• Title/Summary/Keyword: Vector error correction

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The Impact of the Supply Regulation on the Price in Farming Olive Flounder (출하량 조절이 양식 넙치가격에 미치는 영향)

  • Kang, Seokkyu
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.709-725
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    • 2015
  • This study is to analyse the relationship between the price and the supply in the farming Olive Flounder's production area market. The data used in this study correspond to daily price and supply quantity covering time period from January 1, 2007 to June 30. 2013. The analysis methods of cointegration and vector error correction model are employed. The empirical results of this study are summarized as follows: First, the price and the supply follow random walks and they are integrated of order 1. Second, the price and the supply are cointegrated. Third, vector error correction model suggests that the relationship between the price change ration and the supply quantity change ratio has negative and feedback effect exists in the long-run, but the disequilibrium between the price and the supply is corrected by the supply quantity. Finally, vector error correction model suggests that the supply quantity leads the price in the short-run. This indicates that the decrease(increase) of the supply quantity results in the increase(decrease) of the price.

A Study on the Dynamic Relationship between Cultural Industry and Economic Growth

  • He, Yugang
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.85-94
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    • 2018
  • The cultural industry is treated as the sunrise industry in modern society. It has taken an increasing role in promoting the economic growth. Due to this, this paper attempts to explore the dynamic relationship between cultural industry and the economic growth. On the grounds of Cobb-Douglas production function, the cultural industry is regarded as a determinant such as the labor input and the capital input to impact the economic growth. Meanwhile, the quarterly datum form 2000-Q1 to 2017-Q4 are employed to perform an empirical analysis via the vector error correction model. The GDP is treated as an independent variable. The input of capital, the input of labor and the total input of cultural industry are treated as dependent variables. Furthermore, a menu of statistical approaches such as the co-integration test and the impulse response function will be used to testify the dynamic relationship between cultural industry and economic growth. Via the Johansen co-integration test, the results report that the cultural industry has a obviously positive effect on economic growth. Through the vector error correction estimation, the results also report that the cultural industry also has a significantly positive effect on economic growth, but less than that of the Johansen co-integration test. This paper provides a view that the cultural industry is a kind of a determinant to promote the economic growth. Therefore, the China's government should pay much attention to the cultural industry construction.

Effects of Bank Macroeconomic Indicators on the Stability of the Financial System in Indonesia

  • VIPHINDRARTIN, Sebastiana;ARDHANARI, Margaretha;WILANTARI, Regina Niken;SOMAJI, Rafael Purtomo;ARIANTI, Selvi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.647-654
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    • 2021
  • This study examines the non-performing loans of rural banks and macroeconomic factors in Indonesia, including inflation, exchange rates, and interest rates. Theoretically, the existence of erratic macroeconomic conditions can affect the level of non-performing credit risk in rural credit banks in Indonesia. The effect of macroeconomic conditions on non-performing loans has a different response for each economic sector. The main objective of this study is to determine the effect of macroeconomic factors (inflation, exchange rates, and interest rates) and bank-specific factors (credit) on the Non-Performing Loans (NPL) of Rural Banks in Indonesia for the period from January 2015 to December 2018. This study uses a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) estimation to determine the effect of independent variables consisting of macroeconomic factors and bank-specific factors. Based on the estimation results of the Vector Error Correction Model, three variables that have a positive and significant effect on long-term non-performing loans are credit, inflation, and interest rates. Meanwhile, in the short term, there are only two variables that have a positive and significant effect on non-performing loans, namely, credit and interest rates. Inflation and exchange rate variables have a negative and insignificant effect on bad credit in the short term.

Ready-Made Garments (RMG) Export Earnings and Economic Development of Bangladesh: Empirical Analysis Using Vector Error Correction Model

  • JIBAN, Abul Jannat;BISWAS, Gautam Kumar;YANG, Shaohua
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.10
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2022
  • Ready-made Garments (RMG) export earnings, which are almost 80% of the total exports of Bangladesh, have been recognized as one of the main catalysts for the recent development of the country. Therefore, the need to determine whether the RMG export had served as a mechanism for increasing the GDP growth as well as the economic development of the country is topical and pressing. We have applied the Johansen Co-integration test and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to reveal the linkage of RMG export earnings and other variables with the GDP growth rate in Bangladesh. Using data from 1990 to 2020 for Bangladesh, we have found long-run as well as short-run associations among RMG Export earnings, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), and GDP growth. A co-integration among the variables is validated through the Johansen Co-integration test. Moreover, a causal correlation running from RMG export earnings to GDP was revealed by the Granger causality test in the long run. Finally, we estimated impulse response functions to observe the variations of model variables in response to a shock. Our result supports the proposition that RMG export earnings are one of the main growth engines in Bangladesh and this sector leads growth in other sectors also in the long term.

An Empirical Analysis on the Long-term Balance of Bunker Oil Prices Using the Co-integration Model and Vector Error Correction Model (공적분·벡터오차수정모형을 활용한 벙커유 가격의 장기균형 수렴에 관한 실증분석)

  • Ahn, Young-Gyun;Lee, Min-Kyu
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.75-86
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    • 2019
  • This study performs a factor analysis that affects the bunker oil price using the Co-integration model and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). For this purpose, we use data from Clarkson and the analysis results show 17.6% decrease in bunker oil price when the amount of crude oil production increases at 1.0%, 10.3% increase in bunker oil price when the seaborne trade volume increases at 1.0%, 1.0% decrease in bunker oil price when total volume of vessels increases at 1.0%, and 0.003% increase in bunker oil price when 1.0% increase in world GDP, respectively. This study is meaningful in that this study estimates the speed of convergence to long-term equilibrium and identifies the price adjust mechanism which naturally exists in bunker oil market. And it is expected that the future study can provide statistically more meaningful econometric results if it can obtain data during more long-periods and use more various kinds of explanatory variables.

