• Title/Summary/Keyword: accident analysis model

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Factor Analysis of Accident Types on Urban Street using Structural Equation Modeling(SEM) (구조방정식모형을 활용한 단속류 시설의 교통사고 유형별 유발요인 분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Rok;Bae, Yun-Gyeong;Jeong, Jin-Hyeok;Kim, Hyeong-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2011
  • In 2008, Korea has observed total 215,822traffic accidents Although the number has decreased since then, the crash rate is still higher than those of other advanced countries. In particular, high rate of pedestrian accidents occurred on urban streets is recognized as a serious problem. The previous studies, however, are not entirely considerate of accident factors by accident type. Inspired by the fact, this study analyzes factors affecting traffic accident by accident type. Using the accident data collected on urban streets in Seodaemun-gu, this paper classifies the accidents into two groups (i.e., vehicle-vs-vehicle and vehicle-vs-person crashes), and analyzes relationships between severity and exogenous variables. For the analysis, Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) is employed to estimate relationships among exogenous factors of traffic accident by each type on urban streets. The resulting model reveals that roadway related factors are highly correlated with the severity of vehicle-vs-vehicle crashes whereas environment factors are with vehicle-vs-person crashes.

Traffic Accident Models of 3-Legged Signalized Intersections in the Case of Cheongju (3지 신호교차로의 교통사고 발생모형 - 청주시를 사례로 -)

  • Park, Byung-Ho;Han, Sang-Uk;Kim, Tae-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.94-99
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    • 2009
  • This study deals with the traffic accidents at the 3-legged signalized intersections in Cheongu. The goals are to analyze the geometric, traffic and operational conditions of intersections and to develop a various functional forms that predict the accidents. The models are developed through the correlation analysis, the multiple linear, the multiple nonlinear, Poisson and negative binomial regression analysis. In this study, two multiple linear, two multiple nonlinear and two negative binomial regression models were calibrated. These models were all analyzed to be statistically significant. All the models include 2 common variables(traffic volume and lane width) and model-specific variables. These variables are, therefore, evaluated to be critical to the accident reduction of Cheongju.

Simulation of Containment Pressurization in a Large Break-Loss of Coolant Accident Using Single-Cell and Multicell Models and CONTAIN Code

  • Noori-Kalkhoran, Omid;Shirani, Amir Saied;Ahangari, Rohollah
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.48 no.5
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    • pp.1140-1153
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    • 2016
  • Since the inception of nuclear power as a commercial energy source, safety has been recognized as a prime consideration in the design, construction, operation, maintenance, and decommissioning of nuclear power plants. The release of radioactivity to the environment requires the failure of multiple safety systems and the breach of three physical barriers: fuel cladding, the reactor cooling system, and containment. In this study, nuclear reactor containment pressurization has been modeled in a large break-loss of coolant accident (LB-LOCA) by programming single-cell and multicell models in MATLAB. First, containment has been considered as a control volume (single-cell model). In addition, spray operation has been added to this model. In the second step, the single-cell model has been developed into a multicell model to consider the effects of the nodalization and spatial location of cells in the containment pressurization in comparison with the single-cell model. In the third step, the accident has been simulated using the CONTAIN 2.0 code. Finally, Bushehr nuclear power plant (BNPP) containment has been considered as a case study. The results of BNPP containment pressurization due to LB-LOCA have been compared between models, final safety analysis report, and CONTAIN code's results.

Development of a Linking Model between Community Resourses and Industrial Injury Insurance Organs for the Activation of Medical Rehabilitation Services for Industrial Injury Patients (산재환자의 의료재활서비스 활성화를 위한 산재보험시설과 민간시설간의 연계모형 개발)

