• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weather generator

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Areal Reduction Factor according to Storm Scale (일단위의 호우규모에 따른 면적감소계수)

  • Kim, Nam-Won;Lee, Jeong-Eun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.273-273
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    • 2012
  • 최근 기후변화에 따른 수자원 평가를 위해 장기유출모형이 적극 활용되고 있다. 또한, 장기유출모형의 입력자료인 기후변화 시나리오를 적용한 수문학적 기상자료 생성을 위해 추계학적 기상모형(Stochastic weather generator)이 이용되고 있다. 이러한 장기유출모형의 수문학적 프로세스, 기상모형의 결과는 일단위에 기초하고 있다. 특히, 입력자료로 이용되는 강우량은 대상유역 단위의 면적강우량 산정, 즉 실제 강우의 공간적 특성이 반영된 강우생성이 무엇보다 중요한 것으로 판단된다. 따라서, 추계학적 기상모형을 이용하여 강우생성시, 강우의 공간적 특성이 고려된 호우(Storm) 생성이 중요하다. 이러한 호우생성을 위해 호우규모에 따른 면적감소계수에 대한 분석이 요구된다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 충주댐 유역을 대상으로 일단위의 동시강우 자료를 수집하여, 호우규모에 따른 면적감소계수의 특성을 파악하여 논의하였다.

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Future subsurface drainage in the light of climate change in Daegu, South Korea (기후변화에 따른 대구지역 지하배수 전망)

  • Nkomozepi, Temba;Chung, Sang-Ok
    • Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 2012
  • Over the last century, drainage systems have become an integral component of agriculture. Climate observations and experiments using General circulation models suggest an intensification of the hydrologic cycle due to climate change. This study presents hydrologic simulations assessing the potential impact of climate change on subsurface drainage in Daegu, Republic of Korea. Historical and Long Ashton Research Station weather generator perturbed future climate data from 15 general circulation models for a field in Daegu were ran into a water management simulation model, DRAINMOD. The trends and variability in rainfall and Soil Excess Water ($SEW_{30}$) were assessed from 1960 to 2100. Rainfall amount and intensity were predicted to increase in the future. The predicted annual subsurface drainage flow varied from -35 to 40 % of the baseline value while the $SEW_{30}$ varied from -50 to 100%. The expected increases in subsurface drainage outflow require that more attention be given to soil and water conservation practices.

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Generating global warming scenarios with probability weighted resampling and its implication in precipitation with nonparametric weather generator

  • Lee, Taesam;Park, Taewoong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.226-226
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    • 2015
  • The complex climate system regarding human actions is well represented through global climate models (GCMs). The output from GCMs provides useful information about the rate and magnitude of future climate change. Especially, the temperature variable is most reliable among other GCM outputs. However, hydrological variables (e.g. precipitation) from GCM outputs for future climate change contain too high uncertainty to use in practice. Therefore, we propose a method that simulates temperature variable with increasing in a certain level (e.g. 0.5oC or 1.0oC increase) as a global warming scenario from observed data. In addition, a hydrometeorological variable can be simulated employing block-wise sampling technique associated with the temperature simulation. The proposed method was tested for assessing the future change of the seasonal precipitation in South Korea under global warming scenario. The results illustrate that the proposed method is a good alternative to levy the variation of hydrological variables under global warming condition.

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CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT OVER INDIAN AGRICULTURE - A SPATIAL MODELING APPROACH

