• Title/Summary/Keyword: Water level prediction

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A study for the target water level of the dam for flood control (댐 홍수조절을 위한 목표수위 산정연구)

  • Kwak, Jaewon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.7
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    • pp.545-552
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    • 2021
  • The burden of flood control on the dam under frequently flood due to climate change and especially heavy flood in 2020 year are come to the forward and increased. The objective of the study is therefore to establish the method to estimate capacity and target water level for flood control in actual dam management. Frequency matching method was applied to establish a pair of cumulative distribution function (CDF) based on daily dam inflow and discharge records. The relationship between dam storage and discharge volume represented as a percentage of inflow volume was derived and its characteristics was analyzed. As the result, the Soyanggang (45%) and Chungju Dam (39%) contributing to flood control with temporarily storing flood runoff. The method and diagram to estimate flood control capacity and target water level for flood control in the dam were established. The result of the study could be used as a supplementary data for flood control of the dam according to the rainfall prediction on the Korea Meteorological Administration.

Moisture Sorption Characteristics and a Prediction Model of Anchovy Powder with Particle Size (입자크기에 따른 분말멸치의 흡습특성 및 예측모델)

  • Youn, Kwang-Sup
    • Food Science and Preservation
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.513-518
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    • 2010
  • This study was carried out to estimate the moisture sorption characteristics and prediction model of anchovy powders with different particle size as above 80 mesh, 80-60 mesh and 40-60 mesh. The equilibrium moisture content had higher values at lower storage temperatures, and higher water activity. The monolayer moisture content calculated using the GAB equation showed a higher level of significance than that of BET equation. The estimated monolayer moisture content was 0.024-0.052 g $H_2O/g$ dry solid. The absorption enthalpy was calculated with different particle size and various water activities. It showed that the absorption energy was decreased with increasing water activity but no difference was found on particle size increasement. The fitness of the isotherm curve was shown to be in the order of Khun, Halsey, Caurie and Oswin model. The prediction model equations for the moisture content were established by ln(time), water activity, and temperature, respectively. The model equation will be helpful for future work on drying and storage of anchovy powder.

The Study on the Development of Flood Prediction and Warning System at Ungaged Coastal Urban Area - On-Cheon Stream in Busan - (미계측 해안 도시 유역의 홍수예경보 시스템 구축 방법 검토 - 부산시 온천천 유역 대상 -)

  • Shin, Hyun-Suk;Park, Yong-Woon;Hong, Il-Pyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.6 s.179
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    • pp.447-458
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    • 2007
  • In this study, the coastal urban flood prediction and warning system based on HEC-RAS and SWMM were investigated to evaluate a watershed of On-Cheon stream in Busan which has characteristics of costal area cased by flooding of coastal urban areas. The basis of this study is a selection of various geological data from the numerical map that is a watershed of On-Cheon stream and computation of hydrologic GIS data. Thiessen method was used for analyzing of rainfall on the On-Cheon stream and 6th regression equation, which is Huff's Type II was time-distribution of rainfall. To evaluate the deployment of flood prediction and warning system, risk depth was used on the 3 selected areas. To find the threshold runoff for hydraulic analysis of stream, HEC-RAS was used and flood depth and threshold runoff was considered with the effect of tidal water level. To estimate urban flash flood trigger rainfall, PCSWMM 2002 was introduced for hydrologic analysis. Consequently, not only were the criteria of coastal urban flood prediction and warning system decided on the watershed of On-Cheon stream, but also the deployment flow charts of flood prediction and warning system and operation system was evaluated. This study indicates the criteria of flood prediction and warning system on the coastal areas and modeling methods with application of ArcView GIS, HEC-RAS and SWMM on the basin. For the future, flood prediction and warning system should be considered and developed to various basin cases to reduce natural flood disasters in coastal urban area.

