• 제목/요약/키워드: age estimation

검색결과 821건 처리시간 0.023초

주요 수종 및 임상별 현실림의 재적생장량 곡선 추정 (Growth Curve Estimation of Stand Volume by Major Species and Forest Type on Actual Forest in Korea)

  • 윤준혁;배은지;손영모
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제110권4호
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    • pp.648-657
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구는 국가산림자원조사를 활용하여 임상별 및 주요 수종별 재적생장량을 추정하고, 연평균생장량(MAI)과 연년생장량(CAI) 등을 도출하여 벌기령을 제시하고자 수행하였다. 재적생장 추정을 위하여 Chapman-Richards 모델을 적용하였다. 도출된 임상별 재적추정식에서는 침엽수림이 가장 높은 생장을 하는 것으로 나타났다. 주요 수종별 추정식은 침엽수종(3종) 중에서는 일본잎갈나무가, 그리고 활엽수종(3종)에서는 굴참나무가 가장 높은 생장이 예측되었다. 그리고 이들 추정식은 적합도지수가 일본잎갈나무 0.32, 굴참나무가 0.21 등으로 대체적으로 낮게 나타났다. 그러나 재적 추정식의 적용 가능성을 알 수 있는 잔차도 분석에 있어서는, 일부 30년 이상의 임령에서 추정식의 추정치가 과소 추정되는 경향을 보였으나, 대부분 0을 중심으로 잔차가 고르게 분포하고 있었다. 따라서 이들 식이 우리나라 현실림의 수종들에 대한 재적을 추정할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 추정된 재적을 이용하여 연평균생장량을 계산한 결과, 침엽수림 중 중부지방 소나무 34년, 일본잎갈나무 35년, 리기다소나무 31년일 때 MAI가 최대시기에 도달하는 것으로 나타났다. 그리고 활엽수림에 있어서는 굴참나무 32년, 상수리나무 30년, 신갈나무 29년일 때가 최대시기임을 알 수 있었다. 또한 MAI와 CAI를 계산하여, 이들이 만나는 지점을 재적수확 최대 벌기령으로 결정하였다. 그 결과는 현재 산림청이 제시한 기준 벌기령과 큰 차이를 보이지 않아 정책자료로 활용이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

국내 산림탄소상쇄 운영표준 및 VCS 방법론에 따른 산림경영 사업의 산림탄소흡수량 차이 분석 - 벌기령 연장 사업 방법론을 중심으로 - (Analysis of Forest Carbon Offset Credits from Forest Management Project based on to the Korean Forest Carbon Offset Standard and the VCS Methodology - Case Study on the Methodology for Forest Management through Extension of Rotation Age -)

  • 김영환
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.369-375
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    • 2017
  • In this study, it was intended to compare the two methodologies for forest management project through extension of rotation age: Korean Forest Carbon Offset Standard (KFOS) and Verified Carbon Standard (VCS). The amount of carbon removals and offset credits based on the two methodologies and their trends were analyzed in this study. The major difference between two methodologies were found at the process of estimation of baseline carbon removals. For instance, average carbon stock during the project period was used for estimation of baseline carbon removals in KFOS, while average carbon stock change during the 100 years was used in VCS. Due to the different approach for estimation of baseline carbon removal, the estimated offset credits were also different according to the two methodologies. In this study, 15 project scenarios were considered for comparison of two methodologies : 5 major coniferous stands in Korea (Pinus densiflora in Gangwon region, Pinus densiflora in Central region, Pinus koraiensis, Larix leptolepis, Chamaecyparis obtusa) with 3 project periods (30, 35, 40 years). The results showed that estimated carbon offset credits based on the KFOS methodology were higher for all 15 scenarios compared to those based on the VCS methodology. The KFOS showed a steep decline in the annual offset credit as project period gets longer, thus it is not desirable for projects with longer period. VCS is more acceptable for longer projects with a small difference according to the project periods. The results also indicated that Pinus densiflora in Gangwon, Pinus koraiensis, and Larix leptolepis are more desirable species for forest management project through the extension of ration age.