  • Priya, Satya;Shibasaki, Ryosuke
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 1999.11a
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 1999
  • The large-scale distribution of crops Is usually determined by climate. We present the results of a climate-crop prediction based on spatial bio-physical process model approach, implemented in a GIS (Geographic Information System) environment using several regional and global agriculture-environmental databases. The model utilizes daily climate data like temperature, rainfall, solar radiation being generated stocastically by in-built model weather generator to determine the daily biomass and finally the crop yield. Crops are characterized by their specific growing period requirements, photosynthesis, respiration properties and harvesting index properties. Temperature and radiation during the growing period controls the development of each crop. The model simulates geographic/spatial distribution of climate by which a crop-growing belt can also be determined. The model takes both irrigated and non-irrigated area crop productivity into account and the potential increase in productivity by the technical means like mechanization is not considered. All the management input given at the base year 1995 was kept same for the next twenty-year changes until 2015. The simulated distributions of crops under current climatic conditions coincide largely with the current agricultural or specific crop growing regions. Simulation with assumed weather generated derived climate change scenario illustrate changes in the agricultural potential. There are large regional differences in the response across the country. The north-south and east-west regions responded differently with projected climate changes with increased and decreased productivity depending upon the crops and scenarios separately. When water was limiting or facilitating as non-irrigated and irrigated area crop-production effects of temperature rise and higher $CO_2$ levels were different depending on the crops and accordingly their production. Rise in temperature led to yield reduction in case of maize and rice whereas a gain was observed for wheat crop, doubled $CO_2$ concentration enhanced yield for all crops and their several combinations behaved differently with increase or decrease in yields. Finally, with this spatial modeling approach we succeeded in quantifying the crop productivity which may bring regional disparities under the different climatic scenarios where one region may become better off and the other may go worse off.

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A design of Hybrid power generation system for Ocean facilities (해양시설물용 하이브리드 발전시스템 설계)

  • Jung, Sung-Young;Oh, Jin-Seok
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.381-385
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    • 2009
  • Generally power system of ocean facility composes a solar generation system.The power to be generated by the solar system is changed according to the amount of sunlight of weather conditions. Output power of solar system is decreased with weather condition such as cloudy day and rainy day. And the power shortage of the ocean facility can occur due to the lack of solar energy. To solve this problem, this paper proposes the power control system for solar-wave hybrid system Wave generation system consists of wells turbine and permanent magnet synchronous generator(PMSG). This propose system set the specific area and measures the solar generation power and wave generation power. As a result of experiment, the solar power is a more static source than wave power, but the wave power provides energy during periods of no sunshine. The power characteristic of propose hybrid system have been obtained high reliability than a solar generation system.

Evaluation of Hybrid Downscaling Method Combined Regional Climate Model with Step-Wise Scaling Method (RCM과 단계적 스케일링기법을 연계한 혼합 상세화기법의 적용성 평가)

  • Lee, Moon Hwan;Bae, Deg Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.6
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    • pp.585-596
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    • 2013
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate the hybrid downscaling method combined Step-Wise Scaling (SWS) method with Regional Climate Model (RCM) simulation data for climate change impact study on hydrology area. The SWS method is divided by 3 categories (extreme event, dry event and the others). The extreme events, wet-dry days and the others are corrected by using regression method, quantile mapping method, mean & variance scaling method. The application and evaluation of SWS method with 3 existing and popular statistical techniques (linear scaling method, quantile mapping method and weather generator method) were performed at the 61 weather stations. At the results, the accuracy of corrected simulation data by using SWS are higher than existing 3 statistical techniques. It is expected that the usability of SWS method will grow up on climate change study when the use of RCM simulation data are increasing.

Analysis of prediction model for solar power generation (태양광 발전을 위한 발전량 예측 모델 분석)

  • Song, Jae-Ju;Jeong, Yoon-Su;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.243-248
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    • 2014
  • Recently, solar energy is expanding to combination of computing in real time by tracking the position of the sun to estimate the angle of inclination and make up freshly correcting a part of the solar radiation. Solar power is need that reliably linked technology to power generation system renewable energy in order to efficient power production that is difficult to output predict based on the position of the sun rise. In this paper, we analysis of prediction model for solar power generation to estimate the predictive value of solar power generation in the development of real-time weather data. Photovoltaic power generation input the correction factor such as temperature, module characteristics by the solar generator module and the location of the local angle of inclination to analyze the predictive power generation algorithm for the prediction calculation to predict the final generation. In addition, the proposed model in real-time national weather service forecast for medium-term and real-time observations used as input data to perform the short-term prediction models.

