• 제목/요약/키워드: Vulnerability Assessment System

검색결과 189건 처리시간 0.027초

지역기후모형을 이용한 산림식생의 취약성 평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Vulnerability Assessment of Forest Vegetation using Regional Climate Model)

  • 김재욱;이동근
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
    • /
    • 제9권5호
    • /
    • pp.32-40
    • /
    • 2006
  • This study's objects are to suggest effective forest community-level management measures by identifying the vulnerable forest vegetation communities types to climate change through a comparative analysis with present forest communities identified and delineated in the Actual Vegetation Map. The methods of this study are to classify the climatic life zones based on the correlative climate-vegetation relationship for each forest vegetation community, the Holdridge Bio-Climate Model was employed. This study confirms relationship between forest vegetation and environmental factors using Pearson's correlation coefficient analysis. Then, the future distribution of forest vegetation are predicted derived factors and present distribution of vegetation by utilizing the multinomial logit model. The vulnerability of forest to climate change was evaluated by identifying the forest community shifts slower than the average velocity of forest moving (VFM) for woody plants, which is assumed to be 0.25 kilometers per year. The major findings in this study are as follows : First, the result of correlative analysis shows that summer precipitation, mean temperature of the coldest month, elevation, soil organic matter contents, and soil acidity (pH) are highly influencing factors to the distribution of forest vegetation. Secondly, the result of the vulnerability assessment employing the assumed velocity of forest moving for woody plants (0.25kmjyear) shows that 54.82% of the forest turned out to be vulnerable to climate change. The sub-alpine vegetations in regions around Mount Jiri and Mount Seorak are predicted to shift the dominance toward Quercus mongolica and Pinus densiflora communities. In the identified vulnerable areas centering the southern and eastern coastal regions, about 8.27% of the Pinus densiflora communities is likely to shift to sub-tropical forest communities, and 3.38% of the Quercus mongolica communities is likely to shift toward Quercus acutissima communities. In the vulnerable areas scattered throughout the country, about 8.84% of the Quercus mongolica communities is likely to shift toward Pinus densiflora communities due to the effects of climate change. The study findings concluded that challenges associated with predicting the future climate using RCM and the assessment of the future vulnerabilities of forest vegetations to climate change are significant.

Social Engineering Attack Graph for Security Risk Assessment: Social Engineering Attack Graph framework(SEAG)

  • Kim, Jun Seok;Kang, Hyunjae;Kim, Jinsoo;Kim, Huy Kang
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
    • /
    • 제23권11호
    • /
    • pp.75-84
    • /
    • 2018
  • Social engineering attack means to get information of Social engineering attack means to get information of opponent without technical attack or to induce opponent to provide information directly. In particular, social engineering does not approach opponents through technical attacks, so it is difficult to prevent all attacks with high-tech security equipment. Each company plans employee education and social training as a countermeasure to prevent social engineering. However, it is difficult for a security officer to obtain a practical education(training) effect, and it is also difficult to measure it visually. Therefore, to measure the social engineering threat, we use the results of social engineering training result to calculate the risk by system asset and propose a attack graph based probability. The security officer uses the results of social engineering training to analyze the security threats by asset and suggests a framework for quick security response. Through the framework presented in this paper, we measure the qualitative social engineering threats, collect system asset information, and calculate the asset risk to generate probability based attack graphs. As a result, the security officer can graphically monitor the degree of vulnerability of the asset's authority system, asset information and preferences along with social engineering training results. It aims to make it practical for companies to utilize as a key indicator for establishing a systematic security strategy in the enterprise.

사전재해영향성검토협의제도의 효율성 제고를 위한 연구 (A Study on the enhancement of Effectiveness of the Pre Disaster Impact Assessment Review Deliberation System)

  • 박인찬;조원철;서정표;홍철
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
    • /
    • pp.135-138
    • /
    • 2008
  • As the procedure of the close examination of disaster impact at the initial stage of the beginning of development plans, the newly extablished Pre Disaster Impact Assessment Review Deliberation (PDIARD) system which have been introduced through the revision of the Natural Disaster Countermeasure Act-revised at August, 2005 is enforced for the purpose of the disaster prevention which caused during a development projects. From that time down to this day, the PDIARD system have been reviewed about 6,000 cases totally. However, the current the PDIARD system at the uppermost limit in the aspect of every Acts and operational problems is in need of sustaining supplementation at the present situation. To cope with this operational remedy related to the PDIARD system, this study deals in 3 major concerns. First, it is required to fix a criterion in detail because of a wide range of the subject plans of deliberation. Second, there is some ambiguity according to the area or length of the subjected administrative and development plans. So it should be excepted of the targeted plans which has few probability in disaster potential or vulnerability. Finally, the subjected plans need to be added as to the continuous urbanization and industrialization and the enactment or revision of the Acts related. This study focuses on the investigation and analysis to find out the improvement way about the main problem pending of the PDIARD system, consequently suggests a effective remedy and new categories, including future directions and detailed plans for operation.

