• 제목/요약/키워드: a fuzzy theory

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유럽지역 인터모달운송 선택요인의 중요도 측정에 관한 연구 (Weighing the Importance of Mode Choice Factors on Intermodal Transportation Service in Europe)

  • 이남연;전준우;조건식;여기태
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.113-133
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    • 2013
  • 1995년 이후 한국기업의 유럽진출이 활발히 이루어졌으며, 특히 폴란드, 체코, 슬로바키아, 헝가리 등의 동유럽지역 진출은 두드러진다. 2011년 한-EU FTA 체결로 두 지역 간 경제적 관계는 더욱 밀접해졌다. 이러한 측면에서 항만을 가지고 있는 전통 유럽국가와 동유럽을 효율적으로 연결하기 위한 인터모달운송 선택에 관한 연구가 요청되고 있다. 하지만 유럽지역 수송수단 선택에 관한 연구는 아직 초보단계에 머무르고 있다. 본 연구는 현재 유럽지역의 인터모달운송의 현황을 파악하고, 열차와 트럭, 피더와 트럭 등의 인터모달운송선택의 핵심요인을 파악하며, 한국에서 유럽과 거래하는 수출기업 및 포워더 측면에서 고려할 때 주요하게 판단하는 요소의 가중치를 평가하는 것을 목적으로 하였다. In-depth interview는 2013년 4월에서 5월 사이 20년에서 30년 이상의 경력을 지닌 물류관련기업 사장단을 통하여 이루어졌다. 연구방법론으로 퍼지이론이 사용되었으며, 연구결과 도착의 신뢰도, 환적시간, 운임이 인터모달운송 선택시 가장 중요한 요인으로 선정되었다.

3차원 게임에서 객체들의 상호 작용을 디자인하기 위한 제어 기법 (A Control Method for designing Object Interactions in 3D Game)

  • 김기현;김상욱
    • 한국정보과학회논문지:컴퓨팅의 실제 및 레터
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.322-331
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    • 2003
  • 3차원 게임은 게임 시나리오의 다양한 요소에 의한 복잡도가 증가함에 따라 게임 객체들의 상호 관계를 제어하기 위한 문제점을 가진다. 그러므로, 게임 시스템은 각 게임 객체들의 응답을 조정하는 방법의 필요성을 가진다. 또한, 게임 시나리오의 결과에 따라 게임 객체들의 행동 애니메이션을 제어하기 위한 개념들도 필요하다. 사실적 게임 시뮬레이션을 생성하기 위해 시스템은 게임 객체들의 상호작용을 디자인 할 수 있는 구조를 포함해야 한다. 본 논문에서 게임 시나리오상에 게임 객체들의 상호작용 설계를 위해 동적 제어를 디자인하는 기법을 소개한다. 이 방법을 위해 특정 규칙을 이용한 의사결정이 가능한 지능적 에이전트 기반 구조로써 게임 에이전트 시스템을 제안한다. 게임 에이전트 시스템은 환경 데이터 처리, 게임 객체 시뮬레이션, 게임 객체들간의 상호작용 제어, 게임 객체들의 다양한 상호 관계를 정의할수 있는 시각 저작 인터페이스를 제공하기 위해 이용되어진다. 이들 기술들은 게임 객체의 자율성과 연관된 충돌 회피 기법 등을 처리한다. 또한, 장면의 변경으로부터 게임 객체들의 일관된 의사 결정력을 가능하게 한다. 본 논문에서는 규칙기반 행동 제어가 게임 객체의 시뮬레이션을 안내하기 위해 디자인되어졌다. 시각적 요소들로 구성된 에이전트 상태 결정 네트워크는 정보전달과 게임 객체들 사이의 현상태를 추론할 수 있다. 이들 기법들은 실시간으로 게임 객체들간의 동작 상태 변이를 체크하고 모니터링 할 수 있다. 마지막으로 간단한 사례 연구 예와 함께 제어 기법의 타당성을 제시한다.

