• 제목/요약/키워드: Variance Ratio Test

검색결과 199건 처리시간 0.024초

코자 정(로자탄 칼륨 50 mg)에 대한 로자르탄 정의 생물학적동등성 (Bioequivalence of LosartanTM Tablet to CozzarTM Tablet (Losartan Kalium 50 mg))

  • 김용원;박완수;김성수;서지형;조성희;이헌우;류재환;이경태
    • Journal of Pharmaceutical Investigation
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.131-136
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of the present study was to evaluate the bioequivalence of two losartan tablets, $Cozaar^{TM}$ tablet (MSD Korea. Co., Ltd., Seoul, Korea, reference drug) and $Losartan^{TM}$ tablet (DaeWon Pharm. Co., Ltd., Korea, test drug), according to the guidelines of Korea Food and Drug Administration (KFDA). Twenty-four healthy male Korean volunteers received two tablets at the losartan kalium dose of 100 mg in a $2\;{\time}\;2$ crossover study. There was a one-week washout period between the doses. Plasma concentrations of losartan were monitored by an LC-MS/MS for over a period of 12 hr after the administration. $AUC_t$ (the area under the plasma concentration-time curve from time zero to 12 hr) was calculated by the linear trapezoidal rule method. $C_{max}$ (maximum plasma drug concentration) and $T_{max}$ (time to reach $C_{max}$) were compiled from the plasma concentration-time data. Analysis of variance was carried out using logarithmically transformed $AUC_t$ and $C_{max}$. No significant sequence effect was found for all of the bioavailability parameters indicating that the crossover design was properly performed. The 90% confidence intervals of the $AUC_t$ ratio and the $C_{max}$ ratio for $Cozaar^{TM}/Losartan^{TM}$ were $log\;0.97{\sim}log\;1.12\;and\;log\;0.93{\sim}log\;1.23$, respectively. These values were within the acceptable bioequivalence intervals of $log\;0.80{\sim}log\;1.25$. Taken together, our study demonstrated the bioequivalence of $Cozaar^{TM}$ and $Losartan^TM$ with respect to the rate and extent of absorption.

Bioequivalence of Samchundang Lercanidipine Tablet 10 mg to Zanidip Tablet (Lercanidipine Hydrochloride 10 mg) by Liquid Chromatography with Tandem Mass Spectrometry

  • Kim, Se-Mi;Kim, Hwan-Ho;Shin, Sae-Byeok;Kang, Hyun-Ah;Cho, Hea-Young;Kim, Yoon-Gyoon;Lee, Yong-Bok
    • Journal of Pharmaceutical Investigation
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    • 제37권5호
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    • pp.315-321
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of the present study was to evaluate the bioequivalence of two lercanidipine hydrochloride tablets, Zanidip tablet (LG Life Sciences Ltd., Korea, reference drug) and Samchundang Lercanidipine tablet 10 mg (Sam Chun Dang Pharm. Co. Ltd., Korea, test drug), according to the guidelines of Korea Food and Drug Administration (KFDA). After adding an internal standard (amlodipine maleate) to human serum, serum samples were extracted using hexan-isoamyl alcohol (100:1, v/v). Compounds were analyzed by liquid chromatography/tandem mass spectrometry. This method showed linear response over the concentration range of 0.05-20 ng/mL with correlation coefficient of 0.9999. The lower limit of quantitation using 0.5 mL of serum was 0.05 ng/mL which was sensitive enough for pharmacokinetic studies. Thirty healthy male Korean volunteers received each medicine at the lercanidipine hydrochloride dose of 20 mg in a $2\;{\times}\;2$ crossover study. There was a one-week washout period between the doses. Serum concentrations of lercanidipine were monitored by an LC/MS/MS fer over a period of 24 hr after the administration. $AUC_t$ (the area under the serum concentration-time curve from time 0 to 24 hr) was calculated by the linear trapezoidal rule method. $C_{max}$ (the maximum serum drug concentration) and $T_{max}$ (the time to reach $C_{max}$) were compiled from the serum concentration-time data. Analysis of variance was carried out using logarithmically transformed $AUC_t$ and $C_{max}$. No significant sequence effect was found for all of the bioavailability parameters, indicating that the crossover design was properly performed. The 90% confidence intervals of the $AUC_t$ ratio and the $C_{max}$ ratio for Samchundang Lercanidipine/Zanidip were log 0.9505-log 1.2258 and log 0.9987-log 1.2013, respectively. These values were within the acceptable bioequivalence intervals of log 0.80-log 1.25. Thus, the criteria of the KFDA guidelines for the bioequivalence was satisfied, indicating Samchundang Lercanidipine tablet 10 mg and Zanidip tablet are bioequivalent.

