• Title/Summary/Keyword: Wind Estimation

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Study on vertical variation of horizontal wind energy resources distribution using clustering analysis (군집분석을 통한 풍력자원 수평 공간 분포의 연직 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Min-Jung;Lee, Hwa-Woon;Lee, Soon-Hwan;Kim, Dong-Hyuk;Jung, Woo-Sik;Kim, Hyun-Goo
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2009.06a
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    • pp.554-556
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    • 2009
  • Wind classification for exact estimation of wind energy resources was carried out using numerically simulated wind data for three years. The MM5(a fifth-generation Mesoscale Model), developed at Penn State University and the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), was used to estimate the wind fields in this study. We also use a variant of the K-mean clustering to classify the wind district and define the relation between districts. Wind estimated at surface and 100 m high at Busan area is classified into the 10 and 7 classes, respectively. These discrepancies of wind districts pattern at surface and upper air meteorological data indicates the quantity of wind resources can be changed according to the level of wind data used in estimation. Therefore, the estimation of wind district classification by reasonable wind data is utilized to build the effective policy for wind energy dissemination.

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Numerical Study on the Impact of the Spatial Resolution of Wind Map in the Korean Peninsula on the Accuracy of Wind Energy Resources Estimation (한반도 풍력 자원 지도의 공간 해상도가 풍력자원 예측 정확도에 미치는 영향에 관한 수치연구)

  • Lee, Soon-Hwan;Lee, Hwa-Woon;Kim, Dong-Hyuk;Kim, Min-Jung;Kim, Hyun-Goo
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.18 no.8
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    • pp.885-897
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    • 2009
  • In order to make sure the impact of spatial resolution of wind energy map on the estimation of wind power density in the Korean Peninsula, the comparison studies on the characteristics of wind energy map with three different spatial resolutions were carried out. Numerical model used in the establishment of wind map is MM5 (5th generation Mesoscale Model) with RBAPS (Regional Data Assimilation and Prediction System) as initial and boundary data. Analyzed Period are four months (March, August, October, and December), which are representative of four seasons. Since high spatial resolution of wind map make the undulation of topography be clear, wind pattern in high resolution wind map is correspond well with topography pattern and maximum value of wind speed is also increase. Indication of island and mountains in wind energy map depends on the its spatial resolution, so wind patterns in Heuksan island and Jiri mountains are clearly different in high and low resolutions. And area averaged power density can be changed by estimation method of wind speed for unit area in the numerical model and by treatment of air density. Therefore the studiable resolution for the topography should be evaluated and set before the estimation of wind resources in the Korean Peninsula.

Wind and Airspeed Error Estimation with GPS and Pitot-static System for Small UAV

  • Park, Sanghyuk
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.344-351
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    • 2017
  • This paper presents a method to estimate steady wind and airspeed bias error using an aircraft with GPS and airspeed sensor. The estimation uses the vector relation between the inertial, air, and wind velocities through a novel design of an extended Kalman filter. The observability analysis is also presented to show that the aircraft is required to keep changing its flight direction for the desired observability. The feasibility and performance of the proposed algorithm is demonstrated through simulations and flight experiments.

Low-Resolution Wind Mapping For Estimation of Wind Resource Potential (풍력자원 잠재량 산출을 위한 저해상도 바람지도 구축)

  • Kim, Hyun-Goo;Jang, Moon-Seok;Kyong, Nam-Ho
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.307-308
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    • 2006
  • The national goal of wind energy dissemination has to be determined rationally based on technically available wind resource potential. For a reliable and scientific estimation or wind resource potential, a wind map is requisite. This paper presents the national wind map of Korea established by numerical wind simulation. Prediction accuracy of the low-resolution wind map is Improved by nudging QuikSCAT data and is validated by comparing with marine buoy beacon and met-mast measurements. Therefore, quantification of national wind resource potential is now possible and is anticipating to be utilized as a core index for policy and strategy building of wind energy dissemination and technology development.

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Alternative robust estimation methods for parameters of Gumbel distribution: an application to wind speed data with outliers

  • Aydin, Demet
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.383-395
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    • 2018
  • An accurate determination of wind speed distribution is the basis for an evaluation of the wind energy potential required to design a wind turbine, so it is important to estimate unknown parameters of wind speed distribution. In this paper, Gumbel distribution is used in modelling wind speed data, and alternative robust estimation methods to estimate its parameters are considered. The methodologies used to obtain the estimators of the parameters are least absolute deviation, weighted least absolute deviation, median/MAD and least median of squares. The performances of the estimators are compared with traditional estimation methods (i.e., maximum likelihood and least squares) according to bias, mean square deviation and total mean square deviation criteria using a Monte-Carlo simulation study for the data with and without outliers. The simulation results show that least median of squares and median/MAD estimators are more efficient than others for data with outliers in many cases. However, median/MAD estimator is not consistent for location parameter of Gumbel distribution in all cases. In real data application, it is firstly demonstrated that Gumbel distribution fits the daily mean wind speed data well and is also better one to model the data than Weibull distribution with respect to the root mean square error and coefficient of determination criteria. Next, the wind data modified by outliers is analysed to show the performance of the proposed estimators by using numerical and graphical methods.

