• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weather classification

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Quantitative Flood Forecasting Using Remotely-Sensed Data and Neural Networks

  • Kim, Gwangseob
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2002
  • Accurate quantitative forecasting of rainfall for basins with a short response time is essential to predict streamflow and flash floods. Previously, neural networks were used to develop a Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting (QPF) model that highly improved forecasting skill at specific locations in Pennsylvania, using both Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) output and rainfall and radiosonde data. The objective of this study was to improve an existing artificial neural network model and incorporate the evolving structure and frequency of intense weather systems in the mid-Atlantic region of the United States for improved flood forecasting. Besides using radiosonde and rainfall data, the model also used the satellite-derived characteristics of storm systems such as tropical cyclones, mesoscale convective complex systems and convective cloud clusters as input. The convective classification and tracking system (CCATS) was used to identify and quantify storm properties such as life time, area, eccentricity, and track. As in standard expert prediction systems, the fundamental structure of the neural network model was learned from the hydroclimatology of the relationships between weather system, rainfall production and streamflow response in the study area. The new Quantitative Flood Forecasting (QFF) model was applied to predict streamflow peaks with lead-times of 18 and 24 hours over a five year period in 4 watersheds on the leeward side of the Appalachian mountains in the mid-Atlantic region. Threat scores consistently above .6 and close to 0.8 ∼ 0.9 were obtained fur 18 hour lead-time forecasts, and skill scores of at least 4% and up to 6% were attained for the 24 hour lead-time forecasts. This work demonstrates that multisensor data cast into an expert information system such as neural networks, if built upon scientific understanding of regional hydrometeorology, can lead to significant gains in the forecast skill of extreme rainfall and associated floods. In particular, this study validates our hypothesis that accurate and extended flood forecast lead-times can be attained by taking into consideration the synoptic evolution of atmospheric conditions extracted from the analysis of large-area remotely sensed imagery While physically-based numerical weather prediction and river routing models cannot accurately depict complex natural non-linear processes, and thus have difficulty in simulating extreme events such as heavy rainfall and floods, data-driven approaches should be viewed as a strong alternative in operational hydrology. This is especially more pertinent at a time when the diversity of sensors in satellites and ground-based operational weather monitoring systems provide large volumes of data on a real-time basis.

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Classification of Atmospheric Vertical Environment Associated with Heavy Rainfall using Long-Term Radiosonde Observational Data, 1997~2013 (장기간(1997~2013) 라디오존데 관측 자료를 활용한 집중호우 시 연직대기환경 유형 분류)

  • Jung, Sueng-Pil;In, So-Ra;Kim, Hyun-Wook;Sim, JaeKwan;Han, Sang-Ok;Choi, Byoung-Choel
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.611-622
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    • 2015
  • Heavy rainfall ($>30mm\;hr^{-1}$) over the Korean Peninsula is examined in order to understand thermo-dynamic characteristics of the atmosphere, using radiosonde observational data from seven upper-air observation stations during the last 17 years (1997~2013). A total of 82 heavy rainfall cases during the summer season (June-August) were selected for this study. The average values of thermo-dynamic indices of heavy rainfall events are Total Precipitable Water (TPW) = 60 mm, Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) = $850J\;kg^{-1}$, Convective Inhibition (CIN) = $15J\;kg^{-1}$, Storm Relative Helicity (SRH) = $160m^2s^{-2}$, and 0~3 km bulk wind shear = $5s^{-1}$. About 34% of the cases were associated with a Changma front; this pattern is more significant than other synoptic pressure patterns such as troughs (22%), migratory cyclones (15%), edges of high-pressure (12%), typhoons (11%), and low-pressure originating from Changma fronts (6%). The spatial distribution of thermo-dynamic conditions (CAPE and SRH) is similar to the range of thunderstorms over the United States, but extreme conditions (supercell thunderstorms and tornadoes) did not appear in the Korean Peninsula. Synoptic conditions, vertical buoyancy (CAPE, CIN), and wind parameters (SRH, shear) are shown to discriminate among the environments of the three types. The first type occurred with high CAPE and low wind shear by the edge of the high pressure pattern, but Second type is related to Changma front and typhoon, exhibiting low CAPE and high wind shear. The last type exhibited characteristics intermediate between the first and second types, such as moderate CAPE and wind shear near the migratory cyclone and trough.