건일로딘 캡슐(에토돌락 200mg)에 대한 에토딘 캡슐의 생물학적동등성 (Bioequivalence of Etodin Capsule to Kuhnillodin Capsule (Etodolac 200 mg))

  • 이명재;장종민;최상준;이진성;탁성권;서지형;류재환;임성빈;이경태
    • Journal of Pharmaceutical Investigation
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    • 제38권6호
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    • pp.421-427
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of the present study was to evaluate the bioequivalence of two etodolac capsules, Kuhnillodin capsule (Kuhnil. Co., Ltd., Seoul, Korea) as reference drug and Etodin capsule (Myungmun Pharm. Co., Ltd., Seoul, Korea) as test drug, according to the guidelines of Korea Food and Drug Administration (KFDA). Twenty-three healthy male Korean volunteers received one capsule at the dose of 200 mg etodolac in a $2{\times}2$ crossover study. There was a one-week washout period between the doses. Plasma concentrations of etodolac were monitored by a high performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS) for over a period of 24 hr after the administration. $AUC_{0-24\;hr}$ was calculated by the linear trapezoidal rule method. $C_{max}$ and $T_{max}$ were compiled from the plasma concentration-time data. Analysis of variance (ANOVA) was carried out using logarithmically transformed $AUC_{0-24\;hr}$ and $C_{max}$. The 90% confidence intervals of the $AUC_{0-24\;hr}$ ratio and the $C_{max}$ ratio for Etodin/Kuhnillodin were $\log\;0.97{\sim}\log\;1.08$ and $\log\;0.89{\sim}\log\;1.19$, respectively. These values were within the acceptable bioequivalence intervals of $\log\;0.80{\sim}\log\;1.25$. Thus, our study demonstrated that Etodin was bioeqiovalent to Kuhnillodin preparation when the rate and extent of absorption between two preparations were compared.

혼합 가우시안 군집화를 이용한 상태공유 음향모델 최적화 (A Study on the Optimization of State Tying Acoustic Models using Mixture Gaussian Clustering)

  • 안태옥
    • 대한전자공학회논문지SP
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    • 제42권6호
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    • pp.167-176
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    • 2005
  • 본 논문은 음성인식에 쓰이는 음향모델의 모델링 방법 중 결정트리 상태공유 모델링(DTST)을 기반으로 출력 확률 분포의 혼합 가우시안 수를 줄여 모델을 최적화하는 방법을 제안한다. DTST는 음성학적 지식을 포함할 수 있는 질의어 집합과 유사도를 기반으로 한 결정 방법을 이용하는 것이다. 이때 상태들의 출력 확률 분포의 혼합 가우시안 수를 늘려 인식률을 증가시킬 수 있게 된다. 본 논문에서는 인식률이 최대가 되는 지점에서 혼합 가우시안들을 군집화 하여 그 수를 줄이고자 한다. 군집화 시에 필요한 거리 측정 방법은 유클리드(Euclidean)와 바타챠랴(Bhattacharyya) 방법을 이용하였고, 새로운 가우시안은 거리가 최소가 되는 두 가우시안으로부터 평균과 분산을 다시 계산하여 생성하였다. 증권상장 회사명(STOCKNAME) 1,680개의 단어 데이터베이스를 구성하여 실험한 결과 바타챠랴 방법은 $97.2\%$의 인식률을 유지하면서 전체 혼합 가우시안 수의 비율을 $1.0\%$로 감소시켰고, 유클리드 방법은 $96.9\%$의 인식률을 유지하면서 혼합 가우시안 수의 비율을 $1.0\%$로 감소시켜 모델을 최적화할 수 있었다.