Estimation of Gestational Age by Measurement of Deep Portion of Telencephalic Vesicle in Pekingese Fetus

  • Park, Jun-Tae;Park, Chul-Ho;Oh, Ki-Seok;Son, Chang-Ho
    • 한국수정란이식학회지
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.369-373
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    • 2014
  • This study was performed to establish a new parameter for estimating gestational age and predicting parturition day by ultrasonographic measurement of deep portion of telencephalic vesicle (DPTV) diameter in small dogs. Fetal head diameter (HD) and DPTV diameter were measured in 15 pregnant Pekingese bitches, from Day 15 to the parturition day, and evaluated the correlation between gestational age. HD was measured from day 29 of pregnancy to parturition day and increased from $4.9{\pm}2mm$ to $25.5{\pm}0.7mm$. Especially, from day 38 of pregnancy to parturition day, HD uniformly increased about 0.6 mm per day and was significantly and linearly relative to gestational age during this period ($r^2$ >0.99). DPTV diameter was measured from day 35 to day 60 of pregnancy and increased from $3.2{\pm}0.9mm$ to $11.5{\pm}0.7mm$. Especially from day 38 to day 60 of pregnancy, DPTV diameter uniformly increased about 1 mm per 3 days and was significantly and linearly relative to gestational age during this period ($r^2$ >0.99). In conclusion, DPTV diameter could to be a useful parameter for the estimation of gestational age and the prediction of parturition day when used alone or in combination with HD during the second half of pregnancy.

Early overcounting in otoliths: a case study of age and growth for gindai (Pristipomoides zonatus) using bomb 14C dating

  • Andrews, Allen H;Scofield, Taylor R.
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2021
  • Gindai (Pristipomoides zonatus) is one of six snappers in a management complex called the Deep 7 of the Hawaiian Islands. Little is known about its life history and a preliminary analysis of otolith thin sections indicated the species may exhibit moderate growth with a lifespan approaching 40 years. Preliminary age estimates from the previous study were reinvestigated using the same otolith sections in an attempt to validate those ages with bomb radiocarbon (14C) dating. From the misalignment of birth years for the otolith 14C measurements with regional references - the post-peak bomb 14C decline period - it was concluded that previous ages were inflated from overcounting of the earliest growth zone structure in otolith sections. The oldest gindai was re-aged to 26 years once the age reading was adjusted for early overcounting, 13 years younger than the original estimate of 39 years for this fish. In general, the earliest otolith growth of gindai was massive and complicated by numerous subannual checks. The approach of lumping the early growth structures was supported by the alignment of 14C measurements from otolith core material (first year of growth). The result was greater consistency of calculated birthdates with the 14C decline reference, along with minor offsets that may indicate age estimation was imprecise by a few years for some individuals. The revised von Bertalanffy growth function applied to the validated age-at-length estimates revealed more rapid growth (k = 0.378 cf. 0.113) and a lifespan of approximately 30 years. The findings presented here are a case study of how the bomb 14C decline period can be used as a tool in the refinement of age reading protocols.

Estimation of Time Trends of Incidence of Prostate Canner - an Indian Scenario

  • Lalitha, Krishnappa;Suman, Gadicherla;Pruthvish, Sreekantaiah;Mathew, Aleyamma;Murthy, Nandagudi S.
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권12호
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    • pp.6245-6250
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    • 2012
  • Background: With increase in life expectancy, adoption of newer lifestyles and screening using prostate specific antigen (PSA), the incidence of prostate cancer is on rise. Globally prostate cancer is the second most frequently diagnosed cancer and sixth leading cause of cancer death in men. The present communication makes an attempt to analyze the time trends in incidence for different age groups of the Indian population reported in different Indian registries using relative difference and regression approaches. Materials and Methods: The data published in Cancer Incidence in Five Continents for various Indian registries for different periods and/or publications by the individual registries served as the source materials. Trends were estimated by computing the mean annual percentage change (MAPC) in the incidence rates using the relative difference between two time periods (latest and oldest) and also by estimation of annual percentage change (EAPC) by the Poisson regression model. Results: Age adjusted incidence rates (AAR) of prostate cancer for the period 2005-2008 ranged from 0.8 (Manipur state excluding Imphal west) to 10.9 (Delhi) per $10^5$ person-years. Age specific incidence rates (ASIR) increased in all PBCRs especially after 55 years showing a peak incidence at +65 years clearly indicating that prostate cancer is a cancer of the elderly. MAPC in crude incidence rate(CR) ranged from 0.14 (Ahmedabad) to 8.6 (Chennai). Chennai also recorded the highest MAPC of 5.66 in ASIR in the age group of 65+. Estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) in the AAR ranged from 0.8 to 5.8 among the three registries. Increase in trend was seen in the 55-64 year age group cohort in many registries and in the 35-44 age group in Metropolitan cities such as Delhi and Mumbai. Conclusions: Several Indian registries have revealed an increasing trend in the incidence of prostate cancer and the mean annual percentage change has ranged from 0.14-8.6.

