• 대한교통학회지
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• 제23권7호
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• pp.7-15
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• 2005

고속도로 통행수요함수를 추정하기 위하여 시계열자료를 이용하여 회귀분석을 시도하였다. 기존의 연구들이 시계열자료를 이용하여 통행수요함수를 추정함에도 시계열자료의 특성을 고려하지 않았다는 점에서 한계가 있었는데 본 연구에서는 이를 고려한 모형을 제시하였다. 고속도로 통행수요에 영향을 미치는 다양한 물리적 및 사회 경제적 변수를 선택하여 통행수요함수 추정을 시도하였다. 이를 위해 개별 변수들에 대해 단위근 검정을 하였고 공적분 검정을 시도하여 개별 변수들간의 관계를 고찰하였다. 그리하여 벡터오차수정모형을 이용하여 고속도로 통행수요함수를 추정하였는데 실질 GDP가 증가하면 고속도로 이용대수가 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 그리고 실질 통행료가 증가하면 고속도로 이용대수가 감소하는 것으로 나타나서 일반적인 예측과 일치하였다.

• 대한가정학회지
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• 제48권8호
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• pp.13-26
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• 2010

This study tested the path model with regard to how certain variables (control attribution, demand-control-support of activity, and control strategy) affected the elderly workers' subjective well-being(swb). In the path model, the exogenous variables were internal and external control attribution. We used demand-control-support of activity, and primary and secondary control strategies as mediating variables. The endogenous variable was each elderly worker's swb. Study participants were 205 elders participating in an "education activity". We used descriptive statistical analysis, Pearson's correlation and hierarchical multiple regression to examine data collected from structured interviews with the participants. Path analysis revealed the followings: First, secondary control strategy was the strongest predictor of participants' swb but internal control attribution, demand of activity, and support of activity also positively affected participants' swb. Second, internal control attribution indirectly affected the participants' swb. Finally primary control strategy negatively affected on the participants' swb.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제8권3호
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• pp.639-645
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• 2007

본 연구에서는 우리나라의 인터넷전화 통화수요함수를 2001년 6월부터 2004년 12월까지의 월별 데이터를 이용하여 추정하고 있다. 추정식에서 인터넷 통화수요는 통화요금, 타서비스의 요금, 소득, 품질 등의 함수로 가정하였으며, 통화량의 부분적응모형을 이용하여 시차변수도 설명변수에 포함시켰다. 추정결과 인터넷전화는 해당 요금에 대해 탄력적인 것으로 파악되었고 소득에 대하여는 비탄력적으로 나타났다. 품질은 인터넷전화수요에 큰 영향을 미치는 것으로 파악되었으며 인터넷전화 통화수요가 설명변수의 변화에 대하여 반응하는데 있어 시차가 존재함을 보이고 있다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제10권16호
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• pp.143-147
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• 1987

Safety stocks constitute one of the major means of dealing with the uncertainties associated with variation in demand and lead time. Adeguate safety facilitate production activities and help to assure customers if good service on the other hand, carrying safety storks ties up working capital on goods that sit idle. The major problem of safety stocks management thus of consists of trying to achieve an optimal balance between the other carrying cost and the costs of stock shortage. Therefore, this study aims to find safety stock level of the fixed reorder quantity system and the fixed reorder cycle system of minimizing total cost when both demand and lead time are variable. (The distribution of demand and lead time is a mere assumption that follows the normal distribution) The results can be summarized as follows. i) Safety factor on the safety stock is determined by carrying cost and the costs of stock shortage: An optimal safety stick=the costs of stork shortage($C_s$) (the carrying cost($C_h$)+the costs of stock storage($C_s$). ii) The safety stock level of the fixed reorder quantity system is ($a{\;}_p\sqrt{L}{\sigma}$) under uncertainties. iii) The safety stock level of the fixed reorder cycle system is ($a{\;}_p\sqrt{R+L{\sigma}}$) under uncertain demand and constant lead time. ($a{\;}_p\sqrt{L{\sigma}_d{\;^2+{\mu}^2L{\sigma}^2}$) under demand and lead time uncertainties.

