• Title/Summary/Keyword: a error model

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Human Error Probability Assessment During Maintenance Activities of Marine Systems

  • Islam, Rabiul;Khan, Faisal;Abbassi, Rouzbeh;Garaniya, Vikram
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.42-52
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    • 2018
  • Background: Maintenance operations on-board ships are highly demanding. Maintenance operations are intensive activities requiring high man-machine interactions in challenging and evolving conditions. The evolving conditions are weather conditions, workplace temperature, ship motion, noise and vibration, and workload and stress. For example, extreme weather condition affects seafarers' performance, increasing the chances of error, and, consequently, can cause injuries or fatalities to personnel. An effective human error probability model is required to better manage maintenance on-board ships. The developed model would assist in developing and maintaining effective risk management protocols. Thus, the objective of this study is to develop a human error probability model considering various internal and external factors affecting seafarers' performance. Methods: The human error probability model is developed using probability theory applied to Bayesian network. The model is tested using the data received through the developed questionnaire survey of >200 experienced seafarers with >5 years of experience. The model developed in this study is used to find out the reliability of human performance on particular maintenance activities. Results: The developed methodology is tested on the maintenance of marine engine's cooling water pump for engine department and anchor windlass for deck department. In the considered case studies, human error probabilities are estimated in various scenarios and the results are compared between the scenarios and the different seafarer categories. The results of the case studies for both departments are also compared. Conclusion: The developed model is effective in assessing human error probabilities. These probabilities would get dynamically updated as and when new information is available on changes in either internal (i.e., training, experience, and fatigue) or external (i.e., environmental and operational conditions such as weather conditions, workplace temperature, ship motion, noise and vibration, and workload and stress) factors.

A Study on the Machining Error Characteristics in Ball-End Milling of Surface (곡면의 볼 엔드밀 가공에서 가공오차 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Sim, Ki-Joung;Yu, Jong-Sun;Yu, Ki-Hyun;Cheong, Chin-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2004
  • Machining error is defined the normal distance between designed surface and actual tool path with tool deflection. This is inevitably caused by the tool deflection, tool wear, thermal effect and machine tool errors and so on. Among these factors, tool deflection is usually known as the most significant factor of machining error. Tool deflection problem is analyzed using Instantaneous horizontal cutting forces. The high quality and precision of machining products are required in finishing. In order to achieve these purposes, it is necessary work that decrease the machining error. This paper presents a study on the machining error caused by the tool deflection in ball end milling of 2 dimensional surface. Tool deflection model and simple machining error prediction model are described. This model is checked the validity with machining experiments of 2 dimensional surface. These results may be used to decrease machining error and tool path decision.

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A Robust Nonlinear Control Using the Neural Network Model on System Uncertainty (시스템의 불확실성에 대한 신경망 모델을 통한 강인한 비선형 제어)

  • 이수영;정명진
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.838-847
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    • 1994
  • Although there is an analytical proof of modeling capability of the neural network, the convergency error in nonlinearity modeling is inevitable, since the steepest descent based practical larning algorithms do not guarantee the convergency of modeling error. Therefore, it is difficult to apply the neural network to control system in critical environments under an on-line learning scheme. Although the convergency of modeling error of a neural network is not guatranteed in the practical learning algorithms, the convergency, or boundedness of tracking error of the control system can be achieved if a proper feedback control law is combined with the neural network model to solve the problem of modeling error. In this paper, the neural network is introduced for compensating a system uncertainty to control a nonlinear dynamic system. And for suppressing inevitable modeling error of the neural network, an iterative neural network learning control algorithm is proposed as a virtual on-line realization of the Adaptive Variable Structure Controller. The efficiency of the proposed control scheme is verified from computer simulation on dynamics control of a 2 link robot manipulator.

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Nonlinear Damper Model for the Quantification of joint Mechanical Properties (관절계 역학적 특성의 정량화를 위한 비선형 댐퍼모델)

  • EOM Gwang-Moon;LEE Chang-Han;KIM Chul-Seung;Heo Ji-Un
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.188-193
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this paper is to develop a more precise damper model of the joint for the quantification of the joint mechanical properties. We modified the linear damper model of a knee joint model to nonlinear one. The normalized RMS errors between the simulated and measured joint angle trajectories during passive pendulum test became smaller with the nonlinear damper model than those of the linear one which indicates the nonlinear damper model is better in precision and accuracy. The error between the experimental and simulated knee joint moment also reduced with the nonlinear damper model. The reduction in both the trajectory error and the moment error was significant at the latter part of the pendulum test where the joint angular velocity was small. The nonlinearity of the damper was significantly greater at thin subject group and this indicates the nonlinearity is a useful index of joint mechanical properties.

Speed-Sensorless Control of an Induction Motor using Model Reference Adaptive Fuzzy System (기준 모델 적응 퍼지 시스템을 이용한 유도전동기의 속도 센서리스 제어)

  • Choi, Sung-Dae;Kang, Sung-Ho;Ko, Bong-Woon;Nam, Hoon-Hyon;Kim, Lark-Kyo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2002.07d
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    • pp.2064-2066
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    • 2002
  • This paper proposes Model Reference Adaptive Fuzzy System(MRAFS) using Fuzzy Logic Controller(FLC) as a adaptive laws in Model Reference Adaptive System(MRAS) in order to realize the speed-sensorless control of an induction motor. MRAFS estimates the speed of an induction motor with a rotor flux of a reference model and adjustable model in MRAS. Fuzzy logic controller reduces the error of the rotor flux between the reference model and the adjustable model using the error and the change of error as the input of FLC. The computer simulation is executed to verify the propriety and the effectiveness of the proposed system.