현대패션디자인에 나타난 동양의 미의식 연구 (A Study about the Aesthetics of Oriental in Modern Fashion design)

  • 임영자
    • 복식
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    • 제30권
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    • pp.261-274
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    • 1996
  • In the present age dominate by both cer-taingty of 1% and uncertainty of 99% 'Fuzzy thinking' of Bart Kosko that is the way to solve the problems by the scientific way through a worldview of Buddhism or Taoism greatly prevails around the world over 'Lateral greatly prevails around the world over 'Lateral thinking' and the authenticity or the right and-wrong of the uncertainty which is the thinking way to find the answer of the problems of illogical way of Edward de Beno against the western vertical thinking were Concurrently fashion designers over the world also adopt the oriental elements. But there exist differences of thoughts between the orient and the occident. And they have dif-ferent thinking way of aestheticism and references of the value on the beauty. Not only beauty but the view through the mind as intuitional thought in which not only the rec-ognition of sense but also the rationalism and the naturalness play key role. The aesthetic sense in the orient contains both the truth and virtue. 2) The beauty of the mean It's from the thought of neutralization of Confucius. The mean or moderation state which in harmony with ethical virtue and aes-thetic beauty is the ideal and is the ultimate. Therefore the thought of Confucian is the creativity in which the balance and the har-mony is most important. Fashion design is also one of the representation of the mean because the spirit of the designer is harmonized for-mlessly with the object of the model of the fashion design. 2) The beauty of skillfulness It indicates the Taoism of Lao-tzu and Chuangtzu. It takes a super-artistic declar-ation that human can feel and recognize the color of colorlessness the sound of sound-lessness and the taste of tastelessness. The thought of arts affected by Taoism is 'ad-vanced age' called the beauty of skillfulness. The view of arts of lao-tzu takes the beauty of cosmos and the nature as a standard. Es-pecially the beauty of inactivity is recognized by the linkage between the beauty and the ugliness. And these things appear in fashion design as a design element such as humor or exaggeration. 3) The beauty of non-dualism It is thought of Buddhism that all evil passions of worry occur form the opposition in dualism. Finally this thought leads to that everything is consistent and truth is only one from the point of view that virtue and vice has on linkage that is 'no virtues no vices' and 'one with two, two, with one, one is not two' A big tendency like this became the root forma-tion of the thought of the oriental arts. 3. Characteristics of the oriental aesthetic sense on the present fashion design 1) The formation of the fashion design on the oriental elements In the picture-incantation which was a representation of an era when the thought of 'cosmic dual forces' dominated the basic polygons of 'a circle square triangle' means both 'one two three' and 'the negative positive mean' of cosmic elements. From this point of view the was of planner cutting in the Orient is dif-ferent from that of the Occidental which is in three-dimensional. The planner polygon type of the cut-pieces comes to have the meaning of the three-dimension when they consist of a suit that has the combination of each cut-piece. This shows the consistency with the principle of cosmos creation of Taoism that one is two two is three and three is every-thing. 2) The coloring and the symbolic represen-tation of the fashion design on the orien-tal elements The sense on the colors in the Orient from the thought of 'the cosmic dual forces and the five elements' is not the experi-enced from the knowledge but contains the consideration of philosophy Five-primary-color representing compass directions Blue(East) Red(South) Yellow(Center) White (West) and Black (North) is called ' the posi-tive' for this five-primary-color secondary-color which comes from the compound of the primary colors is called 'the negative' The thought of 'the cosmic dual forces and the five elements' is also an theory containing the natural order of the cos-mos and this shows the perceptional differ-ence that they are not conceptual but to be recognized and fell directly. A thought of Buddhism which is 'Colors are colorlessness and Clolorlessness are color's proves that. 3) The pattern and symbolic representation of the fashion design on the oriental elements The pattern as a visual style is a figure of symbolic representation which adopt the mental and physical world of human and are the compo-sition of artistic revelation of the human nature and the religous thought of incantation. Es-pecially the symbolic representation of the oriental thought of Confusion. Buddhism and Taoism There are patterns such as plants aminals the oriental four gods and geometry. From the above it's the time toward the 21'th century when the world is constructing one global area and one historical zone. And the exotic mood of the Orient represented in the fashion which doesn't make the common feeling in general does not cease to develop only to express the visual modeling but also adopts the thought religion and the art which are the root of the Orientail and contains inherent willing of modeling.