  • Kim, Hee-Girl
    • Korean Journal of Occupational Health Nursing
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.56-70
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    • 2005
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study is to develop a linking model between industrial injury insurance organs and local organizations providing social welfare health services, for the activation of medical rehabilitation services for industrial injury patients. Method: Research design for this study was a multi-step research through literature review, field research, and group interviews with persons in charge, to compare local society-oriented medical rehabilitation programs. The term of researches Sep.1 ~ Nov. 30, 2004. Results: 1. Home nurses from Workers Accident Medical Corporation have been taken to be adequate to case managers, who link industrial accident insurance institutions to local society services for the activation of medical rehabilitation services for industrial injury patients. They have been chosen for case managers because they have richer understanding and experiences of objects of industrial accidents than any other specialists, and because they have proved to be able to provide direct home services as a specialist. We have established the center for case management affairs within the workers accident general hospital, organized the committee for case management with doctors in charge, doctors in rehabilitation, rehabilitation consultants, social welfare workers, physical therapists, and nurses, determined objects of case managements from those of long-term recuperation, and constructed a course of case management containing from case management plans to evaluation. 2. We have made files of community resources, and organized the council of industrial accident administration to have it in charge of the adjustment and linking of services in case management affairs. 3. Because there are inequality of community resources between areas, differences in experiences in and bases for linking, and disparity of core organizations with active linking in the system of linking between public and civil sectors, we have taken a system of linking between parallel organs to be the core. In our linking model, workers accident general hospital, hospitals designated for industrial injury, and rehabilitation hospitals are linked in parallel, inadequate long-term recuperation managers are trusted to an workers accident medical corporations through examination by the examination committee in Korea Labor Welfare Corporation, and are dealt with by the committee for case management. Of the hospitals designated for industrial accidents, those running a home caring center provide home caring services for the handicapped at home from industrial injury. 4. Workers Accident Medical Corporation take part in medical rehabilitation, and Korea Labor Welfare Corporation in vocational/social rehabilitation. Furthermore, in the model, the latter should construct a system for job opportunities through Internet portals and provide cyber vocational consultation and introduction. Conclusion: Improvement of systems is needed to apply the linking model to practical affairs. Because this model is centered for practical affairs, it should be put under the analysis of effects, and evaluation of its adequacy to practical application, and its effects and efficiency through experimental running in the 8 workers accident general hospital in Korea.

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Identification of hydrogen flammability in steam generator compartment of OPR1000 using MELCOR and CFX codes

  • Jeon, Joongoo;Kim, Yeon Soo;Choi, Wonjun;Kim, Sung Joong
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.51 no.8
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    • pp.1939-1950
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    • 2019
  • The MELCOR code useful for a plant-specific hydrogen risk analysis has inevitable limitations in prediction of a turbulent flow of a hydrogen mixture. To investigate the accuracy of the hydrogen risk analysis by the MELCOR code, results for the turbulent gas behavior at pipe rupture accident were compared with CFX results which were verified by the American National Standard Institute (ANSI) model. The postulated accident scenario was selected to be surge line failure induced by station blackout of an Optimized Power Reactor 1000 MWe (OPR1000). When the surge line failure occurred, the flow out of the surgeline was strongly turbulent, from which the MELCOR code predicted that a substantial amount of hydrogen could be released. Nevertheless, the results indicated nonflammable mixtures owing to the high steam concentration released before the failure. On the other hand, the CFX code solving the three-dimensional fluid dynamics by incorporating the turbulence closure model predicted that the flammable area continuously existed at the jet interface even in the rising hydrogen mixtures. In conclusion, this study confirmed that the MELCOR code, which has limitations in turbulence analysis, could underestimate the existence of local combustible gas at pipe rupture accident. This clear comparison between two codes can contribute to establishing a guideline for computational hydrogen risk analysis.

Consequence Analysis of Energy Facility(City Gas Pipeline) (에너지시설(도시가스배관)의 사고시 영향 평가)

  • Park Kyo-Shik;Lee Jin-Han;Jo Young-Do;Park Jin-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.7 no.1 s.18
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    • pp.10-18
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    • 2003
  • Consequence model has been suggested to evaluate consequence of city gas accident considering actual situation. Through event tree analysis(ETA), probable accidents were summarized and listed. Then release rate was calculated both sonic and subsonic conditions. Among city gas accidents, fire damage is the dominant one and mainly discussed; fatality, burning injury, and damage to building were estimated using the consequence model suggested. With an appropriate conditions, calculating total cost by accident was suggested.

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Collision Analysis of the Full Rake TGV-K on Crashworthiness (TGV-K 전체 차량의 충돌안전도 해석 연구)

  • Koo, Jeong-Seo;Song, Dahl-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.1 no.1 s.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 1998
  • Described in this paper is the result of a study on collision analysis of TGV-K using 1-dimensional model for crashworthy design. Crashworthy design of the front end is very important because majority of the impact energy (more than 70%) is absorbed by the crush of the front end when the train is collided with an obstacle like a tank lorry. Guideline for the crashworthy design can be described from the collision analysis of the whole train using a 1-dimensional model. Since the headstock of TGV-K is not designed in a crashworthy point of view, a conceptual design of the headstock to improve crashworthiness is suggested and evaluated using 1-dimensional collision analysis. The suggested design, which adopts an energy absorber and a crashworthy headstock, shows a good behaviour on the accident scenario of SNCF (collision at 110 km/h against a movable rigid mass of 15 ton).