소매유통업의 효율성 분석에 관한 연구 (An analysis of retail business efficiency in Korea)

  • 김순홍;유병국
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 2014
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to analyze the efficiency of retail businesses by dividing domestic retailers into discount stores, super supermarkets (SSMs), and department stores. It suggests retail-business investment strategies by using data environment analysis (DEA) to analyze how input elements such as store area, parking lot area, number of employees, and sales management expenses for the convenience of customers positively affect business performance measurements such as sales and visiting customers per day. Research Design, Data, and Methodology - The DEA model calculates a ratio of the weighted mean of various inputs to the weighted mean of various outputs and measures the efficiency of a specific decision making unit (DMU). The study included 19 companies (five discount store DMUs, ten SSM DMUs, and four department store DMUs). Because the business elements and sizes of retail store DMUs used in this analysis are different, average per-store input and output variables were used. Data were collected from "The Yearbook of Retail Industry in Korea (2012)." DEA analysis was used to determine differences in efficiency among discount stores, SSMs, and department stores in terms of the business elements of each retail business. It was also used to determine what business elements were excessively invested in by comparing and analyzing efficiency by business elements using SPSS software's ANOVA (Analysis of Variance). Results - The CCR and BCC efficiency analysis found that the efficiency of discount stores is low. We believe that the saturation state of discount stores is a major factor. The ANOVA analysis confirms the VRS hypothesis with a statistically significant difference among the three groups, based on an analysis confidence interval of 95%. CRS and SE were not found to be significantly different among the three groups. As for the post hoc test, which concretely shows differences by group, the Scheffe's multiple comparison analysis test found the average differences between group 1 (discount stores) and group 2 (SSM) to be statistically significant. Conclusions - The DEA efficiency analysis implies that investment in input elements, including store area, parking lot area, and sales management expenses, were excessive in the case of discount stores, while SSMs need to invest more in promotion activities such as gifts, events, and coupons for customer management. Department stores have found that small companies invest excessively in input elements. Department stores need to invest in differentiated shopping mall complexes. This study was limited in acquiring statistical data; various input variables which might have shown more secure customer management and promotional expenses could not be applied. As the study was limited in various aspects of the efficiency analyses because financial analyses of the companies and of causal relationships, including satisfaction and loyalty of visiting customers, were not done, these aspects will be examined in the next study.

At slaughtering and post mortem characteristics on Traditional market ewes and Halal market ewes in Tuscany

  • Sargentini, Clara;Tocci, Roberto;Campostrini, Matteo;Pippi, Eleonora;Iaconisi, Valeria
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • 제58권9호
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    • pp.35.1-35.10
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    • 2016
  • Background: The aim of this work was the comparison between the carcass and the meat ewes of the regional Traditional market and the Islamic religious (Halal) market. Methods: Thirty and 20 at the end of career traditional market and Halal market ewes were slaughtered following the EC (European Council, 2009) animal welfare guidelines. Live weight of ewes was taken and dressing percentage of carcasses was calculated. On every carcass zoometric measurement and the evaluation trough the EU grid rules were performed. On the Musculus longissimus thoracis of 12 Traditional market carcasses and 11 Halal market carcasses the physical-chemical and nutritional analysis were performed. Consumer tests for liking meat ewe were performed in order to find consumer's preference level for Traditional and Halal markets ewe meat. Considering as fixed factor the ewe meat market (Traditional and Halal), results were submitted to oneway Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) and to Principal Component Analysis (PCA). Results: The Halal market ewes have shown lower dressing percentages ($42.91{\pm}0.82$ vs $46.42{\pm}0.69$) and lower conformation score ($4.5{\pm}0.5$ vs $7.8{\pm}0.4$). The Halal market meat showed higher cooking loss in oven ($37.83{\pm}1.20$ vs $32.03{\pm}1.15%$), lesser Chroma value ($18.63{\pm}0.70$ vs $21.84{\pm}0.67$), and lesser Hue angle value ($0.26{\pm}0.02$ vs $0.34{\pm}0.02$). This product had also lower fat percentage ($4.2{\pm}0.4$ vs $7.09{\pm}0.4$). The traditional market meat had higher percentage in monounsatured fatty acids (MUFA) ($43.84{\pm}1.05$ vs $38.22{\pm}1.10$), while the Halal market meat had higher percentage in ${\omega}3$ poliunsatured fatty acids (PUFA) ($5.04{\pm}0.42$ vs $3.60{\pm}0.40$). The consumer test showed as the ewe meat was appreciate by the consumers. Conclusions: Both meat typologies have shown good nutritional characteristics. The traditional market meat had higher MUFA composition, and a better MUFA/satured fatty acids (SFA) ratio, while the Halal market meat had higher PUFA composition. These results were also supported by the PCA. The consumers preferred the traditional market meat.

