• Title/Summary/Keyword: accident rate model

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Proposal of a Prediction Framework Based on Deep Learning Algorithm to Predict Safety Accidents at Small-scale Construction Sites (소규모 건설현장의 안전사고 예측을 위한 딥러닝 알고리즘 기반의 예측프레임워크 제안)

  • Kim, Ji-Myong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.831-839
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    • 2023
  • This study aims to develop a framework for an accident prediction model leveraging a deep neural network algorithm, specifically tailored for small-scale construction sites. Notably, the incidence of accidents in the construction sector is markedly higher compared to other industries, with a significant contribution from small-scale sites. The challenging nature of construction in urban settings, coupled with the increasing frequency of adverse weather conditions, is likely to escalate accident risks at these sites. Anticipating and mitigating accidents at small-scale construction sites is therefore crucial to decrease the overall industry accident rate. Consequently, this research introduces a Deep Neural Network-based model for forecasting accidents at small-scale construction sites. The framework and findings of this study are poised to serve as a guideline for the safety management of small-scale construction projects, ultimately aiding in the realization of safer, more sustainable construction practices at these sites.

Analyzing the Characteristics of Traffic Accidents and Developing the Models by Day and Night in the Case of the Cheongju Arterial Link Sections (청주시 간선가로 구간의 주.야간 사고특성 및 모형개발)

  • Kim, Tae-Young;Lim, Jin-Kang;Park, Byung-Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the characteristics of traffic accidents and to develop the models by day and night-time in the case of the arterial link sections. In pursuing the above, this study uses the 224 accident data occurred at the 24 arterial link sections in Cheongju. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, it was analyzed that the number of accidents during day was more than night, but the accidents rate during night was higher than day. Second, four models which were all statistically significant were developed. Finally, the differences between the day and night models were comparatively analyzed using independent variables.

Importance of Human Error to Prevent Industrial Accidents (산업 사고 예방을 위한 인적오류의 중요성)

  • Lee, Kwan-Suk;Lee, Young-Kwan
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.151-160
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    • 2011
  • There have been many efforts to prevent accidents in Korea for the last 25 years. Many measures in the area of hardware sciences including electrical, mechanical, chemical engineering, etc. were applied to eliminate or at least reduce causes of accidents. However, the accidents rate has not been reduced much despite of these measures. This research aimed to find real causes of these accidents and to suggest a comprehensive model that can mainly be applied to industrial fields to find potential or existence of human errors during the pre-installation stage or after an accident. We tried to explain sequences of an operator's information process that might cause human errors on one hand, and life cycle stages of facilities involved when human errors occur on the other hand. With this comprehensive model presented in this research, one can follow up the sequence of human errors caused by operators. Further, errors made at the design stage which could be a main cause of accidents can be tracked. It is recommended that this comprehensive model should be used to prevent human errors in industrial fields since safety personnel can easily find out errors or error potentials through the life cycle stages of manmachine facilities.

A hybrid-vehicular communication systems using a gaussian model for sending a safe message (안전 메시지 전달을 위해 가우시안 모델을 적용한 하이브리드 차량 통신 시스템)

  • Oh, Sang-Yeob
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.10 no.7
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    • pp.161-166
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    • 2012
  • When a car accident happened on a highway, the accident vehicle should broadcast a safe message to its neighbors in order to prevent a chain-reaction collision. Also, there is a problem that the estimation accuracy is low because of the memory limit from increasing the sampling count. In this paper, we proposes a HVC systems using a back-off algorithm applied to a gaussian model. And we proposes a MAC protocol preventing the communication delay by separating the neighbor count collection channel, data channel, and RSU communication channel. As a result, we show the frame reception success rate of our protocol improved about 10% than the previous protocol.