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A posteriori error estimator for hierarchical models for elastic bodies with thin domain

  • Cho, Jin-Rae
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.513-529
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    • 1999
  • A concept of hierarchical modeling, the newest modeling technology, has been introduced in early 1990's. This new technology has a great potential to advance the capabilities of current computational mechanics. A first step to implement this concept is to construct hierarchical models, a family of mathematical models sequentially connected by a key parameter of the problem under consideration and have different levels in modeling accuracy, and to investigate characteristics in their numerical simulation aspects. Among representative model problems to explore this concept are elastic structures such as beam-, arch-, plate- and shell-like structures because the mechanical behavior through the thickness can be approximated with sequential accuracy by varying the order of thickness polynomials in the displacement or stress fields. But, in the numerical, analysis of hierarchical models, two kinds of errors prevail, the modeling error and the numerical approximation error. To ensure numerical simulation quality, an accurate estimation of these two errors is definitely essential. Here, a local a posteriori error estimator for elastic structures with thin domain such as plate- and shell-like structures is derived using the element residuals and the flux balancing technique. This method guarantees upper bounds for the global error, and also provides accurate local error indicators for two types of errors, in the energy norm. Compared to the classical error estimators using the flux averaging technique, this shows considerably reliable and accurate effectivity indices. To illustrate the theoretical results and to verify the validity of the proposed error estimator, representative numerical examples are provided.

eLoran Navigation Algorithm Considering Errors Proportional to the Range (거리에 비례하는 오차를 고려한 eLoran 항법 알고리즘)

  • Song, Se-Phil;Choi, Heon-Ho;Kim, Young-Baek;Lee, Sang-Jeong;Park, Chan-Sik
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.60 no.12
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    • pp.2326-2332
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    • 2011
  • eLoran is enhanced Loran-C and eLoran is researched for as GPS backup system because this system is resistant to signal interference and has high accuracy. TOA measurements of eLoran include errors proportional to the range such as PF, SF, ASF and EF. Therefore these error factors must be compensated for improved accuracy of position. Generally, error models or GPS aided compensation methods are used, but these methods are limited by lack of infrastructure or system performance. Therefore, this paper proposes new model of error factors included in eLoran TOA measurements and navigation algorithm using this model. Error factors in this model are sum of a certain size of error and error proportional to the range. And feasibility and performance of proposed navigation algorithm are verified by using raw measurements.

ERROR PROPAGATION ANALYSIS FOR IN-ORBIT GOCI RADIOMETRIC CALIBRATION

  • Kang, Gm-Sil;Youn, Heong-Sik
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.92-95
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    • 2008
  • The Geostationary Ocean Color Imager (GOCI) is under development to provide a monitoring of ocean-color around the Korean Peninsula from geostationary platforms. It is planned to be loaded on Communication, Ocean, and Meteorological Satellite (COMS) of Korea. The GOCI has been designed to provide multi-spectral data to detect, monitor, quantify, and predict short term changes of coastal ocean environment for marine science research and application purpose. The target area of GOCI observation covers sea area around the Korean Peninsula. Based on the nonlinear radiometric model, the GOCI calibration method has been derived. The radiometric model of GOCI has been validated through radiometric ground test. From this ground test result, GOCI radiometric model has been changed from second order to third order. In this paper, the radiometric test performed to evaluate the radiometric nonlinearity is described and the GOCI radiometric error propagation is analyzed. The GOCI radiometric calibration is based on onboard calibration devices; solar diffuser, DAMD (Diffuser Aging Monitoring Device). The radiometric model error due to the dark current nonlinearity is considered as a systematic error. Also the offset correction error due to gain/offset instability is considered. The radiometric accuracy depends mainly on the ground characterization accuracies of solar diffuser and DAMD.

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Development of a Hybrid Exponential Forecasting Model for Household Electric Power Consumption (가정용(家庭用) 전력수요예측(電力需要豫測)을 위(爲)한 혼합지표(混合指表) 모델의 개발(開發))

  • Hwang, Hak;Kim, Jun-Sik
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.21-31
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    • 1981
  • This paper develops a short term forecasting model for household electric power consumption in Seoul, which can be used for the effective planning and control of utility management. The model developed is based on exponentially weighted moving average model and incorporates monthly average temperature as an exogeneous factor so as to enhance its forecasting accuracy. The model is empirically compared with the Winters' three parameter model which is widely used in practice and the Box-Jenkins model known to be one of the most accurate short term forecasting techniques. The result indicates that the developed hybrid exponential model is better in terms of accuracy measured by average forecast error, mean squared error, and autocorrelated error.

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Modeling and Compensatory Control of Thermal Error for the Machine Orgin of Machine Tools (공작기계 원점 열변형오차의 모델링 및 보상제어)

  • 정성종
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Technology Engineers
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.19-28
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    • 1999
  • In order to control thermal deformation of the machine origin of machine tools a empirical model and a compensation system have been developed, Prior to empirical modeling the volumetric error considering shape errors and joint errors of slides is formulated through the homogeneous transformation matrix (HTM) and kinematic chain. Simulation results of the HTM method show that the thermal error of the machine origin is more critical than position-dependent errors. In order to make a stable and effective software error compensation system the GMDH (Group Method of Data Handling) models are constructed to estimate the thermal deformation of the machine origin by measuring deformation data and temperature data. A test bar and gap sensors are used to measure the deformation data. In order to compensate the estimated error the work origin shift method is developed by implementing a digital I/O interface board between a CNC controller and an IBM PC. The method shifts the work origin as much as the amounts which are calculated by the pre-established thermal error model. The experiment results for a vertical machining center show that the thermal deformation of the machine origin is reduced within $\pm$5$mu extrm{m}$.

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