• 한국ITS학회 논문지
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• 제15권4호
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• pp.1-11
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• 2016

본 연구는 카셰어링의 대중교통 접근성이 카셰어링 이용수요에 미치는 영향을 분석하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 이를 위해 수원시에서 운영 중에 있는 그린카의 대여이력 데이터베이스와 대중교통 GIS DB를 활용하여 카셰어링 대여소별로 대중교통 접근성에 따른 카셰어링 이용수요 모형을 구축하고 이를 해석하였다. 연구 결과 카셰어링 대여소로의 접근수단은 도보가 73%로 가장 많으며, 자전거 3%, 버스와 도시철도는 20%로 나타났다. 버스와 도시철도의 접근성이 반영된 카셰어링 이용 모형의 적합도는 0.818로 대중교통 접근성은 유의한 변수임을 확인하였다. 즉, 카셰어링의 대여소는 대중교통과의 환승이 용이한 장소에 설치되는 것이 보다 이용수요를 증진시킬 수 있음을 확인하였다. 특히 대중교통 수단 중 버스 접근성은 유의한 변수로 확인된 반면, 도시철도 접근성은 유의하지 않은 것으로 나타났는데, 타 대중교통 수단과의 상호 이용수요 증진 측면에서 도시철도와 카셰어링간의 원활한 연계를 위한 환승할인 및 편도 반납 정책 등 다양한 보완적 정책이 필요할 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구 결과는 카셰어링에 대한 기초적 연구에 불과하지만, 대중교통간 환승수요를 증진시키는데 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제29권2호
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• pp.97-110
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• 1998

This paper tries to estimate Korea's import demand function for fisheries using cointegration analysis. The estimation function consists of one dependent variable-import quantity of fisheries(FTIW) and two independent variables-relative price(RP) between importable and domestic products and real income(GDP). As it has been empirically found out that almost all of time series of macro-variables such as GDP, price index are nonstationary, existing studies which ignore this fact need to be reexamined. Conventional econometric method can not analyze nonstationary time series in level. To perform the analysis, time series should be differenciated until stationarity is guaranteed. Unfortunately, the difference method removes the long run element of data, and so leads to difficulties of interpretation. But according to new developed econometric theory, cointegration approach could solve these problems. Therefore this paper proceeds the estimation on the basis of cointegration analysis, because the quartly variables from 1988 to 1997 used in the model is found out to be nonstationary. The estimation results show that all of the variables are statistically significant. Therefore Korea's import demand for fisheries has been strongly affected by the variation of real income and the relative price.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2000년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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• pp.289-291
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• 2000

In a competitive electricity power market, the price of electricity changes instantly, that of conventional market is predetermined and hardly changes. In such a new environment, customers' behaviors change instantly according to the changing electricity prices. If we develop a electricity load model that well describes the behavior of electricity consumers, we can utilize that model in forecasting the amount of future load, solving the load flow problem and finding the weak point of the system. In this paper new electricity model that considers the price of electricity and power factor of the load is presented. While conventional load model, which is demand function of electricity, uses the price of real and reactive power as the independent variable of the demand function. this new load model uses price of real power and penalty factor according to the power factor for the calculation of amount of electricity demand.

• 대한산업공학회지
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• 제31권3호
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• pp.228-239
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• 2005

In this paper, we propose a new conceptual HVRPCR(Heterogeneous Fleet Vehicle Routing Problem with Customer Restriction) model including additional restrictions that are consisted of loadage limit and possible visit number of demand post in HVRP. We propose HVRPCR algorithm using the heuristic in order to solve speedily because VRP is NP-Hard and need many solution time. The proposed model is simulated with changing demand post location, demand weight, loading and possible visit number limitation. Results of the computational experiment are provided along with some analysis like travel cost reduction rate.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.46-52
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• 2013

Economic properties of an integrated wind power plant (WPP) and the demand response (DR) programs in the sample electricity market are studied. Time of use (TOU) and direct load control (DLC) are two of the DR programs that are applied in the system. The influences of these methods and the incentive payments by market operator's (MOs) with variable elasticity are studied. It is observed that DR with TOU and DLC programs together yields better revenue and energy saving for MOs.

• 대한예방한의학회지
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.1-12
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• 2004

This paper estimated the demand and supply of physicians for oriental medicine for the period of $2009{\sim}2019$. Two equation models were used in the estimation of manpower. In 2004, the total number of physicians of oriental medicine was amounted to 13,662 registered and 10,532 available in clinical practice, respectively. According to estimates in the study, overall excess supply of physician manpower in oriental medicine was expected in the period, such as $5,300{\sim}5,700$ persons in 2009 and $900{\sim}1,700$ persons in 2019. However, the excess supply would be mitigated after 2019 mainly due to an increase in demand for oriental medical services. Specially, opening medical service market to overseas could be an exogenous variable in physician supply. An alternative manpower policy for oriental medical doctors is needed in a way of controlling oversupply.