Quantification Model Development of Human Accidents based on the Insurance Claim Payout on Construction Site (건설공사보험 사례를 활용한 건설현장 인명사고 정량화 모델 개발)

  • Ha, Sun-Geun;Kim, Tae-Hui;Son, Ki-Young;Kim, Ji-Myong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.151-159
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    • 2018
  • Accident rate in the construction industry of South Korea is increasing every year, and it represents the highest percentage among industries. This shows that activities performed to prevent safety accidents in the country are not efficient when it comes to reduce the accident rate. In order to resolve this issue, a model for the prediction of human accidents should be established. In addition, it is required a quantification study based on pattern of human accidents. Therefore, the objective of this study is to quantify uncertainty of human accidents risk and predict how to change in various circumstances by using Monte Carlo Simulation. To achieve the objective, first, pattern of human accidents was defined. Second, insurance claim payout and information of human accidents during 14 years in construction site were collected. Third, descriptive analysis is conducted to determine the characteristics of the accident pattern. Fourth, to quantitatively analyze the pattern of the human accidents, the population of each accident occurrence and payout were estimated. Finally, estimated populations was analyzed according to characteristics of distribution by using Monte carlo simulation. In the future, this study can be used as a reference for developing the safety management checklist in construction site and development of prediction models of human accident.

Impact Analysis of Tributaries and Simulation of Water Pollution Accident Scenarios in the Water Source Section of Han River Using 3-D Hydrodynamic Model (3차원 수리모델을 이용한 한강 상수원구간 지류영향 분석 및 수질오염사고 시나리오 모의)

  • Kim, Eunjung;Park, Changmin;Na, Mijeong;Park, Hyeon;Kim, Bogsoon
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.363-374
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    • 2018
  • The Han River serves as an important water resource for the city of Seoul, Korea and in the neighboring metropolitan areas. From the Paldang dam to the Jamsil submerged weir, the 4 water intake stations that are located for the Seoul metropolitan population were under review in this study. Therefore the water quality management in this section is very important to monitor, analyze and review to rule out any safety concerns. In this study, a 3-D hydrodynamic model, EFDC (Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code), was applied to the downstream of the Paldang Dam in the Han River, which is about 23 km in length, to determine issues related to water resource management. The 3-D grid was composed of 2,168 horizontal grids and three vertical layers. In this case, the hydrodynamic model was calibrated and verified with an observed average daily water surface elevation, water temperature and flow rate data for 3 years (2013~2015). The developed EFDC model proved to reproduce the hydrodynamics of the Han River well. The composition ratios of the noted incoming flows at the monitored intake stations for 3 years and their flow patterns in the river were analyzed using the validated model. It was found that the flow of the Wangsuk Stream depended on the Paldnag dam discharge, and it was noted that the composition ratios of the stream at the intake stations changed accordingly. In a word, the Wangsuk Stream moved mainly along the right bank of the Han River under the condition of a normal dam flow. As can be seen, when the dam discharge rate was low, the incidence of lateral mixing was often seen. The scenario analyses were also conducted to predict the transport of conservative pollutants as in the case of a chemical spill accident. Generally speaking, when scenarios were applied, the arrival time and concentration of pollutants at each intake station was thus predicted.

Development of a Risk Assesment Model for Excavator Work (굴착기 투입 작업의 위험성 평가모델 개발)

  • Kang, Sumin;Ra, Bohyun;Yang, Yejin;Han, Seungwoo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2022.11a
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    • pp.133-134
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    • 2022
  • Recently, the criteria for assessing industrial accidents have been replaced by the mortality rate. It was found that the number of deaths from excavation work was the highest among construction machinery. The risk assessment is being conducted, however the industrial accident mortality rate has not decreased. Accordingly, this study aims to provide the basic for the create of a risk assessment model specialized in construction work at excavator. It provides absolute value from the risk model which is capable of delivery the probability of a disaster. In addition, we provide a relative risk model that compares the risk through scores between detailed works. The relative risk model is combined by likelihood and severity; the likelihood indicates the frequency of accidents and the severity indicates seriousness of fatal accidents. A variable that reflects the conditions of the construction site was added to the risk assessment model based on past disaster cases. And using the concepts of probability and average, the risk assessment process was quantified and used as an objective indicator. Therefore, the model is expected to reduce disasters by raising the awareness of disasters.

