• Title/Summary/Keyword: Value estimation

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Analysis of Real-Time Estimation Method Based on Hidden Markov Models for Battery System States of Health

  • Piao, Changhao;Li, Zuncheng;Lu, Sheng;Jin, Zhekui;Cho, Chongdu
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.217-226
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    • 2016
  • A new method is proposed based on a hidden Markov model (HMM) to estimate and analyze battery states of health. Battery system health states are defined according to the relationship between internal resistance and lifetime of cells. The source data (terminal voltages and currents) can be obtained from vehicular battery models. A characteristic value extraction method is proposed for HMM. A recognition framework and testing datasets are built to test the estimation rates of different states. Test results show that the estimation rates achieved based on this method are above 90% under single conditions. The method achieves the same results under hybrid conditions. We can also use the HMMs that correspond to hybrid conditions to estimate the states under a single condition. Therefore, this method can achieve the purpose of the study in estimating battery life states. Only voltage and current are used in this method, thereby establishing its simplicity compared with other methods. The batteries can also be tested online, and the method can be used for online prediction.

On-Line Travel Time Estimation Methods using Hybrid Neuro Fuzzy System for Arterial Road (검지자료합성을 통한 도시간선도로 실시간 통행시간 추정모형)

  • 김영찬;김태용
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.171-182
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    • 2001
  • Travel Time is an important characteristic of traffic conditions in a road network. Currently, there are so many road users to get a unsatisfactory traffic information that is provided by existing collection systems such as, Detector, Probe car, CCTV and Anecdotal Report. This paper presents the results achieved with Data Fusion Model, Hybrid Neuro Fuzzy System for on - line estimation of travel times using RTMS(Remote Traffic Microwave Sensor) and Probe Data in the signalized arterial road. Data Fusion is the most important process to compose the various of data which can present real value for traffic situation and is also the one of the major process part in the TIC(Traffic Information Center) for analyzing and processing data. On-line travel time estimation methods(FALEM) on the basis of detector data has been evaluated by real value under KangNam Test Area.

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Frequency analysis of nonidentically distributed large-scale hydrometeorological extremes for South Korea

  • Lee, Taesam;Jeong, Changsam;Park, Taewoong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.537-537
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    • 2015
  • In recent decades, the independence and identical distribution (iid) assumption for extreme events has been shown to be invalid in many cases because long-term climate variability resulting from phenomena such as the Pacific decadal variability and El Nino-Southern Oscillation may induce varying meteorological systems such as persistent wet years and dry years. Therefore, in the current study we propose a new parameter estimation method for probability distribution models to more accurately predict the magnitude of future extreme events when the iid assumption of probability distributions for large-scale climate variability is not adequate. The proposed parameter estimation is based on a metaheuristic approach and is derived from the objective function of the rth power probability-weighted sum of observations in increasing order. The combination of two distributions, gamma and generalized extreme value (GEV), was fitted to the GEV distribution in a simulation study. In addition, a case study examining the annual hourly maximum precipitation of all stations in South Korea was performed to evaluate the performance of the proposed approach. The results of the simulation study and case study indicate that the proposed metaheuristic parameter estimation method is an effective alternative for accurately selecting the rth power when the iid assumption of extreme hydrometeorological events is not valid for large-scale climate variability. The maximum likelihood estimate is more accurate with a low mixing probability, and the probability-weighted moment method is a moderately effective option.

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Prediction of Withdrawal Resistance of Single Screw on Korean Wood Products

  • AHN, Kyung-Sun;PANG, Sung-Jun;OH, Jung-Kwon
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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    • v.49 no.1
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 2021
  • In this article, withdrawal resistances of axially loaded self-tapping screws on wood products made by Korean Larch were predicted with existing estimation equation, and compared with experimental test data. The research was required because no design methodology for the withdrawal resistance of self-tapping screw is present in Korean building code (KBC). First, the withdrawal resistance of wood screw was predicted to use the withdrawal design value estimation equation in National Design Specification for Wood Construction (NDS). Second, three types of wood products, solid wood, cross-laminated timber (CLT) and plywood, were utilized for withdrawal test. For decades, various engineered wood products have been developed, especially cross-laminated timber (CLT) and hybrid timber composites such as timber composites of solid wood and plywood. Therefore, CLT and plywood were also investigated in this study as well as solid wood. Finally, the predicted values were compared with experimentally tested values. As the results, the tested values of solid wood and CLT were higher than the predicted values. In contrast, it is inaccurate to predict withdrawal resistance of plywood since prediction was higher than tested values.