Estimating Groundwater Level Change Associated with River Stage and Pumping using Time Series Analyses at a Riverbank Filtration Site in Korea

  • Cheong, Jae-Yeol;Hamm, Se-Yeong;Kim, Hyoung-Soo;Lee, Soo-Hyoung;Park, Heung-Jai
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.26 no.10
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    • pp.1135-1146
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    • 2017
  • At riverbank filtration sites, groundwater levels of alluvial aquifers near rivers are sensitive to variation in river discharge and pumping quantities. In this study, the groundwater level fluctuation, pumping quantity, and streamflow rate at the site of a riverbank filtration plant, which produces drinking water, in the lower Nakdong River basin, South Korea were interrelated. The relationship between drawdown ratio and river discharge was very strong with a correlation coefficient of 0.96, showing a greater drawdown ratio in the wet season than in the dry season. Autocorrelation and cross-correlation were carried out to characterize groundwater level fluctuation. Autoregressive model analysis of groundwater water level fluctuation led to efficient estimation and prediction of pumping for riverbank filtration in relation to river discharge rates, using simple inputs of river discharge and pumping data, without the need for numerical models that require data regarding several aquifer properties and hydrologic parameters.

Effects of the ground water level on the stability of an underpass structure considering the degree of surface imperviousness (지표면 유출 특성을 고려한 지하수위 변화가 지하차도 구조물 안정성에 미치는 영향)

  • Jo, Seon-Ah;Hong, Eun-Soo;Cho, Gye-Chun;Jin, Kyu-Nam;Lee, Jung-Min;Han, Shin-In
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.95-107
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    • 2016
  • Ground water is one of important parameters in the designs of underpass structures because urban areas are characterized by soil ground which is relatively permeable than rock ground and a high level of ground water due to low elevation. Therefore, it is important properly to predict variations of the ground water when they can affect underpass structures. In this study, a series of numerical analyses are performed to predict the variations of ground water levels considering the degree of surface imperviousness and LID(Low Impact Development) application. In turn the stability of underground structure is assessed using predicted ground water level. The results show that an increase in the impervious surface area decreases the ground water level. The application of permeable pavement as a LID facility increases the ground water level, improving the infiltration capacity of rainfall into the ground. Seasonal variations of the ground water level are also verified in numerical simulation. The results of this study suggest that reasonable designs of underpass structures can be obtained with the suitable prediction and application of the ground water level considering the surface characteristics.

A Study on the Noise Characteristics of Cooling Tower (냉각탑의 방사소음특성에 관한 연구)

  • Park, B.Y.;Kim, I.S.;Lee, S.H.
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.361-374
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    • 1996
  • In general, a cooling tower has two major noise sources, one is the fan and the other is the falling water. The fan noise is produced by passage of its blades through the air and radiates from the fan stack. Noises from the falling water are caused by splashing and dropping of water cascading over the internal filler of the cooling tower and into the basin and radiate from the louvered face. In this paper, the noise measurements and its frequency analysis are carried out for the locations facing the louvered side and near the fan stack referring the related code and standards in order to study the noise characteristics of the induced-draft cooling tower, especially for the buildings. As a result, it is found that for every doubling of distance from the noise source the noise level decreases by 2~4dBA in the near field with reflect surfaces and decreases by about 6dBA also in the far field without reflect surfaces. As a supplement to the noise measurements, a computer program with simple algorithm is developed in order to estimate the noise level at a distance from the cooling tower, so that the user could apply and modify it for the particular boundary conditions easily.

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Drought Forecasting with Regionalization of Climate Variables and Generalized Linear Model

  • Yejin Kong;Taesam Lee;Joo-Heon Lee;Sejeong Lee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.249-249
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    • 2023
  • Spring drought forecasting in South Korea is essential due to the sknewness of rainfall which could lead to water shortage especially in spring when managed without prediction. Therefore, drought forecasting over South Korea was performed in the current study by thoroughly searching appropriate predictors from the lagged global climate variable, mean sea level pressure(MSLP), specifically in winter season for forecasting time lag. The target predictand defined as accumulated spring precipitation(ASP) was driven by the median of 93 weather stations in South Korea. Then, it was found that a number of points of the MSLP data were significantly cross-correlated with the ASP, and the points with high correlation were regionally grouped. The grouped variables with three regions: the Arctic Ocean (R1), South Pacific (R2), and South Africa (R3) were determined. The generalized linear model(GLM) was further applied for skewed marginal distribution in drought prediction. It was shown that the applied GLM presents reasonable performance in forecasting ASP. The results concluded that the presented regionalization of the climate variable, MSLP can be a good alternative in forecasting spring drought.