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Level of Service of Signalized Intersections Considering both Delay and Accidents (지체와 사고를 고려한 신호교차로 서비스수준 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Je-Jin;Park, Seong-Yong;Ha, Tae-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.169-178
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    • 2008
  • Level of Service (LOS) is one of ways to evaluate operational conditions. It is very important factor in evaluation especially for the facility of highways. However, some studies proved that ${\upsilon}/c$ ratio and accident rate is appeared like a second function which has a U-form. It means there is a gap between LOS and safety of highway facilities. Therefore, this study presents a method for evaluation of a signalized intersection which is considered both smooth traffic operation (delay) and traffic safety (accident). Firstly, as a result of our research, accident rates and EPDO are decreased when it has a big delay. In that reason, it is necessary to make a new Level of Service included traffic safety. Secondly, this study has developed a negative binominal regression model which is based on the relation between accident patterns and stream. Thirdly, standards of LOS are presented which is originated from calculation between annual delay costs and annual accident cost at each intersection. Lastly, worksheet form is presented as an expression to an estimation step of a signalized intersection with traffic accident prediction model and new LOS.

Detecting Jaywalking Using the YOLOv5 Model

  • Kim, Hyun-Tae;Lee, Sang-Hyun
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.300-306
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    • 2022
  • Currently, Korea is building traffic infrastructure using Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS), but the pedestrian traffic accident rate is very high. The purpose of this paper is to prevent the risk of traffic accidents by jaywalking pedestrians. The development of this study aims to detect pedestrians who trespass using the public data set provided by the Artificial Intelligence Hub (AIHub). The data set uses training data: 673,150 pieces and validation data: 131,385 pieces, and the types include snow, rain, fog, etc., and there is a total of 7 types including passenger cars, small buses, large buses, trucks, large trailers, motorcycles, and pedestrians. has a class format of Learning is carried out using YOLOv5 as an implementation model, and as an object detection and edge detection method of an input image, a canny edge model is applied to classify and visualize human objects within the detected road boundary range. In this study, it was designed and implemented to detect pedestrians using the deep learning-based YOLOv5 model. As the final result, the mAP 0.5 showed a real-time detection rate of 61% and 114.9 fps at 338 epochs using the YOLOv5 model.

Development of Signalized-Intersection LOS Determination Method Based on Satefy (교통안전에 의한 신호교차로 서비스수준 결정방법의 개발)

  • 하태준
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.155-178
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    • 1996
  • 신호교차로 서비스수준은, 객관적으로 측정 할 수 있는 여러 가지 기준에 의해 결정될 수 있다. 예를 들면, 지체시간(Delay), 교통사고수(Number of Accident), 교통사고율(Accident Rate), 충돌수(Traffic Conflict), 그리고 교통사고에 노출된 차량수(Exposure)등이다. 지금까지는 1985 Highway Capacity Manual(HCM)에서 소개된 지체시간에 의한 서비스수준 결정방법이 널리 사용되어 왔다. 본 논문에서는 1985 HCM 방법의 중용성과 유용성에 대해 논하지 않고, 교통안전(Safety)에 의한 신호교차로 서비스수준 결정방법을 제시하였다. 교차로의 위험도(Degree of Intersection Hazard)를 예측하기 위해, 교통사고빈도 수가 가장 높은 두가지 교통사고 유형, 즉 좌회전추돌(Left-Tum)과 후미추돌(Rear-End) 예측 모형이 개발되었다. 여기서 첫째, 좌회전추돌 위험도를 예측하기 위하여 음지수 분포(Negative-Exponential Distribution)를 이용한 확률적 모형이 개발되었다. 둘째, 후미추돌 위험도를 예측하기 위하여 연속류 모형(Continuum Model)을 이용한 거시적 모형이 개발되었다. 개발된 두가지 모형을 이용하여 신호교차로 안전도를 예측하였으며 교차로 서비스수준이 안전도에 의해 결정되었다. 본 논문에서 제시된 교통안전에 의한 신호교차로 서비스수준 결정방법은 연동교차로를 제외한 독립교차로에만 적용이 된다.

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