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RNN(Recurrent Neural Network)을 이용한 기업부도예측모형에서 회계정보의 동적 변화 연구 (Dynamic forecasts of bankruptcy with Recurrent Neural Network model)

  • 권혁건;이동규;신민수
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.139-153
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    • 2017
  • 기업의 부도는 이해관계자들뿐 아니라 사회에도 경제적으로 큰 손실을 야기한다. 따라서 기업부도예측은 경영학 연구에 있어 중요한 연구주제 중 하나로 다뤄져 왔다. 기존의 연구에서는 부도 예측을 위해 다변량판별분석, 로짓분석, 신경망분석 등 다양한 방법론을 이용하여 모형의 부도 예측력을 높이고 과적합의 문제를 해결하고자 시도하였다. 하지만 기존의 연구들이 시간적 요소를 고려하지 않아 발생할 수 있는 문제점들을 갖고 있음에도 불구하고 부도 예측에 있어서 동적 모형을 이용한 연구는 활발히 진행되고 있지 않으며 따라서 동적 모형을 이용하여 부도예측모형이 더욱 개선될 여지가 있다는 점을 확인할 수 있었다. 이에 본 연구에서는 RNN(Recurrent Neural Network)을 이용하여 시계열 재무 데이터의 동적 변화를 반영한 모형을 만들었으며 기존의 부도예측모형들과의 비교분석을 통해 부도 예측력의 향상에 도움이 된다는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 모형의 유용성을 검증하기 위해 KIS Value의 재무 데이터를 이용하여 실험을 수행하였고 비교모형으로는 다변량판별분석, 로짓분석, SVM, 인공신경망을 선정하였다. 실험 결과 제안된 모형이 비교 모형에 비해 우수한 예측력을 보이는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 본 연구는 변수들의 변화를 포착하는 동적 모형을 부도예측에 새롭게 제안하여 부도예측 연구의 발전에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

