• 제목/요약/키워드: Water Quality Forecasting

검색결과 84건 처리시간 0.022초

강변여과 취수정 주변 지하수위를 위한 시계열 모형 (A Model for Groundwater Time-series from the Well Field of Riverbank Filtration)

  • 이상일;이상기;함세영
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제42권8호
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    • pp.673-680
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    • 2009
  • 지표수 부족과 수질에 대한 불신 때문에 대체 수자원의 확보가 요구되고 있으며, 유력한 대안으로 강변여과에 관심이 모아지고 있다. 국내 최초의 강변여과는 경남 창원에서 2001년에 시작되었으며, 현재 창원시 수돗물의 100%를 여기에 의존하고 있다. 본 연구는 강변여과 취수장 부근 지하수위를 설명하는 시계열 모형의 개발에 관한 것이다. 연구 대상지역은 창원시 대산면 현장으로 11개 관측정으로부터의 5년간(2003년 1월$\sim$2007년 12월) 지하수위 자료를 이용했다. 지하수위의 장기변동을 알아보기 위해 분단위 자료를 월자료로 변환하고, 결측치를 보완하여 Box-Jenkins 방법에 따라 시계열분석을 실시했다. 대상지역의 지하수위 자료는 계절형 ARIMA 모형으로 잘 설명되는 것이 입증되었다. 본 연구는 향후 증가할 강변여과를 이용한 상수 공급시설의 안정적인 운영을 위해 반드시 필요한 지하수위 예측능력을 확보하기 위한 하나의 원형이 될 것이다.

Improvement of Shelf-life and Quality in Fresh-cut Tomato Slices

  • Hong, Ji-Heun
    • 식품저장과 가공산업
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.42-46
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    • 2004
  • Quality of fresh-cut tomato slices was compared during cold storage under various modified atmosphere packaging conditions. Chilling injury of slices in containers sealed with Film A was higher than with Film B; these films had oxygen transmission rates of 87.4 and 60.0 ml h-1 m-2 nun-1 at $5^{\circ}C$ and $99\%$ RH, respectively. While slices in containers with an initial atmospheric composition of air, $4\%$ CO2 + 1 or $20\%\;O_2, \;8\%\;CO_2+1$ or $20\%\;O_2$, or $12\%\; CO_2+\;20\%\;O_2$ showed fungal growth, slices in containers with $12\%\;CO_2 +\;1\%\;O_2$ did not. Low ethylene in containers enhanced chilling injury. Modified atmosphere packaging provided good quality tomato slices with a shelf-life of 2 weeks or more at $5^{\circ}C$. Experiments were conducted to compare changes in quality of slices of red tomato (Lycopersicon esculentum Mill. 'Sunbeam') fruit from plants grown using black polyethylene or hairy vetch mulches under various foliar disease management systems including: no fungicide applications (NF), a disease forecasting model (Tom-Cast), and weekly fungicide applications (WF), during storage at $5^{\circ}C$ under a modified atmosphere. Slices were analyzed for firmness, soluble solids content (SCC), titratable acidity (TA), pH, electrolyte leakage, fungi, yeasts, and chilling injury. With both NF and Tom-Cast fungicide treatments, slices from tomato fruit grown with hairy vetch (Vicia villosa Roth) mulch were firmer than those from tomato fruit grown with black polyethylene mulch after 12 days storage. Ethylene Production of slices from fruit grown using hairy vetch mulch under Tom-Cast was about 1.5- and 5-fold higher than that of slices from WF and NF fungicide treatments after 12 days, respectively. The percentage of water-soaked areas (chilling injury) for slices from tomato fruit grown.

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경안천 유역에 대한 강수예보모델의 검증 및 수문모형활용 (Verification of Precipitation Forecast Model and Application of Hydrology Model in Kyoungan-chun Basin)

  • 최지혜;김영화;남경엽;오성남
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.215-226
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구에서는 경안천 유역에 대해 초단시간 강수예보모델인 VSRF(Very Short Range Forecast of precipitation) 모델에서 생산되는 예측강우량의 검증을 실시하고, 이를 NWSPC(National Weather Service PC) 강우-유출 모형에 적용하였다. 강수는 기상학적 검증과 수문학적 검증으로 구분하여 검증하였다. 기상학적 검증은 유역 내에 존재하는 AWS 강수량과 VSRF모델 강수량의 정성적 관계를 객관적으로 제시하였고, 수문학적 검증은 AWS 면적 가중치를 고려한 유역평균 강우량과 VSRF유역평균 강우량과의 정량적 검증결과를 제시하였다. 또한 예보모델에서 생산된 6시간 예측강수량을 NWSPC 모형에 적용해 강수예보모델의 수문연계 가능성을 검토해 본 결과 0.6 이상의 높은 상관관계를 보여 예보모델의 수자원 활용 가능성을 제시하였다.