Estimation of Road Surface Condition during Summer Season Using Machine Learning (기계학습을 통한 여름철 노면상태 추정 알고리즘 개발)

  • Yeo, jiho;Lee, Jooyoung;Kim, Ganghwa;Jang, Kitae
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.121-132
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    • 2018
  • Weather is an important factor affecting roadway transportation in many aspects such as traffic flow, driver 's driving patterns, and crashes. This study focuses on the relationship between weather and road surface condition and develops a model to estimate the road surface condition using machine learning. A road surface sensor was attached to the probe vehicle to collect road surface condition classified into three categories as 'dry', 'moist' and 'wet'. Road geometry information (curvature, gradient), traffic information (link speed), weather information (rainfall, humidity, temperature, wind speed) are utilized as variables to estimate the road surface condition. A variety of machine learning algorithms examined for predicting the road surface condition, and a two - stage classification model based on 'Random forest' which has the highest accuracy was constructed. 14 days of data were used to train the model and 2 days of data were used to test the accuracy of the model. As a result, a road surface state prediction model with 81.74% accuracy was constructed. The result of this study shows the possibility of estimating the road surface condition using the existing weather and traffic information without installing new equipment or sensors.

Classification of Agro-climatic zones in Northeast District of China (중국 동북지역의 농업기후지대 구분)

  • Jung, Myung-Pyo;Hur, Jina;Park, Hye-Jin;Shim, Kyo-Moon;Ahn, Joong-Bae
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.102-107
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    • 2015
  • This study was conducted to classify agro-climatic zones in Northeast district of China. For agro-climatic zoning, monthly mean temperature and precipitation data from Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) of National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA, USA) between 1979 and 2010 (http://disc.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/) were collected. Altitude and vegetation fraction of East Asia from Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) were also used to classify them. The criteria of agro-climatic classification were altitude (200 m, between 200-800 m, 800 m), vegetation fraction (60%), annual mean temperature ($0^{\circ}C$), temperature in the hottest month ($22^{\circ}C$), and annual precipitation (700 mm). In Northeast district of China, mean annual temperature, annual precipitation, and solar radiation were $3.4^{\circ}C$, 613.2 mm, and $4,414.2MJ/m^2$ between 2009 and 2013, respectively. Twenty-two agro-climatic zones identified in Northeast district of China by metrics classification method, from which the map of agro-climatic zones for Northeast district of China was derived. The results could be useful as information for estimating agro-meteorological characteristics and predicting crop development and crop yield of Northeast district of China as well as those of North Korea.

Classification of Agro-Climatic Zones of the State of Mato Grosso in Brazil (브라질 마토그로소 지역의 농업기후지대 구분)

  • Jung, Myung-Pyo;Park, Hye-Jin;Hur, Jina;Shim, Kyo-Moon;Kim, Yongseok;Kang, Kee-Kyung;Ahn, Joong-Bae
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.34-37
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    • 2019
  • BACKGROUND: A region can be divided into agroclimatic zones based on homogeneity in weather variables that have greatest influence on crop growth and yield. The agro-climatic zone has been used to identify yield variability and limiting factors for crop growth. This study was conducted to classify agro-climatic zones in the state of Mato Grosso in Brazil for predicting crop productivity and assessing crop suitability etc. METHODS AND RESULTS: For agro-climatic zonation, monthly mean temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation data from Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) of National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA, USA) between 1980 and 2010 were collected. Altitude and vegetation fraction of Brazil from Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) were also used to classify them. The criteria of agro-climatic classification were temperature in the hottest month ($30^{\circ}C$), annual precipitation (600 mm and 1000 mm), and altitude (200 m and 500 m). The state of Mato Gross in Brazil was divided into 9 agro-climatic zones according to these criteria by using matrix classification method. CONCLUSION: The results could be useful as information for estimating agro-meteorological characteristics and predicting crop development and crop yield in the state of Mato Grosso in Brazil.

Development of daily solar flare peak flux forecast models for strong flares

  • Shin, Seulki;Lee, Jin-Yi;Chu, Hyoung-Seok;Moon, Yong-Jae;Park, JongYeob
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.64.3-64.3
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    • 2015
  • We have developed a set of daily solar flare peak flux forecast models for strong flares using multiple linear regression and artificial neural network methods. We consider input parameters as solar activity data from January 1996 to December 2013 such as sunspot area, X-ray flare peak flux and weighted total flux of previous day, and mean flare rates of McIntosh sunspot group (Zpc) and Mount Wilson magnetic classification. For a training data set, we use the same number of 61 events for each C-, M-, and X-class from Jan. 1996 to Dec. 2004, while other previous models use all flares. For a testing data set, we use all flares from Jan. 2005 to Nov. 2013. The best three parameters related to the observed flare peak flux are weighted total flare flux of previous day (r = 0.51), X-ray flare peak flux (r = 0.48), and Mount Wilson magnetic classification (r = 0.47). A comparison between our neural network models and the previous models based on Heidke Skill Score (HSS) shows that our model for X-class flare is much better than the models and that for M-class flares is similar to them. Since all input parameters for our models are easily available, the models can be operated steadily and automatically in near-real time for space weather service.

