility to elevate profitability and efficiency. Recently, telecommunication industry has become more and more competitive due to introduction of Internet and deregulation. Internet has brought about global competition as well as confusion between telecommunication and broadcasting industries. At the almost same time, deregulation is a universal tendency and a catalyst of unlimited competition. Telco H has been a dominant company in Korea for last century. However, the dominant position of Telco H has been threatened by the change of competition environment. The competitive environment has many elements and keeps changing dynamically. Therefore, System Dynamics simulation methodology is adopted to examine the problem.

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Leaf Spot and Blight of Peony caused by Phytophthora cactorum

  • Kim, B.S.;Lim, Y.S.;Kim, J.H.
    • The Plant Pathology Journal
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.291-293
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    • 2003
  • Leaf spot and blight disease of tree peony (Paeonia suffruticosa Andr.) was found in an apartment garden in Daegu in May 2003 for the first time in Korea. The causal organism was identified as Phytophthora cactorum (Leb. And Cohn) Schroeter. The causal fungus was homothallic, and produced distinctively papillate, ovoid to subspherical, and caducous sporangia with pedicel. Sporangia that formed in water measured 23.4-42.9$\times$21.5-35.1 $\mu\textrm{m}$ in range with an average of 35.3$\pm$4.6${\times}$26.9$\pm$36.0 $\mu\textrm{m}$, I/b ratio=1.31, papillae approximately 3.7 $\mu\textrm{m}$ high, and pedicels 2.8 $\mu\textrm{m}$ long. Oogonia were spherical and 21.5-37.1 $\mu\textrm{m}$ in diameter with an average of 29.6$\pm$4.9 $\mu\textrm{m}$. Oospores were spherical, mostly plerotic, and light orange brown when mature, and measured 19.5-31.2 $\mu\textrm{m}$ in diameter with an average of 25.2$\pm$4.4 $\mu\textrm{m}$. Antheridia were almost ovoid or club-shaped and 1l.7-15.6$\times$9.8-11.7 $\mu\textrm{m}$ in size.

Alternative Urban Management Policies in the Depopulation Era (인구감소 시대의 도시관리 정책에 대한 동태적 분석)

  • Kim, Kwang-Ju;Song, Mi-Kyung;Jo, Byung-Seol;Lee, Man-Hyung
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.77-96
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    • 2010
  • Since the mid-1990s, Korea has recorded low population growth rate. Based on the figures provided by the Statistical Korea, Korea may be even confronted with decreasing trends in the total population at the end of 2010s. In addition, Korea may experience the hyper-aged society in the mid-2020s. In the depopulation era, we have to devise alternative urban management policies reflecting low and reversed trends in the urban population. It is almost certain that urban policy-makers have to deal with a new series of urban problems, even jeopardizing the continuity of urban territories. In order to minimize the negative impact derived from depopulated phenomena, they have to develop sound and sustainable urban policy alternatives. This research adopts system dynamics approaches, revealing key factors exerting significant impact on the existing urban management policies. In specific, it pays attention to major causal loops, reinforcing or balancing behavioral.

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Hong Kong Chinese Women's Lay Beliefs about Cervical Cancer Causation and Prevention

  • Wang, Linda Dong-Ling;Lam, Wendy Wing Tak;Wu, Joseph;Fielding, Richard
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.18
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    • pp.7679-7686
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    • 2014
  • Background: This study aimed to seek insights into Chinese women's lay beliefs about cervical cancer causal attributions and prevention. Materials and Methods: Twenty-three new immigrant adult women from Mainland China and thirty-five Hong Kong adult women underwent semi-structured in-depth interviews. Interviews were audio taped, transcribed and analyzed using a Grounded Theory approach. Results: This study generated three foci: causal beliefs about cervical cancer, perceived risk of cervical cancer, and beliefs about cervical cancer prevention. Personal risky practices, contaminated food and environment pollution were perceived as the primary causes of cervical cancer. New immigrant women more likely attributed cervical cancer to external factors. Most participants perceived cervical cancer as an important common fatal female cancer with increased risk/prevalence. Many participants, particularly new immigrant women participants, expressed helplessness about cervical cancer prevention due to lack of knowledge of prevention, it being perceived as beyond individual control. Many new immigrant participants had never undergone regular cervical screening while almost all Hong Kong participants had done so. Conclusions: Some Chinese women hold pessimistic beliefs about cervical cancer prevention with inadequate knowledge about risk factors. Future cervical cancer prevention programs should provide more information and include capacity building to increase Chinese women's knowledge and self-efficacy towards cervical cancer prevention.