  • PDF

Seismic Reliability Assessment of Mid- and High-rise Post-tensioned CLT Shear Wall Structures

  • Sun, Xiaofeng;Li, Zheng;He, Minjuan
    • 국제초고층학회논문집
    • /
    • 제9권2호
    • /
    • pp.175-185
    • /
    • 2020
  • Currently, few studies have been conducted to comprehend the seismic reliability of post-tensioned (PT) CLT shear wall structures, due to the complexity of this kind of structural system as well as due to lack of a reliable structural model. In this paper, a set of 4-, 8-, 12-, and 16-storey benchmark PT CLT shear wall structures (PT-CLTstrs) were designed using the direct displacement-based design method, and their calibrated structural models were developed. The seismic reliability of each PT-CLTstr was assessed based on the fragility analysis and based on the response surface method (RSM), respectively. The fragility-based reliability index and the RSM-based reliability index were then compared, for each PT-CLTstr and for each seismic hazard level. Results show that the RSM-based reliabilities are slightly less than the fragility-based reliabilities. Overall, both the RSM and the fragility-based reliability method can be used as efficient approaches for assessing the seismic reliabilities of the PT-CLTstrs. For these studied mid- and high-rise benchmark PT-CLTstrs, following their fragility-based reliabilities, the 8-storey PT-CLTstr is subjected to the least seismic vulnerability; while, following their RSM-based reliabilities, the 4-storey PT-CLTstr is subjected to the least seismic vulnerability

Aseismic protection of historical structures using modern retrofitting techniques

  • Syrmakezis, C.A.;Antonopoulos, A.K.;Mavrouli, O.A.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
    • /
    • 제4권2호
    • /
    • pp.233-245
    • /
    • 2008
  • For historical masonry structures existing in the Mediterranean area, structural strengthening is of primary importance due to the continuous earthquake threat that is posed on them. Proper retrofitting of historical structures involves a thorough understanding of their structural pathology, before proceeding with any intervention measures. In this paper, a methodology is presented for the evaluation of the actual state of historical masonry structures, which can provide a useful tool for the seismic response assessment before and after the retrofitting. The methodology is mainly focused on the failure and vulnerability analysis of masonry structures using the finite element method. Using this methodology the retrofitting of historical structures with innovative techniques is investigated. The innovative technique presented here involves the exploitation of Shape Memory Alloy prestressed bars. This type of intervention is proposed because it ensures increased reversibility and minimization of interventions, in comparison with conventional retrofitting methods. In this paper, a case study is investigated for the demonstration of the proposed methodologies and techniques, which comprises a masonry Byzantine church and a masonry Cistern. Prestressed SMA alloy bars are placed into the load-bearing system of the structure. The seismic response of the non-retrofitted and the retrofitted finite element models are compared in terms of seismic energy dissipation and displacements diminution.

SPI와 DRI를 활용한 의령군 지역의 가뭄 평가 (Drought Assessment with SPI and DRI in Uiryeong-Gun)

  • 곽제상;김광섭;정영훈;엄명진
    • 대한토목학회논문집
    • /
    • 제42권4호
    • /
    • pp.457-467
    • /
    • 2022
  • 가뭄은 지역적 특성이 강하게 나타나므로 가뭄이 진행하는 상태나 심한 정도를 정의할 수 있는 객관적인 정의나 기준이 필요하다. 이를 위해 가뭄지수(drought index)란 개념은 증발산량을 정량적으로 제시하면서 시작되었으며, 현재까지 전 세계적으로 많은 가뭄 관련 연구가 수행되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 대표적인 기상학적 가뭄지수인 표준 강수 지수(SPI)를 산정하였고, 실질적인 가뭄을 고려할 수 있는 가뭄 위험 지수(DRI)를 가뭄 취약성 지수(DVI)와 가뭄 위험요소 지수(DHI)를 대상지역인 의령군에 적용하여 안정적인 용수공급 체계를 마련할 수 있는 실제적인 가뭄의 평가에 대한 방법을 제시하였다.

기업건전성평가에 미치는 내부통제정보의 유용성에 관한 실증분석 연구 (An Empirical Analysis about the usefulness of Internal Control Information on Corporate Soundness Assessment)

  • 유길현;김대룡
    • 디지털융복합연구
    • /
    • 제14권8호
    • /
    • pp.163-175
    • /
    • 2016
  • 본 연구는 기업의 내부통제 취약점 유무가 금융기관의 기업건전성 평가 분류와 유의적으로 작용하는지를 실증 분석함으로써, 기업에게는 효율적인 내부통제제도 형성유인을 제공하고 금융기관에게는 내부회계관리제도에 따른 정보유용성을 실증적으로 확인해 보는데 있다. 분석대상은 2008년부터 2013년까지 K_금융기관과 거래실적이 있는 유가증권 및 코스닥 상장기업과 자산 1,000억 원 이상의 비상장기업이다. 분석결과, 내부회계관리제도에 따른 내부통제 취약점 비보고기업은 평균적으로 'BBB' 신용등급을 받는데 반하여, 보고기업은 'CCC'등급을 받고 있으며, 자산 건전성 분류 역시 통계적으로 유의하게 비보고기업은 '정상'으로, 보고기업은 '요주의' 기업으로 분류되고 있다. 따라서 내부통제의 취약점 보고정보는 기업이 형성하는 재무자료의 신뢰성을 저하시켜 기업에게는 낮은 신용등급의 원인으로, 금융기관에게는 자산부실화 예방을 위한 충당금 추가 적립, 높은 대출금리 요구의 유인이 될 수 있다는 점을 시사한다. 내부회계관리제도에 따른 내부통제의 취약점 보고가 기업신용평가나 자산건전성 분류 등 기업 건전성에 대한 금융기관의 평가에 유의한 정보로써 활용될 수 있다는 점을 제시하고 있는 것이 본 연구의 주요의의이다.