A Study on Estimation of Wind Power Generation using Weather Data in Jeju Island (기상관측자료를 이용한 제주도 풍력단지의 풍력발전량 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Goo-Hyun;Kim, Ki-Su;Kim, Jae-Chul;Song, Kyung-Bin
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.12
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    • pp.2349-2353
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    • 2009
  • Due to high oil price and global warming of the earth, investments for renewable energy have been increased a lot continuously. Specially, wind power has been received a great attention in the world. In order to construct a new wind farm, forecasting of wind power generation is essential for a feasibility test. This paper investigates wind velocity measurement data of Gosan weather station which located in Hankyung of Jeju island. This paper presents results of estimation of wind power generation using digital weather forecast provided from Korea meteorological administration, and the accuracy of the wind power forecasting by comparison between forecasted data and actual wind power data.

Extreme wind speeds from multiple wind hazards excluding tropical cyclones

  • Lombardo, Franklin T.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.467-480
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    • 2014
  • The estimation of wind speed values used in codes and standards is an integral part of the wind load evaluation process. In a number of codes and standards, wind speeds outside of tropical cyclone prone regions are estimated using a single probability distribution developed from observed wind speed data, with no distinction made between the types of causal wind hazard (e.g., thunderstorm). Non-tropical cyclone wind hazards (i.e., thunderstorm, non-thunderstorm) have been shown to possess different probability distributions and estimation of non-tropical cyclone wind speeds based on a single probability distribution has been shown to underestimate wind speeds. Current treatment of non-tropical cyclone wind hazards in worldwide codes and standards is touched upon in this work. Meteorological data is available at a considerable number of United States (U.S.) stations that have information on wind speed as well as the type of causal wind hazard. In this paper, probability distributions are fit to distinct storm types (i.e., thunderstorm and non-thunderstorm) and the results of these distributions are compared to fitting a single probability distribution to all data regardless of storm type (i.e., co-mingled). Distributions fitted to data separated by storm type and co-mingled data will also be compared to a derived (i.e., "mixed") probability distribution considering multiple storm types independently. This paper will analyze two extreme value distributions (e.g., Gumbel, generalized Pareto). It is shown that mixed probability distribution, on average, is a more conservative measure for extreme wind speed estimation. Using a mixed distribution is especially conservative in situations where a given wind speed value for either storm type has a similar probability of occurrence, and/or when a less frequent storm type produces the highest overall wind speeds. U.S. areas prone to multiple non-tropical cyclone wind hazards are identified.

Wind-induced dynamic response and its load estimation for structural frames of single-layer latticed domes with long spans

  • Uematsu, Yasushi;Sone, Takayuki;Yamada, Motohiko;Hongo, Takeshi
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.5 no.6
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    • pp.543-562
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    • 2002
  • The main purpose of this study is to discuss the design wind loads for the structural frames of single-layer latticed domes with long spans. First, wind pressures are measured simultaneously at many points on dome models in a wind tunnel. Then, the dynamic response of several models is analyzed in the time domain, using the pressure data obtained from the wind tunnel experiment. The nodal displacements and the resultant member stresses are computed at each time step. The results indicate that the dome's dynamic response is generally dominated by such vibration modes that contribute to the static response significantly. Furthermore, the dynamic response is found to be almost quasi-static. Then, a series of quasi-static analyses, in which the inertia and damping terms are neglected, is made for a wide range of the dome's geometry. Based on the results, a discussion is made of the design wind load. It is found that a gust effect factor approach can be used for the load estimation. Finally, an empirical formula for the gust effect factor and a simple model of the pressure coefficient distribution are provided.

Damage Estimation Method for Monopile Support Structure of Offshore Wind Turbine (모노파일 형식 해상풍력발전기 지지구조물의 손상추정기법)

  • Kim, Sang-Ryul;Lee, Jong-Won;Kim, Bong-Ki;Lee, Jun-Shin
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.22 no.7
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    • pp.667-675
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    • 2012
  • A damage estimation method for support structure of offshore wind turbine using modal parameters is presented for effective structural health monitoring. Natural frequencies and mode shapes for a support structure with monopile of an offshore wind turbine were calculated considering soil condition and added mass. A neural network was learned based on training patterns generated by the changes of natural frequency and mode shape due to various damages. Natural frequencies and mode shapes for 10 prospective damage cases were input to the trained neural network for damage estimation. The identified damage locations and severities agreed reasonably well with the accurate damages. Multi-damage cases could also be successfully estimated. Enhancement of estimation result using another parameters as input to neural network will be carried out by further study. Proposed method could be applied to other type of support structure of offshore wind turbine for structural health monitoring.

Estimation of Wind Speeds for Return Period in Cellularized District of Basan by the Recent Meteorological Data (최근 기상 자료에 의한 부산의 세분화된 지역별 재현기대 풍속 산정)

  • An, Jae-Hyeok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.158-163
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    • 2012
  • This study is concerned with the estimation of wind speeds for return period in cellularized district of Busan by the recent meteorological data. Recently standard of the wind load in Busan area is determined by using meteorological wind speed data which is observed on Automated Synoptic Observing System(ASOS) only. Applying the existing basic wind speed that is 40m/s to the construction design of Busan area is inefficient. Because the wind speeds of Busan area show different amounts depend on the location of cellularized district. This research analyze the observed data of wind speeds of cellularized district in Busan based on Automate Weather System(AWA). In addition that we compute regional wind speeds for return period by using Gumbel distribution and study and compare with the existing basic wind speeds after evaluating appropriateness by Hazen's plot method.