• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weather features

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Predicting the Power Output of Solar Panels based on Weather and Air Pollution Features using Machine Learning

  • Chuluunsaikhan, Tserenpurev;Nasridinov, Aziz;Choi, Woo Seok;Choi, Da Bin;Choi, Sang Hyun;Kim, Young Myoung
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.222-232
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    • 2021
  • The power output of solar panels highly depends on environmental situations like weather and air pollution. Due to bad weather or air pollution, it is difficult for solar panels to operate at their full potential. Knowing the power output of solar panels in advance helps set up the solar panels correctly and work their possible potential. This paper presents an approach to predict the power output of solar panels based on weather and air pollution features using machine learning methods. We create machine learning models with three kinds set of features, such as weather, air pollution, and weather and air pollution. Our datasets are collected from the area of Seoul, South Korea, between 2017 and 2019. The experimental results show that the weather and air pollution features can be efficient factors to predict the power output of solar panels.

Weather Recognition Based on 3C-CNN

  • Tan, Ling;Xuan, Dawei;Xia, Jingming;Wang, Chao
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.14 no.8
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    • pp.3567-3582
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    • 2020
  • Human activities are often affected by weather conditions. Automatic weather recognition is meaningful to traffic alerting, driving assistance, and intelligent traffic. With the boost of deep learning and AI, deep convolutional neural networks (CNN) are utilized to identify weather situations. In this paper, a three-channel convolutional neural network (3C-CNN) model is proposed on the basis of ResNet50.The model extracts global weather features from the whole image through the ResNet50 branch, and extracts the sky and ground features from the top and bottom regions by two CNN5 branches. Then the global features and the local features are merged by the Concat function. Finally, the weather image is classified by Softmax classifier and the identification result is output. In addition, a medium-scale dataset containing 6,185 outdoor weather images named WeatherDataset-6 is established. 3C-CNN is used to train and test both on the Two-class Weather Images and WeatherDataset-6. The experimental results show that 3C-CNN achieves best on both datasets, with the average recognition accuracy up to 94.35% and 95.81% respectively, which is superior to other classic convolutional neural networks such as AlexNet, VGG16, and ResNet50. It is prospected that our method can also work well for images taken at night with further improvement.

A Realtime Road Weather Recognition Method Using Support Vector Machine (Support Vector Machine을 이용한 실시간 도로기상 검지 방법)

  • Seo, Min-ho;Youk, Dong-bin;Park, Sae-rom;Jun, Jin-ho;Park, Jung-hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.23 no.6_2
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    • pp.1025-1032
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we propose a method to classify road weather conditions into rain, fog, and sun using a SVM (Support Vector Machine) classifier after extracting weather features from images acquired in real time using an optical sensor installed on a roadside post. A multi-dimensional weather feature vector consisting of factors such as image sharpeness, image entropy, Michelson contrast, MSCN (Mean Subtraction and Contrast Normalization), dark channel prior, image colorfulness, and local binary pattern as global features of weather-related images was extracted from road images, and then a road weather classifier was created by performing machine learning on 700 sun images, 2,000 rain images, and 1,000 fog images. Finally, the classification performance was tested for 140 sun images, 510 rain images, and 240 fog images. Overall classification performance is assessed to be applicable in real road services and can be enhanced further with optimization along with year-round data collection and training.

Review of Operational Multi-Scale Environment Model with Grid Adaptivity

  • Kang, Sung-Dae
    • Environmental Sciences Bulletin of The Korean Environmental Sciences Society
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    • v.10 no.S_1
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    • pp.23-28
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    • 2001
  • A new numerical weather prediction and dispersion model, the Operational Multi-scale Environment model with Grid Adaptivity(OMEGA) including an embedded Atmospheric Dispersion Model(ADM), is introduced as a next generation atmospheric simulation system for real-time hazard predictions, such as severe weather or the transport of hazardous release. OMEGA is based on an unstructured grid that can facilitate a continuously varying horizontal grid resolution ranging from 100 km down to 1 km and a vertical resolution from 20 -30 meters in the boundary layer to 1 km in the free atmosphere. OMEGA is also naturally scale spanning and time. In particular, the unstructured grid cells in the horizontal dimension can increase the local resolution to better capture the topography or important physical features of the atmospheric circulation and cloud dynamics. This means the OMEGA can readily adapt its grid to a stationary surface, terrain features, or dynamic features in an evolving weather pattern. While adaptive numerical techniques have yet to be extensively applied in atmospheric models, the OMEGA model is the first to exploit the adaptive nature of an unstructured gridding technique for atmospheric simulation and real-time hazard prediction. The purpose of this paper is to provide a detailed description of the OMEGA model, the OMEGA system, and a detailed comparison of OMEGA forecast results with observed data.

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Development of Surface Weather Forecast Model by using LSTM Machine Learning Method (기계학습의 LSTM을 적용한 지상 기상변수 예측모델 개발)

  • Hong, Sungjae;Kim, Jae Hwan;Choi, Dae Sung;Baek, Kanghyun
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.73-83
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    • 2021
  • Numerical weather prediction (NWP) models play an essential role in predicting weather factors, but using them is challenging due to various factors. To overcome the difficulties of NWP models, deep learning models have been deployed in weather forecasting by several recent studies. This study adapts long short-term memory (LSTM), which demonstrates remarkable performance in time-series prediction. The combination of LSTM model input of meteorological features and activation functions have a significant impact on the performance therefore, the results from 5 combinations of input features and 4 activation functions are analyzed in 9 Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) stations corresponding to cities/islands/mountains. The optimized LSTM model produces better performance within eight forecast hours than Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System (LDAPS) operated by Korean meteorological administration. Therefore, this study illustrates that this LSTM model can be usefully applied to very short-term weather forecasting, and further studies about CNN-LSTM model with 2-D spatial convolution neural network (CNN) coupled in LSTM are required for improvement.