지속가능성지수를 이용한 다목적댐의 용수공급 이행도 평가 (Water Supply Performance Assessment of Multipurpose Dams Using Sustainability Index)

  • 이광만
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
    • /
    • 제47권5호
    • /
    • pp.411-420
    • /
    • 2014
  • 지구온난화와 기후변화에 의한 수문사상의 불확실성이 커지고 있는 점을 고려하여 수자원의 지속가능성은 매우 중요한 과제로 대두되고 있다. 본 연구는 우리나라 주요 다목적댐을 대상으로 지속가능성지수를 이용하여 용수공급 이행도를 평가하였다. 수자원시스템 용수공급 평가에 많이 활용되고 있는 지표들을 대상으로 적용성과 유연성을 고려하여 선정하고, 선정된 매개변수로 구성된 복합지수를 이용하여 통합적으로 평가하는 방식이다. 실질적으로 신뢰도, 회복도, 취약도 및 최대물부족도 등을 기초 매개변수로 댐의 용수공급 지속가능성지수를 구성하고 15개 다목적댐을 대상으로 개별 댐과 유역별로 평가하였다. 평과결과, 금강유역의 대청댐과 낙동강 유역의 임하, 합천 및 남강댐이 취약한 것으로 나타났으며, 유역은 낙동강 유역이 가장 취약하여 용수공급 안전도 향상을 위한 대응방안이 필요한 것으로 분석되었다.

인공지능을 이용한 수도권 학교 미세먼지 취약성 평가: Part II - 학교 미세먼지 범주화 (Vulnerability Assessment for Fine Particulate Matter (PM2.5) in the Schools of the Seoul Metropolitan Area, Korea: Part II - Vulnerability Assessment for PM2.5 in the Schools)

  • 손상훈;김진수
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
    • /
    • 제37권6_2호
    • /
    • pp.1891-1900
    • /
    • 2021
  • 직경 2.5 ㎛ 이하인 초미세먼지는 급격한 도시화와 인구 증가로 인해 대도시에서 많이 발생하며, 유아 및 청소년기는 성인에 비해 초미세먼지에 취약하고 만성 질환으로 이어질 가능성이 높다. 특히 대부분의 청소년들은 학교에서 가장 많은 시간을 보내고 있으며, 다양한 이유에 의해 실외에서 발생한 초미세먼지가 실내로 유입된다. 본 연구는 외부 요인에 의해 발생하는 학교 초미세먼지를 예측하고 학교별 초미세먼지 범주화를 수행하였다. 10-fold cross validation과 grid-search method를 적용한 random forest (RF) 모델에 화학과 기상 인자, 위성 기반의 aerosol optical depth (AOD)를 입력 자료로 하여 학교 초미세먼지를 예측하고 정확도 평가를 위해 4가지 통계 지표를 이용하였다. 학교 미세먼지 범주화를 위해 6가지 유형을 가진 느슨한 기준과 엄격한 기준을 정의하였으며, 범주화 결과 느슨한 기준의 경우 유형 2와 3에, 엄격한 기준의 경우 유형 3과 4에 가장 많은 학교가 포함되었다.

해상 플랫폼 탑재장비 손실률 산정 방법 - 워게임모델 적용을 중심으로 - (Methodology for estimating the damage rate of equipment mounted on the warship)

  • 양정관;김봉석;경지훈;오현식
    • 시스템엔지니어링학술지
    • /
    • 제18권2호
    • /
    • pp.108-116
    • /
    • 2022
  • Accurately predicting wartime resources requirements and preparing war supplies in peacetime is an important task that can determine the outcome of the war by guaranteeing the duration of the operation. The wartime warship damage rate is a measure of estimating the battle damage of our warships in the process of performing battles to achieve the war goal. In the previously studied wartime warship damage rate estimation method, when damage occurs, long-term repair is required due to the complexity and specificity of the ship structure. Only the case of a complete defeat at the level of sinking was defined as a damage, and even if it was impossible to perform a maritime operation mission, it was not estimated as a damage if the level of sinking was not reached. Therefore, in order to improve the reliability of the wartime warship damage rate, the equipment damage assessment level can be estimated based on the warhead weight of the threat weapon system, the vulnerability rate of the warship's equipment, and the warship's hull. In the future, it is expected that the estimation methodology proposed in this study will be used as a simulation logic when developing a model for analyzing the wartime resources requirements for the warship's equipment and hull.