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Multi Modal Sensor Training Dataset for the Robust Object Detection and Tracking in Outdoor Surveillance (MMO (Multi Modal Outdoor) Dataset) (실외 경비 환경에서 강인한 객체 검출 및 추적을 위한 실외 멀티 모달 센서 기반 학습용 데이터베이스 구축)

  • Noh, DongKi;Yang, Wonkeun;Uhm, Teayoung;Lee, Jaekwang;Kim, Hyoung-Rock;Baek, SeungMin
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.23 no.8
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    • pp.1006-1018
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    • 2020
  • Dataset is getting more import to develop a learning based algorithm. Quality of the algorithm definitely depends on dataset. So we introduce new dataset over 200 thousands images which are fully labeled multi modal sensor data. Proposed dataset was designed and constructed for researchers who want to develop detection, tracking, and action classification in outdoor environment for surveillance scenarios. The dataset includes various images and multi modal sensor data under different weather and lighting condition. Therefor, we hope it will be very helpful to develop more robust algorithm for systems equipped with difference kinds of sensors in outdoor application. Case studies with the proposed dataset are also discussed in this paper.

Robust Traffic Monitoring System by Spatio-Temporal Image Analysis (시공간 영상 분석에 의한 강건한 교통 모니터링 시스템)

  • 이대호;박영태
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.31 no.11
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    • pp.1534-1542
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    • 2004
  • A novel vision-based scheme of extracting real-time traffic information parameters is presented. The method is based on a region classification followed by a spatio-temporal image analysis. The detection region images for each traffic lane are classified into one of the three categories: the road, the vehicle, and the shadow, using statistical and structural features. Misclassification in a frame is corrected by using temporally correlated features of vehicles in the spatio-temporal image. Since only local images of detection regions are processed, the real-time operation of more than 30 frames per second is realized without using dedicated parallel processors, while ensuring detection performance robust to the variation of weather conditions, shadows, and traffic load.

Classification of Synoptic Meteorological Patterns for the Environmental Assessment of Regional-scale Long Range Transboundary Air Pollutants (지역규모 장거리 대기오염 이동물질의 환경영향평가를 위한 종관기상 조건의 분류)

  • Kim, Cheol-Hee;Son, Hye-Young;Kim, Ji-A;Ahn, Tae-Keun
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.89-98
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    • 2007
  • In order to conduct the environmental assessment of long range transboundary air pollutants over East Asia, the moving pathways of air pollutants are of great importance, which are depending upon the meteorological weather patterns. Therefore regional scale modeling study requires the identified geopotential height distribution patterns to deal with behaviors of long range transport air pollutants for the effective long term atmospheric environmental assessment. In this study the synoptic meteorological classification using cluster analysis technique over Northeast Asia, and its previous applications of the regional scale air pollutant modeling studies were reviewed and summarized in detail. Other synoptic meteorological characteristics over Korean peninsula are also discussed.

Rainfall Recognition from Road Surveillance Videos Using TSN (TSN을 이용한 도로 감시 카메라 영상의 강우량 인식 방법)

  • Li, Zhun;Hyeon, Jonghwan;Choi, Ho-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.735-747
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    • 2018
  • Rainfall depth is an important meteorological information. Generally, high spatial resolution rainfall data such as road-level rainfall data are more beneficial. However, it is expensive to set up sufficient Automatic Weather Systems to get the road-level rainfall data. In this paper, we propose to use deep learning to recognize rainfall depth from road surveillance videos. To achieve this goal, we collect a new video dataset and propose a procedure to calculate refined rainfall depth from the original meteorological data. We also propose to utilize the differential frame as well as the optical flow image for better recognition of rainfall depth. Under the Temporal Segment Networks framework, the experimental results show that the combination of the video frame and the differential frame is a superior solution for the rainfall depth recognition. The final model is able to achieve high performance in the single-location low sensitivity classification task and reasonable accuracy in the higher sensitivity classification task for both the single-location and the multi-location case.