Feasibility Study of Synthetic Diffusion-Weighted MRI in Patients with Breast Cancer in Comparison with Conventional Diffusion-Weighted MRI

  • Bo Hwa Choi;Hye Jin Baek;Ji Young Ha;Kyeong Hwa Ryu;Jin Il Moon;Sung Eun Park;Kyungsoo Bae;Kyung Nyeo Jeon;Eun Jung Jung
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제21권9호
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    • pp.1036-1044
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    • 2020
  • Objective: To investigate the clinical feasibility of synthetic diffusion-weighted imaging (sDWI) at different b-values in patients with breast cancer by assessing the diagnostic image quality and the quantitative measurements compared with conventional diffusion-weighted imaging (cDWI). Materials and Methods: Fifty patients with breast cancer were assessed using cDWI at b-values of 800 and 1500 s/mm2 (cDWI800 and cDWI1500) and sDWI at b-values of 1000 and 1500 s/mm2 (sDWI1000 and sDWI1500). Qualitative analysis (normal glandular tissue suppression, overall image quality, and lesion conspicuity) was performed using a 4-point Likert-scale for all DWI sets and the cancer detection rate (CDR) was calculated. We also evaluated cancer-to-parenchyma contrast ratios for each DWI set in 45 patients with the lesion identified on any of the DWI sets. Statistical comparisons were performed using Friedman test, one-way analysis of variance, and Cochran's Q test. Results: All parameters of qualitative analysis, cancer-to-parenchyma contrast ratios, and CDR increased with increasing b-values, regardless of the type of imaging (synthetic or conventional) (p < 0.001). Additionally, sDWI1500 provided better lesion conspicuity than cDWI1500 (3.52 ± 0.92 vs. 3.39 ± 0.90, p < 0.05). Although cDWI1500 showed better normal glandular tissue suppression and overall image quality than sDWI1500 (3.66 ± 0.78 and 3.73 ± 0.62 vs. 3.32 ± 0.90 and 3.35 ± 0.81, respectively; p < 0.05), there was no significant difference in their CDR (90.0%). Cancer-to-parenchyma contrast ratios were greater in sDWI1500 than in cDWI1500 (0.63 ± 0.17 vs. 0.55 ± 0.18, p < 0.001). Conclusion: sDWI1500 can be feasible for evaluating breast cancers in clinical practice. It provides higher tumor conspicuity, better cancer-to-parenchyma contrast ratio, and comparable CDR when compared with cDWI1500.

Risk perceptions of a population living near a municipal waste incinerator and associated factors with the prevalence of environmental disease

  • Dong Hyun Kim;Chae Kwan Lee;Jeong Ho Kim;Byung Chul Son;Chunhui Suh;Kunhyung Kim;Byeong Jin Ye
    • Annals of Occupational and Environmental Medicine
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    • 제34권
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    • pp.38.1-38.9
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    • 2022
  • Background: This study investigated the risk perceptions, prevalence of environmental diseases (EDs) and associated factors with the prevalence of environmental disease among the population living near an incinerator Methods: Study area were divided into 3 local areas near the incinerator by distance (A, B, C) and control area (D) by distance and geographic isolation. A Questionnaire was conducted with 1,380 in local residents (A, B, C) and 390 in control area (D), gathered information of demographic characteristics, lifestyle, perception of damage by incinerators, experience of EDs (atopic dermatitis, allergic rhinitis, asthma) diagnosed by physician. Analysis of variance, χ2 test, and Kruskal Wallis test was applied to determine the difference by area. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify factors associated with the prevalence of allergic rhinitis. Results: Residents residing closer to the incinerator had negative perception in most items in questionnaire compared with control. The prevalence of allergic rhinitis was higher as they lived nearby the incinerator (p = 0.008). The associated factors with the prevalence of allergic rhinitis were carpet (odds ratio [OR]: 1.79, p = 0.001), residential area (marginally significant), duration of residence (OR: 1.09, p < 0.001). The perception of environmental pollution around the residential area was inversely associated with the prevalence of allergic rhinitis: perceived as very dissatisfied (OR: 4.21, p = 0.02) compared with very satisfied. Conclusions: As closer to the incinerator, the risk perception tend to negative and prevalence of EDs were increased. Carpet, residential area, duration of residence and perception of environmental air pollution around the residential area were associated with prevalence of allergic rhinitis. These results may be useful for the communication with residents to discuss the environmental problems caused by the incinerator.