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Analysis of Road Cross Section Component Affecting Traffic Accident Severity on National Highway (국도상 교통사고 심각도에 영향을 미치는 횡단구성 요소 분석)

  • Park, Jaehong;Yun, Dukgeun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.143-149
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    • 2017
  • According to traffic accidents statistics, the number of fatalities, injuries and the rate of increase of traffic accidents have been decreasing over last 5-years. The fatality rate is 1.9 for total accidents but the fatality rate for single vehicle accidents shows a 7.9, which is 4 times greater than the average for all accidents. Single vehicle accidents, usually occur as a vehicle impacts a fixed objects on the roadside as the vehicle runs-off from the road. However, few researches have been conducted considering the accident severity of single vehicle accidents which impact to the fixed objects on the road. The single vehicle accident is directly related to the composition of road cross section, (since it is the required the minimum width of a road for all run-off-the-road vehicles to recover or come to a safe stop). Therefore, this study analyzes the influence of road cross section on traffic accidents to find out the severity of single vehicle accident. To analyze the road elements which are related to the accident severity, the Ordered Probit Model was used. As variables, the element of road cross section such as the radius(m), vertical curve(%), cross sectional grade(%), road width(m). number of climbing lane, median, and curb, were used (as was the 3-years of accidents data). This study found out that cross slope(%), road width(m), and the number of climbing lane are related to the severity of accident. The result of this study could be expected to improve the road safety and to be used as the base data for further road safety research.

Random Parameter Negative Binomial Models of Interstate Accident Frequencies on Interchange Segment by Interchange Type/Region (RPNB 모형을 이용한 고속도로 인터체인지 구간에서의 교통사고모형 - 인터체인지 형태별/지역별로)

  • Lee, Geun Hee;Park, Minho;Roh, Jeonghyun
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.133-142
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    • 2014
  • PURPOSES : The objective was to develop the advanced method which could not explain each observation's specific characteristic in the present negative binomial method that results in under-estimation of the standard error(t-value inflation) and affects the confidence of whole derived results. METHODS : This study dealt with traffic accidents occurring within interchange segment on highway main line with RPNB(Random Parameter Negative Binomial) method that enables to take account of heterogeneity. RESULTS : As a result, AADT and lighting installation type on the road were revealed to have random parameter and in terms of other geometric variables, all were derived as fixed parameter(same effect on every segment). Also, marginal effects were adapted to analyze the relative effects on traffic accidents. CONCLUSIONS : This study proves that RPNB method which considers each observation's specific characteristics is better fitted to the accident data with geometrics. Thus, it is recommended that RPNB model or other methods which could consider the heterogeneity needs to be adapted in accident analysis.

An interactive multiple model method to identify the in-vessel phenomenon of a nuclear plant during a severe accident from the outer wall temperature of the reactor vessel

  • Khambampati, Anil Kumar;Kim, Kyung Youn;Hur, Seop;Kim, Sung Joong;Kim, Jung Taek
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.2
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    • pp.532-548
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    • 2021
  • Nuclear power plants contain several monitoring systems that can identify the in-vessel phenomena of a severe accident (SA). Though a lot of analysis and research is carried out on SA, right from the development of the nuclear industry, not all the possible circumstances are taken into consideration. Therefore, to improve the efficacy of the safety of nuclear power plants, additional analytical studies are needed that can directly monitor severe accident phenomena. This paper presents an interacting multiple model (IMM) based fault detection and diagnosis (FDD) approach for the identification of in-vessel phenomena to provide the accident propagation information using reactor vessel (RV) out-wall temperature distribution during severe accidents in a nuclear power plant. The estimation of wall temperature is treated as a state estimation problem where the time-varying wall temperature is estimated using IMM employing three multiple models for temperature evolution. From the estimated RV out-wall temperature and rate of temperature, the in-vessel phenomena are identified such as core meltdown, corium relocation, reactor vessel damage, reflooding, etc. We tested the proposed method with five different types of SA scenarios and the results show that the proposed method has estimated the outer wall temperature with good accuracy.