• 대기
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• 제27권2호
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• pp.133-150
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• 2017

This study evaluates CMIP5 model performance on rainy season evolution in the East Asian summer monsoon. Historical (1986~2005) simulation is analyzed using ensemble mean of CMIP5 19 models. Simulated rainfall amount is underestimated than the observed and onset and termination of rainy season are earlier in the simulation. Compared with evolution timing, duration of the rainy season is uncertain with large model spread. This area-averaged analysis results mix relative differences among the models. All model show similarity in the underestimated rainfall, but there are quite large difference in dynamic and thermodynamic processes. The model difference is shown in horizontal distribution analysis. BEST and WORST group is selected based on skill score. BEST shows better performance in northward movement of the rain band, summer monsoon domain. Especially, meridional gradient of equivalent potential temperature and low-level circulation for evolving frontal system is quite well captured in BEST. According to RCP8.5, CMIP5 projects earlier onset, delayed termination and longer duration of the rainy season with increasing rainfall amount at the end of 21st century. BEST and WORST shows similar projection for the rainy season evolution timing, meanwhile there are large discrepancy in thermodynamic structure. BEST and WORST in future projection are different in moisture flux, vertical structure of equivalent potential temperature and the subsequent unstable changes in the conditional instability.

• 한국기후변화학회지
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.79-91
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• 2011

본 연구에서는 기후변화와 대기환경 사이의 통합적 상호작용 연구를 위하여 전 지구규모 기후모델(CCSM3) 결과를 지역 규모 기후모델(MM5)의 초기 및 경계 조건으로 사용할 수 있도록 역학적 상세화(Downscaling) 기법을 개발하였다. 개발된 상세화 기법에서는 위 경도 좌표계로 이루어진 CCSM3 결과를 Lambert-Conformal Arakawa-B 격자 체계로, CCSM3의 hybrid-vertical coordinate를 MM5의 sigma coordinate로 대체하는 과정과 CCSM3 모델 수행 결과와 모델 수행에 필요한 변수들 간의 일치화 과정이 포함된다. 전 지구 규모 모델 결과들이 지역 규모 모델의 입력값으로 역학적 규모 축소되는 과정을 검증하기 위해 공간 분포 및 통계분석을 수행한 결과, 여름철과 겨울철의 기온 및 강수량 패턴이 동아시아 영역 및 한반도 지역에 대해 기존 관측을 이용한 결과와 매우 유사한 패턴을 보였으며, 통계 분석 결과 모델 예측지수가 기온의 경우 0.9 이상의 좋은 값이 나타났으며, 상관성 역시 0.9 수준의 결과를 보여 인터페이스 구축이 성공적으로 수행되었음을 알 수 있다.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제11권5호
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• pp.419-436
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• 2002

The current paper reports on the enhancement of O$_3$, CO, NO$_2$, and aerosols during the Asian dust event that occurred over Korea on 1 May 1999. To confirm the origin and net flux of the O$_3$, CO, NO$_2$, and aerosols, the meteorological parameters of the weather conditions were investigated using Mesoscale Meteorological Model 5(MM5) and the TOMS total ozone and aerosol index, the back trajectory was identified using the Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory Model(HYSPLIT), and the ozone and ozone precursor concentrations were determined using the Urban Ashed Model(UAM). In the presence of sufficiently large concentrations of NO$\sub$x/, the oxidation of CO led to O$_3$ formation with OH, HO$_2$, NO, and NO$_2$ acting as catalysts. The sudden enhancement of O$_3$, CO, NO$_2$ and aerosols was also found to be associated with a deepening cut-off low connected with a surface cyclone and surface anticyclone located to the south of Korea during the Asian dust event. The wave pattern of the upper trough/cut-off low and total ozone level remained stationary when they came into contact with a surface cyclone during the Asian dust event. A typical example of a stratosphere-troposphere exchange(STE) of ozone was demonstrated by tropopause folding due to the jet stream. As such, the secondary maxima of ozone above 80 ppbv that occurred at night in Busan, Korea on 1 May 2001 were considered to result from vertical mixing and advection from a free troposphere-boundary layer exchange in connection with an STE in the upper troposphere. Whereas the sudden enhancement of ozone above 100 ppbv during the day was explained by the catalytic reaction of ozone precursors and transport of ozone from a slow-moving anticyclone area that included a high level of ozone and its precursors coming from China to the south of Korea. The aerosols identified in the free troposphere over Busan, Korea on 1 May 1999 originated from the Taklamakan and Gobi deserts across the Yellow River. In particular, the 1000m profile indicated that the source of the air parcels was from an anticyclone located to the south of Korea. The net flux due to the first invasion of ozone between 0000 LST and 0600 LST on 1 May 1999 agreed with the observed ground-based background concentration of ozone. From 0600 LST to 1200 LST, the net flux of the second invasion of ozone was twice as much as the day before. In this case, a change in the horizontal wind direction may have been responsible for the ozone increase.