Improvement of Shelf-life and Quality in Fresh-Cut Tomato Slices:

  • Hong Ji Heun
    • 한국식품저장유통학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국식품저장유통학회 2004년도 총회및 심포지움
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    • pp.67-72
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    • 2004
  • Quality of fresh-cut tomato slices was compared during cold storage under various modified atmosphere packaging conditions. Chilling injury of slices in containers sealed with Film A was higher than with Film B; these films had oxygen transmission rates of 87.4 and 60.0 ml $h^{-1}\;m^{-2}\;atm^{-1}$ at $5^{\circ}C\;and\;99\%$ RH, respectively. While slices in containers with an initial atmospheric composition of air, $4\%\;CO_2+1\;or\;20\%\;O_2,\;8\%\;CO_2+1\;or\;20\%\;O_2,\;or\;12\%\;CO_2+20\%\;O_2$ showed fungal growth, slices in containers with $12\%\;CO_2+1\%\;O_2$ did not. Low ethylene in containers enhanced chilling injury. Modified atmosphere packaging provided good quality tomato slices with a shelf-life of 2 weeks or more at $5^{\circ}C$. Experiments were conducted to compare changes in quality of slices of red tomato (Lycopersicon esculentum Mill. 'Sunbeam') fruit from plants grown using black polyethylene or hairy vetch mulches under various foliar disease management systems including: no fungicide applications (NF), a disease forecasting model (Tom-Cast), and weekly fungicide applications (WF), during storage at $5^{\circ}C$ under a modified atmosphere. Slices were analyzed for firmness, soluble solids content (SSC), titratable acidity (TA), pH, electrolyte leakage, fungi, yeasts, and chilling injury. With both NF and Tom-Cast fungicide treatments, slices from tomato fruit grown with hairy vetch (Vicia villosa Roth) mulch were firmer than those from tomato fruit grown with black polyethylene mulch after 12 days storage. Ethylene production of slices from fruit grown using hairy vetch mulch under Tom-Cast was about 1.5- and 5-fold higher than that of slices from WF and NF fungicide treatments after 12 days, respectively. The percentage of water-soaked areas (chilling injury) for slices from tomato fruit grown using black polyethylene mulch under NF was over 7-fold that of slices from tomato fruit grown using hairy vetch under Tom-Cast. When stored at $20^{\circ}C$, slices from light-red tomato fruit grown with black polyethylene or hairy vetch mulches both showed a rapid increase in electrolyte leakage beginning 6 hours after slicing. However, slices from tomato fruit grown using the hairy vetch mulch tended to have lower electrolyte leakage than those grown with black polyethylene mulch. These results suggest that tomato fruit from plants grown using hairy vetch mulch may be more suitable for fresh-cut slices than those grown using black polyethylene mulch. Also, use of the disease forecasting model Tom-Cast, which can result in lower fungicide application than is currently used commercially, resulted in high quality fruit for fresh-cut processing. Experiments were conducted to determine if ethylene influences chilling injury, as measured by percentage of slices exhibiting water-soaked areas in fresh-cut tomato slices of 'Mountain Pride' and 'Sunbeam' tomato (Lycopersicon esculentum Mill.). Ethylene concentration in containers without ventilation significantly increased during storage at $5^{\circ}C$, whereas little or no accumulation of ethylene occurred in containers with one or six perforations. Chilling injury was greatest for slices in containers with six perforations, compared to slices in containers with one perforation, and was over 13-fold greater than that of slices in control containers with no perforations. An experiment was also performed to investigate the effectiveness of including an ethylene absorbent pad in containers on subsequent ethylene accumulation and chilling injury. While ethylene in the no-pad controls increased continually during storage of both 'Mountain Pride' and 'Sunbeam' tomatoes at $5^{\circ}C$ under modified atmosphere conditions, no increase in accumulation of ethylene was observed in containers containing ethylene absorbent pads throughout storage. The ethylene absorbent pad treatment resulted in a significantly higher percentage of chilling injury compared with the no-pad control. In studies aimed at inhibiting ethylene production using AVG during storage of slices, the concentration of ethylene in control containers (no AVG) remained at elevated levels throughout storage, compared to containers with slices treated with AVG. Chilling injury in slices treated with AVG was 5-fold greater than that of controls. Further, we tested the effect of ethylene pretreatment of slices on subsequent slice shelf-life and quality. In slices treated with ethylene (0, 0.1, 1, or $10\;{mu}L\;L^{-1}$) immediately after slicing, ethylene production in non-treated controls was greater than that of all other ethylene pre-treatments. However, pretreatment of slices 3 days after slicing resulted in a different pattern of ethylene production during storage. Ihe rate of ethylene production by slices treated with 1 L $L^{-1}$ ethylene 3 days after slicing was greater during storage than any of the other ethylene treatments. With slices pre-treated with ethylene, both immediately and 3 days after slicing, the rate of ethylene production tended to show an negative correlation with chilling injury. Chemical name used: 1-aminoethoxyvinylglycine (AVG).