SRTM과 NED를 이용한 식생수고 및 수령 추정 (Vegetation Height and Age Estimation using Shuttle Radar Topography Mission and National Elevation Datasets)

  • 김진우;허준;손홍규
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제26권1D호
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    • pp.203-209
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    • 2006
  • SAR (Synthetic Aperture Radar) 는 긴 파장대의 전자기파를 사용하므로 날씨의 영향을 받지 않는다. 따라서 지구를 관측하는데 있어서 잇점을 갖고 있으므로 NASA는 SRTM (Shuttle Radar Topography Mission) 미션수행을 통해 지형정보를 획득하였다. 본 논문에서는 SRTM 데이터와 USGS의 NED (National Elevation Datasets) 데이터를 사용하였으며 두 데이터를 차분함으로써 식생수고도(vegetation height map)를 얻었다. 또한 차분값과 shape 파일에 포함된 식수년도의 비교를 통해 상관관계여부를 판단하고자 했다. 본 논문에서는 회귀분석을 통해 차분데이터와 식수년도 사이의 큰 상관관계가 존재함을 확인할 수 있었으며 결국 수령추정과 수령정보의 맵핑이 가능함을 보였다. 추가적으로 지역별 지형특성, 숲의 균일도 등에 의해 선형성이 영향을 받는지 관찰하였다. 결론적으로 본 논문에서는 차분영상으로부터 얻은 식생수령추정 모델이 지역의 기복의 영향을 받지만 여전히 높은 상관관계를 가지므로 충분히 유용할 수 있다는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

Landsat TM 영상을 이용한 교목연령 추정에 영창을 주는 영상 밴드 및 식생지수에 관한 연구 (Study on Correlation Between Timber Age, Image Bands and Vegetation Indices for Timber Age Estimation Using Landsat TM Image)

  • 이정빈;허준;손홍규
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.583-590
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    • 2008
  • 본 논문은 Landsat TM 영상을 활용하여 교목연령 추정과 이와 관련이 있는 영상의 밴드값과 식생지수에 대한 상관관계 연구를 수행하였다. 기본적으로 본 연구에서는 취득시기가 다른 Landsat TM 영상 (1990, 1994, 1998년)과 Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM)과 National Elevation Dataset(NED) 영상의 차분영상이 사용되었으며 밴드 4, 5, 7 영상, 태슬모자형 변환을 통한 녹색식생지수, 토양수분지수 영상, 정규식생지수 (NDVI), 적외선지수 (II), 식생상태지수 (VCI), 토양보정식생지수 (SAVI) 영상은 Landsat TM 영상에서 추출되었다. 각각의 영상에서 추출된 값인 총 1992개 자료를 회귀분석을 통하여 분석하였고 연구 결과 교목연령을 추정하는데 있어서 가장 높은 결정계수($R^2$)값을 보이는 요소로는 태슬모자형 변환 토양수분지수. 적외선지수 (II), 식생상태지수 (VCI) 영상이며 이들 값이 교목연령을 추정하는데 가장 많은 영향이 있음을 알 수 있다.

