• Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
• /
• v.9 no.6
• /
• pp.693-698
• /
• 2003

Every baseball game generates various records and on the basis of those records, win/lose prediction about the next game is carried out. Researches on win/lose predictions of professional baseball games have been carried out, but there are not so good results yet. Win/lose prediction is very difficult because the choice of features on win/lose predictions among many records is difficult and because the complexity of a learning model is increased due to overlapping factors among the data used in prediction. In this paper, learning features were chosen by opinions of baseball experts and a heuristic function was formed using the chosen features. We propose a hybrid model by creating a new value which can affect predictions by combining multiple features, and thus reducing a dimension of input value which will be used for backpropagation learning algorithm. As the experimental results show, the complexity of backpropagation was reduced and the accuracy of win/lose predictions on professional baseball games was improved.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
• /
• v.24 no.2
• /
• pp.17-24
• /
• 2019

In this paper, we propose a new model for predicting effective Win/Loss in professional baseball game in Korea using machine learning technique. we used basic baseball data and Sabermetrics data, which are highly correlated with score to predict and we used the deep learning technique to learn based on supervised learning. The Drop-Out algorithm and the ReLu activation function In the trained neural network, the expected odds was calculated using the predictions of the team's expected scores and expected loss. The team with the higher expected rate of victory was predicted as the winning team. In order to verify the effectiveness of the proposed model, we compared the actual percentage of win, pythagorean expectation, and win percentage of the proposed model.

• The KIPS Transactions:PartB
• /
• v.10B no.3
• /
• pp.281-286
• /
• 2003

A large number of features are collected for problem solving in real life, but to utilize ail the features collected would be difficult. It is not so easy to collect of correct data about all features. In case it takes advantage of all collected data to learn, complicated learning model is created and good performance result can't get. Also exist interrelationships or hierarchical relations among the features. We can reduce feature's number analyzing relation among the features using heuristic knowledge or statistical method. Heuristic technique refers to learning through repetitive trial and errors and experience. Experts can approach to relevant problem domain through opinion collection process by experience. These properties can be utilized to reduce the number of feature used in learning. Experts generate a new feature (highly abstract) using raw data. This paper describes machine learning model that reduce the number of features used in learning using heuristic function and use abstracted feature by neural network's input value. We have applied this model to the win/lose prediction in pro-baseball games. The result shows the model mixing two techniques not only reduces the complexity of the neural network model but also significantly improves the classification accuracy than when neural network and heuristic model are used separately.