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인공열이 도시경계층에 미치는 영향 - 경인지역을 중심으로 - (Impacts of anthropogenic heating on urban boundary layer in the Gyeong-In region)

  • 구해정;유영희
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.665-681
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    • 2012
  • This study investigates the influence of anthropogenic heat (AH) release on urban boundary layer in the Gyeong-In region using the Weather Research and Forecasting model that includes the Seoul National University Urban Canopy Model (SNUUCM). The gridded AH emission data, which is estimated in the Gyeong-In region in 2002 based on the energy consumption statistics data, are implemented into the SNUUCM. The simulated air temperature and wind speed show good agreement with the observed ones particularly in terms of phase for 11 urban sites, but they are overestimated in the nighttime. It is found that the influence of AH release on air temperature is larger in the nighttime than in the daytime even though the AH intensity is larger in the daytime. As compared with the results with AH release and without AH release, the contribution of AH release on urban heat island intensity is large in the nighttime and in the morning. As the AH intensity increases, the water vapor mixing ratio decreases in the daytime but increases in the nighttime. The atmospheric boundary layer height increases greatly in the morning (0800 - 1100 LST) and midnight (0000 LST). These results indicate that AH release can have an impact on weather and air quality in urban areas.

Retrieval of satellite cloud drift winds with GMS-5 and inter comparison with radiosonde data over the Korea

  • Suh, Ae-Sook;Lee, Yong-Seob;Ryu, Seung-Ah
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2000년도 춘계 학술대회 논문집 통권 3호 Proceedings of the 2000 KSRS Spring Meeting
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    • pp.49-54
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    • 2000
  • Conventional methods for measuring winds provide wind velocity observations over limited area and time period. The use of satellite imagery for measuring wind velocity overcomes some of these limitations by providing wide area and near condinuous coverage. And its accurate depiction is essential for operational weather forecasting and for initialization of NWP models. GMS-5 provides full disk images at hourly intervals. At four times each day - 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 hours UTC-a series of three images is received, separated by thirty minutes, centered at the four times. The current wind system generates winds from sets of 3 infrared(IR) images, separated by an hour, four times a day. It also produces visible(VIS) and water vapor(WV) image-based winds from half-hourly imagery four times a day. The derivation of wind from satellite imagery involves the identification of suitable cloud targets. tracking the targets on sequential images, associating a pressure height with the derived wind vector, and quality control. The aim of this research is to incorporate imagery from other available spectral channels and examine the error characteristics of winds derived from these images.

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경주시에 대한 중저준위 방사성폐기물처분장 건설 프로그램의 장기적 효과 (A Long Term Effect Prediction of Radioactive Waste Repository Facility in Gyeongju)

  • 오영민;정창훈
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.105-128
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    • 2008
  • City of Gyeongju's referendum finally offered the long-waited low-level radioactive waste disposal site in November 2005. Gyeongju's positive decision was due to the various economic rewards and incentives the national government promised to the city. 300 billion won for an accepting bonus, the location of the headquarter building of the Korean Hydro and Nuclear Power Co., and the accelerator research center and 3.25 trillion won for supporting regional development program implementation. All of the above will affect the city's infrastructure and the citizens' economic and social lives. Population, land use, economic structure, SOC and quality of life will be affected. Some will be very positive, and some will be negative. This research project will see the future of the city and forecast the demographic, economic, physical and environmental changes of the city via computer simulation's system dynamics technique. This kind of simulation will help City of Gyeongju's what to prepare for the future. The population forecasting of the year 2046 will be 662,424 with the waste disposal site, and 327,274 without the waste disposal site in Gyeongju. The waste disposal site and regional supporting program will increase 184,246 Jobs more with 1,605 agriculture and fishery, 5,369 manufacturing shops and 27,577 shops. The population increase will bring 96,726 more houses constructed in the city. Land use will also be affected. More land will be developed. And road, water plant and waste water plant will be expanded as much. The city's financial structure will be expanded, due to the increased revenues from the waste disposal site, and property tax revenues from the middle-class employees of the company, and the high-powered scientists and technologists from the accelerator research center. All in all, the future of the city will be brighter after operating the nuclear waste disposal site inside the city.