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Physical Model Investigation of a Compact Waste Water Pumping Station

  • Kirst, Kilian;Hellmann, D.H.;Kothe, Bernd;Springer, Peer
    • International Journal of Fluid Machinery and Systems
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.285-291
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    • 2010
  • To provide required flow rates of cooling or circulating water properly, approach flow conditions of vertical pump systems should be in compliance with state of the art acceptance criteria. The direct inflow should be vortex free, with low pre-rotation and symmetric velocity distribution. Physical model investigations are common practice and the best tool of prediction to evaluate, to optimize and to document flow conditions inside intake structures for vertical pumping systems. Optimization steps should be accomplished with respect to installation costs and complexity on site. The report shows evaluation of various approach flow conditions inside a compact waste water pumping station. The focus is on the occurrence of free surface vortices and the evaluation of air entrainment for various water level and flow rates. The presentation of the results includes the description of the investigated intake structure, occurring flow problems and final recommendations.

Application of groundwater-level prediction models using data-based learning algorithms to National Groundwater Monitoring Network data (자료기반 학습 알고리즘을 이용한 지하수위 변동 예측 모델의 국가지하수관측망 자료 적용에 대한 비교 평가 연구)

  • Yoon, Heesung;Kim, Yongcheol;Ha, Kyoochul;Kim, Gyoo-Bum
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.137-147
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    • 2013
  • For the effective management of groundwater resources, it is necessary to predict groundwater level fluctuations in response to rainfall events. In the present study, time series models using artificial neural networks (ANNs) and support vector machines (SVMs) have been developed and applied to groundwater level data from the Gasan, Shingwang, and Cheongseong stations of the National Groundwater Monitoring Network. We designed four types of model according to input structure and compared their performances. The results show that the rainfall input model is not effective, especially for the prediction of groundwater recession behavior; however, the rainfall-groundwater input model is effective for the entire prediction stage, yielding a high model accuracy. Recursive prediction models were also effective, yielding correlation coefficients of 0.75-0.95 with observed values. The prediction errors were highest for Shingwang station, where the cross-correlation coefficient is lowest among the stations. Overall, the model performance of SVM models was slightly higher than that of ANN models for all cases. Assessment of the model parameter uncertainty of the recursive prediction models, using the ratio of errors in the validation stage to that in the calibration stage, showed that the range of the ratio is much narrower for the SVM models than for the ANN models, which implies that the SVM models are more stable and effective for the present case studies.

Monitoring of Water Quality Parameters using Spectroscopic Characteristics of River Water - Ulsan Area (하천 분광특성을 이용한 수질항목 모니터링 연구 - 울산 지역)

  • Hur, Jin;Kim, Mi-Kyung;Shin, Jae-Ki
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.863-871
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    • 2007
  • Spectroscopic characteristics of river water from four major watersheds in the Ulsan area were measured to examine their potential for estimating water quality parameters. The total 176 river samples were collected from 44 sites of small streams within the watersheds during the year 2006. Spectroscopic characteristics investigated included protein-like fluorescence (FLF) intensity, fulvic-like fluorescence (FLF) intensity, terrestrial humic-like fluorescence (TLF) intensity, UV absorbance at 254 nm, and UV absorbance difference at 220 nm and 254 nm. Protein-like fluorescence intensity showed linear relationships with biochemical oxygen demand (BOD), chemical oxygen demand (COD), total phosphorous (TP) concentrations of the samples with the correlation of 0.784, 0.779, and 0.733, respectively. Due to the UV absorption characteristics of nitrate at 220 nm, UV absorbance difference at 220 nm and 254 nm was selected to represent total nitrogen (TN) concentration. Exclusion of some samples with PLF intensity higher than 5.0 improved the correlation between the UV absorbance difference and TN as demonstrated by the increase of the correlation coefficient from 0.392 to 0.784. Instead, for the samples with PLF intensity lower than 5.0, the highest correlation of TN was achieved with UV absorbance at 254 nm. The results suggest that PLF intensity could be used as the estimation index for BOD, COD, and TP concentration of river water, and as the primary screening index for the prediction of TN using UV absorbance difference. Some BOD-based water quality levels among the river water were statistically discriminated by the PLF intensity. Low p-values were obtained from the t-tests on the samples with the first level and the second level (p=0.0003) and the samples with the second and the third levels (p=0.0413). Our combined results demonstrated that the selected spectroscopic characteristics of river water could be utilized as a tool for on-site real-time monitoring and/or the primary estimation of water quality.