Determination of Unit Hydrograph for the Hydrological Modelling of Long-term Run-off in the Major River Systems in Korea (장기유출의 수문적 모형개발을 위한 주요 수계별 단위도 유도)

  • 엄병현;박근수
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.52-65
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    • 1984
  • In general precise estimation of hourly of daily distribution of the long-term run-off should be very important in a design of source of irrigation. However, there have not been a satisfying method for forecasting of stationar'y long-term run-off in Korea. Solving this problem, this study introduces unit-hydrograph method frequently used in short-term run-off analysis into the long-term run-off analysis, of which model basin was selected to be Sumgin-river catchment area. In the estimation of effective rainfall, conventional method neglects the Soil moisture condition of catchment area, but in this study, the initial discharge (qb) occurred just before rising phase of the hydrograph was selected as the index of a basin soil moisture condition and then introduced as 3rd variable in the analysis of the reationship between cumulative rainfall and cumulative loss of rainfall, which built a new type of separation method of effective rainfall. In next step, in order to normalize significant potential error included in hydrological data, especially in vast catchment area, Snyder's correlation method was applied. A key to solution in this study is multiple correlation method or multiple regressional analysis, which is primarily based on the method of least squres and which is solved by the form of systems of linear equations. And for verification of the change of characteristics of unit hydrograph according to the variation of a various kind of hydrological charateristics (for example, precipitation, tree cover, soil condition, etc),seasonal unit hydrograph models of dry season(autumn, winter), semi-dry season (spring), rainy season (summer) were made respectively. The results obtained in this study were summarized as follows; 1.During the test period of 1966-1971, effective rainfall was estimated for the total 114 run-off hydrograph. From this estimation results, relative error of estimation to the ovservation value was 6%, -which is mush smaller than 12% of the error of conventional method. 2.During the test period, daily distribution of long-term run-off discharge was estimated by the unit hydrograph model. From this estimation results, relative error of estimation by the application of standard unit hydrograph model was 12%. When estimating by each seasonal unit bydrograph model, the relative error was 14% during dry season 10% during semi-dry season and 7% during rainy season, which is much smaller than 37% of conventional method. Summing up the analysis results obtained above, it is convinced that qb-index method of this study for the estimation of effective rainfall be preciser than any other method developed before. Because even recently no method has been developed for the estimation of daily distribution of long-term run-off dicharge, therefore estimation value by unit hydrograph model was only compared with that due to kaziyama method which estimates monthly run-off discharge. However this method due to this study turns out to have high accuracy. If specially mentioned from the results of this study, there is no need to use each seasonal unit hydrograph model separately except the case of semi-dry season. The author hopes to analyze the latter case in future sudies.

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A Study on the Defection of Arcing Faults in Transmission Lines and Development of Fault Distance Estimation Software using MATLAB (MATLAB을 이용한 송전선로의 아크사고 검출 및 고장거리 추정 소프트웨어 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Byeong-Cheon;Park, Nam-Ok;Kim, Dong-Su;Kim, Gil-Hwan
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.51 no.4
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    • pp.163-168
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    • 2002
  • This paper present a new verb efficient numerical algorithm for arcing faults detection and fault distance estimation in transmission line. It is based on the fundamental differential equations describing the transients on a transmission line before, during and alter the fault occurrence, and on the application of the "Least Error Squares Technique"for the unknown model parameter estimation. If the arc voltage estimated is a near zero, the fault is without arc, in other words the fault is permanent fault. If the arc voltage estimated has any high value, the faust is identified as an fault, or the transient fault. In permanent faults case, fault distance estimation is necessary. This paper uses the model of the arcing fault in transmission line using ZnO arrestor and resistance to be implemented within EMTP. One purpose of this study is to build a structure for modeling of arcing fault detection and fault distance estimation algorithm using Matlab programming. In this paper, This algorithm has been designed in Graphic user interface(GUI).