APPLICATION OF FUZZY SET THEORY IN SAFEGUARDS

  • Fattah, A.;Nishiwaki, Y.
    • 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 1993년도 Fifth International Fuzzy Systems Association World Congress 93
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    • pp.1051-1054
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    • 1993
  • The International Atomic Energy Agency's Statute in Article III.A.5 allows it“to establish and administer safeguards designed to ensure that special fissionable and other materials, services, equipment, facilities and information made available by the Agency or at its request or under its supervision or control are not used in such a way as to further any military purpose; and to apply safeguards, at the request of the parties, to any bilateral or multilateral arrangement, or at the request of a State, to any of that State's activities in the field of atomic energy”. Safeguards are essentially a technical means of verifying the fulfilment of political obligations undertaken by States and given a legal force in international agreements relating to the peaceful uses of nuclear energy. The main political objectives are: to assure the international community that States are complying with their non-proliferation and other peaceful undertakings; and to deter (a) the diversion of afeguarded nuclear materials to the production of nuclear explosives or for military purposes and (b) the misuse of safeguarded facilities with the aim of producing unsafeguarded nuclear material. It is clear that no international safeguards system can physically prevent diversion. The IAEA safeguards system is basically a verification measure designed to provide assurance in those cases in which diversion has not occurred. Verification is accomplished by two basic means: material accountancy and containment and surveillance measures. Nuclear material accountancy is the fundamental IAEA safeguards mechanism, while containment and surveillance serve as important complementary measures. Material accountancy refers to a collection of measurements and other determinations which enable the State and the Agency to maintain a current picture of the location and movement of nuclear material into and out of material balance areas, i. e. areas where all material entering or leaving is measurab e. A containment measure is one that is designed by taking advantage of structural characteristics, such as containers, tanks or pipes, etc. To establish the physical integrity of an area or item by preventing the undetected movement of nuclear material or equipment. Such measures involve the application of tamper-indicating or surveillance devices. Surveillance refers to both human and instrumental observation aimed at indicating the movement of nuclear material. The verification process consists of three over-lapping elements: (a) Provision by the State of information such as - design information describing nuclear installations; - accounting reports listing nuclear material inventories, receipts and shipments; - documents amplifying and clarifying reports, as applicable; - notification of international transfers of nuclear material. (b) Collection by the IAEA of information through inspection activities such as - verification of design information - examination of records and repo ts - measurement of nuclear material - examination of containment and surveillance measures - follow-up activities in case of unusual findings. (c) Evaluation of the information provided by the State and of that collected by inspectors to determine the completeness, accuracy and validity of the information provided by the State and to resolve any anomalies and discrepancies. To design an effective verification system, one must identify possible ways and means by which nuclear material could be diverted from peaceful uses, including means to conceal such diversions. These theoretical ways and means, which have become known as diversion strategies, are used as one of the basic inputs for the development of safeguards procedures, equipment and instrumentation. For analysis of implementation strategy purposes, it is assumed that non-compliance cannot be excluded a priori and that consequently there is a low but non-zero probability that a diversion could be attempted in all safeguards ituations. An important element of diversion strategies is the identification of various possible diversion paths; the amount, type and location of nuclear material involved, the physical route and conversion of the material that may take place, rate of removal and concealment methods, as appropriate. With regard to the physical route and conversion of nuclear material the following main categories may be considered: - unreported removal of nuclear material from an installation or during transit - unreported introduction of nuclear material into an installation - unreported transfer of nuclear material from one material balance area to another - unreported production of nuclear material, e. g. enrichment of uranium or production of plutonium - undeclared uses of the material within the installation. With respect to the amount of nuclear material that might be diverted in a given time (the diversion rate), the continuum between the following two limiting cases is cons dered: - one significant quantity or more in a short time, often known as abrupt diversion; and - one significant quantity or more per year, for example, by accumulation of smaller amounts each time to add up to a significant quantity over a period of one year, often called protracted diversion. Concealment methods may include: - restriction of access of inspectors - falsification of records, reports and other material balance areas - replacement of nuclear material, e. g. use of dummy objects - falsification of measurements or of their evaluation - interference with IAEA installed equipment.As a result of diversion and its concealment or other actions, anomalies will occur. All reasonable diversion routes, scenarios/strategies and concealment methods have to be taken into account in designing safeguards implementation strategies so as to provide sufficient opportunities for the IAEA to observe such anomalies. The safeguards approach for each facility will make a different use of these procedures, equipment and instrumentation according to the various diversion strategies which could be applicable to that facility and according to the detection and inspection goals which are applied. Postulated pathways sets of scenarios comprise those elements of diversion strategies which might be carried out at a facility or across a State's fuel cycle with declared or undeclared activities. All such factors, however, contain a degree of fuzziness that need a human judgment to make the ultimate conclusion that all material is being used for peaceful purposes. Safeguards has been traditionally based on verification of declared material and facilities using material accountancy as a fundamental measure. The strength of material accountancy is based on the fact that it allows to detect any diversion independent of the diversion route taken. Material accountancy detects a diversion after it actually happened and thus is powerless to physically prevent it and can only deter by the risk of early detection any contemplation by State authorities to carry out a diversion. Recently the IAEA has been faced with new challenges. To deal with these, various measures are being reconsidered to strengthen the safeguards system such as enhanced assessment of the completeness of the State's initial declaration of nuclear material and installations under its jurisdiction enhanced monitoring and analysis of open information and analysis of open information that may indicate inconsistencies with the State's safeguards obligations. Precise information vital for such enhanced assessments and analyses is normally not available or, if available, difficult and expensive collection of information would be necessary. Above all, realistic appraisal of truth needs sound human judgment.

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