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소규모 하천의 시간단위 홍수예측을 위한 TFN 모형 적용성 검토 (TFN model application for hourly flood prediction of small river)

  • 성지연;허준행
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제51권2호
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    • pp.165-174
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    • 2018
  • 시계열 데이터를 활용하는 모형은 신뢰할 수 있는 자료를 확보한 경우에는 모형 구축이 용이하고 예측 선행 시간 확보를 위해 신속한 모의가 가능한 장점 때문에 규모가 작은 하천의 홍수예측 모형으로 고려할 수 있다. 이 중 Transfer Function Noise (TFN) 모형은 이탈리아, 영국 등 해외에서는 1970년대부터 시간단위 자료를 이용한 하천유량 예측에 적용되었으나, 우리나라에서는 주로 일 단위 혹은 월 단위의 하천유량 모의에 적용되었다. 국내 수문 자료의 품질 향상으로 그동안 축적된 수문자료를 통해 시간단위 자료를 이용한 홍수예측 모형의 구축 기반이 갖추어졌다. 본 연구의 목적은 소규모 하천을 대상으로 외생변수의 반영이 가능하고 동적시스템과 오차항을 결합하여 예측 오차를 줄이는데 용이한 TFN 모형을 구축하고 그 적용성을 검토하는 것이다. 이를 위해 1시간 단위 자료를 이용하여 TFN 모형을 구축하였으며 구축된 모형을 이용한 홍수 예측 결과를 홍수예보 실무에 활용 중인 저류함수모형의 홍수 예측 결과와 비교하였다. 비교 결과 홍수사상에 따라 TFN 모형과 저류함수 모형이 각각 더 나은 결과를 보이는 사상이 있었으며, 실무에서 TFN 모형을 홍수예측 모형으로 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단하였다.

방사성 페기물 처분장 입지 후 지역 변화 모델 구축 (Local Community Development Model Building Study after Radioactive waste disposal facility Siting on GyeongJu)

  • 오영민;유재국
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.119-146
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    • 2006
  • City of Gyeongju's referendum finally offered the long-waited low-level radioactive waste disposal site in November 2005. Gyeongju's positive decision was due to the various economic rewards and incentives the national government promised to the city. 300 million won for an accepting bonus, 8.5 billion won, annual revenue fro the entry quantity of waste into the city's disposal site, the location of the headquarter building of the Korean Hydro and Nuclear Power Co., and the accelerator research center. All of the above will affect the city's infrastructure and the citizens' economic and cultural lives. Population, land use, economic structure, environment and quality of life will be affected. Some will be very positive, and some will be positive. This research project will see the future of the city and forecast the demographic, economic, physical and environmental changes of the city via computer simulation's system dynamics technique. This kind of simulation will help City of Gyeongju's what to prepare for the future. The population forecasting of the year 2026 will be 289,069 with the waste disposal site, and 279,131 without the waste disposal site in Gyeongju. The waste disposal site and the relocation of the company headquarters and location of the accelerator research center will attract 9,938 individuals more with 511 manufacturing shops and 1944 service jobs. The population increase will bring 3,550 more houses constructed in the city. Land use will also be affected. More land will be developed. However, mad, water plant and waste water plant will not be expanded as much. The city's financial structure will be expanded, due to the increased revenues from the waste disposal site, and property tax revenues from the middle-class employees of the company, and the high-powered scientists and technologists from the accelerator research center. All in an, the future of the city will be brighter after operating the nuclear waste disposal site inside the city.

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확률론적 방법론을 이용한 레이더 강우 앙상블 생성 (Generation of radar rainfall ensemble using probabilistic approach)

  • 강나래;주홍준;이명진;김형수
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제50권3호
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    • pp.155-167
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    • 2017
  • 수문분석에 있어 정확한 강우량 추정 및 강우 자료의 품질은 매우 중요한 요소로 특히, 홍수유출 결과에 큰 영향을 미친다. 따라서 보다 신뢰성 높은 홍수분석을 위해서는 강우자료에 내포된 오차 또는 불확실성을 확인하는 과정이 필요하다고 할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 임의의 값을 추정하는데 있어 하나의 값이 아닌 가능한 값들의 범위를 정의하거나 확률분포를 표시할 수 있는 확률론적인 방법을 제시하고 이를 레이더 강우에 적용하여 그 활용성을 평가하고자 하였다. 2012년 태풍 '산바'로 인해 남강댐 유역에 발생한 호우 사상에, 확률론적 방법을 적용하여 레이더 강우의 앙상블을 생성하였다. 생성된 강우 앙상블은 레이더 강우의 전체적인 편의보정뿐만 아니라 지상강우의 패턴을 잘 모의하고 있는 것으로 나타났으며, 레이더에 의해 추정한 강우의 불확실성을 잘 표현하고 있는 것으로 확인되었다. 확률론적 기법에 의한 강우 앙상블 생성 방법은 발생 가능한 다양한 강우 시나리오를 제공할 수 있으며 홍수예경보와 같은 의사 결정에 유용한 정보를 제공할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.