A Robust MRAC-based Speed Estimation Method to Improve the Performance of Sensorless Induction Motor Drive System in Low Speed (저속영역에서 센서리스 벡터제어 유도전동기의 성능을 향상시키기 위한 MRAC 기반의 강인한 속도 추정 기법)

  • 박철우;권우현
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers B
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    • v.53 no.1
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    • pp.37-46
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    • 2004
  • A novel rotor speed estimation method using model reference adaptive control(MRAC) is proposed to improve the performance of a sensorless vector controller. In the proposed method, the stator current is used as the model variable for estimating the speed. In conventional MRAC methods, the relation between the two model errors and the speed estimation error is unclear. In the proposed method, the stator current error is represented as a function of the first degree for the error value in the speed estimation. Therefore, the proposed method can produce a fast speed estimation. The robustness of the rotor flux-based MRAC, back EMF-based MRAC, and proposed MRAC is compared based on a sensitivity function about each error of stator resistance, rotor time constant, mutual inductance. Consequently, the proposed method is much more robust than the conventional methods as regards errors in the mutual inductance, stator resistance. Therefore, the proposed method offers a considerable improvement in the performance of a sensorless vector controller at a low speed. In addition, the superiority of the proposed method and the validity of sensitivity functions were verified by simulation and experiment.

A Relative Depth Estimation Algorithm Using Focus Measure (초점정보를 이용한 패턴간의 상대적 깊이 추정알고리즘 개발)

  • Jeong, Ji-Seok;Lee, Dae-Jong;Shin, Yong-Nyuo;Chun, Myung-Geun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.527-532
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    • 2013
  • Depth estimation is an essential factor for robot vision, 3D scene modeling, and motion control. The depth estimation method is based on focusing values calculated in a series of images by a single camera at different distance between lens and object. In this paper, we proposed a relative depth estimation method using focus measure. The proposed method is implemented by focus value calculated for each image obtained at different lens position and then depth is finally estimated by considering relative distance of two patterns. We performed various experiments on the effective focus measures for depth estimation by using various patterns and their usefulness.

Vehicle Orientation Estimation by Using Magnetometer and Inertial Sensors (3축 자기장 센서 및 관성센서를 이용한 차량 방위각 추정 방법)

  • Hwang, Yoonjin;Choi, Seibum
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.408-415
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    • 2016
  • The vehicle attitude and sideslip is critical information to control the vehicle to prevent from unintended motion. Many of estimation strategy use bicycle model or IMU integration, but both of them have limits on application. The main purpose of this paper is development of vehicle orientation estimator which is robust to various vehicle state and road shape. The suggested estimator use 3-axis magnetometer, yaw rate sensor and lateral acceleration sensor to estimate three Euler angles of vehicle. The estimator is composed of two individual observers: First, comparing the known magnetic field and gravity with measured value, the TRIAD algorithm calculates optimal rotational matrix when vehicle is in static or quasi-static condition. Next, merging 3-axis magnetometer with inertial sensors, the extended Kalman filter is used to estimate vehicle orientation under dynamic condition. A validation through simulation tools, Carsim and Simulink, is performed and the results show the feasibility of the suggested estimation method.

A Novel SOC Estimation Method for Multiple Number of Lithium Batteries Using Deep Neural Network (딥 뉴럴 네트워크를 이용한 새로운 리튬이온 배터리의 SOC 추정법)

  • Khan, Asad;Ko, Young-hwi;Choi, Woojin
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 2019.11a
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    • pp.70-72
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    • 2019
  • For the safe and reliable operation of Lithium-ion batteries in Electric Vehicles (EVs) or Energy Storage Systems (ESSs), it is essential to have accurate information of the battery such as State of Charge (SOC). Many kinds of different techniques to estimate the SOC of the batteries have been developed so far such as the Kalman Filter. However, when it is applied to the multiple number of batteries it is difficult to maintain the accuracy of the estimation over all cells due to the difference in parameter value of each cell. Moreover the difference in the parameter of each cell may become larger as the operation time accumulates due to aging. In this paper a novel Deep Neural Network (DNN) based SOC estimation method for multi cell application is proposed. In the proposed method DNN is implemented to learn non-linear relationship of the voltage and current of the lithium-ion battery at different SOCs and different temperatures. In the training the voltage and current data of the Lithium battery at charge and discharge cycles obtained at different temperatures are used. After the comprehensive training with the data obtained with a cell resulting estimation algorithm is applied to the other cells. The experimental results show that the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of the estimation is 0.56% at 25℃, and 3.16% at 60℃ with the proposed SOC estimation algorithm.

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