Dental maturity of Saudi children: Role of ethnicity in age determination

  • Baghdadi, Ziad D.
    • Imaging Science in Dentistry
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    • 제43권4호
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    • pp.267-272
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: Demirjian's dental maturity scores and curves have been widely used for human age determination. Several authors have reported considerable differences between the true and estimated age based on the Demirjian curves, which have been accounted for by ethnicity. The purpose of the current study was to assess the role of ethnicity-specific dental maturation curves in age estimation of Saudi children. Materials and Methods: A sample of 452 healthy Saudi children aged 4 to 14 years were aged based on the original French-Canadian Demirjian curves and several modified Demirjian curves specified for certain ethnic groups: Saudi, Kuwaiti, Polish, Dutch, Pakistani, and Belgian. One-way ANOVA and a post hoc Scheff$\acute{e}$'s test were used to assess the differences between chronological age and dental age estimated by the different curves (P<0.05). Results: The curves designed for Dutch, Polish, Saudi, and Belgian (5th percentile) populations had a significantly lower error in estimating age than the original French-Canadian and Belgian (50th percentile) curves. The optimal curve for males was the Saudi one, with a mean absolute difference between estimated age and chronological age of 8.6 months. For females, the optimal curve was the Polish one, with a mean absolute difference of 7.4 months. It was revealed that accurate age determination was not related to certain ethnicity-specific curves. Conclusion: We conclude that ethnicity might play a role in age determination, but not a principal one.

Estimation of Weaning Age Effects on Growth Performance in Berkshire Pigs

  • Do, C.H.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.151-162
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    • 2012
  • Analysis for back fat thickness (BFAT) and daily body weight gains from birth to the end of a performance test were conducted to find an optimal method for estimation of weaning age effects and to ascertain impacts of weaning age on the growth performance of purebred Berkshire pigs from a closed population in Korea. Individual body weights were measured at birth (B), at weaning (W: mean, 22.9 d), at the beginning of the performance test (P: mean, 72.7 d), and at the end of the performance test (T: mean, 152.4 d). Further, the average daily gains in body weight (ADG) of 3,713 pigs were analyzed for the following periods: B to W (DGBW), W to P (DGWP), P to T (DGPT), B to P (DGBP), B to T (DGBT), and W to T (DGWT). Weaning ages ranged from 17 to 34 d, and were treated as fixed (WF), random with (WC) and random without (WU) consideration of an empirical relationship between weaning ages in the models. WF and WC produced the lowest AIC (Akaike Information Criterion) and least fractions of error variance components in multi-traits analysis, respectively. The fractions of variances due to diverse weaning age and the weaning age correlations among ADGs of different stages (when no overlapping allowed) by WC ranged from 0.09 to 0.35 and from -0.03 to 0.44, respectively. The maximum weaning age effects and optimal back fat thicknesses were attained at weaning ages of 27 to 32 d. With the exception of DGBW, the effects of weaning age on the ADGs increased (ranging from 1.50 g/d to 7.14 g/d) with increased weaning age. In addition, BFAT was reduced by 0.106 mm per increased day in weaning age. In conclusion, WC produced reasonable weaning age correlations, and improved the fitness of the model. Weaning age was one of crucial factors (comparable with heritability) influencing growth performance in Berkshire pigs. Further, these studies suggest that increasing weaning age up to 32 d can be an effective management strategy to improve growth performance. However, additional investigations of the costs and losses related to extension of the suckling period and on the extended range of weaning age are necessary to determine the productivity and safety of this practice in a commercial herd and production system.

Assessment of maturation stages and the accuracy of age estimation methods in a Turkish population: A comparative study

  • Magat, Guldane;Ozcan, Sevgi
    • Imaging Science in Dentistry
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    • 제52권1호
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study assessed the associations between chronological age, dental maturation (DM), cervical vertebrae maturation (CVM), and hand-wrist maturation (HWM) in individuals aged 9-19 years. In addition, this study aimed to derive practical methods to evaluate the skeletal age using DM, CVM, or HWM for orthodontic, medical, and forensic purposes and to compare which of these 3 developmental parameters is more accurate for estimating the age of individuals in a Turkish population. Materials and Methods: Panoramic, lateral cephalometric, and hand-wrist radiographs of 284 patients aged 9-19 years were used in this study. The DM, CVM, and HWM stages were determined. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov, kappa, Wilcoxon, Kruskal-Wallis, chi-square, and Spearman correlation tests and simple linear regression analysis were used for statistical analysis. The significance level was 0.05. Results: Statistically significant differences were found between chronological age and DM, chronological age and CVM, and chronological age and HWM in both sexes (P<0.05). DM did not show statistically significant differences according to sex (P>0.05), but CVM and HWM were statistically different between males and females (P<0.05). The DM-estimated age yielded more accurate values than the other methods. Conclusion: All correlations between skeletal and dental stages were statistically significant. Our results showed that there was no statistically significant difference between chronological age and DM-estimated age. Therefore, it can be concluded that DM stages have the potential to be used for legal purposes.