RDC/TMD Axis I 진단에 따른 측두하악장애 환자의 측두 두부방사선적 특징에 관한 연구 (Cephalometric Characteristics of TMD Patients based on RDC/TMD Axis I Diagnosis)

  • 안지연;김용우;김영구;이정윤
    • Journal of Oral Medicine and Pain
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.39-51
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구는 측두하악장애의 연구 진단 기준(Research Diagnostic Criteria for Temporomandibular Disorder; RDC/TMD)을 이용하여 구분된 측두하악장애(Temporomandibular Disorder; TMD) 환자를 대상으로 안면의 골격적 양상과 TMD 사이의 연관성을 규명하고 교정 환자의 진단과 치료에 있어 RDC/TMD의 활용 가능성을 제시하고자 하였다. 서울대학교 치과병원 구강내과에 측두하악장애의 진단과 치료를 위해 내원한 여성 환자들의 의무 기록 및 방사선사진을 검토하였으며 환자의 연령이 18세 미만이거나 전신 질환, 골격적 기형 또는 측두하악관절 부위의 외상 병력이 있는 경우는 제외되었다. 총 96명의 여성 환자로부터 얻은 RDC/TMD Axis I 을 포함한 임상 검사 결과와 측방 두부규격방사선사진 (lateral cephalogram), 파노라마 방사선사진(panoramic radiograph) 및 횡두개 방사선사진(transcranial radiograph)을 이용한 방사선적 검사 결과를 분석하였다. RDC/TMD를 이용하여 집단을 분류한 후 측방 두부규격방사선사진의 각도 및 길이 요소들을 계측하여 안면의 골격 관계, 상하악 관계 및 치열 관계를 분석하였다. 통계적 분석법으로는 독립표본 t-검정(independent t-test), 일원분산분석(one-way Analysis of Variance; one-way ANOVA) 및 카이제곱 검정(chi-square test)을 이용하였고 다음과 같은 결과를 얻었다. 1. 근육 문제를 진단하는 RDC/TMD Axis I 의 제 1 군 측두 두부방사선적 특징에서 통계적 유의성이 인정되지 않았다. 2. 관절원판 변위를 임상적으로 진단하는 제 2 군에서는 개구 장애를 동반하지 않는 비정복성 관절원판 변위가 있는 경우 관절원판 변위가 없는 정상 집단에 비하여 articular angle이 큰 것으로 나타났다. 3. 관절통, 관절염 및 관절증을 진단하는 제 3 군에서는 articular angle, FMA, Bjork sum, posterior facial height 및 facial height ratio에서 유의한 차이가 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 4. TMD 진단군과 골격적 양상 사이의 관계를 단순화하기 위하여 RDC/TMD Axis I 각 군을 양분법적으로 분류한 뒤 동일 한 방식으로 분석을 시행하였다. 그 결과 제 1 군에서는 overjet, 제 2 군에서는 articular angle, facial height ratio 및 IMPA, 마지막으로 제 3 군에서는 articular angle, gonial angle, facial convexity, FMA, Bjork sum, posterior facial height, facial height ratio 및 ANB angle에서 유의한 차이를 보였다. 이상의 RDC/TMD Axis I 을 이용하여 진단된 측두하악장애 환자를 대상으로 안면의 골격적 양상과 TMD 사이의 연관성 을 분석한 결과로부터 RDC/TMD Axis I 임상 진단에 따라 진단한 측두하악장애 환자 중 제 2 군과 제 3 군의 환자들에서 측두하악장애와 관련된 것으로 알려진 하악골의 후하방 회전으로 인한 골격적 차이가 존재함을 확인하였다. RDC/TMD Axis I은 교정 전 혹은 교정 치료 진행 중에 임상 검사 및 일반 방사선사진으로부터의 제한된 정보를 바탕으로 교정 치료 중 고려하여야 할 TMD 환자를 감별하는데 유용한 정보를 제공할 수 있을 것이다.