Development of 10 kW Dish-Stirling System for Commercialization and Analysis of Operating Characteristics (10 kW급 접시형 태양열발전시스템 사업모델 개발 및 운전특성 분석)

  • Kim, Jong-Kyu;Lee, Sang-Nam;Kang, Yong-Heack
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.118-124
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    • 2010
  • In order to develop commercial model of 10kW dish-Stirling solar thermal power system, modification for the exiting facility was taken for a year as a Leading Project in KIER. During the project, solar tracking system, control and monitoring system and high durability reflector were developed and long term operation were performed. The solar tracking system was tested for four months to investigate the degree of precision and adapted to the control system for an actual operation from October in 2009. The sun tracking accuracy of ${\pm}4$ mrad using modified control system was obtained and the system operated successfully during the experimental period. The monitoring system displays engine pressure, electric generation amounts, generator RPM, receiver temperatures, and etc. from Stirling engine and weather data of Direct Normal Irradiation, Horizontal Global Insolation, wind speed & direction, and atmosphere temperature from weather station. According to the operating results in a clear sky day, electric power of 6,890 W was generated at the DNI value of 850 W/$m^2$ and the averaged solar-to-electricity efficiency during a whole day reached to 18.99%. From the overall operating results, linear power generation trend could be observed with increasing DNI value. The solar-to-electricity efficiency achieved to 19% around the DNI value of 700 W/$m^2$ and increased to 20% when the DNI value goes up to 900 W/$m^2$.

A Development of DDS Based Chirp Signal Generator and X-Band Transmitter-Receiver for Small SAR Sensor (DDS 기반의 소형 SAR 시스템 송수신장비 개발)

  • Song, Kyoung-Min;Lee, Ki-Woong;Lee, Chang-Hyun;Lee, Woo-Kyung;Lee, Myeong-Jin
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.326-329
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    • 2016
  • UAVs(Unmanned Aerial Vehicle) can be used in variant fields fornot only combat, but also recon, observation and exploration. Moreover, UAVs capacity can be expanded to impossible missions for existing surveillance system such as SAR(Synthetic Aperture Radar) technology that collecting images from all weather conditions. In recent days, with development of highly efficient IC and lightened system technology, there are significant increase of researches and demands to make SAR sensor as a payload of UAV. Therefore, this paper contains development process and results of small signal generator and RF device as a core module of SAR system based on the digital device of DDS.

Characteristics of Noise Emission from Wind Turbine Generator According to Methods of Power Regulation (파워 조절 방법에 따른 풍력 터번 발전기의 방사 소음 특성)

  • Jung, Sung-Soo;Cheung, Wan-Sup;Shin, Su-Hyun;Chun, Se-Jong;Choi, Yong-Moon;Cheong, Cheol-Ung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.941-945
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    • 2006
  • In the development of electricity generating wind turbines for wind farm application, only two types have survived as the methods of power regulation; stall regulation and fun span pitch control. The sound measurement procedures of IEC 61400-11 are applied to field test and evaluation of noise emission from each of 1.5 MW and 660 kW wind turbine generators (WTG) utilizing the stall regulation and the pitch control for the power regulation, respectively. Apparent sound power level, wind speed dependence and third-octave band levels are evaluated for both of WTGs. It is found that while 1.5 MW WTG using the stall control is found to emit lower sound power than 660 kW one using the pitch control at low wind speed (below 8 m/s), sound power from the former becomes greater than that of the latter in the higher wind speed. Equivalent continuous sound pressure levels (ECSPL) of the stall control type of WTG vary more widely with wind speed than those of the pitch control type of WTG These characteristics are believed to be strongly dependent on the basic difference of the airflow around the blade between the stall regulation and the pitch control types of WTG. These characteristics according to the methods of power regulation lead to the very different noise emission characteristics of WTG depending on the seasons because the average wind speed in summer is lower than the critical velocity over which the airflow on the suction side of blade in the stall types of WT are separated. These results propose that, in view of environmental noise regulation, the developer of wind farm should give enough considerations to the choice of power regulation of their WTG based on the weather conditions of potential wind farm locations.

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