Residual error selecting method for precise geometric correction

  • Kim, Myoung-Sun;Ohno, Yasuo;Takagi, Mikio
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 1999.11a
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    • pp.3-7
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    • 1999
  • The images of the meteorological satellite NOAA contain geometrical distortions caused by its ambiguous position, its vibration, its sensor's movement, and so on. Geometric correction of satellite images is one of the most important parts in many remote sensing as the primary processing. Ground control points (GCP's) are necessary to check the accuracy of geometric correction and used for precise geometric correction. In this paper, a method for automatically selecting the residual error is presented. Calculating the effective angle and residual errors vector using the succeeded matching GCP's, precise geometric correction using an affine transformation is applied to systematically a corrected image. And the error is decreased by an affine transformation. The above enable the geometric correction of high quality.

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A Study on Determinants of Asset Price : Focused on USA (자산가격의 결정요인에 대한 실증분석 : 미국사례를 중심으로)

  • Park, Hyoung-Kyoo;Jeong, Dong-Bin
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - This work analyzes, in detail, the specification of vector error correction model (VECM) and thus examines the relationships and impact among seven economic variables for USA - balance on current account (BCA), index of stock (STOCK), gross domestic product (GDP), housing price indices (HOUSING), a measure of the money supply that includes total currency as well as large time deposits, institutional money market funds, short-term repurchase agreements and other larger liquid assets (M3), real rate of interest (IR_REAL) and household credits (LOAN). In particular, we search for the main explanatory variables that have an effect on stock and real estate market, respectively and investigate the causal and dynamic associations between them. Research design, data, and methodology - We perform the time series vector error correction model to infer the dynamic relationships among seven variables above. This work employs the conventional augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron (PP) unit root techniques to test for stationarity among seven variables under consideration, and Johansen cointegration test to specify the order or the number of cointegration relationship. Granger causality test is exploited to inspect for causal relationship and, at the same time, impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis are checked for both short-run and long-run association among the seven variables by EViews 9.0. The underlying model was analyzed by using 108 realizations from Q1 1990 to Q4 2016 for USA. Results - The results show that all the seven variables for USA have one unit root and they are cointegrated with at most five and three cointegrating equation for USA. The vector error correction model expresses a long-run relationship among variables. Both IR_REAL and M3 may influence real estate market, and GDP does stock market in USA. On the other hand, GDP, IR_REAL, M3, STOCK and LOAN may be considered as causal factors to affect real estate market. Conclusions - The findings indicate that both stock market and real estate market can be modelled as vector error correction specification for USA. In addition, we can detect causal relationships among variables and compare dynamic differences between countries in terms of stock market and real estate market.

Structural Vector Error Correction Model for Korean Labor Market Data (구조적 오차수정모형을 이용한 한국노동시장 자료분석)

  • Seong, Byeongchan;Jung, Hyosang
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.1043-1051
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    • 2013
  • We use a structural vector error correction model of the labor market to investigate the effect of shocks to Korean unemployment. We associate technology, labor demand, labor supply, and wage-setting shocks with equations for productivity, employment, unemployment, and real wages, respectively. Subsequently, labor demand and supply shocks have significant long-run and contemporaneous effects on unemployment, respectively.

Correction of Position Error Using Modified Hough Transformation For Inspection System with Low Precision X- Y Robot (저정밀 X-Y 로봇을 이용한 검사 시스템의 변형된 Hough 변환을 이용한 위치오차보정)

  • 최경진;이용현;박종국
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.9 no.10
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    • pp.774-781
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    • 2003
  • The important factors that cause position error in X-Y robot are inertial force, frictions and spring distortion in screw or coupling. We have to estimate these factors precisely to correct position errors, Which is very difficult. In this paper, we makes systems to inspect metal stencil which is used to print solder paste on pads of SMD of PCB with low precision X-Y robot and vision system. To correct position error that is caused by low precision X-Y robot, we defines position error vector that is formed with position of objects that exist in reference and camera image. We apply MHT(Modified Hough Transformation) for the aim of determining the dominant position error vector. We modify reference image using extracted dominant position error vector and obtain reference image that is the same with camera image. Effectiveness and performance of this method are verified by simulation and experiment.

Augmented Quantum Short-Block Code with Single Bit-Flip Error Correction (단일 비트플립 오류정정 기능을 갖는 증강된 Quantum Short-Block Code)

  • Park, Dong-Young;Suh, Sang-Min;Kim, Baek-Ki
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2022
  • This paper proposes an augmented QSBC(Quantum Short-Block Code) that preserves the function of the existing QSBC and adds a single bit-flip error correction function due to Pauli X and Y errors. The augmented QSBC provides the diagnosis and automatic correction of a single Pauli X error by inserting additional auxiliary qubits and Toffoli gates as many as the number of information words into the existing QSBC. In this paper, the general expansion method of the augmented QSBC using seed vector and the realization method of the Toffoli gate of the single bit-flip error automatic correction function reflecting the scalability are also presented. The augmented QSBC proposed in this paper has a trade-off with a coding rate of at least 1/3 and at most 1/2 due to the insertion of auxiliary qubits.