COVID-19 팬데믹으로 인한 체선율 증가와 부정기선 운임지수의 인과성 분석 (Analysis of Causality of the Increase in the Port Congestion due to the COVID-19 Pandemic and BDI(Baltic Dry Index))

  • 이충호;박근식
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제37권4호
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    • pp.161-173
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    • 2021
  • 2008년도 미국 리먼브라더스 파산으로 인한 미국발 금융위기의 파급 효과로 전 세계적으로 맞은 경제위기 상황에서 해운산업 또한 폭락하였으며, 부정기선 시장은 이후 13년 간 불황을 유지해왔다. 2020년 COVID-19 팬데믹으로 불안정안 세계경제 상황에서 해운시장 또한 폭락하여 어려움을 겪었지만, 예상과 다르게 2020년 말부터 상승세로 전환되며 2021년에는 2008년도 호황기의 용선료 수준을 넘어서서 계속적으로 상승세를 유지하고 있다. 2021년 5월에 발표된 Clarksons 보고서에서는 2020년 코로나로 인한 물동량 감소가 2020년 말까지 코로나 이전 수준으로 회복되었고, 파나막스선형 선복 103~104% 정도의 부정기 벌크선 선복량이 항만에 체선으로 묶여있는 상황으로 벌크선의 수익은 최근 몇 달 동안 10년 만에 최고치로 상승한 것으로 나타났다. 이에 본 연구에서는 대표적인 건화물선 운임지수인 BDI에 영향을 미치는 요인으로 공급측면의 케이프와 파나막스 선형의 선복량과 체선율, 수요측면에서 주요 선적화물인 철광석과 석탄 물동량과의 인과성 검정과 벡터자기회귀모형(VAR)을 추정하여 충격반응함수와 예측오차분산분해를 통하여 COVID-19 펜데믹으로 인한 항만에서의 검역 강화와 하역인부의 전염병 감염 등으로 작업지연에 따른 체선 발생이 부정기선 시장 상승에 영향을 미치는지 분석하고 팬데믹 이후의 해운시황 예측에 도움이 되려는데 그 목적이 있다. 2016년 1월부터 2021년 7월까지의 데이터를 사용하여 변수들과 BDI의 인과성 검정 결과 선복량과 체선율 변수에서 인과성이 나타났으며, 충격반응함수의 결과 t시점에서 발생한 케이프,파나막스의 체선율 표준편차 1단위의 충격은 BDI에 양(+)의 반응을 보였으며 4기에 최고치를 기록한 후 점차 감소하였다. 충격에 대한 반응의 신뢰구간 상한과 하한 모두 양(+)의 구간으로 유의미한 반응이었다. 예측오차 분산분해분석 결과 BDI 변동에 영향을 미치는 설명력은 체선율, 선복량 순으로 나타났으며, 체선율(CGTN)은 운임지수의 BDI의 변화에 2기에는 2.5%의 설명력을 보였으며 4기부터 10%를 넘어 BDI상승에 25%까지 설명력을 갖는 것으로 나타났다. 이번 연구에서는 수요와 공급의 직접적인 요인 변수외에도 COVID-19 팬데믹으로 인한 항만에서 체선율 증가에 따른 공급량 감소 효과인 체선율을 변수로 사용하여 부정기 건화물선 운임지수(BDI)와의 인과성 및 영향에 대하여 분석하였다. 위드코로나로 전환되어 체선율이 감소할 경우 해운시황의 하락 리스크가 있을 것으로 예상 된다. 하지만 2023년부터 시행되는 선박 배기가스 탄소배출 감축 규제와 2021년 발주되는 신조선들의 인도시기는 2023년 이후이기 때문에 내년까지도 선복량은 부족할 수 밖에 없을 것으로 예상되어 체선율이 감소되고 해운시황이 하락하더라도 부정기 벌크선박들의 수익성은 2008년 이후의 불황기와는 다르게 나쁘지 않은 수준으로 유지될 것으로 예상된다. 이번 COVID-19 팬데믹발 세계경제 불안정성은 경제적 요인이 아닌 팬데믹으로 인한 생태적 위협으로부터 발생했다는 점에서 과거 경제위기와는 다른 관점에서 분석해 볼 필요가 있다고 생각되며 간접적으로 해운시장에서 공급감소 효과로 나타나는 체선율과의 인과성과 설명력을 분석하였다는데 의의가 있다고 할 수 있다.