• 환경정책연구
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.3-25
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• 2015

도심재생하천 내부의 수리적 특성이 열환경 변화에 미치는 영향을 알아보고자 하천의 물리적 구조와 수리적 특성, 기상요소, 온열환경을 분석하였다. 연구 대상지는 복원된 도시하천으로서 큰 의의를 가지는 청계천을 선정하였다. 유형은 물리적 구조별 녹피율의 차이에 따라 유형 I(0.0%)과 유형 II(20.2%)로 구분하였다. 여울이 끝나는 Ba지점에서 수온은 $0.2^{\circ}C$ 감소, 유속은 0.7~0.9m/s 증가, 용존산소량은 0.5~0.6mg/L 증가하였으며, 기온은 평균 $1.1{\sim}1.4^{\circ}C$ 감소, 상대습도는 평균 6.6~8.7% 증가, 풍속은 불규칙한 변화를 보였다. 습구흑구온도지수 분석결과, 유형에 따른 상류부의 하천 내부와 수면 외부의 값의 차이는 미비하였으나, 유형 I의 하류부에서 감소폭은 $0.3{\sim}0.6^{\circ}C$, 유형 II는 $0.8^{\circ}C$ 등이었다. 기온저감의 효과는 수직높이로 유형 I의 경우 120cm, 유형 II는 140cm까지 영향이 있었으며, 거리별 기온저감의 효과는 유형 I의 경우 여울이 끝나는 Ba지점 이후로 증가하였고, 유형 II의 경우 지속해서 감소하였다.

• 대기
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.141-150
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• 2014

This study investigates the characteristics of the Gross Moist Stability (GMS) over the tropics. The GMS summarizes the relationship between large-scale entropy forcing due to radiation and surface fluxes and the response of smaller-scale convection. The GMS is able to explain both to where moist entropy is advected by the atmospheric circulation and how deep the moisture flux convergence is in the tropical region. In the deep convective region, positive GMS appears over the warm pool region due to the strong column-integrated moisture convergence and the ensuing export of moist entropy to the environment. The vertical advection of moist entropy dominates over the horizontal advection in this region. Meanwhile, over the eastern tropical ITCZ region, which is characterized by shallow convective area, import of moist entropy by horizontal winds is dominant compared to the vertical moist entropy advection. Future changes in the GMS are also examined using the 22 CMIP5 model simulations. A decrease in the GMS appears widely across the tropics, but its increase occurs over the western-central equatorial Pacific. It is evident that the increased GMS region corresponds to an increased region of precipitation, implying that strengthened convection in the future due to increased entropy forcing exports the enhanced moist energy to stabilize the environment.

• 한국지구과학회지
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• 제28권7호
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• pp.947-956
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• 2007

이 연구는 태풍의 온대성 저기압화에 대해 간단히 소개하고 Evans and Hart(2003)와 Hart(2003_의 객관적 온대성 저기압화 판별식을 이용하여 최근 온대성 저기압화를 거친 세 태풍(Shanshan, Yaki, Soulik)에 대한 사례분석이 이루어졌다. 500-hPa 고도장분석에서 온대성 저기압화 시작시 세 태풍 모두 중위도 경압지역으로 북상하는 공통된 특성을 보였다. 그러나 연직단면 분석에서는 온대성 저기압화의 시작전 시 태풍 중심부근의 모든 층에서 온난 다습한 특성을 보였다. 온대성 저기압화 이후에는 이 개념모델의 전형적 특성인 태풍의 서쪽영역에 한랭 건조한 특성을 나타내었다. 따라서 Evans and Hart(2003)와 Hart(2003)의 객관적 온대성저기압화의 판별식은 태풍의 온대성저기압화 시작 및 구조변화를 잘 반영하므로 기상청 예보현업에서도 유용하게 사용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• 대기
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• 제24권3호
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• pp.317-329
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• 2014