A study of short-term load forecasting in consideration of the weather conditions (대기상태를 고려한 단기부하예측에 관한 연구)

  • 김준현;황갑주
    • 전기의세계
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.368-374
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    • 1982
  • This paper describes a combined algorithm for short-term-load forecating. One of the specific features of this algorithm is that the base, weather sensitive and residual components are predicted respectively. The base load is represented by the exponential smoothing approach and residual load is represented by the Box-Jenkins methodology. The weather sensitive load models are developed according to the information of temperature and discomfort index. This method was applied to Korea Electric Company and results for test periods up to three years are given.

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Classification of Weather Patterns in the East Asia Region using the K-means Clustering Analysis (K-평균 군집분석을 이용한 동아시아 지역 날씨유형 분류)

  • Cho, Young-Jun;Lee, Hyeon-Cheol;Lim, Byunghwan;Kim, Seung-Bum
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.451-461
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    • 2019
  • Medium-range forecast is highly dependent on ensemble forecast data. However, operational weather forecasters have not enough time to digest all of detailed features revealed in ensemble forecast data. To utilize the ensemble data effectively in medium-range forecasting, representative weather patterns in East Asia in this study are defined. The k-means clustering analysis is applied for the objectivity of weather patterns. Input data used daily Mean Sea Level Pressure (MSLP) anomaly of the ECMWF ReAnalysis-Interim (ERA-Interim) during 1981~2010 (30 years) provided by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Using the Explained Variance (EV), the optimal study area is defined by 20~60°N, 100~150°E. The number of clusters defined by Explained Cluster Variance (ECV) is thirty (k = 30). 30 representative weather patterns with their frequencies are summarized. Weather pattern #1 occurred all seasons, but it was about 56% in summer (June~September). The relatively rare occurrence of weather pattern (#30) occurred mainly in winter. Additionally, we investigate the relationship between weather patterns and extreme weather events such as heat wave, cold wave, and heavy rainfall as well as snowfall. The weather patterns associated with heavy rainfall exceeding 110 mm day-1 were #1, #4, and #9 with days (%) of more than 10%. Heavy snowfall events exceeding 24 cm day-1 mainly occurred in weather pattern #28 (4%) and #29 (6%). High and low temperature events (> 34℃ and < -14℃) were associated with weather pattern #1~4 (14~18%) and #28~29 (27~29%), respectively. These results suggest that the classification of various weather patterns will be used as a reference for grouping all ensemble forecast data, which will be useful for the scenario-based medium-range ensemble forecast in the future.

The History and Current Status of the Supercomputers in Institutions for Research and Forecast of Weather/Climate (기상/기후 연구 및 예보 기관의 슈퍼컴퓨터 보유 역사와 현황)

  • Joh, Minsu
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.141-157
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    • 2006
  • A revolution in weather and climate forecasting is in progress. This has been made possible as a result of theoretical advances in our understanding of the predictability of weather and climate, and by the extraordinary developments in supercomputer technology. New problem areas have been discovered and different solutions have been found by the recent high performance computers whose performance has been increased rapidly. Such advances in the computational performance may change the strategy of development of numerical models and prediction methods. This paper discusses a brief history and current status of the supercomputers in institutions for research and forecast of weather/climate. The main purpose of this study is to provide the preliminary information about supercomputers such as architecture of system and processor. Such information would be useful for meteorologists to understand the features and the preference of supercomputers in each institution.

Weather Prediction Using Artificial Neural Network

  • Ahmad, Abdul-Manan;Chuan, Chia-Su;Fatimah Mohamad
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2002.07a
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    • pp.262-264
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    • 2002
  • The characteristic features of Malaysia's climate is has stable temperature, with high humidity and copious rainfall. Weather forecasting is an important task in Malaysia as it could affetcs man irrespective of mans job, lifestyle and activities especially in the agriculture. In Malaysia, numerical method is the common used method to forecast weather which involves a complex of mathematical computing. The models used in forecasting are supplied by other counties such as Europe and Japan. The goal of this project is to forecast weather using another technology known as artificial neural network. This system is capable to learn the pattern of rainfall in order to produce a precise forecasting result. The supervised learning technique is used in the loaming process.

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Performance Comparison of Machine-learning Models for Analyzing Weather and Traffic Accident Correlations

  • Li Zi Xuan;Hyunho Yang
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.225-232
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    • 2023
  • Owing to advancements in intelligent transportation systems (ITS) and artificial-intelligence technologies, various machine-learning models can be employed to simulate and predict the number of traffic accidents under different weather conditions. Furthermore, we can analyze the relationship between weather and traffic accidents, allowing us to assess whether the current weather conditions are suitable for travel, which can significantly reduce the risk of traffic accidents. In this study, we analyzed 30000 traffic flow data points collected by traffic cameras at nearby intersections in Washington, D.C., USA from October 2012 to May 2017, using Pearson's heat map. We then predicted, analyzed, and compared the performance of the correlation between continuous features by applying several machine-learning algorithms commonly used in ITS, including random forest, decision tree, gradient-boosting regression, and support vector regression. The experimental results indicated that the gradient-boosting regression machine-learning model had the best performance.