Eddy covariance data have been analyzed to investigate the influence of surface heterogeneity on turbulent transfer over farmland and industrial sites near Nakdong river, Korea, where both large and small scale heterogeneities co-exist. For this purpose, basic turbulent statistics, quadrant analysis and multi-resolution decomposition have been analyzed during the daytime. Basic turbulent statistics were compared with typical turbulent statistics in the surface layer. Such comparisons were in close agreement for momentum and heat at both sites but not for water vapor at industrial site. The correlation coefficient between water vapor and vertical velocity ($r_{wq}$) is relatively low and skewness of water vapor ($sk_q$) is very low at industrial site, possibly due to limited water source. For heat at both sites and water vapor at farmland, the quadrant analysis show similar behavior to that over homogeneous site but for water vapor at industrial site, the presence of river and limited water source at industrial site seems to influence on water vapor transfer by coherent eddy motion by increasing sweep contribution and decreasing ejection contribution. Multi-resolution decomposition analysis shows that large scale heterogeneity leads to low $r_{Tq}$ at large averaging time regardless of season at both sites and there are seasonal changes of $r_{Tq}$ in mid-averaging times at industrial site, possibly due to seasonal change of trees and grasses near the site.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제26권5호
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• pp.621-638
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• 2017

Meteorological characteristics related to variations in ozone ($O_3$) concentrations in the Korean peninsula before, during, and after Typhoon Talas (1112) were analyzed using both observation data and numerical modeling. This case study takes into account a high $O_3$ episode (e.g., a daily maximum of ${\geq}90ppb$) without rainfall. Before the typhoon period, high $O_3$ concentrations in the study areas (e.g., Daejeon, Daegu, and Busan) resulted from the combined effects of stable atmospheric conditions with high temperature under a migratory anticyclone (including subsiding air), and wind convergence due to a change in direction caused by the typhoon. The $O_3$ concentrations during the typhoon period decreased around the study area due to very weak photochemical activity under increased cloud cover and active vertical dispersion under a low pressure system. However, the maximum $O_3$ concentrations during this period were somewhat high (similar to those in the normal period extraneous to the typhoon), possibly because of the relatively slow photochemical loss of $O_3$ by a $H_2O+O(^1D)$ reaction resulting from the low air temperature and low relative humidity. The lowest $O_3$ concentrations during the typhoon period were relatively high compared to the period before and after the typhoon, mainly due to the transport effect resulting from the strong nocturnal winds caused by the typhoon. In addition, the $O_3$ increase observed at night in Daegu and Busan was primarily caused by local wind conditions (e.g., mountain winds) and atmospheric stagnation in the wind convergence zone around inland mountains and valleys.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제26권7호
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• pp.827-836
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• 2017

Freezing rain is a phenomenon when precipitation falls as a liquid rain drop, but freezes when it comes into contact with surfaces or objects. In this study, we investigated the predictability of freezing rain and its characteristics, which are strongly related with the occurrence of black ice using synoptic scale meteorological observation data. Two different cases occurred at 2012 were analyzed and in the presented cases, freezing rain often occurs in the low-level low pressure with the warm front. The warm front due to the lower cyclone make suitable environment in which snow falling from the upper layer can change into supercooled water. The $0^{\circ}C$ temperature line to generate supercooling water is located at an altitude of 850 hPa in the vertical temperature distribution. And the ground temperature remained below zero, as is commonly known as a condition for black ice formation. It is confirmed that the formation rate of freezing rain is higher when the thickness after 1000-850 hPa is 1290-1310 m and the thickness of 850-700 hPa layer is larger than 1540 m in both cases. It can also be used to predict and estimate the generation of freezing rain by detecting and analyzing bright bands in radar observation.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제63권5호
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• pp.676-682
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• 2014

In this paper, precipitation echo(PRE) and non-precipitaion echo(N-PRE)(including ground echo and clear echo) through weather radar data are identified with the aid of neuro-fuzzy algorithm. The accuracy of the radar information is lowered because meteorological radar data is mixed with the PRE and N-PRE. So this problem is resolved by using RBFNN and judgement module. Structure expression of weather radar data are analyzed in order to classify PRE and N-PRE. Input variables such as Standard deviation of reflectivity(SDZ), Vertical gradient of reflectivity(VGZ), Spin change(SPN), Frequency(FR), cumulation reflectivity during 1 hour(1hDZ), and cumulation reflectivity during 2 hour(2hDZ) are made by using weather radar data and then each characteristic of input variable is analyzed. Input data is built up from the selected input variables among these input variables, which have a critical effect on the classification between PRE and N-PRE. Echo judgment module is developed to do echo classification between PRE and N-PRE by using testing dataset. Polynomial-based radial basis function neural networks(RBFNNs) are used as neuro-fuzzy algorithm, and the proposed neuro-fuzzy echo pattern classifier is designed by combining RBFNN with echo judgement module. Finally, the results of the proposed classifier are compared with both CZ and DZ, as well as QC data, and analyzed from the view point of output performance.